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題名 銀行與壽險公司房屋借款提前清償差異之探討
作者 孫士育
貢獻者 姜堯民
孫士育
關鍵詞 提前清償之因素
結構性
結構性差異
日期 2003
上傳時間 2009-09-14
摘要 抵押貸款提前清償對金融機構及不動抵押擔保證券的投資人是一種風險,其會使得抵押擔保擔保證券的現金流量及存續期間的影響最不確定。國內在學術研究上,關於銀行與壽險公司在提前清償方面之比較的文獻仍是少數,因此,本論文主要是探討銀行與壽險公司之借款人抵押貸款提前清償的個別行為模式,進而比較兩行為模式的差異性,希望未來金融機構在評估不動產抵押擔保證券的價值時,必須考慮對不同的金融機構有不同的評估標準。
      本研究利用某銀行與某壽險公司的個人住宅抵押貸款資料,將資料分成個人條件、貸款契約條件、地區經濟三大面共十個變數,探討造成提前清償的可能因素及分析銀行與壽險公司在提前清償的行為有何不同,使用的計量方法為Logit模型、CHOW Test、及Testing for Structural Stability of Regression Model(Gujarati,1995),實證結果顯示,不管是銀行或壽險公司,性別、年齡、攤還期間、契約利率、貸款成數、屋齡對提前清償有一致的行為,其中契約利率對兩者尤其顯著;而所得、貸款金額、所在地則會因償還的對象而有不同的提前償還行為。
參考文獻 一、中文部分
1. 劉展宏與張金鶚,「購屋貸款提前清償行為之研究」,住宅學報, VOL. 10,No. 1,2001年,29-50。
2. 郭姿伶,「住宅貸款之提前償還與逾期還款」,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文,2000年。
3.黃文啟,「以LOGIT模型研究借款人特性與不動產抵押貸款提前清償之關係」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文,2001年。
4.陳俊廷,「兩岸保險業資金運用管理及加入WTO後影響之研究」,淡江大學大陸研究所碩士論文,2002年。
5.林左裕,不動產投資管理,智勝文化事業有限公司,2002年。
6.林晉堂,「台灣人壽保險業不動產擔保放款業務現況與改進之研究」,逢甲大學保險學系碩士班碩士論文,2003年。
二、英文部分
1. Archer , Wayne R. and David C. Ling and Gary A. McGill,1996,“The Effect of Income and Collateral Constraints on Residential Mortgage Termination, ”Regional Science and Urban Economics,Vol.26,235-261.
2.Archer, Wayne R. and David C. Ling and Gary A. McGill, 1997, “Demographic versus Option Driven Mortgage Termination, ”Journal of
House Economics,Vol.6, 137-163.
3.Bartholomew, Lynn, Jonathan Berk and Richard Roll, 1988,“Adjustable Rate Mortgage: prepayment Behavior, ”Housing Finance Review, 7.1 , 31-46.
4.Clauretie, Terrence M. and G. Stacy Sirmans, 1996, “Real Estate Finance-Theory and Practice, ”Prentice Hall Second Edition, pp.29-43, 232-267.
5. Cunningham, Donald F. and Charles A. Capone Jr., 1990, “The Relative Termination Experience of Adjustable to Fix-Rate Mortgage, ”The Journal of Finance, Vol. XLV, No.5, 1687-1703.
6. Canner, Glenn B. and Stuart A. Gabriel and J. Michael Woolley, 1990, “Race, Default Risk and Mortgage Lending: A Study of the FHA and Conventional Loan Markets, ”Southern Economic Journal, Vol.58, No.1, 249-262.
7. Chow, Gregory C. 1960,“Tests of Equity between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions, ” Econometrics, Vol.28, No.3, 591-605.
8. Deng, Yongheng and Charles A. Calhoun, January 1997, “A Dynamic Analysis of Adjustable and Fixed-Rate Mortgage Termination ,”Unpublished.
9. Follain, James R. and Louis O. Scott and T. L. Tyler Yang, 1992, “Microfoundations of a Mortgage Prepayment Function, ”Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol.5, 197-217.
10. Foster, Chester and Robert Van Order, 1984, “An Option-Based Model of Mortgage Default, ”Housing Finance Review 3(4), 351-372.
11. Green, Jerry and John B. Shoven, 1986, “The Effect of Interest Rate on Mortgage Prepayment, ”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol.18, No.1, 41-59.
12. Gujarati, Damodar N., 1995, “Basic Econometrics, ” 509-516.
13. Giliberto, Michael S and Thomas G. Thibodeau, 1989, “Modeling Conventional Residential Mortgage Refinancings, ”The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol.2, issue4, 285-99.
14. Hakim, Sam Ramsey, 1992,“Regional Diversity,Borrower Characteristics and Mortgage Prepayment, ”Review of Financial Economics,Vol.1,No.2,17-29.
15. Hosmer, G. S. and S. Lemeshow, 1989, “Applied Logistic Regression, ”New York: John Wiley&Sons, Inc.
16. Kau, James B., Donald C. Keenan, Walter J. Muller Ⅲ and James F. Epperson, 1992,“A Generalized Valuation Model for Fixed-Rate Residential Mortgages, ”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 24(3), 279-99.
17. LaCour-Little, Michael, 1999, “Another Look at the Role of Borrower Characteristics in Predicting Mortgage Prepayments, ”Journal of Housing Research, Vol.10, 45-60.
18. McFadden, D, 1973, “Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior, ”In P. Zarembka, editor, Frontiers of Econometrics. Academic Press.
19. Maddala, G.S., 1983, Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Economics.
20. Phillips, Richard A., Eric Rosenblatt and James H. Vanderhoff, 1996, “The Probability of Fixed- and Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Termination, ”Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 13,95-104.
21. Quigley, John M., 1987, “Interest Rate Variations, Mortgage Prepayments and Household Mobility, ”The Review of Economics and Statistics, 636-643.
22. Richard and Roll, 1989, “Pricing Mortgage-backed Securities and Collateralized Mortgage Obligations, ”Ivan Bandic, University of British Columbia.
23. VanderHoff, James, Fall, 1996,“Adjustable and Fixed Rate Mortgage Termination, Option Values and Local Market Conditions: An Empirical Analysis, ”Real Estate Economics 24(3), 379-96.
24. Zorn, Peter M. and Michael J. Lea, 1989, “Mortgage Borrower Repayment Behavior: A Microeconomic Analysis with Canadian Adjustable Rate Mortgage Date, ”AREUEA Journal 17(1), 118-136.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
87357017
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0087357017
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 姜堯民zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 孫士育zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 孫士育zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2009-09-14-
dc.date.available 2009-09-14-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2009-09-14-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0087357017en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/30955-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 87357017zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 抵押貸款提前清償對金融機構及不動抵押擔保證券的投資人是一種風險,其會使得抵押擔保擔保證券的現金流量及存續期間的影響最不確定。國內在學術研究上,關於銀行與壽險公司在提前清償方面之比較的文獻仍是少數,因此,本論文主要是探討銀行與壽險公司之借款人抵押貸款提前清償的個別行為模式,進而比較兩行為模式的差異性,希望未來金融機構在評估不動產抵押擔保證券的價值時,必須考慮對不同的金融機構有不同的評估標準。
      本研究利用某銀行與某壽險公司的個人住宅抵押貸款資料,將資料分成個人條件、貸款契約條件、地區經濟三大面共十個變數,探討造成提前清償的可能因素及分析銀行與壽險公司在提前清償的行為有何不同,使用的計量方法為Logit模型、CHOW Test、及Testing for Structural Stability of Regression Model(Gujarati,1995),實證結果顯示,不管是銀行或壽險公司,性別、年齡、攤還期間、契約利率、貸款成數、屋齡對提前清償有一致的行為,其中契約利率對兩者尤其顯著;而所得、貸款金額、所在地則會因償還的對象而有不同的提前償還行為。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
      第一節 研究背景 1
      第二節 研究目的 3
      第三節 研究架構 5
     第二章 理論探討 7
      第一節 提前清償的原因 7
      第二節 實務上常用之提前清償估計的方法 10
      第三節 金融機構不動產放款之差異性 13
     第三章 提前清償相關文獻回顧 22
     第四章 研究設計 29
      第一節 資料來源 29
      第二節 變數說明 29
      第三節 計量方法 34
     第五章 實證結果分析 49
      第一節 提前清實證結果分析 49
      第二節 結構分析(一) 59
      第三節 結構分析(二) 60
     第六章 結論與建議 64
     參考文獻 67
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0087357017en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 提前清償之因素zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 結構性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 結構性差異zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 銀行與壽險公司房屋借款提前清償差異之探討zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 劉展宏與張金鶚,「購屋貸款提前清償行為之研究」,住宅學報, VOL. 10,No. 1,2001年,29-50。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 郭姿伶,「住宅貸款之提前償還與逾期還款」,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文,2000年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3.黃文啟,「以LOGIT模型研究借款人特性與不動產抵押貸款提前清償之關係」,國立政治大學財務管理研究所碩士論文,2001年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4.陳俊廷,「兩岸保險業資金運用管理及加入WTO後影響之研究」,淡江大學大陸研究所碩士論文,2002年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5.林左裕,不動產投資管理,智勝文化事業有限公司,2002年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6.林晉堂,「台灣人壽保險業不動產擔保放款業務現況與改進之研究」,逢甲大學保險學系碩士班碩士論文,2003年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、英文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Archer , Wayne R. and David C. Ling and Gary A. McGill,1996,“The Effect of Income and Collateral Constraints on Residential Mortgage Termination, ”Regional Science and Urban Economics,Vol.26,235-261.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2.Archer, Wayne R. and David C. Ling and Gary A. McGill, 1997, “Demographic versus Option Driven Mortgage Termination, ”Journal ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) House Economics,Vol.6, 137-163.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3.Bartholomew, Lynn, Jonathan Berk and Richard Roll, 1988,“Adjustable Rate Mortgage: prepayment Behavior, ”Housing Finance Review, 7.1 , 31-46.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4.Clauretie, Terrence M. and G. Stacy Sirmans, 1996, “Real Estate Finance-Theory and Practice, ”Prentice Hall Second Edition, pp.29-43, 232-267.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Cunningham, Donald F. and Charles A. Capone Jr., 1990, “The Relative Termination Experience of Adjustable to Fix-Rate Mortgage, ”The Journal of Finance, Vol. XLV, No.5, 1687-1703.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Canner, Glenn B. and Stuart A. Gabriel and J. Michael Woolley, 1990, “Race, Default Risk and Mortgage Lending: A Study of the FHA and Conventional Loan Markets, ”Southern Economic Journal, Vol.58, No.1, 249-262.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Chow, Gregory C. 1960,“Tests of Equity between Sets of Coefficients in Two Linear Regressions, ” Econometrics, Vol.28, No.3, 591-605.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Deng, Yongheng and Charles A. Calhoun, January 1997, “A Dynamic Analysis of Adjustable and Fixed-Rate Mortgage Termination ,”Unpublished.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Follain, James R. and Louis O. Scott and T. L. Tyler Yang, 1992, “Microfoundations of a Mortgage Prepayment Function, ”Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol.5, 197-217.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Foster, Chester and Robert Van Order, 1984, “An Option-Based Model of Mortgage Default, ”Housing Finance Review 3(4), 351-372.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Green, Jerry and John B. Shoven, 1986, “The Effect of Interest Rate on Mortgage Prepayment, ”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking, Vol.18, No.1, 41-59.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Gujarati, Damodar N., 1995, “Basic Econometrics, ” 509-516.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Giliberto, Michael S and Thomas G. Thibodeau, 1989, “Modeling Conventional Residential Mortgage Refinancings, ”The Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, Vol.2, issue4, 285-99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Hakim, Sam Ramsey, 1992,“Regional Diversity,Borrower Characteristics and Mortgage Prepayment, ”Review of Financial Economics,Vol.1,No.2,17-29.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Hosmer, G. S. and S. Lemeshow, 1989, “Applied Logistic Regression, ”New York: John Wiley&Sons, Inc.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Kau, James B., Donald C. Keenan, Walter J. Muller Ⅲ and James F. Epperson, 1992,“A Generalized Valuation Model for Fixed-Rate Residential Mortgages, ”Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 24(3), 279-99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. LaCour-Little, Michael, 1999, “Another Look at the Role of Borrower Characteristics in Predicting Mortgage Prepayments, ”Journal of Housing Research, Vol.10, 45-60.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. McFadden, D, 1973, “Conditional Logit Analysis of Qualitative Choice Behavior, ”In P. Zarembka, editor, Frontiers of Econometrics. Academic Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Maddala, G.S., 1983, Limited-dependent and Qualitative Variables in Economics.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Phillips, Richard A., Eric Rosenblatt and James H. Vanderhoff, 1996, “The Probability of Fixed- and Adjustable-Rate Mortgage Termination, ”Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics 13,95-104.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Quigley, John M., 1987, “Interest Rate Variations, Mortgage Prepayments and Household Mobility, ”The Review of Economics and Statistics, 636-643.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Richard and Roll, 1989, “Pricing Mortgage-backed Securities and Collateralized Mortgage Obligations, ”Ivan Bandic, University of British Columbia.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. VanderHoff, James, Fall, 1996,“Adjustable and Fixed Rate Mortgage Termination, Option Values and Local Market Conditions: An Empirical Analysis, ”Real Estate Economics 24(3), 379-96.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Zorn, Peter M. and Michael J. Lea, 1989, “Mortgage Borrower Repayment Behavior: A Microeconomic Analysis with Canadian Adjustable Rate Mortgage Date, ”AREUEA Journal 17(1), 118-136.zh_TW