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題名 台灣期貨市場操縱
作者 林倢伃
貢獻者 山本竜市
林倢伃
關鍵詞 操縱
期貨市場
Manipulation
Futures market
TAIFEX
日期 2007
上傳時間 11-Sep-2009 17:08:15 (UTC+8)
摘要 台灣期貨市場收盤價的操縱現象並不明顯,推論可能的理由為收盤時採用不連續的搓合機制,使有意操縱收盤價的交易者的操縱意願降低。報酬與操縱呈現負相關,可能的原因為操縱者在不同市場間進行操縱,即使在某一市場虧損,仍能在另一市場獲得更多的報酬。激發操縱交易行為的因子最顯著的解釋變數為交易者的平均累積部位成本,而非收盤價的變動。
This paper uncovers the trade-based manipulative trading in TAIFEX with the detailed trade-level data. The manipulation of closing prices is rather unremarkable. The call auction may be the reason. Revenue and manipulation have a negative remarkable relation. One of the reasons could be that a manipulator trades between different markets at the same time. He can ear more return in one market to cover the loss in another market. The other possible reason is that the informed trader wants to mislead other traders.
     This paper finds out that the most explainable motivation of manipulation is the cost of the held position. The outcome supports the negative relation between revenue and manipulation.
參考文獻 Aggarwal, R.K., and G., Wu, 2006. Stock Market Manipulations. Journal of Business. 79(4), 1915-1953.
Allen, F., and D., Gale, 1992. Stock-Price Manipulation. The Review of Financial Studies. 5(3), 503-529.
Bagnoli, M., and B.L. Lipman, 1990, Stock Price Manipulation through Takeover Bids. woking paper. Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie Mellon University.
Benabou, R., and G. Laroque, 1992, Using Privileged Information to Manipulate Markets: Insiders, Gurus and Credibility. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 107, 921-956
Chakraborty, A., and Yilmaz, B., 2002. Informed manipulation. Journal of Economic Theory. 114, 132-152
Chamberlain, T., Cheung, C., Kwan, C., 1989. Expiration-day effects of index futures and options: some Canadian evidence. Financial Analysts Journal. 45(5), 67-71.
Cheung, Y., 1995. Intradaily returns and the day-end effect; evidence from the Hong Kong equity market. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting. 22(7), 1023-1034.
Collins, B., and F., Fabozzi, 1991. A methodology for measuring transactions costs. Financial Analysts Journal. 47(2), 27-44.
Comerton-Forde, C., J., Rydge, 2005. Call auction algorithm design and market manipulation. Journal of Multinational Financial Management. 16, 184-198
Comerton-Forde, C., Lau, S.T., McInish, T., 2006. Opening and closing behavior following the introduction of call auctions in Singapore. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 15, 18-35.
Felixson, K., and A.Pelli, 1999. Day end returns-stock price manipulation. Journal of Multinational Management. 9, 95-127.
Glaeser, E., Johnson, S., Shleifer, A., 2001. Coase versus the Coasians. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 116, 853-899
Harris, L., 1989. A day-end transaction price anomaly. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 24(1), 29-45
Hedvall, K., 1994. Essays on the market microstructure of the Helsinki Stock Exchange. Publications of the Swedish School of Economics and Business Adminstration. 56.
Hillion, P., and M., Suominen, 2004. The manipulation of closing prices. Journal of Financial Markets. 7, 351-375.
Khwaja, A.I., and A.,Mian, 2005. Unchecked intermediaries: Price manipulation in an emerging stock market. Journal of Financial Economics. 78, 203-241.
Kumar, P., and D.J. Seppi, 1992. Futures Manipulation with ‘Cash Settlement’. Journal of Finance. 47. 1485-1503.
La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., 2003. What works in securities laws? Unpublished working Paper 9882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambrige, MA.
Norden, L., 1993. An investigation of intradaily regularities in Swedish stock market returns. Working paper. University of Lund, Sweden.
Pirrong, S.C., 1995. Mixed Manipulation Strategies In Commodity Futures Markets. Journal of Futures Markets. 15, 13-39.
Stoll, H., Whaley, R., 1987. Program trading and expiration-day effects. Financial Analysts Journal. 43(2), 16-28.
Stoll, H., Whaley, R., 1991. Expiration-day effects: what has changed? Financial Analysts Journal. 47(1), 58-72.
Vila, J. L., 1989, Simple Games of Market Manipulation. Economics Letters. 29,21-26
Wood, R., McInish, T., Ord, J., 1985. An investigation of transactions data for NYSE stocks. Journal of Finance. 40, 723-739.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
95351024
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095351024
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 山本竜市zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林倢伃zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 林倢伃zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Sep-2009 17:08:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Sep-2009 17:08:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Sep-2009 17:08:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0095351024en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30053-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95351024zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 台灣期貨市場收盤價的操縱現象並不明顯,推論可能的理由為收盤時採用不連續的搓合機制,使有意操縱收盤價的交易者的操縱意願降低。報酬與操縱呈現負相關,可能的原因為操縱者在不同市場間進行操縱,即使在某一市場虧損,仍能在另一市場獲得更多的報酬。激發操縱交易行為的因子最顯著的解釋變數為交易者的平均累積部位成本,而非收盤價的變動。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper uncovers the trade-based manipulative trading in TAIFEX with the detailed trade-level data. The manipulation of closing prices is rather unremarkable. The call auction may be the reason. Revenue and manipulation have a negative remarkable relation. One of the reasons could be that a manipulator trades between different markets at the same time. He can ear more return in one market to cover the loss in another market. The other possible reason is that the informed trader wants to mislead other traders.
     This paper finds out that the most explainable motivation of manipulation is the cost of the held position. The outcome supports the negative relation between revenue and manipulation.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Acknowledge ……………………………………………………………………..i
     Abstract ………………………………………………………………………….ii
     Contents ………………………………………………………………………...iii
     1. Introduction ………………………………………………………………....1
     2. Institutional background and data ………………………………………......3
     2.1 The Taiwan Futures Market ……………………………………………..3
     2.2 Data ……………………………………………………………………..4
     3. Definition of manipulative trading patterns …………………………………..7
     3.1 The dummy variables of manipulation power before closing …………..7
     3.2 PRIN …………………………………………………………………….9
     4. Result ………………………………………………………………………...13
     4.1 The manipulation of closing price ……………………………………..13
     4.2 PRIN …………………………………………………………………...15
     4.2.1 The return of manipulation …………………………………..16
     4.2.2 The motivation of manipulation ……………………………..19
     5. Conclusion …………………………………………………………………...23
     Appendix ……………………………………………………………………….25
     References ……………………………………………………………………...31
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095351024en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 操縱zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 期貨市場zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Manipulationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Futures marketen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) TAIFEXen_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣期貨市場操縱zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Aggarwal, R.K., and G., Wu, 2006. Stock Market Manipulations. Journal of Business. 79(4), 1915-1953.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Allen, F., and D., Gale, 1992. Stock-Price Manipulation. The Review of Financial Studies. 5(3), 503-529.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bagnoli, M., and B.L. Lipman, 1990, Stock Price Manipulation through Takeover Bids. woking paper. Graduate School of Industrial Administration, Carnegie Mellon University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Benabou, R., and G. Laroque, 1992, Using Privileged Information to Manipulate Markets: Insiders, Gurus and Credibility. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 107, 921-956zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chakraborty, A., and Yilmaz, B., 2002. Informed manipulation. Journal of Economic Theory. 114, 132-152zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chamberlain, T., Cheung, C., Kwan, C., 1989. Expiration-day effects of index futures and options: some Canadian evidence. Financial Analysts Journal. 45(5), 67-71.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cheung, Y., 1995. Intradaily returns and the day-end effect; evidence from the Hong Kong equity market. Journal of Business Finance & Accounting. 22(7), 1023-1034.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Collins, B., and F., Fabozzi, 1991. A methodology for measuring transactions costs. Financial Analysts Journal. 47(2), 27-44.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Comerton-Forde, C., J., Rydge, 2005. Call auction algorithm design and market manipulation. Journal of Multinational Financial Management. 16, 184-198zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Comerton-Forde, C., Lau, S.T., McInish, T., 2006. Opening and closing behavior following the introduction of call auctions in Singapore. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal. 15, 18-35.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Felixson, K., and A.Pelli, 1999. Day end returns-stock price manipulation. Journal of Multinational Management. 9, 95-127.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Glaeser, E., Johnson, S., Shleifer, A., 2001. Coase versus the Coasians. Quarterly Journal of Economics. 116, 853-899zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Harris, L., 1989. A day-end transaction price anomaly. Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. 24(1), 29-45zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hedvall, K., 1994. Essays on the market microstructure of the Helsinki Stock Exchange. Publications of the Swedish School of Economics and Business Adminstration. 56.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hillion, P., and M., Suominen, 2004. The manipulation of closing prices. Journal of Financial Markets. 7, 351-375.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Khwaja, A.I., and A.,Mian, 2005. Unchecked intermediaries: Price manipulation in an emerging stock market. Journal of Financial Economics. 78, 203-241.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kumar, P., and D.J. Seppi, 1992. Futures Manipulation with ‘Cash Settlement’. Journal of Finance. 47. 1485-1503.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) La Porta, R., Lopez-de-Silanes, F., Shleifer, A., 2003. What works in securities laws? Unpublished working Paper 9882, National Bureau of Economic Research, Cambrige, MA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Norden, L., 1993. An investigation of intradaily regularities in Swedish stock market returns. Working paper. University of Lund, Sweden.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pirrong, S.C., 1995. Mixed Manipulation Strategies In Commodity Futures Markets. Journal of Futures Markets. 15, 13-39.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Stoll, H., Whaley, R., 1987. Program trading and expiration-day effects. Financial Analysts Journal. 43(2), 16-28.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Stoll, H., Whaley, R., 1991. Expiration-day effects: what has changed? Financial Analysts Journal. 47(1), 58-72.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Vila, J. L., 1989, Simple Games of Market Manipulation. Economics Letters. 29,21-26zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wood, R., McInish, T., Ord, J., 1985. An investigation of transactions data for NYSE stocks. Journal of Finance. 40, 723-739.zh_TW