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題名 Are There Differences Between Solicited and Unsolicited Bank Credit Ratings?
作者 張原榮
Justin Chang
貢獻者 張元晨
張原榮
Justin Chang
關鍵詞 信用評等
bank credit rating
unsolicited ratings
ordered probit
日期 2004
上傳時間 14-Sep-2009 09:05:19 (UTC+8)
摘要 The three big credit rating agencies released their unsolicited ratings since 1996 and all of these unsolicited ratings are given to banks in Asia, especially in the emerging markets. This study aims to test whether there are differences between solicited and unsolicited bank ratings. We compare the financial profiles of solicited and unsolicited banks and investigate the factors that influence banks’ credit ratings.
      The empirical results show that unsolicited bank ratings are significantly lower than solicited ratings. It is seen that the financial variables of banks with solicited ratings are also better than those with unsolicited ratings. However, the profitability of banks with solicited ratings is significantly lower than those with unsolicited ratings. We see that listed and commercial banks tend to have lower credit ratings and it could be due to the fact that listed banks may face the volatility of their short-term stock prices, so their operating strategies are influenced by market noise, which leads to inferior performance. The reason why commercial banks tend to have lower credit ratings is that commercial banks face so fierce competition that their profitability is compressed.
      In the last section, we use an ordered probit model to examine the determinants of Fitch’s rating. We find that sovereign credit risk, solicited status, listed status, bank specialization, profitability and asset quality are the major factors influencing Fitch’s bank credit ratings.
參考文獻 1. Altman, E.I., R.B. Avery, R.A. Eisenbeis, and J.F. Sinkey, 1981, Application of Classification Techniques in Business, Banking and Finance, JAI Press, Greenwich, Connecticut.
2. Adams C., D. J. Mathieson, and G. Schinasi, 1999, International Capital Markets Developments, Prospects, and Key Policy Issue, Chapter V.
3. Beattie V., and S. Searle, 1992, “Credit Rating Agencies: The Relationship between Rater Agreement and Issuer/Rater Characteristics”, Journal of International Securities Markets, winter, 371-375.
4. Byoun S., and Y.S. Shin, 2003, Unsolicited Credit Ratings: Theory and Empirical Analysis, Journal of Financial Economics, 2002-465.
5. Cantor, R., and F. Packer, 1997, Differences of Opinion and Selection Bias in the Credit Rating Industry, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045, USA.
6. Cantor R., and F. Packer, 1996, Multiple Ratings and Credit Standards: Differences of Opinion in the Credit Rating Industry, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, No.12.
7. Cantor R., F. Packer, and K. Cole, 1997, Split Ratings and the Pricing of Credit Risk, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Research Paper No.9711
8. Ederington L.H., J.B. Yawitz, and B.E. Roberts, 1987, The Information Content of Bond Ratings, The Journal of Financial Research 10(3), 211-226.
9. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, Bank Rating Methodology, May.
10. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001a, Fitch Introduces Shadow Individual Ratings, Financial Institutions Special Report, June 22.
11. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, Ratings Delivery Service, December.
12. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001, Fitch Simplifies Bank Rating Scales, April.
13. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2002, National Ratings: Methodology Update, Sep.
14. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, retrieved from http://www.fitchratings.com.
15. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001, Rating Banks above the Local Currency Sovereign Rating, Financial Institutions Special Report.
16. Gan Y.H., 2004, Why Do Firms Pay for Bond Ratings When They Can Get Them for Free?, Job Market Paper.
17. Güttler A., 2003, Using A Bootstrap Approach to Rate the Raters, Goethe University Frankfurt, Finance Department.
18. Güttler A., A. Paveleanu, and P. Behr, 2004, Further Evidence on the Downward Bias of Unsolicited Ratings, Goethe University Frankfurt, Finance Department.
19. Heckman, J.J, 1979, Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error. Econometrica 47 (1), 153-161.
20. Hill C.A., 2004, Regulating the Rating Agencies, Washington University Law Quarterly Vol 82; 43.
21. Horrigan, J.O., 1966, The Determinants of Long-term Credit Standing with Financial Ratios, Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research, 44-62.
22. Kaplan, R.S., G. Urwitz, 1979, Statistical Models of Bond Ratings: A Methodological Inquiry. Journal of Business 52 (2), 231-261.
23. Kliger D. and O. Sarig, 2000, The Information Value of Bond Ratings, The Journal of Finance, Vol. LV, NO. 6.
24. Poon, W.P.H. (2003), “Are Unsolicited Credit Ratings Biased Downward?”, Journal of Banking and Finance, April, pp. 593-614.
25. Poon, W.P.H. and M. Firth (2004), “Are Unsolicited Bank Ratings Lower? Preliminary Evidence from Fitch’s Bank Individual Ratings”, working paper.
26. Pottier, S.W., and D.W. Sommer, 1999, Property-Liability Insurer Financial Strength Ratings: Differences Across Rating Agencies, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 66, No. 4, 621-642
27. White L.J., The Credit Rating Industry: An Industrial Organization Analysis, 2001, the Conference on "The Role of Credit Reporting Systems in the International Economy" at the World Bank
28. Smith R.C., and I. Walter, 2001, Rating Agencies: Is There an Agency Issue? Stern School of Business, New York University.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
92357016
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923570161
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張元晨zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張原榮zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Justin Changen_US
dc.creator (作者) 張原榮zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Justin Changen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 14-Sep-2009 09:05:19 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 14-Sep-2009 09:05:19 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 14-Sep-2009 09:05:19 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923570161en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/31027-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92357016zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The three big credit rating agencies released their unsolicited ratings since 1996 and all of these unsolicited ratings are given to banks in Asia, especially in the emerging markets. This study aims to test whether there are differences between solicited and unsolicited bank ratings. We compare the financial profiles of solicited and unsolicited banks and investigate the factors that influence banks’ credit ratings.
      The empirical results show that unsolicited bank ratings are significantly lower than solicited ratings. It is seen that the financial variables of banks with solicited ratings are also better than those with unsolicited ratings. However, the profitability of banks with solicited ratings is significantly lower than those with unsolicited ratings. We see that listed and commercial banks tend to have lower credit ratings and it could be due to the fact that listed banks may face the volatility of their short-term stock prices, so their operating strategies are influenced by market noise, which leads to inferior performance. The reason why commercial banks tend to have lower credit ratings is that commercial banks face so fierce competition that their profitability is compressed.
      In the last section, we use an ordered probit model to examine the determinants of Fitch’s rating. We find that sovereign credit risk, solicited status, listed status, bank specialization, profitability and asset quality are the major factors influencing Fitch’s bank credit ratings.
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents ABSTRACT 4
     LIST OF TABLES AND FIGURES 5
     1. INTRODUCTION 6
     2. THE CREDIT RATING AGENCIES 8
     2.1 BACKGROUND KNOWLEDGE 8
     2.2 THE FEWNESS OF CREDIT RATING AGENCIES 10
     2.3 THE RATING PROCESS 11
     3. LITERATURE REVIEW 12
     3.1 LITERATURE ON BOND RATINGS 12
     3.2 LITERATURE ON COMPARISON OF RATINGS AMONG DIFFERENT RATING AGENCIES 13
     3.3 LITERATURE OF UNSOLICITED RATINGS 15
     4.HYPOTHESES 18
     5. DATA DESCRIPTION & RESEARCH METHODOLOGY 20
     5.1 DATA AND RESEARCH PERIOD 20
     5.2 DEFINITION OF VARIABLES 21
     5.2.1 FITCH’S BANK INDIVIDUAL RATINGS (FIRS) 21
     5.2.2 BANKS’ FINANCIAL VARIABLES 22
     5.2.3 INDEPENDENCE INDICATOR 23
     5.2.4 BANK SPECIALIZATION 24
     5.3 METHODOLOGY 24
     5.3.1 MANN-WHITNEY TEST 24
     5.3.2 T-TEST 25
     5.3.3 ORDERED PROBIT MODEL 26
     6. EMPIRICAL RESULTS 28
     6.1 DESCRIPTIVE STATISTICS 28
     6.2 RESULTS OF MANN WHITNEY TEST AND T-TEST 33
     6.3 RESULTS OF OTHER HYPOTHESES 35
     6.3.1 TEST OF LISTED STATUS 35
     6.3.2 TEST OF BANK INDEPENDENCE INDICATOR 36
     6.3.3 TEST OF BANK SPECIALIZATION 37
     6.4 ORDERED PROBIT MODEL RESULTS 38
     7.CONCLUSIONS 39
     7.1 SUMMARY AND CONCLUSIONS 39
     7.2 SUGGESTIONS FOR FUTURE RESEARCH 40
     REFERENCES 41
     APPENDIX 44
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923570161en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 信用評等zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) bank credit ratingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) unsolicited ratingsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) ordered probiten_US
dc.title (題名) Are There Differences Between Solicited and Unsolicited Bank Credit Ratings?zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Altman, E.I., R.B. Avery, R.A. Eisenbeis, and J.F. Sinkey, 1981, Application of Classification Techniques in Business, Banking and Finance, JAI Press, Greenwich, Connecticut.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Adams C., D. J. Mathieson, and G. Schinasi, 1999, International Capital Markets Developments, Prospects, and Key Policy Issue, Chapter V.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Beattie V., and S. Searle, 1992, “Credit Rating Agencies: The Relationship between Rater Agreement and Issuer/Rater Characteristics”, Journal of International Securities Markets, winter, 371-375.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Byoun S., and Y.S. Shin, 2003, Unsolicited Credit Ratings: Theory and Empirical Analysis, Journal of Financial Economics, 2002-465.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Cantor, R., and F. Packer, 1997, Differences of Opinion and Selection Bias in the Credit Rating Industry, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, 33 Liberty Street, New York, NY 10045, USA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Cantor R., and F. Packer, 1996, Multiple Ratings and Credit Standards: Differences of Opinion in the Credit Rating Industry, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Staff Reports, No.12.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Cantor R., F. Packer, and K. Cole, 1997, Split Ratings and the Pricing of Credit Risk, Federal Reserve Bank of New York, Research Paper No.9711zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Ederington L.H., J.B. Yawitz, and B.E. Roberts, 1987, The Information Content of Bond Ratings, The Journal of Financial Research 10(3), 211-226.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, Bank Rating Methodology, May.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001a, Fitch Introduces Shadow Individual Ratings, Financial Institutions Special Report, June 22.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, Ratings Delivery Service, December.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001, Fitch Simplifies Bank Rating Scales, April.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2002, National Ratings: Methodology Update, Sep.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2004, retrieved from http://www.fitchratings.com.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Fitch Ratings Ltd. (Fitch), 2001, Rating Banks above the Local Currency Sovereign Rating, Financial Institutions Special Report.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Gan Y.H., 2004, Why Do Firms Pay for Bond Ratings When They Can Get Them for Free?, Job Market Paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Güttler A., 2003, Using A Bootstrap Approach to Rate the Raters, Goethe University Frankfurt, Finance Department.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Güttler A., A. Paveleanu, and P. Behr, 2004, Further Evidence on the Downward Bias of Unsolicited Ratings, Goethe University Frankfurt, Finance Department.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Heckman, J.J, 1979, Sample Selection Bias as a Specification Error. Econometrica 47 (1), 153-161.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Hill C.A., 2004, Regulating the Rating Agencies, Washington University Law Quarterly Vol 82; 43.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Horrigan, J.O., 1966, The Determinants of Long-term Credit Standing with Financial Ratios, Empirical Research in Accounting: Selected Studies, Supplement to Journal of Accounting Research, 44-62.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Kaplan, R.S., G. Urwitz, 1979, Statistical Models of Bond Ratings: A Methodological Inquiry. Journal of Business 52 (2), 231-261.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Kliger D. and O. Sarig, 2000, The Information Value of Bond Ratings, The Journal of Finance, Vol. LV, NO. 6.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Poon, W.P.H. (2003), “Are Unsolicited Credit Ratings Biased Downward?”, Journal of Banking and Finance, April, pp. 593-614.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Poon, W.P.H. and M. Firth (2004), “Are Unsolicited Bank Ratings Lower? Preliminary Evidence from Fitch’s Bank Individual Ratings”, working paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Pottier, S.W., and D.W. Sommer, 1999, Property-Liability Insurer Financial Strength Ratings: Differences Across Rating Agencies, The Journal of Risk and Insurance, Vol. 66, No. 4, 621-642zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. White L.J., The Credit Rating Industry: An Industrial Organization Analysis, 2001, the Conference on "The Role of Credit Reporting Systems in the International Economy" at the World Bankzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 28. Smith R.C., and I. Walter, 2001, Rating Agencies: Is There an Agency Issue? Stern School of Business, New York University.zh_TW