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題名 美國學界離岸制衡戰略與「棄臺論」的爭辯
The Debates of the Strategy of Offshore Balancing and the Argument of Abandoning Taiwan in American Academics
作者 陳麒安
Chen, Chi-an
貢獻者 國際事務學院
關鍵詞 離岸制衡戰略; 美中關係; 臺美關係; 棄臺論; 聯盟兩難
The strategy of offshore balancing; U.S.-China relations; U.S.-Taiwan relations; The argument of abandoning Taiwan; Alliance dilemma
日期 2016-07
上傳時間 1-Apr-2026 16:37:12 (UTC+8)
摘要 「離岸制衡」戰略建議海外大國不應過度介入歐亞大陸的區域衝突,除非有崛起強權即將稱霸,才需要予以制衡。由此衍生出的「棄臺論」觀點則強調,美國與中國極有可能因為臺灣問題而產生衝突,應逐漸減少對臺灣的安全承諾。本文初步認為,由於美國不會願意放棄其在亞太地區的優勢地位,若是為了避免與中國發生衝突而明確宣示放棄對臺灣的安全承諾,將會對其亞太盟國造成骨牌效應。然而,即便如此,也不表示臺灣可以刻意挑釁中國而試圖將美國捲入兩岸衝突。
Proponents of an offshore balancing strategy suggest that insular great powers should not intervene in regional conflicts on the Eurasian mainland frequently. Only when there will be a rising hegemon trying to dominate that area, must insular great powers balance against it. The idea of abandoning Taiwan, which was derived from the offshore balancing strategy, sheds light on the high possibility of a U.S.-China conflict over the Taiwan issue. Therefore, the U.S. should loosen its security commitment to Taiwan gradually. According to this article, the author concludes that, because the U.S. is not willing to give up its dominance and leadership in the Asia-Pacific region, if the U.S. explicitly declares it will abandon Taiwan to avert fighting with China, it will result in a domino effect with America’s allies in the Asia-Pacific region. Nevertheless, this does not indicate that Taiwan can irritate or provoke China in order to ensnare the U.S. in the Cross-Strait conflict.
關聯 遠景基金會季刊, Vol.17, No.3, pp.57-108
資料類型 article
dc.contributor 國際事務學院
dc.creator (作者) 陳麒安
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Chi-an
dc.date (日期) 2016-07
dc.date.accessioned 1-Apr-2026 16:37:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 1-Apr-2026 16:37:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 1-Apr-2026 16:37:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=181857-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 「離岸制衡」戰略建議海外大國不應過度介入歐亞大陸的區域衝突,除非有崛起強權即將稱霸,才需要予以制衡。由此衍生出的「棄臺論」觀點則強調,美國與中國極有可能因為臺灣問題而產生衝突,應逐漸減少對臺灣的安全承諾。本文初步認為,由於美國不會願意放棄其在亞太地區的優勢地位,若是為了避免與中國發生衝突而明確宣示放棄對臺灣的安全承諾,將會對其亞太盟國造成骨牌效應。然而,即便如此,也不表示臺灣可以刻意挑釁中國而試圖將美國捲入兩岸衝突。
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Proponents of an offshore balancing strategy suggest that insular great powers should not intervene in regional conflicts on the Eurasian mainland frequently. Only when there will be a rising hegemon trying to dominate that area, must insular great powers balance against it. The idea of abandoning Taiwan, which was derived from the offshore balancing strategy, sheds light on the high possibility of a U.S.-China conflict over the Taiwan issue. Therefore, the U.S. should loosen its security commitment to Taiwan gradually. According to this article, the author concludes that, because the U.S. is not willing to give up its dominance and leadership in the Asia-Pacific region, if the U.S. explicitly declares it will abandon Taiwan to avert fighting with China, it will result in a domino effect with America’s allies in the Asia-Pacific region. Nevertheless, this does not indicate that Taiwan can irritate or provoke China in order to ensnare the U.S. in the Cross-Strait conflict.
dc.format.extent 155 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype text/html-
dc.relation (關聯) 遠景基金會季刊, Vol.17, No.3, pp.57-108
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 離岸制衡戰略; 美中關係; 臺美關係; 棄臺論; 聯盟兩難
dc.subject (關鍵詞) The strategy of offshore balancing; U.S.-China relations; U.S.-Taiwan relations; The argument of abandoning Taiwan; Alliance dilemma
dc.title (題名) 美國學界離岸制衡戰略與「棄臺論」的爭辯
dc.title (題名) The Debates of the Strategy of Offshore Balancing and the Argument of Abandoning Taiwan in American Academics
dc.type (資料類型) article