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題名 The Reaction of Bank Stock Prices to the Asian Financial crises
作者 張淑倩
貢獻者 張元晨
張淑倩
關鍵詞 foreign loan exposure
bank stock
Asian crises
日期 2004
上傳時間 14-Sep-2009 09:05:08 (UTC+8)
摘要 This paper investigates the reaction of US, European and Japanese bank stocks to economic and political news reports during the Asian Financial crisis period. I identify relevant events using key word searches during the crisis period and estimate their impact on the US, European and Japanese bank stock prices. The empirical evidence shows that adverse events in Asian countries affect most banks with exposure in these countries. However, it is seen that the exposed banks’ stock price reactions are not proportional to their loan exposure. The stock market still needs more accurate and public exposure disclosures from banks to formulate accurate reactions during the Asian financial crisis period.
參考文獻 [1] Basel Committee on Banking and Supervision. 2001. The New Basel Capital Accord, Bank for International Settlements, Basel.
[2] Boscaljon B. and Ho C. 2005. Information content of bank loan announcements to Asian corporations during periods of economic uncertainty. Journal of Banking and Finance 29, 369-389.
[3] Cornell, B. and Shapiro, A., 1986. The reaction of bank stock prices to the international debt crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance 10, 55–73.
[4] Crouzille C., Lepetit L. and Tarazi A. 2004. Bank stock volatility, news and asymmetric information in banking: an empirical investigation. Journal of Multinational Financial Management 14, 443-461.
[5] Dahiya S., Saunders A. and Srinivasan A. 2003. Financial distress and bank lending relationships. The Journal of Finance 58, 375-399.
[6] Del Negro M. and Kay S. J. 2002. Global banks, local crises: bad news from Argentina. Economic Review- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 87, 89-106.
[7] Elyasiani E. and Mansur I. 1998. Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model. Journal of Banking and Finance 22, 535-563.
[8] Flannery, M., 2001. The faces of market discipline. Journal of Financial Services Research 20, 107–119.
[9] Grammatikos, T. and Saunders A. 1990. Addition to bank loan-loss reserves: good news or bad news?, Journal of Monetary Economics 27, 315-354.
[10] Kaminsky G. and Rinhart C. 1999. Bank Lending and Contagion: Evidence from the Asian Crisis. NBER working paper.
[11] Kaminsky G. and Schmukler S. 1999. What triggers market jitters? A chronicle of the Asian crisis. Working paper. The World Bank, Washington, DC.
[12] Kho, Bong-Chan and Stulz, Ren□ M. 2000. “Banks, the IMF, and the Asian crisis”. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 8, 177-216.
[13] Kho, Bong-Chan, Lee, Dong and Stulz, Ren□ M. 2000. “U.S. banks, crises, and bailouts: from Mexico to LTCM”. Working paper.
[14] Lamy, R. E., Marr, W., and Tompson, G. R. 1986. The Mexican debt crisis, the IMF, and the efficiency of bank share prices, Studies in Banking and Finance3, 203-217.
[15] Lau, S. T. and McInish, T. H. 2003. IMF bailouts, contagion effects, and bank security returns. International Review of Financial Analysis 12, 3-23.
[16] Madura J, Tucker A, Zarruk E. 1992. Reaction of bank share prices to the Third-World debt reduction plan. Journal of Banking and Finance 16: 853–868.
[17] Madura J, Tucker A, Zarruk E. 1993. Market reaction to the thrift bailout. Journal of Banking and Finance 17: 591-608.
[18] Madura J, Tucker A. 1991. Information effects of First Republic Bank’s failure. Applied Financial Economics 1: 89-96.
[19] Musumeci, James J and Sinkey, Joseph F, Jr. 1990. The international debt crisis, investor contagion, and bank security returns in 1987: The Brazilian experience. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22, 209–220.
[20] Smirlock M, Kaufold H. 1987. Bank foreign lending, mandatory disclosure rules, and the reaction of bank stock prices to the Mexican debt crisis. Journal of Business 60: 347–364.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
92357011
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923570111
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張元晨zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張淑倩zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 張淑倩zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Sep-2009 09:05:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Sep-2009 09:05:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Sep-2009 09:05:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923570111en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/31026-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92357011zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper investigates the reaction of US, European and Japanese bank stocks to economic and political news reports during the Asian Financial crisis period. I identify relevant events using key word searches during the crisis period and estimate their impact on the US, European and Japanese bank stock prices. The empirical evidence shows that adverse events in Asian countries affect most banks with exposure in these countries. However, it is seen that the exposed banks’ stock price reactions are not proportional to their loan exposure. The stock market still needs more accurate and public exposure disclosures from banks to formulate accurate reactions during the Asian financial crisis period.zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents ABSTRACT 4
     LISTS OF TABLES 5
     1. INTRODUCTION 7
     2. LITERATURE REVIEW 9
     3. DATA DESCRIPTION AND RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 14
     3.1. DATA DESCRIPTION 14
     3.1.1. Stock Price Data 14
     3.1.2. The Exposed Banks and Independent Variables 14
     3.1.3. News Reports and IMF program 15
     3.2. HYPOTHESES 17
     3.3. METHODOLOGY 18
     3.3.1. Cross-sectional Regression approach 18
     3.3.2. Regression 19
     3.3.3. EGARCH-M Model 20
     4. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 22
     4.1. THE RESULTS OF CROSS-SECTIONAL REGRESSION METHODOLOGY 22
     4.2. THE RESULTS OF REGRESSION METHODOLOGY 33
     4.3. THE RESULTS OF EGARCH METHODOLOGY 50
     5. CONCLUSIONS 61
     APPENDIX A: THE SAMPLE BANKS USED IN THIS RESEARCH 68
     A-1: LIST OF US SAMPLE BANKS 68
     A-2: LIST OF JAPANESE SAMPLE BANKS 70
     A-3: LIST OF EUROPEN SAMPLE BANKS 72
     APPENDIX B: THE NEWS REPORTS 74
     B-1: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO HONG KONG’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 74
     B-2: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO INDONESIA’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 78
     B-3: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO JAPAN’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 84
     B-4: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO MALAYSIA’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 91
     B-5: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO PHILIPPINES’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 96
     B-6: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO SINGAPORE’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 98
     B-7: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO SOUTH KOREA’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 101
     B-8: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO TAIWAN’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 109
     B-9: NEWS REPORTS RELATED TO THAILAND’S FINANCIAL MARKETS DURING ASIAN CRISIS 111
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923570111en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) foreign loan exposureen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) bank stocken_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Asian crisesen_US
dc.title (題名) The Reaction of Bank Stock Prices to the Asian Financial criseszh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [1] Basel Committee on Banking and Supervision. 2001. The New Basel Capital Accord, Bank for International Settlements, Basel.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [2] Boscaljon B. and Ho C. 2005. Information content of bank loan announcements to Asian corporations during periods of economic uncertainty. Journal of Banking and Finance 29, 369-389.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [3] Cornell, B. and Shapiro, A., 1986. The reaction of bank stock prices to the international debt crisis. Journal of Banking and Finance 10, 55–73.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [4] Crouzille C., Lepetit L. and Tarazi A. 2004. Bank stock volatility, news and asymmetric information in banking: an empirical investigation. Journal of Multinational Financial Management 14, 443-461.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [5] Dahiya S., Saunders A. and Srinivasan A. 2003. Financial distress and bank lending relationships. The Journal of Finance 58, 375-399.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [6] Del Negro M. and Kay S. J. 2002. Global banks, local crises: bad news from Argentina. Economic Review- Federal Reserve Bank of Atlanta 87, 89-106.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [7] Elyasiani E. and Mansur I. 1998. Sensitivity of the bank stock returns distribution to changes in the level and volatility of interest rate: A GARCH-M model. Journal of Banking and Finance 22, 535-563.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [8] Flannery, M., 2001. The faces of market discipline. Journal of Financial Services Research 20, 107–119.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [9] Grammatikos, T. and Saunders A. 1990. Addition to bank loan-loss reserves: good news or bad news?, Journal of Monetary Economics 27, 315-354.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [10] Kaminsky G. and Rinhart C. 1999. Bank Lending and Contagion: Evidence from the Asian Crisis. NBER working paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [11] Kaminsky G. and Schmukler S. 1999. What triggers market jitters? A chronicle of the Asian crisis. Working paper. The World Bank, Washington, DC.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [12] Kho, Bong-Chan and Stulz, Ren□ M. 2000. “Banks, the IMF, and the Asian crisis”. Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 8, 177-216.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [13] Kho, Bong-Chan, Lee, Dong and Stulz, Ren□ M. 2000. “U.S. banks, crises, and bailouts: from Mexico to LTCM”. Working paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [14] Lamy, R. E., Marr, W., and Tompson, G. R. 1986. The Mexican debt crisis, the IMF, and the efficiency of bank share prices, Studies in Banking and Finance3, 203-217.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [15] Lau, S. T. and McInish, T. H. 2003. IMF bailouts, contagion effects, and bank security returns. International Review of Financial Analysis 12, 3-23.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [16] Madura J, Tucker A, Zarruk E. 1992. Reaction of bank share prices to the Third-World debt reduction plan. Journal of Banking and Finance 16: 853–868.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [17] Madura J, Tucker A, Zarruk E. 1993. Market reaction to the thrift bailout. Journal of Banking and Finance 17: 591-608.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [18] Madura J, Tucker A. 1991. Information effects of First Republic Bank’s failure. Applied Financial Economics 1: 89-96.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [19] Musumeci, James J and Sinkey, Joseph F, Jr. 1990. The international debt crisis, investor contagion, and bank security returns in 1987: The Brazilian experience. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 22, 209–220.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [20] Smirlock M, Kaufold H. 1987. Bank foreign lending, mandatory disclosure rules, and the reaction of bank stock prices to the Mexican debt crisis. Journal of Business 60: 347–364.zh_TW