dc.contributor.advisor | 吳柏林<br>鄭宇庭 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | <br> | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 張志營 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | 張志營 | zh_TW |
dc.date (日期) | 2002 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 17-Sep-2009 18:44:31 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 17-Sep-2009 18:44:31 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 17-Sep-2009 18:44:31 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0089354005 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33891 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 統計研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 89354005 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 91 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 在具有多變性、不確定性與訊息不完整的資訊網路時代,過去使用單一數值樣本來計算統計參數的方法,似乎已漸不符合現今多變與複雜的環境的需求。尤其在財金領域的資料採礦(data mining)研究中,利用模糊統計分析與軟計算方法,將會是一種更為接近實務需要的測度與估計工具。本研究提出模糊期望值的定義及一些相關性質,希望能配合隸屬度函數之觀念,將多元思維取代傳統二元邏輯的思考模式。並對複雜的財金問題,提出更符合人類社會行為及思考模式之實務探討。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1.前言 22.軟計算方法 52.1模糊概念與軟計算方法 52.2隸屬度函數 62.3模糊數 92.4模糊風險區間 103.模糊期望值的引進與應用 123.1離散型模糊期望值 123.2連續型模糊期望值 163.3有關模糊期望值的性質 174.模糊期望值應用於股票持股內容之探討 204.1資料分析 204.2股價之模糊期望值 224.3成交股數之模糊期望值 244.4結果分析 265.結論 29參考文獻 30 | zh_TW |
dc.format.extent | 40886 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 42774 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 40302 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 46169 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 66021 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 70029 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 73629 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 43463 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 45293 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0089354005 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 隸屬度函數 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 模糊統計 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 模糊期望值 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 軟計算 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 財金問題 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | 模糊期望值與軟計算方法:財金與經濟分析之應用 | zh_TW |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳柏林, 何曉緯 (2002). 模糊中位數及其在財金與經濟分析之應用. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳柏林, 廖述健 (2001). 模糊統計分析及其在社會調查之應用. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 阮亨中, 吳柏林 (2000). 模糊數學與統計應用. 台北:俊傑書局. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳柏林, 許毓云 (1999). 模糊統計分析在臺灣地區失業率應用. 中國統計學報. 37(1), 37-52. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳柏林, 曾能芳 (1998). 模糊回歸參數估計及在景氣對策信號之分析應用. 中國統計學報. 36(4), 399-420. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 陳忠慶, 林奇芬 (1998). 國內共同基金選購指南. 台北:原富文化. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳柏林, 楊文山 (1997). 模糊統計在社會調查分析的應用. 社會科學計量方法發展與應用. 楊文山主編:中央研究院中山人文社會科學研究所. 289-316. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 黃仁德, 吳柏林 (1995). 臺灣短期貨幣需求函數穩定性的檢定. 模糊時間數列方法之應用. 臺灣經濟學會年會論文集. 169-190. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dubois, D. and Prade, H (1991) Fuzzy sets in approximate reasoning, Part 1: Inference with possibility distributions, Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 40, 143-202. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Guariso, G. , Rizzoli, A. and Werthner, H. (1992) Identification of model structure via qualitive simulation. IEEE Trans. on Systems, Man, and cybernetics. 22(5), 1075-1086. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kosko, B. (1993). Fuzzy thinking : the new science of fuzzy logic. Hyperion, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Korner, R. (1997). On the Variance of Fuzzy Random Variables. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 92, p83-93. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Lowen, R. (1990) A fuzzy language interpolation theorem. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, 34, 33-38. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ruspini, E. (1991) Approximate Reasoning: past, present, future. Information Sciences. 57, 297-317. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Stojakovic, M. (1992). Fuzzy Conditional Expectation. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 52, p53-60. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Stojakovic, M. (1994) Fuzzy Random Variables, Expectation, and Martingales . Journal of Mathematical Analysis and Applications, Vol. 184, p594-606. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Tseng, T. and Klein, C. (1992) A new Algorithm for fuzzy multicriteria decision making. International Journal of Approximate Reasoning. 6, 45-66. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wu, B. and Sun, C. (1996). Fuzzy statistics and computation on the lexical semantics. Language, Information and Computation (PACLIC 11), 337-346. Seoul, Korea. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wu, H.C. (1999). Probability density functions of Fuzzy Random Variables. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 105, p139-158. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wu, H.C. (2000). The Law of Large Numbers for Fuzzy Random Variables. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 116, p245-262. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wu, H.C. (2000). The Law of Large Numbers for Fuzzy Random Variables. Fuzzy Sets and Systems, Vol. 116, p245-262. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zadeh, L. A. (1965). Fuzzy Sets. Information and Control, 8, 338-353. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zimmermann, H. J. (1991) Fuzzy Set Theory and Its Applications. Boston: Kluwer Academic. | zh_TW |