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題名 企業更名對分析師行為影響之研究
作者 尤愛齡
Yu,Ai Ling
貢獻者 金成隆
尤愛齡
Yu,Ai Ling
關鍵詞 公司改名
分析師行為
盈餘預測
盈餘成長率預測
跟隨人數
預測離散度
日期 2007
上傳時間 11-Sep-2009 17:29:52 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文以1999年至2006年間台灣改名公司為樣本(控制組),並以與改名公司相同產業、相同規模之非改名公司作配對樣本(對照組),透過兩者之比較以探討企業更名前後分析師行為之差異。本研究旨在檢驗改名事件日之前後60天(樣本期間為120天),分析師之盈餘預測、盈餘成長率預測及盈餘預測離散性之差異,另外也會對改名前後之分析師人數變動作檢測。為了探討樣本期間拉長而樣本數增加是否會影響檢測之情形,額外於第五章之敏感性分析作改名前後90天(樣本期間為180天),改名對於分析師行為影響之研究。另外,為比較不同類型的改名方式或條件不同的改名公司其改名事件對於分析師行為之影響,本文將改名的樣本公司依不同標準分成以下三類:第一種分類以新名稱是否有當紅產業字眼的變化作區分,第二種分類依新舊名稱之改變是否明顯且易於分辨而作大改名與小改名之區分,第三種分類方式則依新名稱是否與公司本業相符合作區分。
      研究結果發現,不論樣本期間為120天或180天,實證結果皆顯示,相對於非改名公司,分析師會向上修正改名公司之盈餘預測及盈餘成長率預測,惟120天之結果較180天更為顯著,推測可能原因為樣本期間拉長後,干擾預測變動的因素相對增加而使改名之影響減低。樣本期間120天之實證結果也顯示,若新名稱有當紅產業字眼者,則對事件日後分析師盈餘預測及盈餘成長率預測也有正向關係;屬於大改名者則對事件日後分析師盈餘預測有正向關係
This paper investigates the impact of corporate name changes on analysts’ behavior around the time of their announcement by analyzing listed Taiwanese companies that changed their name over the period January 1999 to December 2006. To make further investigations, we conduct separate analysis of firms having certain popular industry related new names versus non-popular industry related new names; of firms having ‘major’ versus ‘minor’ name changes; of firms having good versus poor connection between business and new names.
      Generally, we find some evidence of a significant positive association between the corporate name change event and the change of analysts’ behavior. The empirical results show that in contrast to non name change firms, analysts will revise up EPS and EPS growth forecast for name change firms. The results also suggest that analysts tend to revise up EPS and EPS growth forecast for firms having certain popular industry related new names. Furthermore, we also find a positive association between major name changes and analysts’ EPS forecast.
參考文獻 張元晨,2007,企業更名對股價影響之研究,國立政治大學財管系未發表論文。
黃 邦,2003,散戶投資人投資資訊來源使用之研究,中國文化大學新聞研究所碩士論文。
Abdel-Khali A. R., and B. B. Ajinkya. 1982. Returns to informational advantages: The case of analysts` forecast revisions. The Accounting Review 57(4): 661-680.
Anthony, J. H., and K. Ramesh. 1992. Association between accounting performance measures and stock prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics 15: 203-227.
Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6: 159-178.
Barron, O., and P. Stuerke. 1998. Dispersion in analysts’ earnings forecasts as a measure properties of analysts’ information environment. Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance 13: 243-268.
Barron, O. E., D. Byard, C. Kile, and E. J. Riedl. 2002. High-technology intangibles and analysts` forecasts. Journal of Accounting Research 40: 289-312.
Beaver, W. H. 1968. The information content of earnings. Journal of Accounting Research 6 ( Supplement): 67-92.
Beaver, W. H. 2002. Perspectives on recent capital market research. The Accounting Review Vol. 77, No.2: 453-474.
Bosch, Jean-Claude, and Mark Hirschey. 1989. The valuation effects of corporate name changes. Financial Management 18: 64-73.
Collins, W. A. and W. S. Hopwood. 1980. A multivariate analysis of annual earnings forecasts generated from quarterly forecasts of financial analysts and univariate times-series model. Journal of Accounting and Research 18: 390-406.
Cooper M. J., O. Dimitrov, and P. R. Rau. 2001. A rose.com by any other name. The journal of Finance LIV (6): 2371-2388.
Dechow, P. M., and R. G.. Sloan. 1997. Returns to contrarian investment strategies: Tests of naïve expectations hypotheses. Journal of Financial Economics 43 (January): 3-27.
Denis, D.K., J.J. McConnell, A.V. Ovtchinnikov, and Y. YU. 2003. S&P index additions and earnings expectations. The Journal of Finance 58 (5): 1821-1840.
Fama, E. 1991. Efficient capital market II. Journal of Finance 46: 1575-1617.
Huijgen, C., and A. Plantinga. 1999. Analysts’ earnings forecasts and international asset allocation. Unpublished working paper, University of Groningen.
Imhoff, E., and G. Lobo. 1984. Information content of analysts’ composite forecast revisions. Journal of Accounting Research 22 (2): 541-554.
John S. Howe. 1982. A rose by any other name? A note on corporate name changes. The Financial Review 17: 271-278.
Josev, T., A. Peker and R. Faff. 1999. The potential distorting effect of extreme observations in event studies: Australian corporate name changes as an illustrative case, Accounting, Accountability and Performance 5 (April):1-10.
Josev T., H. Chan, and R. Faff. 2004. What’s in a name? Evidence on corporate name changes from the Australian capital market. Pacific Accounting Review 16 (1): 57-75.
Karpoff, J. and G. Rankine. 1994, In search of a signaling effect: The wealth effects of corporate name changes. Journal of Banking and Finance 18: 1027-1045.
Kross, W., B. Ro, and D. Schroeder. 1990, Earnings expectation: The analysts’
information advantage. Accounting Review 65: 461-476.
Lys, T. and S. Sohn. 1990. The association between revisions of financial analysts’
earnings forecasts and security price changes. Journal of Accounting and Economics 13: 341-363.
O’Brien, P. 1988. Analysts’ forecasts as earnings expectations. Journal of Accounting and Economics 10 (January): 53-83.
Stickel, S.E. 1991. Common stock returns surrounding earnings forecast revisions: More puzzling evidence. The Accounting Review 66: 402-416.
Tadelis, S. 1999. What’s in a name? Reputation as a tradable asset. American Economic Review 89: 548-563.
Train John. 1980. The Money Masters. New York: Harper and Row.
Womack, K. 1996. Do brokerage analysts` recommendations have investment value?
Journal of Finance 51: 137-167.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
95353035
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095353035
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 金成隆zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 尤愛齡zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Yu,Ai Lingen_US
dc.creator (作者) 尤愛齡zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Yu,Ai Lingen_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Sep-2009 17:29:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Sep-2009 17:29:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Sep-2009 17:29:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0095353035en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30230-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95353035zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文以1999年至2006年間台灣改名公司為樣本(控制組),並以與改名公司相同產業、相同規模之非改名公司作配對樣本(對照組),透過兩者之比較以探討企業更名前後分析師行為之差異。本研究旨在檢驗改名事件日之前後60天(樣本期間為120天),分析師之盈餘預測、盈餘成長率預測及盈餘預測離散性之差異,另外也會對改名前後之分析師人數變動作檢測。為了探討樣本期間拉長而樣本數增加是否會影響檢測之情形,額外於第五章之敏感性分析作改名前後90天(樣本期間為180天),改名對於分析師行為影響之研究。另外,為比較不同類型的改名方式或條件不同的改名公司其改名事件對於分析師行為之影響,本文將改名的樣本公司依不同標準分成以下三類:第一種分類以新名稱是否有當紅產業字眼的變化作區分,第二種分類依新舊名稱之改變是否明顯且易於分辨而作大改名與小改名之區分,第三種分類方式則依新名稱是否與公司本業相符合作區分。
      研究結果發現,不論樣本期間為120天或180天,實證結果皆顯示,相對於非改名公司,分析師會向上修正改名公司之盈餘預測及盈餘成長率預測,惟120天之結果較180天更為顯著,推測可能原因為樣本期間拉長後,干擾預測變動的因素相對增加而使改名之影響減低。樣本期間120天之實證結果也顯示,若新名稱有當紅產業字眼者,則對事件日後分析師盈餘預測及盈餘成長率預測也有正向關係;屬於大改名者則對事件日後分析師盈餘預測有正向關係
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the impact of corporate name changes on analysts’ behavior around the time of their announcement by analyzing listed Taiwanese companies that changed their name over the period January 1999 to December 2006. To make further investigations, we conduct separate analysis of firms having certain popular industry related new names versus non-popular industry related new names; of firms having ‘major’ versus ‘minor’ name changes; of firms having good versus poor connection between business and new names.
      Generally, we find some evidence of a significant positive association between the corporate name change event and the change of analysts’ behavior. The empirical results show that in contrast to non name change firms, analysts will revise up EPS and EPS growth forecast for name change firms. The results also suggest that analysts tend to revise up EPS and EPS growth forecast for firms having certain popular industry related new names. Furthermore, we also find a positive association between major name changes and analysts’ EPS forecast.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
     第一節研究動機與目的 1
     第二節研究問題 3
     第三節 研究架構 4
     第二章 文獻探討 5
     第一節公司更名對股票報酬之影響 5
     第二節分析師行為對股票報酬之影響 7
     第三章 研究方法 8
     第一節 研究假說 8
     第二節 變數衡量及模式建立 11
     第三節 資料來源及選樣標準 17
     第四章 實證結果與分析 21
     第一節 樣本選取結果 21
     第二節 敘述性統計 24
     第三節 成對樣本T檢定 30
     第四節 相關係數分析 31
     第五節 複迴歸分析 35
     第五章 敏感性分析 45
     第六章 結論與建議 52
     第一節 結論 52
     第二節 研究限制 55
     第三節 未來研究之建議 56
     參考文獻 57
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095353035en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公司改名zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分析師行為zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘成長率預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 跟隨人數zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 預測離散度zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 企業更名對分析師行為影響之研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張元晨,2007,企業更名對股價影響之研究,國立政治大學財管系未發表論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃 邦,2003,散戶投資人投資資訊來源使用之研究,中國文化大學新聞研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abdel-Khali A. R., and B. B. Ajinkya. 1982. Returns to informational advantages: The case of analysts` forecast revisions. The Accounting Review 57(4): 661-680.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Anthony, J. H., and K. Ramesh. 1992. Association between accounting performance measures and stock prices. Journal of Accounting and Economics 15: 203-227.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6: 159-178.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barron, O., and P. Stuerke. 1998. Dispersion in analysts’ earnings forecasts as a measure properties of analysts’ information environment. Journal of Accounting, Auditing and Finance 13: 243-268.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barron, O. E., D. Byard, C. Kile, and E. J. Riedl. 2002. High-technology intangibles and analysts` forecasts. Journal of Accounting Research 40: 289-312.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. H. 1968. The information content of earnings. Journal of Accounting Research 6 ( Supplement): 67-92.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. H. 2002. Perspectives on recent capital market research. The Accounting Review Vol. 77, No.2: 453-474.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bosch, Jean-Claude, and Mark Hirschey. 1989. The valuation effects of corporate name changes. Financial Management 18: 64-73.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Collins, W. A. and W. S. Hopwood. 1980. A multivariate analysis of annual earnings forecasts generated from quarterly forecasts of financial analysts and univariate times-series model. Journal of Accounting and Research 18: 390-406.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cooper M. J., O. Dimitrov, and P. R. Rau. 2001. A rose.com by any other name. The journal of Finance LIV (6): 2371-2388.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dechow, P. M., and R. G.. Sloan. 1997. Returns to contrarian investment strategies: Tests of naïve expectations hypotheses. Journal of Financial Economics 43 (January): 3-27.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Denis, D.K., J.J. McConnell, A.V. Ovtchinnikov, and Y. YU. 2003. S&P index additions and earnings expectations. The Journal of Finance 58 (5): 1821-1840.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fama, E. 1991. Efficient capital market II. Journal of Finance 46: 1575-1617.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huijgen, C., and A. Plantinga. 1999. Analysts’ earnings forecasts and international asset allocation. Unpublished working paper, University of Groningen.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Imhoff, E., and G. Lobo. 1984. Information content of analysts’ composite forecast revisions. Journal of Accounting Research 22 (2): 541-554.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) John S. Howe. 1982. A rose by any other name? A note on corporate name changes. The Financial Review 17: 271-278.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Josev, T., A. Peker and R. Faff. 1999. The potential distorting effect of extreme observations in event studies: Australian corporate name changes as an illustrative case, Accounting, Accountability and Performance 5 (April):1-10.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Josev T., H. Chan, and R. Faff. 2004. What’s in a name? Evidence on corporate name changes from the Australian capital market. Pacific Accounting Review 16 (1): 57-75.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Karpoff, J. and G. Rankine. 1994, In search of a signaling effect: The wealth effects of corporate name changes. Journal of Banking and Finance 18: 1027-1045.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kross, W., B. Ro, and D. Schroeder. 1990, Earnings expectation: The analysts’zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) information advantage. Accounting Review 65: 461-476.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lys, T. and S. Sohn. 1990. The association between revisions of financial analysts’zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) earnings forecasts and security price changes. Journal of Accounting and Economics 13: 341-363.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) O’Brien, P. 1988. Analysts’ forecasts as earnings expectations. Journal of Accounting and Economics 10 (January): 53-83.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Stickel, S.E. 1991. Common stock returns surrounding earnings forecast revisions: More puzzling evidence. The Accounting Review 66: 402-416.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Tadelis, S. 1999. What’s in a name? Reputation as a tradable asset. American Economic Review 89: 548-563.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Train John. 1980. The Money Masters. New York: Harper and Row.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Womack, K. 1996. Do brokerage analysts` recommendations have investment value?zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Finance 51: 137-167.zh_TW