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題名 PBV投資策略-以台灣50指數為實證研究
PBV investment strategy - emperical studies in Taiwan 50 index
作者 黃俊翔
Huang, Chun Hsiang
貢獻者 吳啟銘
Eric Wu
黃俊翔
Huang, Chun Hsiang
關鍵詞 相對評價法
股價淨值比
報酬率
relative valuation
price to equity
return
日期 2007
上傳時間 2009-09-14
摘要 本研究運用相對評價法中之PBV(Price to Book Ratio)乘數,進行橫斷面
     迴歸分析,判斷股價低估(undervalue)或高估(overvalue),並利用判斷結果進行投資組合部位建立。選取樣本利用台灣50 指數成分股排除公司規模之影響,而研究結果顯示,利用PBV 低估的股票進行多部位建立,在研究期間
     全期中,可以明顯超越市場報酬,但在空部位建立則無法超越市場報酬。
     研究中並發現,極端值對績效造成影響,其因素為金控及銀行類股與景氣
     循環股產業特性所致。
This research applied the multiple of the price to book value in the relative valuation to begin cross-section regression analysis and to evaluate if the stock price
     was overpriced or underpriced. The result can be used to develop the investment portfolios. This research used the constituents in Taiwan 50 Index as samples in order to avoid the size effect. During the whole period, we found that we could gain excess profit obviously and defeat the market return by utilizing those stocks underpriced in PBV to develop the long position. However, we could not defeat the market return by developing the short position. In the research, we also found that the extreme value could affect the investment return, which result mainly from both stocks of financial holding companies and banks and stocks of business cycle
     industries.
第壹章 緒論................p1
     第貳章 文獻探討.............p3
     第參章 研究方法.............p13
     第四章 實證結果與分析........p21
     第五章 結論與建議............p40
參考文獻 一、中文文獻
1. 王韻晴(2003),我國指數股票型基金上市後之績效分析,國立政治大
學,財務管理研究所碩士論文。
2. 王士維(2006),發光二極體封裝產業企業評價之研究,國立政治大學企
業管理研究所碩士論文。
3. 田玲菱(2004),指數股票型基金投資組合最適避險策略,國立政治大學
財務管理研究所碩士論文。
4. 吳啟銘(2001),企業評價-個案實證分析,台北市:智勝文化事業公司。
5. 林炯垚(1999),企業評價-投資銀行實務,台北市:禾豐企業發展文教
基金會。
6. 施純玉(1997),淨值市價比效果之探討,國立台灣大學財務金融學研究
所碩士論文。
7. 黃國彰(2007),各項選股指標於台灣股票市場的實用性探討--應用對象
與應用時機之研究,國立台灣大學國際企業研究所碩士論文。
8. 胡玉雪(1994),益本比、淨值/市價比及公司規模對股票報酬之影響—
相似無關迴歸法之應用,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。
9. 葛思惠、陳正斌(2001), ETF 在臺灣發行交易之可行性研究,臺灣證
券交易所。
10. 歐宏杰等(2003),臺灣50 指數ETF 投資實務,秀威資訊科技,台北市。
11. 蔡佳蓉(2001),公司淨值市價比的落後及偏差因素與其預測未來股東權
益報酬率能力之研究,國立成功大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
12. 謝劍平(1997),財務管理---新觀念與本土化。
二、英文文獻
1. Chan L., Y. Hamao and J. Lakonishok (1991), Fundamental and Stock Return
in Japan, Journal of Finance, pp.1739-1746.
2. Copeland, T., Koller, T., & Murrin, J. (1995), Valuation-Measuring and
managing the value of Companies , 2nd edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.
3. Damodaran, A. (2002), Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques for
Determining the Value of Any Asset , Second Edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.
4. Damodaran, A. (2006), Damodaran On Valuation 2E: Security Analysis For
Investment And Corporate Finance , NY:John Wiley & Sons.
5. Fairfield, P.M. (1994), P/E, P/B, and the Present Value of Future Dividends,
Financial Analysts Journal ,vol 50, pp. 23-31.
6. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (1992), The Cross-Section of Expected Stock
Returns, Journal of Finance, vol 47, pp. 427-466.
7. Fama E.F. and K. R French (1995), Size and Book-to-Market Factors in
Earnings and Returns, Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, Iss. 1, pp.131-155
8. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (2006), The Value Premium and the CAPM,
Journal of Finance, vol 61, pp. 2163-2185.
9. Johc C. H. (2006), Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 6th edition, New
Jersey, Prentice Hall, pp. 75-98.
10. Penman, S.H. (1996), The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios and
Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth, Journal of Accounting
Research, vol 34, pp. 235-259.
三、網路資料
1. 台灣證券交易所,http://www.tse.com.tw/
2. 寶來投信,http://www.tw50etf.com/
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
管理碩士學程(AMBA)
95362025
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095362025
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳啟銘zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Eric Wuen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 黃俊翔zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Huang, Chun Hsiangen_US
dc.creator (作者) 黃俊翔zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Huang, Chun Hsiangen_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2009-09-14-
dc.date.available 2009-09-14-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2009-09-14-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0095362025en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30845-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 管理碩士學程(AMBA)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95362025zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究運用相對評價法中之PBV(Price to Book Ratio)乘數,進行橫斷面
     迴歸分析,判斷股價低估(undervalue)或高估(overvalue),並利用判斷結果進行投資組合部位建立。選取樣本利用台灣50 指數成分股排除公司規模之影響,而研究結果顯示,利用PBV 低估的股票進行多部位建立,在研究期間
     全期中,可以明顯超越市場報酬,但在空部位建立則無法超越市場報酬。
     研究中並發現,極端值對績效造成影響,其因素為金控及銀行類股與景氣
     循環股產業特性所致。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This research applied the multiple of the price to book value in the relative valuation to begin cross-section regression analysis and to evaluate if the stock price
     was overpriced or underpriced. The result can be used to develop the investment portfolios. This research used the constituents in Taiwan 50 Index as samples in order to avoid the size effect. During the whole period, we found that we could gain excess profit obviously and defeat the market return by utilizing those stocks underpriced in PBV to develop the long position. However, we could not defeat the market return by developing the short position. In the research, we also found that the extreme value could affect the investment return, which result mainly from both stocks of financial holding companies and banks and stocks of business cycle
     industries.
en_US
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 第壹章 緒論................p1
     第貳章 文獻探討.............p3
     第參章 研究方法.............p13
     第四章 實證結果與分析........p21
     第五章 結論與建議............p40
-
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 緒論................p1
     第貳章 文獻探討.............p3
     第參章 研究方法.............p13
     第四章 實證結果與分析........p21
     第五章 結論與建議............p40
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095362025en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 相對評價法zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 股價淨值比zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 報酬率zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) relative valuationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) price to equityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) returnen_US
dc.title (題名) PBV投資策略-以台灣50指數為實證研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) PBV investment strategy - emperical studies in Taiwan 50 indexen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 王韻晴(2003),我國指數股票型基金上市後之績效分析,國立政治大zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 學,財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 王士維(2006),發光二極體封裝產業企業評價之研究,國立政治大學企zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. 田玲菱(2004),指數股票型基金投資組合最適避險策略,國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. 吳啟銘(2001),企業評價-個案實證分析,台北市:智勝文化事業公司。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. 林炯垚(1999),企業評價-投資銀行實務,台北市:禾豐企業發展文教zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 基金會。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. 施純玉(1997),淨值市價比效果之探討,國立台灣大學財務金融學研究zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. 黃國彰(2007),各項選股指標於台灣股票市場的實用性探討--應用對象zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 與應用時機之研究,國立台灣大學國際企業研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. 胡玉雪(1994),益本比、淨值/市價比及公司規模對股票報酬之影響—zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 相似無關迴歸法之應用,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. 葛思惠、陳正斌(2001), ETF 在臺灣發行交易之可行性研究,臺灣證zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 券交易所。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. 歐宏杰等(2003),臺灣50 指數ETF 投資實務,秀威資訊科技,台北市。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. 蔡佳蓉(2001),公司淨值市價比的落後及偏差因素與其預測未來股東權zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 益報酬率能力之研究,國立成功大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. 謝劍平(1997),財務管理---新觀念與本土化。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Chan L., Y. Hamao and J. Lakonishok (1991), Fundamental and Stock Returnzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) in Japan, Journal of Finance, pp.1739-1746.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Copeland, T., Koller, T., & Murrin, J. (1995), Valuation-Measuring andzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) managing the value of Companies , 2nd edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Damodaran, A. (2002), Investment Valuation: Tools and Techniques forzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Determining the Value of Any Asset , Second Edition, NY:John Wiley & Sons.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Damodaran, A. (2006), Damodaran On Valuation 2E: Security Analysis Forzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Investment And Corporate Finance , NY:John Wiley & Sons.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Fairfield, P.M. (1994), P/E, P/B, and the Present Value of Future Dividends,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Financial Analysts Journal ,vol 50, pp. 23-31.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (1992), The Cross-Section of Expected Stockzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Returns, Journal of Finance, vol 47, pp. 427-466.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Fama E.F. and K. R French (1995), Size and Book-to-Market Factors inzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Earnings and Returns, Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, Iss. 1, pp.131-155zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French (2006), The Value Premium and the CAPM,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Finance, vol 61, pp. 2163-2185.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Johc C. H. (2006), Options, Futures, and Other Derivatives, 6th edition, Newzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jersey, Prentice Hall, pp. 75-98.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Penman, S.H. (1996), The Articulation of Price-Earnings Ratios andzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Market-to-Book Ratios and the Evaluation of Growth, Journal of Accountingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Research, vol 34, pp. 235-259.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 三、網路資料zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 台灣證券交易所,http://www.tse.com.tw/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 寶來投信,http://www.tw50etf.com/zh_TW