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題名 The Impact of Foreign Exchange Fluctuation on Taiwan Listed Firm Strategy and Economic Exposure
外匯波動對企業策略與經濟風險影響之研究-以台灣為例
作者 吳彥臻
Wu,Jenny Yen-Chen
貢獻者 譚丹琪<br>郭炳伸
Tan,Danchi<br>Kuo,Biing-Shen
吳彥臻
Wu,Jenny Yen-Chen
關鍵詞 匯率風險曝露
經濟風險因素分析
主成份分析
Foreign Exchange Rate Exposure
Economic Exposure
Multiple Currency Model
Principal Factor Analysis
日期 2004
上傳時間 11-Sep-2009 17:13:15 (UTC+8)
摘要 本篇論文從不同公司策略,以月資料來探討台灣532家上市公司在1999~2004年之公司對匯率風險曝露的敏感度,並以六十個月各上市公司股價報酬率為依變數,與台灣最大十五個貿易夥伴的匯率資料為自變數橫斷面資料,進行匯率風險對股價報酬關係之檢定。與之前實證研究不同之處是,本研究是利用多種貨幣模型來解釋各股價報酬,非只有一個貨幣當作唯一的指標。實證結果發現尚未加進大盤指數為控制變數時,只有0.93%受匯率風險暴露,反之,加進大盤指數之後,受到匯率風險的公司增加到88.2%。以公司策略及產業角度來看,結果顯示當公司外銷比例越大,此公司承受的經濟風險會越高。
The purpose of this empirical study is to investigate sensitivity of company values to fluctuation in foreign exchange rates. Distinguishing from the previous research, this study employs a multiple currency proxy model to estimate firm’s exposures instead of using a single currency model.
     
     The research sample includes all Taiwan listed firms’ data for the period from 1999 to 2004. The empirical evidence from Taiwan listed firms indicates that 85.3 to 88.2 percent of firms are exposed to foreign exchange rate movements when market return control variable is included in the regression. A small percentage of firms are exposed to the foreign exchange rate movements with exclusion of the control variable. Results from ordinary least square analyses reveal that export intensity increases economic exposure to fluctuation of foreign exchange rate.
參考文獻 Adler, M., and Dumas, B. “Exposure to Currency Risks: Definition and Measurement.” Financial Management, Vol. 13, p.41-50, 1984.
Amihud, Y. “Exchange Rates and the Valuation of Equity Shares.” Illinois: Irvwin, 49-59, 1994.
Bartov, E. and G. M. Bodnar. “Firm Valuation, Earnings Expectations, and the Exchange-Rate Exposure Effects.” Journal of Financial, Vol.49, pp.1755-1785, 1994.
Bostock, Paul. “Expectations, outcomes and risk.” Journal of Asset Management, 5, 223-229, 2004.
Bowman Edward. “A Risk/Return Paradox for Strategic Management.” Sloan Management Review, 21, 17-22, 1980.
Cassell, Merrill. “Risk and Return.” Management Accounting, 77, 22-31, 1999.
Chan Kam, Seow, Gim, and Tam, Kinsum. “Foreign Exchange Risk and Firm Value: An Analysis of US Pharmaceutical Firms.” Managerial Finance, 28, 57-63, 2002.
Dominguez, K. M. E., Tesar, L. “A Reexamination of Exchange-Rate Exposure.” American Economic Review, 396-399, 2001.
Garner, C. K., Shapiro, A. C. “A Practical Method of Assessing Foreign
Exchange Risk.” Midland Corporate Finance Journal, 6-17, 1984.
George, Abraham. “Managing Foreign Exchange for Competitive Advantage.” Sloan Management Review, 32, 105-117, 1991.
Hill, C. International Business-Competing in the Global Markets. McGraw Hill, 2004 Edition.
Holton, Gyln A. “Perspectives-Defining Risk.” Financial Analysts Journal, 60, 19-25, 2004.
Jorion, P. “The Exchange Rate Exposure of U.S. Multinationals.” Journal of Business, 331-345, 1990.
Knight, F.H. (1921). Risk Uncertainty, and Profit.” Chicago: University of Chicago, 1971.
Massoud, Marc F, Raiborn, Cecily A. “Managing Risk in Global Operation.” The Journal of Corporate Accounting & Finance, 41-49, 1993.
Miles, R.E. and Snow, C. “Organizational Strategy, Structure, and Process.” New York: McGraw-Hill. 1978.
Miller, Kent “A Framework for integrated Risk Management in International Business.” Journal of International Business Studies, 311-331, 1992.
Miller, Kent “Economic Exposure and Integrated Risk Management,” Strategic Management Journal, 19, 497-514, 1998.
Miller, Kent and Jeffery J. Reuer, “Firm strategy and economic exposure to foreign exchange rate movements,” Journal of International Business Studies, 29, 493-514, 1998.
Pfeffer, J. and Salancik, G. “The External Control of Organizations: A Resource Dependence Perspective.” New York: Harper and Row. 1978.
Rotengerg, W. “Assessing Foreign Exchange Exposure: Theory and Applications Using Canadian Firms.” Journal of International Financial Management and Accounting, 1-22, 1990.
Shapiro, A.C. “Multinational Financial Management.” Boston, MA: Allyn & Bacon. 1992.
Schnabel, Jacques. “Real Exposure to Foreign Currency Risk.” Managerial Finance, 20, 69-77, 1994.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
92351047
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923510471
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 譚丹琪<br>郭炳伸zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Tan,Danchi<br>Kuo,Biing-Shenen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 吳彥臻zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wu,Jenny Yen-Chenen_US
dc.creator (作者) 吳彥臻zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wu,Jenny Yen-Chenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Sep-2009 17:13:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Sep-2009 17:13:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Sep-2009 17:13:15 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923510471en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30094-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92351047zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本篇論文從不同公司策略,以月資料來探討台灣532家上市公司在1999~2004年之公司對匯率風險曝露的敏感度,並以六十個月各上市公司股價報酬率為依變數,與台灣最大十五個貿易夥伴的匯率資料為自變數橫斷面資料,進行匯率風險對股價報酬關係之檢定。與之前實證研究不同之處是,本研究是利用多種貨幣模型來解釋各股價報酬,非只有一個貨幣當作唯一的指標。實證結果發現尚未加進大盤指數為控制變數時,只有0.93%受匯率風險暴露,反之,加進大盤指數之後,受到匯率風險的公司增加到88.2%。以公司策略及產業角度來看,結果顯示當公司外銷比例越大,此公司承受的經濟風險會越高。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The purpose of this empirical study is to investigate sensitivity of company values to fluctuation in foreign exchange rates. Distinguishing from the previous research, this study employs a multiple currency proxy model to estimate firm’s exposures instead of using a single currency model.
     
     The research sample includes all Taiwan listed firms’ data for the period from 1999 to 2004. The empirical evidence from Taiwan listed firms indicates that 85.3 to 88.2 percent of firms are exposed to foreign exchange rate movements when market return control variable is included in the regression. A small percentage of firms are exposed to the foreign exchange rate movements with exclusion of the control variable. Results from ordinary least square analyses reveal that export intensity increases economic exposure to fluctuation of foreign exchange rate.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Acknowledgement I
      Abstract III
     Chapter 1 Introduction 1
     Chapter 2 Literature Review
      2.1 What is Risk? 3
      2.2 Types of Risks, Uncertainties, Exposures 5
      2.3 Researches on Exchange Rate Risks 8
     Chapter 3 Hypothesis Development
      3.1 Framework 13
      3.2 Theories and Hypothesis 14
     Chapter 4 Methodology and Sample Selection
      4.1 Identification of Key Trading Partners 17
      4.2 Factor Analysis of Exchange Rate Data 18
      4.3 Economic Exposure Measurement Methodology 20
      4.4 Test of Hypothesis 23
     Chapter 5 Results
      5.1 Economic Exposure Measurement Results 25
      5.2 Hypothesis Testing Results 27
     Chapter 6 Conclusion
      6.1 Discussions 32
      6.2 Contribution and Data Limitation 33
      6.3 Implication of Strategic Management 34
      6.4 Extension of Research 35
     
      Reference 36
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923510471en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 匯率風險曝露zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 經濟風險因素分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 主成份分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Foreign Exchange Rate Exposureen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Economic Exposureen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Multiple Currency Modelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Principal Factor Analysisen_US
dc.title (題名) The Impact of Foreign Exchange Fluctuation on Taiwan Listed Firm Strategy and Economic Exposurezh_TW
dc.title (題名) 外匯波動對企業策略與經濟風險影響之研究-以台灣為例zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Adler, M., and Dumas, B. “Exposure to Currency Risks: Definition and Measurement.” Financial Management, Vol. 13, p.41-50, 1984.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Amihud, Y. “Exchange Rates and the Valuation of Equity Shares.” Illinois: Irvwin, 49-59, 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bartov, E. and G. M. Bodnar. “Firm Valuation, Earnings Expectations, and the Exchange-Rate Exposure Effects.” Journal of Financial, Vol.49, pp.1755-1785, 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bostock, Paul. “Expectations, outcomes and risk.” Journal of Asset Management, 5, 223-229, 2004.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bowman Edward. “A Risk/Return Paradox for Strategic Management.” Sloan Management Review, 21, 17-22, 1980.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cassell, Merrill. “Risk and Return.” Management Accounting, 77, 22-31, 1999.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chan Kam, Seow, Gim, and Tam, Kinsum. “Foreign Exchange Risk and Firm Value: An Analysis of US Pharmaceutical Firms.” Managerial Finance, 28, 57-63, 2002.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dominguez, K. M. E., Tesar, L. “A Reexamination of Exchange-Rate Exposure.” American Economic Review, 396-399, 2001.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Garner, C. K., Shapiro, A. C. “A Practical Method of Assessing Foreignzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Exchange Risk.” Midland Corporate Finance Journal, 6-17, 1984.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) George, Abraham. “Managing Foreign Exchange for Competitive Advantage.” Sloan Management Review, 32, 105-117, 1991.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hill, C. International Business-Competing in the Global Markets. McGraw Hill, 2004 Edition.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Holton, Gyln A. “Perspectives-Defining Risk.” Financial Analysts Journal, 60, 19-25, 2004.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jorion, P. “The Exchange Rate Exposure of U.S. Multinationals.” Journal of Business, 331-345, 1990.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Knight, F.H. (1921). Risk Uncertainty, and Profit.” Chicago: University of Chicago, 1971.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Massoud, Marc F, Raiborn, Cecily A. “Managing Risk in Global Operation.” The Journal of Corporate Accounting & Finance, 41-49, 1993.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Miles, R.E. and Snow, C. “Organizational Strategy, Structure, and Process.” New York: McGraw-Hill. 1978.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Miller, Kent “A Framework for integrated Risk Management in International Business.” Journal of International Business Studies, 311-331, 1992.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Miller, Kent “Economic Exposure and Integrated Risk Management,” Strategic Management Journal, 19, 497-514, 1998.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Miller, Kent and Jeffery J. Reuer, “Firm strategy and economic exposure to foreign exchange rate movements,” Journal of International Business Studies, 29, 493-514, 1998.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pfeffer, J. and Salancik, G. “The External Control of Organizations: A Resource Dependence Perspective.” New York: Harper and Row. 1978.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rotengerg, W. “Assessing Foreign Exchange Exposure: Theory and Applications Using Canadian Firms.” Journal of International Financial Management and Accounting, 1-22, 1990.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Shapiro, A.C. “Multinational Financial Management.” Boston, MA: Allyn & Bacon. 1992.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schnabel, Jacques. “Real Exposure to Foreign Currency Risk.” Managerial Finance, 20, 69-77, 1994.zh_TW