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題名 模擬產險公司最佳化資產配置
以模擬最適的方法探討產險公司的資產配置
作者 蘇承懋
Su, Cheng Mao
貢獻者 蔡政憲
蘇承懋
Su, Cheng Mao
關鍵詞 產險業
模擬
資產配置
最佳化
重新平衡
Property-Liability insurance
Simulation
Asset Allocation
Optimal
Rebalance
日期 2004
上傳時間 2009-09-18
摘要 本文運用模擬的方法,產生產險業所面臨的損失分佈、投資資產的變動,欲得到最好的資產配置比例,並考慮重新平衡的效果,探討何種方法為產險業最好的資金運用策略。在模擬了1,000次,產生未來23年的年末資產負債表後,我們得到產險公司應如何配置其資金於:現金、股票、1-15年期債券及房地產的比例,加入重新平衡的概念,運用目標方程式的建立,最後得到一個最好的資金配置及平衡策略。
We applied simulation techniques to imitate some situations that insurance companies have handled, including loss development, asset value variations, and dynamic programming asset allocation. The asset allocation ratios and the timing of rebalancing the assets affected our objective outcomes. After simulating 23 years for 1,000 times, we find how insurance company allocates their capital in four accounts: cash, stock, fifteen kinds of maturity bonds, and real estate. We finally pointed out strategy resulted in the best outcome by comparing between single period optimal asset allocating ratios and rebalanced asset allocation ratio outcomes.
參考文獻 Brennan, M.J., E.S., Schwartz, and R. Lagnado, 1997, Strategic Asset Allocation, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21: 1377-1403.
Chang, S. C., and C. C. Chen, 2002, Allocating unfunded liability in pension valuation under uncertainty”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 30:371–387.
Cox, J. C., J. E. Ingersoll, and S. A. Ross, 1985, A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Econometrica, 53: 385-408.
Jensen, B.A., and C. C. Sorensen, 2001, Paying For Minimum Interest Rate Guarantee Who Should Compensate Who, European Financial Management, 7,183-211
Markowitz, H. M., 1952, Portfolio Selection, Journal of Finance, 7: 77-91.
Merton, R. C., 1971, Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous Time Model, Journal of Economic Theory, 3: 373-413.
Sharpe, W. F., 1964, Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk, Journal of Finance, 19: 425-442.
Sorensen, C. C., 1999, Dynamic asset allocation and fixed income management, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; Dec 1999; 34, 4, 513-531.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
風險管理與保險研究所
91358005
93
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091358005
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 蔡政憲zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 蘇承懋zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Su, Cheng Maoen_US
dc.creator (作者) 蘇承懋zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Su, Cheng Maoen_US
dc.date (日期) 2004en_US
dc.date.accessioned 2009-09-18-
dc.date.available 2009-09-18-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 2009-09-18-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0091358005en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34115-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 風險管理與保險研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91358005zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文運用模擬的方法,產生產險業所面臨的損失分佈、投資資產的變動,欲得到最好的資產配置比例,並考慮重新平衡的效果,探討何種方法為產險業最好的資金運用策略。在模擬了1,000次,產生未來23年的年末資產負債表後,我們得到產險公司應如何配置其資金於:現金、股票、1-15年期債券及房地產的比例,加入重新平衡的概念,運用目標方程式的建立,最後得到一個最好的資金配置及平衡策略。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) We applied simulation techniques to imitate some situations that insurance companies have handled, including loss development, asset value variations, and dynamic programming asset allocation. The asset allocation ratios and the timing of rebalancing the assets affected our objective outcomes. After simulating 23 years for 1,000 times, we find how insurance company allocates their capital in four accounts: cash, stock, fifteen kinds of maturity bonds, and real estate. We finally pointed out strategy resulted in the best outcome by comparing between single period optimal asset allocating ratios and rebalanced asset allocation ratio outcomes.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1. Introduction………………………….………...………………………1
2. Model and Methodology…………….……...…………………………5
2.1 Model…………………………...…………..……...………..........5
2.2 Methodology……………………....….…..……………………...11
3. Results………………………………………………………………..15
4. Conclusions and Suggestions………………………………………...26
Reference………………………………………………………………..28
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091358005en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 產險業zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 模擬zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資產配置zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 最佳化zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 重新平衡zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Property-Liability insuranceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Simulationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Asset Allocationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Optimalen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Rebalanceen_US
dc.title (題名) 模擬產險公司最佳化資產配置zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 以模擬最適的方法探討產險公司的資產配置zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brennan, M.J., E.S., Schwartz, and R. Lagnado, 1997, Strategic Asset Allocation, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 21: 1377-1403.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chang, S. C., and C. C. Chen, 2002, Allocating unfunded liability in pension valuation under uncertainty”, Insurance: Mathematics and Economics, 30:371–387.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cox, J. C., J. E. Ingersoll, and S. A. Ross, 1985, A Theory of the Term Structure of Interest Rates, Econometrica, 53: 385-408.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jensen, B.A., and C. C. Sorensen, 2001, Paying For Minimum Interest Rate Guarantee Who Should Compensate Who, European Financial Management, 7,183-211zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Markowitz, H. M., 1952, Portfolio Selection, Journal of Finance, 7: 77-91.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Merton, R. C., 1971, Optimum Consumption and Portfolio Rules in a Continuous Time Model, Journal of Economic Theory, 3: 373-413.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sharpe, W. F., 1964, Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium under Conditions of Risk, Journal of Finance, 19: 425-442.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sorensen, C. C., 1999, Dynamic asset allocation and fixed income management, Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis; Dec 1999; 34, 4, 513-531.zh_TW