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題名 冷戰後強制外交在國際衝突的運用
作者 崔進揆
貢獻者 李明
崔進揆
關鍵詞 強制外交
壓制
危機管理
後冷戰時期
區域衝突
人道干涉
反恐行動
coercive diplomacy
compellence
crisis management
post-Cold War era
regional conflicts
humanitarian intervention
counterterrorism
日期 2005
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 17:54:45 (UTC+8)
摘要 強制外交(coercive diplomacy)的概念在一九七0年代由學者Alexander L. George首度提出,主張強制外交應屬於防守型的危機管理(defensive crisis management),亦有別於一般所謂的嚇阻(deterrence)與壓制(compellence)等策略。施行強制外交時,相關決策者透過威脅使用武力,或使用有限度的武力,以勸說對手停止或放棄現正從事的行動,並防止危機情勢的升高,及避免戰爭的發生。冷戰期間,美、蘇兩國的領導人對於該一策略的運用極為廣泛與普遍,甘迺迪政府對於古巴飛彈危機的處理便是著名的案例。冷戰結束,國際關係進入所謂的後冷戰時期,面對區域衝突、人道危機和恐怖主義威脅等問題,強制外交更常被相關決策者和國際組織所施行、採用,亦多次在國際間重大的衝突與危機處理過程中扮演著關鍵的角色,並展現其重要性和多元化的一面。因此,鑑於強制外交對於後冷戰時期之國際危機處理和衝突解決的重要性和必要性,本研究旨在透過強制外交相關理論的介紹與整理,以及後冷戰時期強制外交相關個案的研究分析,總結歷史的經驗與教訓,深入探討其施行現況與成效,並提出具體之研究發現與政策建議。期盼所得之研究成果能使吾人對於該策略有更深一層的認識與了解。

關鍵詞:強制外交、壓制、危機管理、後冷戰時期、區域衝突、人道干涉、反恐行動
In the 1970s, Alexander L. George first introduced and defined the concept of coercive diplomacy. According to George, he claims that coercive diplomacy is a strategy of defensive crisis management. Besides, coercive diplomacy is also different from the strategy of deterrence or compellence. When policymakers and political elites decide to manipulate coercive diplomacy, they should employ threats and / or limited force to persuade opponents to call off or undo adverse actions, which are thought aggressive. Furthermore, the purpose of using coercive diplomacy is to prevent crisis situation from escalating or causing wars.
During the Cold War era, leaders of United States and Soviet Union used this strategy intensively. The Cuban missile crisis in 1962 can also be thought as a famous case of successful coercive diplomacy. When international relations enters into the post-Cold War era, coercive diplomacy still plays as important role in crisis management and conflict resolution. Policymakers of countries and international organizations, like the United Nations and the NATO, prefer to use coercive diplomacy to deal with regional conflicts, humanitarian intervention, and counterterrorism. Coercive diplomacy also demonstrates its necessity and significance of solving these problems.
In order to give us a comprehensive understanding of coercive diplomacy, this thesis focuses on theories of coercive diplomacy and case studies, especially the experiences after the Cold War. Then, in final chapter of this thesis, the author generalizes lessons and experiences come from the cases analyzed and studied. In addition, the author also tries to make conclusions about the efficacy of coercive diplomacy and thus tries to offer some guidelines for policymakers.

Keywords: coercive diplomacy, compellence, crisis management, post-Cold War era, regional conflicts, humanitarian intervention, counterterrorism
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3.報紙
The Washington Post
The New York Times
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交研究所
92253029
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922530291
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 李明zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 崔進揆zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 崔進揆zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 17:54:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 17:54:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 17:54:45 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922530291en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33702-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 外交研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92253029zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 強制外交(coercive diplomacy)的概念在一九七0年代由學者Alexander L. George首度提出,主張強制外交應屬於防守型的危機管理(defensive crisis management),亦有別於一般所謂的嚇阻(deterrence)與壓制(compellence)等策略。施行強制外交時,相關決策者透過威脅使用武力,或使用有限度的武力,以勸說對手停止或放棄現正從事的行動,並防止危機情勢的升高,及避免戰爭的發生。冷戰期間,美、蘇兩國的領導人對於該一策略的運用極為廣泛與普遍,甘迺迪政府對於古巴飛彈危機的處理便是著名的案例。冷戰結束,國際關係進入所謂的後冷戰時期,面對區域衝突、人道危機和恐怖主義威脅等問題,強制外交更常被相關決策者和國際組織所施行、採用,亦多次在國際間重大的衝突與危機處理過程中扮演著關鍵的角色,並展現其重要性和多元化的一面。因此,鑑於強制外交對於後冷戰時期之國際危機處理和衝突解決的重要性和必要性,本研究旨在透過強制外交相關理論的介紹與整理,以及後冷戰時期強制外交相關個案的研究分析,總結歷史的經驗與教訓,深入探討其施行現況與成效,並提出具體之研究發現與政策建議。期盼所得之研究成果能使吾人對於該策略有更深一層的認識與了解。

關鍵詞:強制外交、壓制、危機管理、後冷戰時期、區域衝突、人道干涉、反恐行動
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In the 1970s, Alexander L. George first introduced and defined the concept of coercive diplomacy. According to George, he claims that coercive diplomacy is a strategy of defensive crisis management. Besides, coercive diplomacy is also different from the strategy of deterrence or compellence. When policymakers and political elites decide to manipulate coercive diplomacy, they should employ threats and / or limited force to persuade opponents to call off or undo adverse actions, which are thought aggressive. Furthermore, the purpose of using coercive diplomacy is to prevent crisis situation from escalating or causing wars.
During the Cold War era, leaders of United States and Soviet Union used this strategy intensively. The Cuban missile crisis in 1962 can also be thought as a famous case of successful coercive diplomacy. When international relations enters into the post-Cold War era, coercive diplomacy still plays as important role in crisis management and conflict resolution. Policymakers of countries and international organizations, like the United Nations and the NATO, prefer to use coercive diplomacy to deal with regional conflicts, humanitarian intervention, and counterterrorism. Coercive diplomacy also demonstrates its necessity and significance of solving these problems.
In order to give us a comprehensive understanding of coercive diplomacy, this thesis focuses on theories of coercive diplomacy and case studies, especially the experiences after the Cold War. Then, in final chapter of this thesis, the author generalizes lessons and experiences come from the cases analyzed and studied. In addition, the author also tries to make conclusions about the efficacy of coercive diplomacy and thus tries to offer some guidelines for policymakers.

Keywords: coercive diplomacy, compellence, crisis management, post-Cold War era, regional conflicts, humanitarian intervention, counterterrorism
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章 論緒……………………………………………………1
第一節 研究動機……………………………………………1
第二節 研究目的……………………………………………3
第三節 研究問題……………………………………………3
第四節 文獻回顧……………………………………………4
第五節 研究方法……………………………………………10
第六節 研究範圍……………………………………………11
第七節 章節安排……………………………………………12

第貳章 強制外交的理論基礎…………………………………15
第一節 強制外交的概念與意涵……………………………15
第二節 強制外交、預防外交、嚇阻與壓制………………24
第三節 強制外交的施行要點………………………………32
第四節 後冷戰時期的強制外交……………………………38

第參章 強制外交與區域衝突…………………………………43
第一節 一九九三、一九九四年北韓核武危機……………44
第二節 一九九五、一九九六年台海危機…………………59

第肆章 強制外交與人道干涉…………………………………74
第一節 海地危機……………………………………………75
第二節 索馬利亞危機………………………………………83
第三節 科索沃危機…………………………………………94

第伍章 強制外交與反恐行動…………………………………104
第一節 九一一事件前美國的反恐行動……………………105
第二節 九一一事件後美國的反恐戰爭—阿富汗戰爭……121

第陸章 結論……………………………………………………133
第一節 研究發現……………………………………………133
第二節 政策建議……………………………………………152
第三節 總結…………………………………………………155

參考書目 ………………………………………………………158
中文部分 ……………………………………………………158
西文部份 ……………………………………………………160

表圖目次
表 1-1 壓阻、嚇阻、強制外交的相異之處 ………………7
表 1-2 Alexander L. George及William Simons
對強制外交理想情境之分析 ………………………10
表 2-1 強制外交之主要類型、施行目的和難易程度 ……18
表 2-2 預防外交與強制外交的特色與異同 ………………26
表 2-3 強制外交、嚇阻、壓制的特色與異同 ……………31
表 3-1 中共在一九九五、一九九六年台海危機
中的戰略目標 ………………………………………63
表 6-1 後冷戰時期強制外交相關個案總整理 ……………133

圖 2-1 壓制、嚇阻、勒索、強制外交示意圖 ………………19
圖 2-2 預防外交與各項策略在衝突過程中之示意圖……… 27
圖 2-3 壓制過程示意圖 ………………………………………30
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dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922530291en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 強制外交zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 壓制zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 危機管理zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 後冷戰時期zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 區域衝突zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 人道干涉zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 反恐行動zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) coercive diplomacyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) compellenceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) crisis managementen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) post-Cold War eraen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) regional conflictsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) humanitarian interventionen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) counterterrorismen_US
dc.title (題名) 冷戰後強制外交在國際衝突的運用zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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