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題名 Agent-Based Modeling of Lottery Markets
作者 陳樹衡
Chen, Shu-heng; Chie, Bin-Tzong
關鍵詞 Lotteries; Genetic Algorithms; Adaptive Agents; Agent-Based Computational Modeling; Lottery Designs
日期 2003-03
上傳時間 9-Jan-2009 11:21:39 (UTC+8)
摘要 The lottery market modeled in this study cannot be explained by the conventional rational expectation approach. Clarifying lottery market behaviors is a daunting task. We apply an agent-based computational modeling technique in which each agent is modeled as autonomous with his or her own perceptions and actions. The objective is to use three empirical observations in lottery markets ⎯ the halo effect or lottomania, conscious selection of betting numbers, and aversion to regrets ⎯ to examine the effects of the lottery takeout rate on its revenue. Initial results show the Laffer curve, which indicates the existence of an optimal lottery takeout rate or range. This finding provides some insights to the empirical averaged rate for the 25 lottery markets examined.
關聯 No 155, Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 from Society for Computational Economics
資料類型 conference
dc.creator (作者) 陳樹衡zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Shu-heng; Chie, Bin-Tzong-
dc.date (日期) 2003-03en_US
dc.date.accessioned 9-Jan-2009 11:21:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-Jan-2009 11:21:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Jan-2009 11:21:39 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/23013-
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The lottery market modeled in this study cannot be explained by the conventional rational expectation approach. Clarifying lottery market behaviors is a daunting task. We apply an agent-based computational modeling technique in which each agent is modeled as autonomous with his or her own perceptions and actions. The objective is to use three empirical observations in lottery markets ⎯ the halo effect or lottomania, conscious selection of betting numbers, and aversion to regrets ⎯ to examine the effects of the lottery takeout rate on its revenue. Initial results show the Laffer curve, which indicates the existence of an optimal lottery takeout rate or range. This finding provides some insights to the empirical averaged rate for the 25 lottery markets examined.-
dc.format application/en_US
dc.language enen_US
dc.language en-USen_US
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.relation (關聯) No 155, Computing in Economics and Finance 2003 from Society for Computational Economicsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Lotteries; Genetic Algorithms; Adaptive Agents; Agent-Based Computational Modeling; Lottery Designs-
dc.title (題名) Agent-Based Modeling of Lottery Marketsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) conferenceen