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題名 伊朗核武問題之研究
The Study of Iran`s Nuclear Development
作者 張力夫
Chang, Li-fu
貢獻者 李登科
Lee, Deng-ker
張力夫
Chang, Li-fu
關鍵詞 伊朗
核武防擴散條約
國際原子能總署
核能
核武
阿赫馬迪內賈德
Iran
Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT)
IAEA
nuclear energy
nukes
Ahmadinejad
日期 2005
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8)
摘要 伊朗伊斯蘭共和國為中東地區主要國家之一。自1957年與美國合作發展核能以來，除了在柯梅尼政權初期曾短暫中斷外，歷任的領導人皆大力支持核科技的發展。從近年來的發現，顯示伊朗正在持續進行某些秘密的核計畫，使得國際憂心伊朗可能有發展核武的意圖。一旦伊朗擁有核武，將對國際安全產生重大衝擊。

本文分析的重點，在於伊朗發展核科技的背景、動機、經過，還有各國對伊朗核計畫的態度，以及伊朗核武化之後對國際安全的衝擊。
The Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the major powers in the Middle East. Since 1957, when nuclear energy program received technical assistance from the U.S., its successive leaders have eagerly pursued the policy for developing nuclear technology. The only exception took place during the early years of the Ayatollah Khomeni government when all nuclear program was temporarily suspended. Recent disclosures show that Iran has been conducting several covert nuclear programs, which is considered by the international community as a possible step toward nuclear weapons.

This thesis first analyzes the background of Iran’s nuclear development, its motives, and the evolution of its nuclear development. The U.S., Russia, the PRC, and other related powers’ attitude toward Iran’s nuclear programs will be analyzed latter. Once Iran gets nuclear weapons, its impact on the security in the Middle East as well as on the nuclear non-proliferation regime will also be examined finally.
參考文獻 一、專書
中文專書
李登科。《冷戰後中共對中東地區的外交政策》，台北：正中書局，1995年。
周煦。《聯合國與國際政治》，台北：黎明文化事業公司，1993年。
胡為真。《美國對華「一個中國」政策之演變》，台北：台灣商務印書館，2001年。
張士智、趙慧杰 著。《美國中東關係史》，北京：中國社會科學出版社，1993年。
楊永明。《國際安全與國際法：國際安全秩序規範與機制的建構與挑戰》，台北：元照出版公司，2003年。
鄭又平、侯漢君 等譯。《各國政府與政治》，台北：韋伯出版社，1999年。
英文專書
Afrasiabi, Kaveh L. After Khomeini: New Directions in Iran`s Foreign Policy. Boulder: Westview Press, 1994.
Arnett, Eric H. Nuclear Weapons after the Comprehensive Test Ban: Implications for Modernization and Proliferation. New York: Oxford University Press, 1996.
Bee, Ronald J. Nuclear Proliferation: the Post-Cold-War Challenge. New York: Foreign Policy Association, 1995.
Blackwill, Robert D. and Carnesale, Albert. New Nuclear Nations: Consequences for U.S. Policy. New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press, 1993.
Cirincione, Joseph; Wolfsthal, Jon B. and Rajkumar, Miriam. Deadly Arsenals: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threats, Second Edition Revised and Expanded. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2005.
Davis, Zachary and Frankel, Benjamin, eds. The Proliferation Puzzle. Portland: Frank Cass, 1993.
Diller, Daniel C. ed. The Middle East. Washington, D. C.: Congressional Quarterly Inc., 1994.
Ehteshami, Anoushiravan and Varasteh, Manshour. Iran and the International Community. London; New York: Routledge, 1991.
Esposito, John L. ed. The Iranian Revolution: Its Global Impact. Miami, Fla.: Florida International University Press, 1990.
Holsti, K. J. International Politics: A Framework for Analysis. 7th ed. N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1995.
Hunter, Shireen T. Iran and the World: Continuity in a Revolutionary Decade. Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1990.
Keddie, Nikki R. and Gasiorowski, Mark J. eds. Neither East Nor West. New York: Yale University Press, 1990.
Larsen, Jeffrey A. Arms Control: Cooperative Security in a Changing Environment, Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2002.
Muller, Harald, Fischer, David, and Kotter, Wolfgang. Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Global Order. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 1994.
OPEC. OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2004. Vienna: OPEC, 2005.
Pilat, Joseph F. and Pendley, Robert E. eds. 1995, A New Beginning for the NPT? New York: Plenum Press, 1995.
Reiss, Mitchell and Litwak, Robert S. eds. Nuclear Proliferation after the Cold War. Washington D.C.: The Woodrow Wilson Center Press, 1994.
Rezun, Miron. Iran at the Crossroads: Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade. Boulder: Westview Press, 1990
Sokolski, Henry and Clawson, Patrick eds. Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran. The Strategic Studies Institute of the US Army War College. 2005.
Al-Suwaidi, Jamal S. Iran and the Gulf: A Search for Stability. United Arab Emirates: The Emirates Center for Stategic Studies and Research, 1996.
Thomas, Raju G.. C. ed. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime: Prospects for the 21st Century. Basingstoke, Hampshire: Macmillan Press, 1998.
美國政府出版品
Bush, George W. “The President`s State of the Union Address.” Washington D. C.: The White House. 29 January 2002, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/01/20020129-11.html>.
CIA. “Technology Relating To Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, 1 January Through 30 June 1999.” Febuary 2000, <http://www.cia.gov/cia/reports/721_reports/jan_jun1999.html>.
CIA. World Factbook 2006. 2006, <https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html>.
Feickert, Andrew. Missile Survey: Ballistic and Cruise Missiles of Foreign Countries. Congressional Research Service Reports(U.S.), 5 March 2004.
Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, U.S. Department of State. Country Report on Terrorism 2004. April 2005, <http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/45313.pdf>.
Office of the Secretary of Defense(US). Proliferation: Threat and Response. Washington, D. C.: April 1996, <http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/prolif97/toc.html >.
U.S. Deaprtment of Defense. Nuclear Posture Review(classified). Jan 2002, excerpts available at <http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/policy/dod/npr.htm>.
The White House. The National Security Strategy of the United States of America. Mar. 2006, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/nss.html>.
二、期刊論文
中文期刊論文
江紅。〈巴勒維王朝時期英、美在伊朗的勢力消長〉，《歷史月刊》，第183卷，2003年4月，頁34-44。
林岩哲。〈核子試爆與核武擴散〉，《問題與研究》，第34卷第11期，1995年11月，頁39-49。
姜家雄。〈冷戰後中共與伊朗軍事合作關係之研究〉，《國際關係學報》，第13卷，1998年12月，頁121-145。
苗華壽。〈從“上海五國”機制到“上海合作組織”〉，《和平與發展》，2001年第3期，頁25-28。
夏義善。〈“上海合作組織”的特點及其發展前景〉，《和平與發展》，2001 年第3期，頁22-25。
陳文生。〈海灣戰爭期間伊朗之中立政策〉，《問題與研究》，第41卷第4期，2002年7月，頁65-81。
陳文賢。〈柯林頓政府的核武政策〉，《問題與研究》，第37卷第5期，1998年5月，頁1-16。
陳立樵。〈伊朗革命與何梅尼(1977-1979)〉，《中興史學》，第11卷，2005年6月，頁49-76。
蔡百銓。〈伊朗─從波斯到伊斯蘭共和國〉，《歷史月刊》，第90卷，1995年7月，頁36-42。
英文期刊論文
Albright,David. “An Iranian Bomb?” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 51, No. 4, July/August 1995, pp.20-26.
Bahgat, Gawdat. “The New Iran: A Myth or A Reality?” Asian Affairs. Vol. 29, Iss. 2, Jun. 1998.
-------------------. “Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction: Iraq and Iran,” The Journal of Social, Political, and Economic Studies. Vol. 28, No.4, Winter 2003, pp. 423-449.
Betts, Richard K. “Incentives for Nuclear Weapons: India, Pakistan, Iran,” Asian Survey. Vol. 19, No. 11, Nov.1979, pp. 1053-1072.
Bill, James A. “The politics of Hegemony: The United States and Iran,” Middle East Policy.Vol. 8, No. 3, September 2001, pp. 89-100.
Hooglund, Eric. “Iranian Views of the Arab-Israeli Conflict,” Journal of Palestine Studies. Vol. 25, No.1, Autumn 1995, pp.86-95.
Hunter, Robert E. “The Iran Case: Addressing Why Countries Want Nuclear Weapons,” Arms Control Today. Vol. 34, No. 10, Dec 2004, pp. 22-25.
Gause, F. Gregory. “The Illogic of Dual Containment.” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 73 Iss.2, Mar/Apr 1994, pp. 56-66.
Inbar, Efraim. “The Need to Block a Nuclear Iran,” Middle East Review of International Affairs. Vol. 10, No. 1, Mar. 2006, pp.85-104.
Jalali, Ali A. “The strategic partnership of Russia and Iran,” Parameters. Vol. 31, No. 4, Winter 2001/2002, pp.98-111.
Ladjevardi, Habib. “The origions of U.S. Support for an Autocratic Iran,” International Journal of Middle East Studies. Vol.15, No. 2, May 1983, pp.225-239.
Lake, Anthony. “Confronting Backlash States.” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 73 Iss.2, Mar/Apr 1994, pp. 45-55.
Milani, Mohsen M. “The Evolution of the Iranian Presidency: From Bani Sadr to Rafsanjani,” British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies. Vol. 20 No. 1, 1993, pp.83-97.
Mizin, Victor. “The Russia-Iran Nuclear Connection and U.S.Policy Options,” Middle East Review of International Affairs. Vol. 8, No. 1, Mar. 2004, pp.71-85.
Pajak, Roger F. “Nuclear Status and Policies of Middle East Countries,” International Affairs. Vol.59, No.4, Autumn 1983, pp. 587-607.
Poneman, Daniel. “Nuclear Policies in Developing Countries,” International Affairs. Vol.57, No.4, Autumn 1981, pp. 568-584.
Ramazani, R. K. “Ideology and Pragmatism in Iran`s Foreign Policy,” The Middle East Journal. Vol. 58, No. 4, Autumn 2004, pp. 549-559.
Rubinstein, Alvin Z. “The Soviet Union and Iran under Khomeini,” International Affairs. Vol. 57, No.4, Autumn 1981, pp.599-617.
Sadr, Ehsaneh I. “The Impact of Iran’s Nuclearization on Israel,” Middle East Policy. Vol. 12, No.2, Summer 2005, pp. 58-72.
Sagan, Scott D. “Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb,” International Security. Vol.21, No. 3, Winter 1996, pp.54-86.
Sick, Gary. “Iran`s Quest for Superpower Status,” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 65, No.4, Spring 1987, pp.697-715.
Takeyh, Ray. “Iran’s Nuclear Calculations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 20, No. 2, Summer 2003, pp.21-28.
Ziad, Homayra. “Iran`s Domestic Reforms and International Policies,” Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. Vol. 22, Iss. 5, June 2003.
Zonis, Marvin. “All in the Timing: Renewing U.S.-Iran relations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 16, No.4, Winter 1999/2000, pp. 33-48.
三、報紙
中文報紙
《中央日報》
《中國時報》
《台灣新生報》
《民族晚報》
《自由時報》
《青年日報》
《聯合報》
英文報紙
The China Daily. (North American Edition)
The Guardian.
The Jerusalem Post.
The Middle East Times.
The New York Times.
The Tehran Times.
The Washington Post.
The Washington Times.
四、英文網路資源
Agence France Presse.【www.afp.com/english/home/】
Associated Press.【www.ap.org】
BBC.【news.bbc.co.uk】
Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.【www.carnegieendowment.org】
Center for Nonproliferation Studies(CNS), Monterey Institute of International Studies.【cns.miis.edu】
Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF).【www.fpif.org】
Global Security.【www.globalsecurity.org】
IAEA.【www.iaea.org】
Iran Watch.【www.iranwatch.org/】
Al Jazeera.【english.aljazeera.net/HomePage】
The Arms Control Association.【www.armscontrol.org】
JSTOR.【www.jstor.org】
ProQuest.【proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?RQT=301&UserId=IPAuto&Passwd=IPAuto&JSEna&cfc=1】
Reuters.【today.reuters.com/news/home.aspx】
The International Foundation for Election Systems, IFES.【www.ifes.org】
The Islamic Republic News Agency.【www.irna.ir/en/frontpage/menu-232/】
MissileThreat.com(The Claremont Institute, U.S.)【www.missilethreat.com/】
The Nuclear Threat Initiative, NTI.【www.nti.org】
United Nations.【www.un.org】
The White House.【www.whitehouse.gov】
Wikipedia.【en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page】
WorldAtlas.com.【worldatlas.com】
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交研究所
92253011
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922530111
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 李登科zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Lee, Deng-keren_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張力夫zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chang, Li-fuen_US
dc.creator (作者) 張力夫zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chang, Li-fuen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 17:53:56 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922530111en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33696-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 外交研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92253011zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 伊朗伊斯蘭共和國為中東地區主要國家之一。自1957年與美國合作發展核能以來，除了在柯梅尼政權初期曾短暫中斷外，歷任的領導人皆大力支持核科技的發展。從近年來的發現，顯示伊朗正在持續進行某些秘密的核計畫，使得國際憂心伊朗可能有發展核武的意圖。一旦伊朗擁有核武，將對國際安全產生重大衝擊。

本文分析的重點，在於伊朗發展核科技的背景、動機、經過，還有各國對伊朗核計畫的態度，以及伊朗核武化之後對國際安全的衝擊。		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The Islamic Republic of Iran is one of the major powers in the Middle East. Since 1957, when nuclear energy program received technical assistance from the U.S., its successive leaders have eagerly pursued the policy for developing nuclear technology. The only exception took place during the early years of the Ayatollah Khomeni government when all nuclear program was temporarily suspended. Recent disclosures show that Iran has been conducting several covert nuclear programs, which is considered by the international community as a possible step toward nuclear weapons.

This thesis first analyzes the background of Iran’s nuclear development, its motives, and the evolution of its nuclear development. The U.S., Russia, the PRC, and other related powers’ attitude toward Iran’s nuclear programs will be analyzed latter. Once Iran gets nuclear weapons, its impact on the security in the Middle East as well as on the nuclear non-proliferation regime will also be examined finally.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 導論-------------------------------------05
第一節 研究動機與研究目的-------------------------05
第二節 研究方法----------------------------------08
第三節 章節安排----------------------------------09
第四節 資料來源與研究限制-------------------------10

第二章 伊朗發展核科技之背景與經過------------------13
第一節 巴勒維國王時期(1957-79)--------------------13
第二節 柯梅尼政權時期(1979-89)--------------------17
第三節 拉夫桑亞尼政府時期(1989-97)-----------------22
第四節 哈塔米政府時期(1997-2005)-------------------30
第五節 阿赫馬迪內賈德政府時期(2005-2006.06)---------42
第六節 小結---------------------------------------50

第三章 伊朗核科技發展情況---------------------------53
第一節 製造核武之關鍵科技---------------------------53
第二節 伊朗核子設施分布概況-------------------------55
第三節 伊朗重要核子研究中心與核子設施----------------56
第四節 伊朗輸入之核子設備---------------------------67
第五節 小結---------------------------------------70

第四章 伊朗發展核武科技與核武防擴散機制---------------72
第一節 核武防擴散條約-------------------------------72
第二節 國際原子能總署-------------------------------73
第三節 聯合國安理會---------------------------------76
第四節 伊朗發展核武對核武非擴散機制之影響--------------78
第五節 小結----------------------------------------80

第五章 相關重要國家對伊朗發展核科技之立場與政策---------82
第一節 美國-----------------------------------------82
第二節 俄羅斯與中國----------------------------------88
第三節 印度、巴基斯坦與以色列-------------------------93
第四節 歐盟-----------------------------------------100
第五節 小結-----------------------------------------102

第六章 伊朗發展核科技對國際安全之影響-------------------104
第一節 對波斯灣地區安全之影響--------------------------104
第二節 對以阿衝突之影響-------------------------------110
第三節 對大國關係之影響-------------------------------111
第四節 小結-----------------------------------------118

第七章 結論-----------------------------------------119

參考書目---------------------------------------------122




圖表頁次對照
表1-1、伊朗伊斯蘭共和國位置圖.....................07
表2-1、伊朗秘密研發製造離心機設施圖................37
表2-2、伊朗2005年總統大選第二輪選舉結果............43
表3-1、伊朗導彈概況..............................54
表3-2、伊朗核子計畫分布圖.........................56
表3-3、阿拉克重水反應爐位置圖(2002.09.26拍攝)......57
表3-4、阿拉克鈽反應爐(2005.02.27拍攝).............58
表3-5、伊朗阿拉克反應爐與巴基斯坦庫沙布反應爐對照(2005.03拍攝)
...............................................58
表3-6、納坦茲計畫興建圖(2002.09.16拍攝)...........60
表3-7、納坦茲計畫地下工程興建情況(2002.09.20拍攝)..61
表3-8、納坦茲計畫地下工程地表覆蓋情況(2004.02.29拍攝).61
表3-9、布什爾電廠位置圖...........................63
表3-10、德黑蘭核子研究中心(2003.11拍攝)............64
表3-11、德黑蘭國防科技中心圖(2004.11.16拍攝).......65
表3-12、帕琴軍事基地(2004.08.13拍攝)..............66
表3-13、伊朗歷年輸入核子設施、技術概況(1960-2005)...68
表4-1、IAEA理事會關於伊朗問題之重要投票紀錄.........74
表4-2、2005年全球核武擴散概況.....................78
表4-3、核武防擴散機制運作情況......................81
表5-1、2000-2004年印度原油進口概況................94
表5-2、2000-2005年印度天然氣使用概況..............94
表5-3、印度與相關重要國家對於伊朗人權問題之投票情況..95
表5-4、2002-03年度巴基斯坦原油生產與進口比重.......98
表5-5、以色列位置圖..............................99
表5-6、國際對伊朗核子問題立場.....................103
表6-1、波斯灣週邊國家位置圖......................105
表6-2、中東地區恐怖組織名單......................107
表6-3、全球原油蘊藏量...........................108
表6-4、2004年波灣地區原油蘊藏與生產情況...........109
表6-5、中國原油提煉產品消耗量....................113
表6-6、伊朗與英法德人口與面積比較.................115
表6-7、未來可能發展的大國關係....................117		zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922530111en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 伊朗zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 核武防擴散條約zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國際原子能總署zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 核能zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 核武zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 阿赫馬迪內賈德zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Iranen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Non-Proliferation Treaty(NPT)en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) IAEAen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) nuclear energyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) nukesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Ahmadinejaden_US
dc.title (題名) 伊朗核武問題之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Study of Iran`s Nuclear Developmenten_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、專書zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文專書zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李登科。《冷戰後中共對中東地區的外交政策》，台北：正中書局，1995年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周煦。《聯合國與國際政治》，台北：黎明文化事業公司，1993年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 胡為真。《美國對華「一個中國」政策之演變》，台北：台灣商務印書館，2001年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張士智、趙慧杰 著。《美國中東關係史》，北京：中國社會科學出版社，1993年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊永明。《國際安全與國際法：國際安全秩序規範與機制的建構與挑戰》，台北：元照出版公司，2003年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭又平、侯漢君 等譯。《各國政府與政治》，台北：韋伯出版社，1999年。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文專書zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Afrasiabi, Kaveh L. After Khomeini: New Directions in Iran`s Foreign Policy. Boulder: Westview Press, 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Arnett, Eric H. Nuclear Weapons after the Comprehensive Test Ban: Implications for Modernization and Proliferation. New York: Oxford University Press, 1996.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bee, Ronald J. Nuclear Proliferation: the Post-Cold-War Challenge. New York: Foreign Policy Association, 1995.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Blackwill, Robert D. and Carnesale, Albert. New Nuclear Nations: Consequences for U.S. Policy. New York: Council on Foreign Relations Press, 1993.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cirincione, Joseph; Wolfsthal, Jon B. and Rajkumar, Miriam. Deadly Arsenals: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threats, Second Edition Revised and Expanded. Washington, DC: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2005.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Davis, Zachary and Frankel, Benjamin, eds. The Proliferation Puzzle. Portland: Frank Cass, 1993.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Diller, Daniel C. ed. The Middle East. Washington, D. C.: Congressional Quarterly Inc., 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ehteshami, Anoushiravan and Varasteh, Manshour. Iran and the International Community. London; New York: Routledge, 1991.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Esposito, John L. ed. The Iranian Revolution: Its Global Impact. Miami, Fla.: Florida International University Press, 1990.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Holsti, K. J. International Politics: A Framework for Analysis. 7th ed. N.J.: Prentice-Hall, 1995.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hunter, Shireen T. Iran and the World: Continuity in a Revolutionary Decade. Bloomington: Indiana University Press, 1990.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Keddie, Nikki R. and Gasiorowski, Mark J. eds. Neither East Nor West. New York: Yale University Press, 1990.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Larsen, Jeffrey A. Arms Control: Cooperative Security in a Changing Environment, Boulder, Colo.: Lynne Rienner Publishers, 2002.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Muller, Harald, Fischer, David, and Kotter, Wolfgang. Nuclear Non-Proliferation and Global Order. Oxford; New York: Oxford University Press, 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) OPEC. OPEC Annual Statistical Bulletin 2004. Vienna: OPEC, 2005.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pilat, Joseph F. and Pendley, Robert E. eds. 1995, A New Beginning for the NPT? New York: Plenum Press, 1995.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Reiss, Mitchell and Litwak, Robert S. eds. Nuclear Proliferation after the Cold War. Washington D.C.: The Woodrow Wilson Center Press, 1994.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rezun, Miron. Iran at the Crossroads: Global Relations in a Turbulent Decade. Boulder: Westview Press, 1990zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sokolski, Henry and Clawson, Patrick eds. Getting Ready for a Nuclear-Ready Iran. The Strategic Studies Institute of the US Army War College. 2005.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Al-Suwaidi, Jamal S. Iran and the Gulf: A Search for Stability. United Arab Emirates: The Emirates Center for Stategic Studies and Research, 1996.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Thomas, Raju G.. C. ed. The Nuclear Non-Proliferation Regime: Prospects for the 21st Century. Basingstoke, Hampshire: Macmillan Press, 1998.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國政府出版品zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bush, George W. “The President`s State of the Union Address.” Washington D. C.: The White House. 29 January 2002, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/news/releases/2002/01/20020129-11.html>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) CIA. “Technology Relating To Weapons of Mass Destruction and Advanced Conventional Munitions, 1 January Through 30 June 1999.” Febuary 2000, <http://www.cia.gov/cia/reports/721_reports/jan_jun1999.html>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) CIA. World Factbook 2006. 2006, <https://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/index.html>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Feickert, Andrew. Missile Survey: Ballistic and Cruise Missiles of Foreign Countries. Congressional Research Service Reports(U.S.), 5 March 2004.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Office of the Coordinator for Counterterrorism, U.S. Department of State. Country Report on Terrorism 2004. April 2005, <http://www.state.gov/documents/organization/45313.pdf>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Office of the Secretary of Defense(US). Proliferation: Threat and Response. Washington, D. C.: April 1996, <http://www.defenselink.mil/pubs/prolif97/toc.html >.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) U.S. Deaprtment of Defense. Nuclear Posture Review(classified). Jan 2002, excerpts available at <http://www.globalsecurity.org/wmd/library/policy/dod/npr.htm>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The White House. The National Security Strategy of the United States of America. Mar. 2006, <http://www.whitehouse.gov/nsc/nss.html>.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、期刊論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文期刊論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 江紅。〈巴勒維王朝時期英、美在伊朗的勢力消長〉，《歷史月刊》，第183卷，2003年4月，頁34-44。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林岩哲。〈核子試爆與核武擴散〉，《問題與研究》，第34卷第11期，1995年11月，頁39-49。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 姜家雄。〈冷戰後中共與伊朗軍事合作關係之研究〉，《國際關係學報》，第13卷，1998年12月，頁121-145。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 苗華壽。〈從“上海五國”機制到“上海合作組織”〉，《和平與發展》，2001年第3期，頁25-28。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 夏義善。〈“上海合作組織”的特點及其發展前景〉，《和平與發展》，2001 年第3期，頁22-25。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳文生。〈海灣戰爭期間伊朗之中立政策〉，《問題與研究》，第41卷第4期，2002年7月，頁65-81。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳文賢。〈柯林頓政府的核武政策〉，《問題與研究》，第37卷第5期，1998年5月，頁1-16。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳立樵。〈伊朗革命與何梅尼(1977-1979)〉，《中興史學》，第11卷，2005年6月，頁49-76。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡百銓。〈伊朗─從波斯到伊斯蘭共和國〉，《歷史月刊》，第90卷，1995年7月，頁36-42。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文期刊論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Albright,David. “An Iranian Bomb?” The Bulletin of the Atomic Scientists, Vol. 51, No. 4, July/August 1995, pp.20-26.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bahgat, Gawdat. “The New Iran: A Myth or A Reality?” Asian Affairs. Vol. 29, Iss. 2, Jun. 1998.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) -------------------. “Proliferation of Weapons of Mass Destruction: Iraq and Iran,” The Journal of Social, Political, and Economic Studies. Vol. 28, No.4, Winter 2003, pp. 423-449.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Betts, Richard K. “Incentives for Nuclear Weapons: India, Pakistan, Iran,” Asian Survey. Vol. 19, No. 11, Nov.1979, pp. 1053-1072.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bill, James A. “The politics of Hegemony: The United States and Iran,” Middle East Policy.Vol. 8, No. 3, September 2001, pp. 89-100.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hooglund, Eric. “Iranian Views of the Arab-Israeli Conflict,” Journal of Palestine Studies. Vol. 25, No.1, Autumn 1995, pp.86-95.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hunter, Robert E. “The Iran Case: Addressing Why Countries Want Nuclear Weapons,” Arms Control Today. Vol. 34, No. 10, Dec 2004, pp. 22-25.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gause, F. Gregory. “The Illogic of Dual Containment.” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 73 Iss.2, Mar/Apr 1994, pp. 56-66.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Inbar, Efraim. “The Need to Block a Nuclear Iran,” Middle East Review of International Affairs. Vol. 10, No. 1, Mar. 2006, pp.85-104.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jalali, Ali A. “The strategic partnership of Russia and Iran,” Parameters. Vol. 31, No. 4, Winter 2001/2002, pp.98-111.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ladjevardi, Habib. “The origions of U.S. Support for an Autocratic Iran,” International Journal of Middle East Studies. Vol.15, No. 2, May 1983, pp.225-239.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lake, Anthony. “Confronting Backlash States.” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 73 Iss.2, Mar/Apr 1994, pp. 45-55.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Milani, Mohsen M. “The Evolution of the Iranian Presidency: From Bani Sadr to Rafsanjani,” British Journal of Middle Eastern Studies. Vol. 20 No. 1, 1993, pp.83-97.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mizin, Victor. “The Russia-Iran Nuclear Connection and U.S.Policy Options,” Middle East Review of International Affairs. Vol. 8, No. 1, Mar. 2004, pp.71-85.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Pajak, Roger F. “Nuclear Status and Policies of Middle East Countries,” International Affairs. Vol.59, No.4, Autumn 1983, pp. 587-607.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Poneman, Daniel. “Nuclear Policies in Developing Countries,” International Affairs. Vol.57, No.4, Autumn 1981, pp. 568-584.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ramazani, R. K. “Ideology and Pragmatism in Iran`s Foreign Policy,” The Middle East Journal. Vol. 58, No. 4, Autumn 2004, pp. 549-559.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Rubinstein, Alvin Z. “The Soviet Union and Iran under Khomeini,” International Affairs. Vol. 57, No.4, Autumn 1981, pp.599-617.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sadr, Ehsaneh I. “The Impact of Iran’s Nuclearization on Israel,” Middle East Policy. Vol. 12, No.2, Summer 2005, pp. 58-72.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sagan, Scott D. “Why Do States Build Nuclear Weapons? Three Models in Search of a Bomb,” International Security. Vol.21, No. 3, Winter 1996, pp.54-86.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sick, Gary. “Iran`s Quest for Superpower Status,” Foreign Affairs. Vol. 65, No.4, Spring 1987, pp.697-715.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Takeyh, Ray. “Iran’s Nuclear Calculations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 20, No. 2, Summer 2003, pp.21-28.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ziad, Homayra. “Iran`s Domestic Reforms and International Policies,” Washington Report on Middle East Affairs. Vol. 22, Iss. 5, June 2003.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Zonis, Marvin. “All in the Timing: Renewing U.S.-Iran relations,” World Policy Journal. Vol. 16, No.4, Winter 1999/2000, pp. 33-48.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 三、報紙zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文報紙zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《中央日報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《中國時報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《台灣新生報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《民族晚報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《自由時報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《青年日報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《聯合報》zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文報紙zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The China Daily. (North American Edition)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Guardian.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Jerusalem Post.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Middle East Times.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The New York Times.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Tehran Times.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Washington Post.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Washington Times.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 四、英文網路資源zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Agence France Presse.【www.afp.com/english/home/】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Associated Press.【www.ap.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) BBC.【news.bbc.co.uk】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Carnegie Endowment for International Peace.【www.carnegieendowment.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Center for Nonproliferation Studies(CNS), Monterey Institute of International Studies.【cns.miis.edu】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Foreign Policy In Focus (FPIF).【www.fpif.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Global Security.【www.globalsecurity.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) IAEA.【www.iaea.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Iran Watch.【www.iranwatch.org/】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Al Jazeera.【english.aljazeera.net/HomePage】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Arms Control Association.【www.armscontrol.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) JSTOR.【www.jstor.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ProQuest.【proquest.umi.com/pqdweb?RQT=301&UserId=IPAuto&Passwd=IPAuto&JSEna&cfc=1】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Reuters.【today.reuters.com/news/home.aspx】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The International Foundation for Election Systems, IFES.【www.ifes.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Islamic Republic News Agency.【www.irna.ir/en/frontpage/menu-232/】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) MissileThreat.com(The Claremont Institute, U.S.)【www.missilethreat.com/】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The Nuclear Threat Initiative, NTI.【www.nti.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) United Nations.【www.un.org】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The White House.【www.whitehouse.gov】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wikipedia.【en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Main_Page】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) WorldAtlas.com.【worldatlas.com】zh_TW