Publications-Theses

題名 二元雙界二分選擇模型下的願付價值分析
作者 詹玉葳
貢獻者 江掁東
詹玉葳
關鍵詞 條件評估法
雙界二分選擇法
願付價值
contingent valuation method
doubled-bound dichotomous choice method
willingness to pay
日期 2005
上傳時間 17-Sep-2009 18:49:03 (UTC+8)
摘要 利用條件評估法 (contingent valuation method) 來評估非市場財貨之市場隱含價值時,雙界二分選擇法 (doubled-bound dichotomous choice method) 為最普遍的詢價方式。近年來,藉由此詢價方式來估計受訪者心目中的願付價值 (willingness to pay) 之研究中,更將此方法推廣至同時估計兩個以上且具有相關性的非市場財貨。只是文獻中的相關探討多半忽略其間的相關性,此外所採用的模型也有可能導致估計的願付價值會有小於零的情形產生。因此,本文引進了衍生版本的Bivariate Generalized Gamma Distribution,來解決這上述兩個問題。我們並採用「竹東及朴子地區心臟血管疾病之危險因子長期追□研究」中,第五循環的「肥胖之願付價格問卷」來作實證分析。在其餘的條件不變的情況下,分析結果顯示,居住在竹東、女性、教育程度愈高、年紀愈小、體重愈重及收入愈高的受訪者會願意支付較高的金額來接受減肥的療程;此外,認為肥胖會影響工作及社交關係的受訪者也會願意支付較高的金額。
In a contingent valuation survey, it is quite often that subjects were asked to respond to more than one WTP (willingness-to-pay) scenarios. Under such a circumstance, responses provided by a subject are clearly correlated. Although the issue is well recognized in the past, in practice a popular strategy in analyzing this sort of data, however, simply ignore the issue and treat them as if they were totally uncorrelated. Concerning that WTP prices can take only non-negative values along with the issue of possible correlation, we propose an “extend bivariate generalized gamma distribution” that can be used to deal with data collected under a two-scenario situation. Applying it to the CVDFACTS study, where subjects were asked to evaluate a medication-only program as well as a medication-and-exercise program, we found that, other things being equal, female subjects, subjects residing in Chu-Dung County, subjects weigh more, subjects with younger age, higher income, and more years of schooling are willing to pay more. In addition, those who think obesity would affect their social activities would also have higher WTP prices.
參考文獻 劉錦添、陳宜廷 (1996),「罹病減輕的願付金額估計--台灣都會區與石化專業區的比較」,經濟論文,24,397-431。
葉寶文 (2002),「風險性之行為決策分析與其願付價值之研究」,東吳大學經濟學系博士論文。
Akaike, H. (1969), ‘Fitting autoregressive models for prediction’, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 21, 243-247.
Alberini, A. (1995), ‘Efficiency Vs Bias in Willingness-to-Pay Estimates: Bivariate and Interval Data Models’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 29, 169-180.
Barner, J.C., Mason, H.L. and Murray, M.D. (1999), ‘Assessment of Asthma Patients’ Willingness to Pay for and Give Time to an Asthma Self-Management Program’, Clinical Therapeutics, 21, 878-894.
Bishop, R. C. and Heberlien, T. A. (1979), ‘Contingent Values of Extra-market Goods: Are Indirect Measures Biased?’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 61, 926-930.
Bologna, S. (1987), ‘On a Bivariate Generalized Gamma Distribution’, Statistica, 47, 543-548.
Boyle, K. J., Welsh, M. P. and Bishop, R. C. (1993), ‘The Role of Question Order and Respondent Experience in Contingent Valuation Studies’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 25, S80-S99.
Cameron, T. A. (1988), ‘A New Paradigm for Valuing Non-Market Goods Using Referendum data: Maximum Likelihood Estimation by Censored Logistic Regression’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 15, 355-379.
Cameron, T. A. and Quiggin, J. (1994), ‘Estimation Using Contingent Valuation Data from a “Dichotomous Choice with Follow-up” Questionnaire’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 218-234.
Carson, R. T. (1991), ‘Constructed Market’, in Braden, J. B. and Kolstad, K. C., Eds., Measuring the Demand for Environmental Quality, North-Holland: Elsevier Science Publishers B. V.
Ciriacy-Wantrup, S. V. (1952), Resource Conservation: Economics and Policies, Berkeley: University of California Press.
Cummings, R., Brookshire, D., and Schulze, W., Eds. (1986), Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method, Totowa, NJ: Rowman and Allenheld.
Davis, R. K. (1963), ‘Recreation Planning as an Economic Problem’, Natural Resource Journal, 3, 239-249.
Gore, P.R. and Madhavan, S. (1994), ‘Consumers’ Preference and Willingness to Pay for Pharmacist Counseling of Nonprescription Medicines’, Journal of Clinical Pharmacy and Therapeutics, 19, 17-25.
Greene, W. H. (1993), Econometric Analysis, Second Ed. New York: Macmillan Publishing Co.
Hanemann, W. M., Loomis, J. B. and Kanninen, B. (1991), ‘Statistical Efficiency of Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 73, 1255-1263.
Hoehn, J. P. and Loomis, J. B. (1993), ‘Substitution Effects in the Valuation of Multiple Programs’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 25, 56-75.
Larson, R.A. (2000), ‘Patients’ Willingness to Pay for Pharmaceutical Care’, Journal of the American Pharmaceutical Association, 40, 618-624.
Mitchell, R. C. and Carson, R. T. (1989), Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method, Washington DC: Resources for the Future.
Poe, G. L., Welsh, M. P. and Champ, P. A. (1997), ‘Measuring Differences in E(WTP) when Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Responses are Not Independent’, Land Economics, 73, 255-267.
Reutzel, T.J. and Furmaga, E. (1993), ‘Willingness to Pay for Pharmacist Services in a Veterans Administration Hospital’, Journal of Research in Pharmaceutical Economics, 5, 89-114.
Riddel, M. and Loomis, J. (1998), ‘Joint Estimation of Multiple CVM Scenarios under a Double Bounded Questioning Format’, Environmental and Resource Economics, 12, 77-98.
Suh, D.C. (2000), ‘Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Pharmacy Services that Reduce the Risk of Medication-Related problems’, Journal of the American Pharmaceutical Association, 40, 818-827.
Turnbull, B. W. (1976), ‘The Empirical Distribution Function with Arbitrarily Grouped Censored and Truncated Data’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 38, 290-295.
Walsh, R. G., Loomis, J. B. and Gillman, R. A. (1984), ‘Valuing Option, Existence and Bequest Demand for Wilderness’, Land Economics, 60, 14-29.
Zethraeus, N. (1998), ‘Willingness to Pay for Hormone Replacement Therapy’, Journal of Health Economics, 7, 31-38.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
統計研究所
92354025
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923540251
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 江掁東zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 詹玉葳zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 詹玉葳zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 17-Sep-2009 18:49:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 17-Sep-2009 18:49:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 17-Sep-2009 18:49:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0923540251en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/33922-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 統計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92354025zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 利用條件評估法 (contingent valuation method) 來評估非市場財貨之市場隱含價值時,雙界二分選擇法 (doubled-bound dichotomous choice method) 為最普遍的詢價方式。近年來,藉由此詢價方式來估計受訪者心目中的願付價值 (willingness to pay) 之研究中,更將此方法推廣至同時估計兩個以上且具有相關性的非市場財貨。只是文獻中的相關探討多半忽略其間的相關性,此外所採用的模型也有可能導致估計的願付價值會有小於零的情形產生。因此,本文引進了衍生版本的Bivariate Generalized Gamma Distribution,來解決這上述兩個問題。我們並採用「竹東及朴子地區心臟血管疾病之危險因子長期追□研究」中,第五循環的「肥胖之願付價格問卷」來作實證分析。在其餘的條件不變的情況下,分析結果顯示,居住在竹東、女性、教育程度愈高、年紀愈小、體重愈重及收入愈高的受訪者會願意支付較高的金額來接受減肥的療程;此外,認為肥胖會影響工作及社交關係的受訪者也會願意支付較高的金額。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In a contingent valuation survey, it is quite often that subjects were asked to respond to more than one WTP (willingness-to-pay) scenarios. Under such a circumstance, responses provided by a subject are clearly correlated. Although the issue is well recognized in the past, in practice a popular strategy in analyzing this sort of data, however, simply ignore the issue and treat them as if they were totally uncorrelated. Concerning that WTP prices can take only non-negative values along with the issue of possible correlation, we propose an “extend bivariate generalized gamma distribution” that can be used to deal with data collected under a two-scenario situation. Applying it to the CVDFACTS study, where subjects were asked to evaluate a medication-only program as well as a medication-and-exercise program, we found that, other things being equal, female subjects, subjects residing in Chu-Dung County, subjects weigh more, subjects with younger age, higher income, and more years of schooling are willing to pay more. In addition, those who think obesity would affect their social activities would also have higher WTP prices.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 導論 1
第二章 文獻回顧 5
第三章 理論架構與實證模型 7
第四章 肥胖資料實證分析 26
第五章 結論及建議 49
參考文獻 52
附錄 56
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0923540251en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 條件評估法zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 雙界二分選擇法zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 願付價值zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) contingent valuation methoden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) doubled-bound dichotomous choice methoden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) willingness to payen_US
dc.title (題名) 二元雙界二分選擇模型下的願付價值分析zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉錦添、陳宜廷 (1996),「罹病減輕的願付金額估計--台灣都會區與石化專業區的比較」,經濟論文,24,397-431。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉寶文 (2002),「風險性之行為決策分析與其願付價值之研究」,東吳大學經濟學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Akaike, H. (1969), ‘Fitting autoregressive models for prediction’, Annals of the Institute of Statistical Mathematics, 21, 243-247.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Alberini, A. (1995), ‘Efficiency Vs Bias in Willingness-to-Pay Estimates: Bivariate and Interval Data Models’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 29, 169-180.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barner, J.C., Mason, H.L. and Murray, M.D. (1999), ‘Assessment of Asthma Patients’ Willingness to Pay for and Give Time to an Asthma Self-Management Program’, Clinical Therapeutics, 21, 878-894.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bishop, R. C. and Heberlien, T. A. (1979), ‘Contingent Values of Extra-market Goods: Are Indirect Measures Biased?’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 61, 926-930.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bologna, S. (1987), ‘On a Bivariate Generalized Gamma Distribution’, Statistica, 47, 543-548.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Boyle, K. J., Welsh, M. P. and Bishop, R. C. (1993), ‘The Role of Question Order and Respondent Experience in Contingent Valuation Studies’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 25, S80-S99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cameron, T. A. (1988), ‘A New Paradigm for Valuing Non-Market Goods Using Referendum data: Maximum Likelihood Estimation by Censored Logistic Regression’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 15, 355-379.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cameron, T. A. and Quiggin, J. (1994), ‘Estimation Using Contingent Valuation Data from a “Dichotomous Choice with Follow-up” Questionnaire’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 27, 218-234.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Carson, R. T. (1991), ‘Constructed Market’, in Braden, J. B. and Kolstad, K. C., Eds., Measuring the Demand for Environmental Quality, North-Holland: Elsevier Science Publishers B. V.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ciriacy-Wantrup, S. V. (1952), Resource Conservation: Economics and Policies, Berkeley: University of California Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cummings, R., Brookshire, D., and Schulze, W., Eds. (1986), Valuing Environmental Goods: An Assessment of the Contingent Valuation Method, Totowa, NJ: Rowman and Allenheld.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Davis, R. K. (1963), ‘Recreation Planning as an Economic Problem’, Natural Resource Journal, 3, 239-249.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gore, P.R. and Madhavan, S. (1994), ‘Consumers’ Preference and Willingness to Pay for Pharmacist Counseling of Nonprescription Medicines’, Journal of Clinical Pharmacy and Therapeutics, 19, 17-25.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Greene, W. H. (1993), Econometric Analysis, Second Ed. New York: Macmillan Publishing Co.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hanemann, W. M., Loomis, J. B. and Kanninen, B. (1991), ‘Statistical Efficiency of Double-Bounded Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation’, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 73, 1255-1263.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hoehn, J. P. and Loomis, J. B. (1993), ‘Substitution Effects in the Valuation of Multiple Programs’, Journal of Environmental Economics and Management, 25, 56-75.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Larson, R.A. (2000), ‘Patients’ Willingness to Pay for Pharmaceutical Care’, Journal of the American Pharmaceutical Association, 40, 618-624.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mitchell, R. C. and Carson, R. T. (1989), Using Surveys to Value Public Goods: The Contingent Valuation Method, Washington DC: Resources for the Future.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Poe, G. L., Welsh, M. P. and Champ, P. A. (1997), ‘Measuring Differences in E(WTP) when Dichotomous Choice Contingent Valuation Responses are Not Independent’, Land Economics, 73, 255-267.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Reutzel, T.J. and Furmaga, E. (1993), ‘Willingness to Pay for Pharmacist Services in a Veterans Administration Hospital’, Journal of Research in Pharmaceutical Economics, 5, 89-114.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Riddel, M. and Loomis, J. (1998), ‘Joint Estimation of Multiple CVM Scenarios under a Double Bounded Questioning Format’, Environmental and Resource Economics, 12, 77-98.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Suh, D.C. (2000), ‘Consumers’ Willingness to Pay for Pharmacy Services that Reduce the Risk of Medication-Related problems’, Journal of the American Pharmaceutical Association, 40, 818-827.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Turnbull, B. W. (1976), ‘The Empirical Distribution Function with Arbitrarily Grouped Censored and Truncated Data’, Journal of the Royal Statistical Society, Series B, 38, 290-295.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Walsh, R. G., Loomis, J. B. and Gillman, R. A. (1984), ‘Valuing Option, Existence and Bequest Demand for Wilderness’, Land Economics, 60, 14-29.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Zethraeus, N. (1998), ‘Willingness to Pay for Hormone Replacement Therapy’, Journal of Health Economics, 7, 31-38.zh_TW