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題名 世界各國對中國大陸直接投資差異之決定因素
作者 歐陽宏
貢獻者 黃智聰
歐陽宏
關鍵詞 中國
外來直接投資
固定效果模型
決定因素
China
Foreign Direct Investment
Fixed-Effect Model
Determinants
日期 2004
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 18:05:44 (UTC+8)
摘要 中國在經濟發展的過程中，由於面臨著資金不足和技術落後的問題，以致於在1978年確立改革開放政策後，企圖透過外商直接投資來加速工業化及促進產業升級。然而一直到1992年鄧小平南巡，宣布將堅持中國的改革開放政策後，外商直接投資才開始大量流入中國。本文的研究目的即是鎖定外商直接投資開始大量進入中國後，影響世界各國對中國直接投資的因素。

本文利用24個國家（地區）在1993年至2003年期間的資料，採固定效果模型研究外商對中國直接投資的原因為何。結果顯示在1993到1996年間，顯著的決定因素為相對國內生產毛額、相對每人國內生產毛額，以及相對工資率。而在1997到2003年間，顯著的變項轉變為相對國內生產毛額、相對借貸成本、以及相對國家風險。此外，兩階段的外商直接投資都有增加的趨勢，但1997到2003年間增加的速度有趨緩的現象。另由固定效果的分析中得知，地理距離與對中國的自發性直接投資具有負相關的關係，此可由引力模型和地理距離影響文化的擴散和交流解釋之。最後，為了降低實證模型發生錯誤的機會，並使研究過程更為嚴謹，於是對本文模型和估計結果使用更多的方法加以檢定。
Since 1978, China has adopted the so-called “open door policy”, attracting foreign direct investment(FDI) has become one of the most important methods to facilitate its economic growth. However, foreign countries didn’t invest large amount toward China until Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate the determinants of FDI from different foreign countries in China after foreign countries started to invest tremendous amount toward China.

This study adopts fixed-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in China with 24 countries’ (regions’) data during the period of 1993-2003. The result shows relative GDP, relative GDP per capita, and relative wage are the most important factor in attracting FDI in China during 1993-1996. However, during 1997- 2003, the important factors change into relative GDP, relative borrowing cost, and relative country risk. In addition, the FDI at two periods both have a increasing trend, but the increasing speed during 1997-2003 isn’t increase so quickly as 1993-1996. Furthermore, from the analysis of the fixed effect knows the geographical distance has a negative relationship to FDI in China, and it can be explained by gravity equation and geographical distance influences the diffusion and exchange of culture.
Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, then uses more methods to test the models and the result.
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中國國家統計局編，《中國統計年鑑》，（1993~2004），（北京），中
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中國國家統計局編，《國際統計年鑑》，（1995~2003），（北京），中
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阮翔、趙建華（2004），「從引力空間模型看對外直接投資區位選擇」，
《世界經濟研究》（杭州），2004年第2期，頁65~69。
林俊儒（2003），《中國大陸外商直接投資之決定性因素實證》。台北：
國立政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。
高長（1994），《大陸經改與兩岸經貿關係》。台北：五南圖書出版有限
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徐東、孫寧（2003），「中國利用外資的地區失衡問題」，《黑龍江對外
經貿》（哈爾濱），2003（4），頁25∼27。
黃天中、潘錫堂（1993），《中國大陸研究》。台北：五南圖書出版有限公司。
黃智聰、高安邦、余姿瑩（2004），「外來投資在中國大陸各地區分佈不
均度之分析」，《中國大陸研究》（台北），47（2），頁33~56。
黃智聰、潘俊男（2002），「大陸地區製造業產業結構的決定因素」，
《中國大陸研究》（台北），45（2），頁97~123。
潘俊男（2001），《中國大陸外人直接投資與產業升級》。台北：國立政
治大學中山人文科學研究所碩士論文。
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Dunning, John H. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the
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Fidrmuc, Jan and Fidrmuc Jarko (2000), “Disintegration and
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Froot, Kenneth A. and Jeremy Stein (1991), “Exchange Rates and
Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital Markets
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Greene, William H. (2003), Econometric Analysis. Upper Saddle
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Grosse, Robert and Len J. Trevino (1996), “Foreign Direct
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Hausman, Jerry A. (1978), “Specification Tests in
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Hill, Carter R., William E. Griffiths, and George E. Judge
(2001), Undergraduate Econometrics, New York: John Wiley &
Sons, c2001.
Hong, Mao and Luo-Shou Chen (2001), “Quantitative and Dynamic
Analysis of the OLI Variables Determining FDI in China.”
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Hsiao, Cheng and Victor Gastañaga (2001), “Factors Affecting
Foreign Direct Investment--With Analysis of the Disparity
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of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and Policies, 4(4), 479-
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Huang, Fanzhang (1995), “China’s Utilization of Foreign
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Huang, Jr-Tsung (2004), “Spillover from Taiwan, Hong Kong, and
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Foreign Production by US Multinational: an Inter-Country
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(1997), “Country Characteristics and Foreign Direct
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Pain, Nigel (1993), “An Econometric Analysis of Foreign Direct
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Pain, Nigel (1997), “Continental Drift: European Integration
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Sun, Qian, Wilson Tong, and Qiao Yu (2002), “Determinants of
Foreign Direct Investment across China.” Journal of
International Money and Finance, 21(1), 79-113.
Tallman, Stephen B. (1988), “Home Country Political Risk and
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of International Business Studies, 19(2), 219-234.
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Walia, T. S. (1976), An Empirical Evaluation of Selected
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Wei, Yingqi and Xiaming Liu (2001), Foreign Direct Investment
in China: Determinants and Impact, Cheltenham, Glos, U.K.;
Northampton, Mass: Edward Elgar, c2001.
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94.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
東亞研究所
92260002
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922600021
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃智聰zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 歐陽宏zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 歐陽宏zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 18:05:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 18:05:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 18:05:44 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922600021en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33771-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 東亞研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92260002zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 中國在經濟發展的過程中，由於面臨著資金不足和技術落後的問題，以致於在1978年確立改革開放政策後，企圖透過外商直接投資來加速工業化及促進產業升級。然而一直到1992年鄧小平南巡，宣布將堅持中國的改革開放政策後，外商直接投資才開始大量流入中國。本文的研究目的即是鎖定外商直接投資開始大量進入中國後，影響世界各國對中國直接投資的因素。

本文利用24個國家（地區）在1993年至2003年期間的資料，採固定效果模型研究外商對中國直接投資的原因為何。結果顯示在1993到1996年間，顯著的決定因素為相對國內生產毛額、相對每人國內生產毛額，以及相對工資率。而在1997到2003年間，顯著的變項轉變為相對國內生產毛額、相對借貸成本、以及相對國家風險。此外，兩階段的外商直接投資都有增加的趨勢，但1997到2003年間增加的速度有趨緩的現象。另由固定效果的分析中得知，地理距離與對中國的自發性直接投資具有負相關的關係，此可由引力模型和地理距離影響文化的擴散和交流解釋之。最後，為了降低實證模型發生錯誤的機會，並使研究過程更為嚴謹，於是對本文模型和估計結果使用更多的方法加以檢定。		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Since 1978, China has adopted the so-called “open door policy”, attracting foreign direct investment(FDI) has become one of the most important methods to facilitate its economic growth. However, foreign countries didn’t invest large amount toward China until Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate the determinants of FDI from different foreign countries in China after foreign countries started to invest tremendous amount toward China.

This study adopts fixed-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in China with 24 countries’ (regions’) data during the period of 1993-2003. The result shows relative GDP, relative GDP per capita, and relative wage are the most important factor in attracting FDI in China during 1993-1996. However, during 1997- 2003, the important factors change into relative GDP, relative borrowing cost, and relative country risk. In addition, the FDI at two periods both have a increasing trend, but the increasing speed during 1997-2003 isn’t increase so quickly as 1993-1996. Furthermore, from the analysis of the fixed effect knows the geographical distance has a negative relationship to FDI in China, and it can be explained by gravity equation and geographical distance influences the diffusion and exchange of culture.
Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, then uses more methods to test the models and the result.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章□□□ 第一節□研究背景與目的
第二節□預計研究成果與研究架構

第二章□袺鬗暰m回顧
第一節□外商直接投資理論
第二節 □什磞U地區吸引外資的決定因素之相關暰m
第三節□世界各國對中國直接投資差異的決定因素之相關文獻
第四節□本章小結

第三章□什磪~商直接投資的政策歷程、地區分布及來源分布
第一節□中國引進外商直接投資的政策歷程
第二節□中國外商直接投資的地區分布
第三節□中國外商直接投資的來源分布
第四節□本章小結

第四章□膍s設計
第一節□研究方法說明說明
第二節□實證模型設定與資料來源
第三節□實證變數假設
第四節□本章小結

第五章□篜珛痕G與模型檢驗
第一節□實證結果
第二節□固定效果分析
第三節□模型正確性之相關檢定
第四節□本章小結

第六章□祭袘P政策意涵

參考文獻		zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922600021en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外來直接投資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 固定效果模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 決定因素zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chinaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Foreign Direct Investmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fixed-Effect Modelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Determinantsen_US
dc.title (題名) 世界各國對中國大陸直接投資差異之決定因素zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中國國家統計局編，《中國統計年鑑》，（1993~2004），（北京），中zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 國統計出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中國國家統計局編，《國際統計年鑑》，（1995~2003），（北京），中zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 國統計出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華民國中央銀行網站，http://www.cbc.gov.tw/。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中華民國行政院主計處網站，http://www.dgbas.gov.tw/。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 阮翔、趙建華（2004），「從引力空間模型看對外直接投資區位選擇」，zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《世界經濟研究》（杭州），2004年第2期，頁65~69。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林俊儒（2003），《中國大陸外商直接投資之決定性因素實證》。台北：zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 國立政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 高長（1994），《大陸經改與兩岸經貿關係》。台北：五南圖書出版有限zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 公司。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐東、孫寧（2003），「中國利用外資的地區失衡問題」，《黑龍江對外zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 經貿》（哈爾濱），2003（4），頁25∼27。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃天中、潘錫堂（1993），《中國大陸研究》。台北：五南圖書出版有限公司。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃智聰、高安邦、余姿瑩（2004），「外來投資在中國大陸各地區分佈不zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 均度之分析」，《中國大陸研究》（台北），47（2），頁33~56。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃智聰、潘俊男（2002），「大陸地區製造業產業結構的決定因素」，zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 《中國大陸研究》（台北），45（2），頁97~123。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 潘俊男（2001），《中國大陸外人直接投資與產業升級》。台北：國立政zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 治大學中山人文科學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ajami, Raid A. and Ran BarNiv (1984), “Utilising Economiczh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Indicators in Explaining Foreign Investment in the US.”zh_TW
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