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題名 理性選擇理論與國際安全研究
作者 宋蕙吟
Sung,Hui-Yin
貢獻者 姜家雄
宋蕙吟
Sung,Hui-Yin
關鍵詞 理性選擇理論
國際安全研究
賽局理論
嚇阻理論
展望理論
日期 2003
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 17:51:59 (UTC+8)
摘要 理性選擇理論是第二次世界大戰後國際關係研究一個主要的研究途徑，在當代國際關係理論的爭辯中扮演了概念釐清的角色，並且增進了對無政府狀態內涵與國際合作可能性的理解。國際安全研究中，理性選擇以嚇阻理論為主要研究議題，針對核武嚇阻、傳統武器嚇阻、流氓國家與恐怖份子嚇阻等重要議題，無論是理論建構或實證研究皆有豐富的研究成果。在1980年代，形式化(formal))的理性選擇作為一種國際關係研究途徑成為一時顯學，與傳統國際關係主要研究途徑如歷史分析、文化研究、政治心理學等並駕齊驅，甚或有超越之勢；直至1990年代末期，理性選擇面臨強烈的質疑，進而引發了批評者與辯護者對於理性假設與方法論的爭辯。值得注意的是，自1990年以來，認知科學中的「展望理論」開始跨足至國際關係研究，試圖從行為者如何處理與詮釋訊息的角度來解釋國際政治行為與結果，對理性選擇的假設作了些許修正與補充，兩者的在未來的結合將有助於國際關係研究的發展。
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周湘華。〈從博奕理論看1941年美日諒解案的安全困境〉。《淡江史學》，第12期，民國90年12月，頁209-228。
莫大華。〈國際關係理論大辯論研究的評析〉。《問題與研究》，第39卷第12期，民國89年12月，頁65-90。
謝復生。〈理性抉擇的回顧與前瞻〉。《政治學報》，第31期，民國89年12月，
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（三）、碩博士論文
黃玲媚。〈理性選擇論與外交決策分析〉。國立政治大學外交系，碩士論文，民國76年6月。
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交研究所
90253007
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0902530071
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 姜家雄zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 宋蕙吟zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Sung,Hui-Yinen_US
dc.creator (作者) 宋蕙吟zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Sung,Hui-Yinen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 17:51:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 17:51:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 17:51:59 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0902530071en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33682-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 外交研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 90253007zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 理性選擇理論是第二次世界大戰後國際關係研究一個主要的研究途徑，在當代國際關係理論的爭辯中扮演了概念釐清的角色，並且增進了對無政府狀態內涵與國際合作可能性的理解。國際安全研究中，理性選擇以嚇阻理論為主要研究議題，針對核武嚇阻、傳統武器嚇阻、流氓國家與恐怖份子嚇阻等重要議題，無論是理論建構或實證研究皆有豐富的研究成果。在1980年代，形式化(formal))的理性選擇作為一種國際關係研究途徑成為一時顯學，與傳統國際關係主要研究途徑如歷史分析、文化研究、政治心理學等並駕齊驅，甚或有超越之勢；直至1990年代末期，理性選擇面臨強烈的質疑，進而引發了批評者與辯護者對於理性假設與方法論的爭辯。值得注意的是，自1990年以來，認知科學中的「展望理論」開始跨足至國際關係研究，試圖從行為者如何處理與詮釋訊息的角度來解釋國際政治行為與結果，對理性選擇的假設作了些許修正與補充，兩者的在未來的結合將有助於國際關係研究的發展。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論…………………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究動機與研究目的………………………………………………1
第二節 文獻探討……………………………………………………………5
第三節 研究範圍與研究限制………………………………………………9
第四節 研究方法與章節安排………………………………………………10

第二章 當代理性選擇的發展……………………………………………14
第一節 當代理性選擇之起源………………………………………………14
第二節 理性選擇與政治學研究……………………………………………20
第三節 理性選擇與國際安全研究…………………………………………28
小結……………………………………………………………………………37

第三章 理性選擇的內涵……………………………………………………40
第一節 實證主義與理性選擇……………………………………………40
第二節 理性選擇的理性假設……………………………………………51
第三節 賽局理論…………………………………………………………57
小結……………………………………………………………………………64

第四章 理性選擇與嚇阻理論………………………………………………66
第一節 理性選擇對嚇阻理論之建構…..…………………………………67
第二節 核子武器嚇阻………………………………………………………72
第三節 傳統武器嚇阻………………………………………………………79
第四節 流氓國家、恐怖主義之嚇阻……………………………………83
小結……………………………………………………………………………86

第五章 理性選擇的批判與辯護……………………………………………88
第一節 美國政治學關於理性選擇之辯論…………………………………88
第二節 嚇阻理論與國際安全研究關於理性選擇之辯論…………………94
第三節 理性選擇擁護者與批判者觀點之比較…………………………104
小結…………………………………………………………………………107

第六章 結論………………………………………………………………110
第一節 研究發現…………………………………………………………110
第二節 展望理論對理性選擇的修正與擴充……………………………114
參考文獻……………………………………………………………………121

圖表目錄

圖目錄
圖1-1 論文架構圖…………………………………………………………12
圖2-1 國際安全研究議題之演變…………………………………………33
圖3-1 Carl Hempel科學說明面向概念圖…………………………………43
圖3-2 人類行為的分類……………………………………………………56
圖3-3 欲求、信念與行動關係圖…………………………………………56
圖4-1 理性嚇阻理論之建構………………………………………………70

表目錄
表2-1 三個理性選擇學派之比較…………………………………………24
表3-1 賽局的分類及其對應的均衡概念…………………………………62
表3-2 囚徒困境賽局正規式………………………………………………63
表3-3 小雞賽局正規式……………………………………………………63		zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0902530071en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 理性選擇理論zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國際安全研究zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 賽局理論zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 嚇阻理論zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 展望理論zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 理性選擇理論與國際安全研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) （三）博碩士論文zh_TW
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dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) （四）、研討會論文zh_TW
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dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) （六）、報章雜誌zh_TW
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