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題名 盈餘管理對企業信用評等變化影響之研究
作者 林佑真
Lin, Yu-Chen
貢獻者 汪泱若
Wang, Yang-Ruo
林佑真
Lin, Yu-Chen
關鍵詞 信用評等
盈餘管理
台灣企業信用風險指標
Credit rating
Earnings management
TCRI
日期 2004
上傳時間 11-Sep-2009 17:37:24 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究旨在探討企業盈餘管理行為對其信用評等之影響,以Ordered Probit Model,探討台灣上市櫃(包含興櫃)企業之盈餘管理行為,對台灣經濟新報社(TEJ)的台灣企業信用風險指標(Taiwan Corporate Credit Risk Index, 簡稱TCRI)是否造成影響,並進一步觀察其影響為何。
      本研究發現,企業之盈餘管理行會影響其信用評等,而且透過進一步之邊際影響分析,顯示企業盈餘管理對當期盈餘之影響,與信用評等之間存在著反向的關係,意味著,信用評等人員在使用財務報表,進行信用評等程序時,統計上會因為企業之盈餘管理行為而有處理上之差異;本研究另外發現就平均而言,盈餘增加(減少)之裁量性應計數影響TCRI下降機率的增加(減少)幅度,大於TCRI不變以及TCRI上升之機率變動幅度。
This study investigates the influence of earnings management on credit rating. Using Ordered Probit Model, this study tests whether earnings management of listed companies (emerging stock included) effects Taiwan Corporate Credit Risk Index (TCRI).
      This study finds that earnings management does affect credit rating. In addition, it suggests that earnings with income-increasing discretionary accruals have more opportunity for getting downgradings than earnings with income-decreasing discretionary accruals through analysis of marginal effects. That is, the credit analysts treat earnings management in a different way when rating companies.
      Moreover, this study also finds that the marginal effects of income-increasing discretionary accruals of increasing opportunity for getting downgradings are larger than the marginal effects of opportunity for getting unchanged and upgradings. Similarly, the marginal effects of income-decreasing discretionary accruals of decreasing opportunity for getting downgradings are larger than the marginal effects of opportunity for getting unchanged and upgradings.
參考文獻 王姿斐,2004,信用評等與盈餘管理之關聯性分析,國立東華大學國際經
濟研究所未出版碩士論文。
沈大白,陳漢沖與張嘉娥,2002,產業別倒帳機率效力檢驗-以TCRI為
例,貨幣觀測與信用評等,第37期(9月): 52-59。
林佳賢,2000,台灣信用評分系統之研究,國立中正大學企業管理研究所
未出版碩士論文。
涂登才、王淳玄與蔡天甲,2004,申請上櫃公司之盈餘管理行為與掛牌後
營運績效表現之研究(上),證券櫃檯月刊,第91期(1月): 47-59。
______、______與______,2004,申請上櫃公司之盈餘管理行為與掛牌後
營運績效表現之研究(下),證券櫃檯月刊,第92期(2月): 45-57。
曾炎裕,1996,上市公司信用評等與財務績效之研究-以食品、鋼鐵、電
earnings: a case for mandatory auditor rotation? The
Accounting Review 78 (July): 779-799.
Phillips, J., M. Pincus, and S. O. Rego. 2003. Earnings
management: new evidence based on deferred tax expense. The
Accounting Review 78 (April): 491-521.
Rangan, S. 1998. Earnings management and the performance of
seasoned equity offerings. Journal of Financial Economics
50 (October): 101-122.
Rayburn, J. 1986. The Association of operating cash flow and
accruals with security returns. Journal of Accounting
子資訊業為例,國立政治大學企業管理研究所未出版碩士論文。
Research 24 (Supplement): 112-137.
Sloan, R. G. 1996. Do stock prices fully reflect information in
accruals and cash flows about future earnings? The
Accounting Review 71 (July): 289-316.
Subramanyan, K. R. 1996. The pricing of discretionary accruals.
Journal of Accounting and Economics 22 (Aug.-Dec.): 249-281.
Teoh, S. H., I. Welch, and T. J. Wong. 1998. Earnings
management and the underperformance of seasoned equity
offerings. Journal of Financial Economics 50 (October): 63-
99.
陳育成與薛健宏,2002,我國產業風險乘數因子抵換關係之實證研究,台
Weinstein, M. 1977. The effect of a rating change announcement
on bond price. Journal of Financial Economics 5: 29-44.
West, R. 1973. Bond ratings, bond yields and financial
regulation: some findings. Journal of Law and Economics 16:
159-168.
Wilson, P. 1987. Incremental information content of the accrual
and funds components of earnings after controlling for
earnings. The Accounting Review 62 (April): 293-322.
Xie, H. 2001. The mispricing of abcdrmal accruals. The
Accounting Review 76 (July): 357-373.
灣管理學刊,第2卷,第2期(12月): 51-76。
Zaima, J. K., and J. McCarthy. 1988. The impact of bond rating
changes on common stocks and bonds: tests of the wealth
redistribution hypothesis. The Financial Review 23
(November): 483-498.
陳惠玲與蕭惠元,2004,TCRI定位、範圍及程序概述,貨幣觀測與信用評
等,第46期(3月): 4-12。
楊健源,2003,信用評等與企業價值關係之研究,國立中正大學企業管理
研究所未出版碩士論文。
戴欣怡,2000,新上市公司上市前之盈餘管理與上市後長期股票報酬之關
聯性研究,國立台灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
Aharony, J., C. Lin, and M. P. Loeb. 1993. Initial public
offerings, accounting choices, and earnings management.
Contemporary Accounting Research 10 (Fall): 61-81.
Barth, M., J. Elliot, and M. Finn. 1999. Market rewards
associated with patterns of increasing earnings. Journal of
Accounting Research 37 (Autumn): 387-413
Bartov, E., and P. Mohanram. 2004. Private information,
earnings manipulations, and executive stock-option
exercises. The Accounting Review 79 (October): 889-920.
Beneish, M. D., and M. E. Vargus. 2002. Insider trading,
earnings quality, and accrual mispricing. The Accounting
Review 77 (October): 755-791.
Brooks, R., R. W. Faff, D. Hillier, and J. Hillier. 2004. The
national market impact of sovereign rating changes. Journal
of Banking & Finance 28 (January): 233-250.
Collins, D. W., and P. Hribar. 2000. Earnings-based and accrual-
based market anomalies: one effect or two? Journal of
Accounting and Economics 29 (February): 101-123.
Das, S., and H. Zhang. 2003. Rounding-up in reported EPS,
behavioral thresholds, and earnings management. Journal of
Accounting and Economics 35 (April): 31-50.
Dechow, P. 1994. Accounting earnings and cash flows as measures
of firm performance: the role of accounting accruals.
Journal of Accounting and Economics 18 (July): 3-42.
_______, R. Sloan, and A. Sweeney. 1995. Detecting earnings
management. The Accounting Review 70 (April): 193-225.
_______, _______, and _______. 1996. Causes and consequences of
earnings manipulation: an analysis of firms subject to
enforcement actions by the SEC. Contemporary Accounting
Research 13 (Spring): 1-36.
DeFond, M. L., and C. W. Park. 2001. The reversal of abcdrmal
accruals and the market valuation of earnings surprises.
The Accounting Review 76 (July): 375-404.
Dichev, I. D., and J. D. Piotroski. 2001. The long-run stock
returns following bond ratings changes. The Journal of
Finance 56 (February): 173-203.
Ederington, L. H., J. B. Yawitz, and B. E. Roberts. 1987. The
information content of bond ratings. Journal of Financial
Research 10 (Fall): 211-226.
Friedlan, J. M. 1994. Accounting choices of issuers of initial
public offerings. Contemporary Accounting Research 11
(Summer): 1-31.
Goh, J. C., and L. H. Ederington. 1993. Is a bond rating
downgrade bad news, good news, or no news for stockholders?
Journal of Finance 48 (December): 2001-2008.
_______, and _______. 1999. Cross-sectional variation in the
stock market reaction to bond rating changes. The Quarterly
Review of Economics and Finance 39 (Spring): 101-112.
Griffin, P. A., and A. Z. Sanvicente. 1982. Common stock
returns and rating changes: a methodological comparison.
The Journal of Finance 37 (March): 103-119.
Guay, W., S. P. Kothari, and R. Watts. 1996. A market-based
evaluation of discretionary accrual models. Journal of
Accounting Research 34 (Supplement): 83-115.
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effect of bond rating agency announcements on bond and
stock prices. Journal of Finance 47 (June): 733-752.
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decisions. Journal of Accounting and Economics 7 (April):
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term of the auditor-client relationship and the quality of
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
92353021
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923530211
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 汪泱若zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Wang, Yang-Ruoen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林佑真zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lin, Yu-Chenen_US
dc.creator (作者) 林佑真zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lin, Yu-Chenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Sep-2009 17:37:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Sep-2009 17:37:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Sep-2009 17:37:24 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923530211en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30299-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92353021zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究旨在探討企業盈餘管理行為對其信用評等之影響,以Ordered Probit Model,探討台灣上市櫃(包含興櫃)企業之盈餘管理行為,對台灣經濟新報社(TEJ)的台灣企業信用風險指標(Taiwan Corporate Credit Risk Index, 簡稱TCRI)是否造成影響,並進一步觀察其影響為何。
      本研究發現,企業之盈餘管理行會影響其信用評等,而且透過進一步之邊際影響分析,顯示企業盈餘管理對當期盈餘之影響,與信用評等之間存在著反向的關係,意味著,信用評等人員在使用財務報表,進行信用評等程序時,統計上會因為企業之盈餘管理行為而有處理上之差異;本研究另外發現就平均而言,盈餘增加(減少)之裁量性應計數影響TCRI下降機率的增加(減少)幅度,大於TCRI不變以及TCRI上升之機率變動幅度。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This study investigates the influence of earnings management on credit rating. Using Ordered Probit Model, this study tests whether earnings management of listed companies (emerging stock included) effects Taiwan Corporate Credit Risk Index (TCRI).
      This study finds that earnings management does affect credit rating. In addition, it suggests that earnings with income-increasing discretionary accruals have more opportunity for getting downgradings than earnings with income-decreasing discretionary accruals through analysis of marginal effects. That is, the credit analysts treat earnings management in a different way when rating companies.
      Moreover, this study also finds that the marginal effects of income-increasing discretionary accruals of increasing opportunity for getting downgradings are larger than the marginal effects of opportunity for getting unchanged and upgradings. Similarly, the marginal effects of income-decreasing discretionary accruals of decreasing opportunity for getting downgradings are larger than the marginal effects of opportunity for getting unchanged and upgradings.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 表目錄.................................................II
     圖目錄.................................................II
     第一章 緒論.............................................1
      第一節 研究動機與目的..................................1
      第二節 研究問題........................................3
      第三節 研究架構........................................4
     第二章 文獻探討.........................................5
      第一節 信用評等相關文獻................................5
      第二節 TCRI之概述與相關文獻...........................12
      第三節 企業盈餘管理行為之相關文獻.....................22
     第三章 研究方法........................................30
      第一節 研究假說.......................................30
      第二節 變數衡量.......................................32
      第三節 資料來源與樣本選取.............................37
      第四節 迴歸模型.......................................38
     第四章 實證結果與分析..................................40
      第一節 敘述性統計.....................................40
      第二節 ORDERED PROBIT 迴歸模型........................48
      第三節 敏感性分析.....................................61
     第五章 研究結論與建議..................................64
      第一節 研究結論.......................................64
      第二節 研究限制與建議.................................66
     參考文獻...............................................68
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923530211en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 信用評等zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘管理zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣企業信用風險指標zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Credit ratingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earnings managementen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) TCRIen_US
dc.title (題名) 盈餘管理對企業信用評等變化影響之研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王姿斐,2004,信用評等與盈餘管理之關聯性分析,國立東華大學國際經zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 濟研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 沈大白,陳漢沖與張嘉娥,2002,產業別倒帳機率效力檢驗-以TCRI為zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 例,貨幣觀測與信用評等,第37期(9月): 52-59。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林佳賢,2000,台灣信用評分系統之研究,國立中正大學企業管理研究所zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 涂登才、王淳玄與蔡天甲,2004,申請上櫃公司之盈餘管理行為與掛牌後zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 營運績效表現之研究(上),證券櫃檯月刊,第91期(1月): 47-59。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ______、______與______,2004,申請上櫃公司之盈餘管理行為與掛牌後zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 營運績效表現之研究(下),證券櫃檯月刊,第92期(2月): 45-57。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 曾炎裕,1996,上市公司信用評等與財務績效之研究-以食品、鋼鐵、電zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) earnings: a case for mandatory auditor rotation? Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Accounting Review 78 (July): 779-799.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Phillips, J., M. Pincus, and S. O. Rego. 2003. Earningszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) management: new evidence based on deferred tax expense. Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Accounting Review 78 (April): 491-521.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rangan, S. 1998. Earnings management and the performance ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) seasoned equity offerings. Journal of Financial Economicszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 50 (October): 101-122.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rayburn, J. 1986. The Association of operating cash flow andzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) accruals with security returns. Journal of Accountingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 子資訊業為例,國立政治大學企業管理研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Research 24 (Supplement): 112-137.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sloan, R. G. 1996. Do stock prices fully reflect information inzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) accruals and cash flows about future earnings? Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Accounting Review 71 (July): 289-316.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Subramanyan, K. R. 1996. The pricing of discretionary accruals.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Accounting and Economics 22 (Aug.-Dec.): 249-281.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Teoh, S. H., I. Welch, and T. J. Wong. 1998. Earningszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) management and the underperformance of seasoned equityzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) offerings. Journal of Financial Economics 50 (October): 63-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳育成與薛健宏,2002,我國產業風險乘數因子抵換關係之實證研究,台zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Weinstein, M. 1977. The effect of a rating change announcementzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) on bond price. Journal of Financial Economics 5: 29-44.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) West, R. 1973. Bond ratings, bond yields and financialzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) regulation: some findings. Journal of Law and Economics 16:zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 159-168.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wilson, P. 1987. Incremental information content of the accrualzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) and funds components of earnings after controlling forzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) earnings. The Accounting Review 62 (April): 293-322.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Xie, H. 2001. The mispricing of abcdrmal accruals. Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Accounting Review 76 (July): 357-373.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 灣管理學刊,第2卷,第2期(12月): 51-76。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Zaima, J. K., and J. McCarthy. 1988. The impact of bond ratingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) changes on common stocks and bonds: tests of the wealthzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) redistribution hypothesis. The Financial Review 23zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) (November): 483-498.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳惠玲與蕭惠元,2004,TCRI定位、範圍及程序概述,貨幣觀測與信用評zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 等,第46期(3月): 4-12。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊健源,2003,信用評等與企業價值關係之研究,國立中正大學企業管理zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 戴欣怡,2000,新上市公司上市前之盈餘管理與上市後長期股票報酬之關zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 聯性研究,國立台灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Aharony, J., C. Lin, and M. P. Loeb. 1993. Initial publiczh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) offerings, accounting choices, and earnings management.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Contemporary Accounting Research 10 (Fall): 61-81.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barth, M., J. Elliot, and M. Finn. 1999. Market rewardszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) associated with patterns of increasing earnings. Journal ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Accounting Research 37 (Autumn): 387-413zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bartov, E., and P. Mohanram. 2004. Private information,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) earnings manipulations, and executive stock-optionzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) exercises. The Accounting Review 79 (October): 889-920.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beneish, M. D., and M. E. Vargus. 2002. Insider trading,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) earnings quality, and accrual mispricing. The Accountingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Review 77 (October): 755-791.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brooks, R., R. W. Faff, D. Hillier, and J. Hillier. 2004. Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) national market impact of sovereign rating changes. Journalzh_TW
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