| dc.contributor.advisor | 李登科 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Lee, Deng-ker | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 張力夫 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Chang, Li-fu | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 張力夫 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Chang, Li-fu | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2005 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0922530111 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33696 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 外交研究所 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 92253011 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 94 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 伊朗伊斯蘭共和國為中東地區主要國家之一。自1957年與美國合作發展核能以來，除了在柯梅尼政權初期曾短暫中斷外，歷任的領導人皆大力支持核科技的發展。從近年來的發現，顯示伊朗正在持續進行某些秘密的核計畫，使得國際憂心伊朗可能有發展核武的意圖。一旦伊朗擁有核武，將對國際安全產生重大衝擊。 本文分析的重點，在於伊朗發展核科技的背景、動機、經過，還有各國對伊朗核計畫的態度，以及伊朗核武化之後對國際安全的衝擊。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | The Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the major powers in the Middle East. Since 1957, when nuclear energy program received technical assistance from the U.S., its successive leaders have eagerly pursued the policy for developing nuclear technology. The only exception took place during the early years of the Ayatollah Khomeni government when all nuclear program was temporarily suspended. Recent disclosures show that Iran has been conducting several covert nuclear programs, which is considered by the international community as a possible step toward nuclear weapons. This thesis first analyzes the background of Iran’s nuclear development, its motives, and the evolution of its nuclear development. The U.S., Russia, the PRC, and other related powers’ attitude toward Iran’s nuclear programs will be analyzed latter. Once Iran gets nuclear weapons, its impact on the security in the Middle East as well as on the nuclear non-proliferation regime will also be examined finally. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 導論-------------------------------------05 第一節 研究動機與研究目的-------------------------05 第二節 研究方法----------------------------------08 第三節 章節安排----------------------------------09 第四節 資料來源與研究限制-------------------------10 第二章 伊朗發展核科技之背景與經過------------------13 第一節 巴勒維國王時期(1957-79)--------------------13 第二節 柯梅尼政權時期(1979-89)--------------------17 第三節 拉夫桑亞尼政府時期(1989-97)-----------------22 第四節 哈塔米政府時期(1997-2005)-------------------30 第五節 阿赫馬迪內賈德政府時期(2005-2006.06)---------42 第六節 小結---------------------------------------50 第三章 伊朗核科技發展情況---------------------------53 第一節 製造核武之關鍵科技---------------------------53 第二節 伊朗核子設施分布概況-------------------------55 第三節 伊朗重要核子研究中心與核子設施----------------56 第四節 伊朗輸入之核子設備---------------------------67 第五節 小結---------------------------------------70 第四章 伊朗發展核武科技與核武防擴散機制---------------72 第一節 核武防擴散條約-------------------------------72 第二節 國際原子能總署-------------------------------73 第三節 聯合國安理會---------------------------------76 第四節 伊朗發展核武對核武非擴散機制之影響--------------78 第五節 小結----------------------------------------80 第五章 相關重要國家對伊朗發展核科技之立場與政策---------82 第一節 美國-----------------------------------------82 第二節 俄羅斯與中國----------------------------------88 第三節 印度、巴基斯坦與以色列-------------------------93 第四節 歐盟-----------------------------------------100 第五節 小結-----------------------------------------102 第六章 伊朗發展核科技對國際安全之影響-------------------104 第一節 對波斯灣地區安全之影響--------------------------104 第二節 對以阿衝突之影響-------------------------------110 第三節 對大國關係之影響-------------------------------111 第四節 小結-----------------------------------------118 第七章 結論-----------------------------------------119 參考書目---------------------------------------------122 圖表頁次對照表1-1、伊朗伊斯蘭共和國位置圖.....................07表2-1、伊朗秘密研發製造離心機設施圖................37表2-2、伊朗2005年總統大選第二輪選舉結果............43表3-1、伊朗導彈概況..............................54表3-2、伊朗核子計畫分布圖.........................56表3-3、阿拉克重水反應爐位置圖(2002.09.26拍攝)......57表3-4、阿拉克鈽反應爐(2005.02.27拍攝).............58表3-5、伊朗阿拉克反應爐與巴基斯坦庫沙布反應爐對照(2005.03拍攝)...............................................58表3-6、納坦茲計畫興建圖(2002.09.16拍攝)...........60表3-7、納坦茲計畫地下工程興建情況(2002.09.20拍攝)..61表3-8、納坦茲計畫地下工程地表覆蓋情況(2004.02.29拍攝).61表3-9、布什爾電廠位置圖...........................63表3-10、德黑蘭核子研究中心(2003.11拍攝)............64表3-11、德黑蘭國防科技中心圖(2004.11.16拍攝).......65表3-12、帕琴軍事基地(2004.08.13拍攝)..............66表3-13、伊朗歷年輸入核子設施、技術概況(1960-2005)...68表4-1、IAEA理事會關於伊朗問題之重要投票紀錄.........74表4-2、2005年全球核武擴散概況.....................78表4-3、核武防擴散機制運作情況......................81表5-1、2000-2004年印度原油進口概況................94表5-2、2000-2005年印度天然氣使用概況..............94表5-3、印度與相關重要國家對於伊朗人權問題之投票情況..95表5-4、2002-03年度巴基斯坦原油生產與進口比重.......98表5-5、以色列位置圖..............................99表5-6、國際對伊朗核子問題立場.....................103表6-1、波斯灣週邊國家位置圖......................105表6-2、中東地區恐怖組織名單......................107表6-3、全球原油蘊藏量...........................108表6-4、2004年波灣地區原油蘊藏與生產情況...........109表6-5、中國原油提煉產品消耗量....................113表6-6、伊朗與英法德人口與面積比較.................115表6-7、未來可能發展的大國關係....................117 | zh_TW |
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| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922530111 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 伊朗 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 核武防擴散條約 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 國際原子能總署 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 核能 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 核武 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 阿赫馬迪內賈德 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Iran | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT) | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | IAEA | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | nuclear energy | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | nukes | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Ahmadinejad | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 伊朗核武問題之研究 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | The Study of Iran`s Nuclear Development | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sadr, Ehsaneh I. “The Impact of Iran’s Nuclearization on Israel,” Middle East Policy. Vol. 12, No.2, Summer 2005, pp. 58-72. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sagan, Scott D. “Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb,” International Security. Vol.21, No. 3, Winter 1996, pp.54-86. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sick, Gary. “Iran`s Quest for Superpower Status,” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 65, No.4, Spring 1987, pp.697-715. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Takeyh, Ray. “Iran’s Nuclear Calculations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 20, No. 2, Summer 2003, pp.21-28. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ziad, Homayra. “Iran`s Domestic Reforms and International Policies,” Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. Vol. 22, Iss. 5, June 2003. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zonis, Marvin. “All in the Timing: Renewing U.S.-Iran relations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 16, No.4, Winter 1999/2000, pp. 33-48. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 三、報紙 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中文報紙 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《中央日報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《中國時報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《台灣新生報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《民族晚報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《自由時報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《青年日報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 《聯合報》 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 英文報紙 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The China Daily. (North American Edition) | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Guardian. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Jerusalem Post. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Middle East Times. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The New York Times. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Tehran Times. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Washington Post. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Washington Times. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 四、英文網路資源 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Agence France Presse.【www.afp.com/english/home/】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Associated Press.【www.ap.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | BBC.【news.bbc.co.uk】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.【www.carnegieendowment.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Center for Nonproliferation Studies(CNS), Monterey Institute of International Studies.【cns.miis.edu】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF).【www.fpif.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Global Security.【www.globalsecurity.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | IAEA.【www.iaea.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Iran Watch.【www.iranwatch.org/】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Al Jazeera.【english.aljazeera.net/HomePage】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Arms Control Association.【www.armscontrol.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | JSTOR.【www.jstor.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | ProQuest.【proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?RQT=301&UserId=IPAuto&Passwd=IPAuto&JSEna&cfc=1】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Reuters.【today.reuters.com/news/home.aspx】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The International Foundation for Election Systems, IFES.【www.ifes.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Islamic Republic News Agency.【www.irna.ir/en/frontpage/menu-232/】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | MissileThreat.com(The Claremont Institute, U.S.)【www.missilethreat.com/】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Nuclear Threat Initiative, NTI.【www.nti.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | United Nations.【www.un.org】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The White House.【www.whitehouse.gov】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wikipedia.【en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page】 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | WorldAtlas.com.【worldatlas.com】 | zh_TW |
