Publications-Theses

題名 成長率與成長機會對盈餘持續性影響之研究
作者 鍾博文
貢獻者 戚務君
鍾博文
關鍵詞 盈餘持續性
成長
會計扭曲
Earnings persistence
Growth
Accounting distortions
日期 2006
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 09:07:14 (UTC+8)
摘要 自從Sloan (1996)以後,後續研究關於應計有較低盈餘持續性現象之解釋可分為成長因素和會計扭曲。本研究運用Fairfield et al. (2003)與Richardson et al. (2006)之模型擬針對此兩種解釋提出直接的證據,以探討該現象可否完全由成長因素解釋,且在不同成長機會本質下其解釋能力是否仍相同。實證結果發現在Fairfield et al. (2003)之模型下,若控制當期獲利水準,淨營業資產成長和次期資產報酬率會呈負相關,若進一步將淨營業資產區分為應計和長期淨營業資產成長後,發現兩者皆與次期資產報酬率呈相同的負相關,表示成長因素確實是造成應計有較低盈餘持續性的原因。而在Richardson et al. (2006)之模型下,實證結果發現若控制當期獲利水準,並將總營業應計拆解為代表經濟成長特性的「成長要素」和代表暫時性會計扭曲的「要率要素」後,發現兩者皆和次期淨營業資產報酬率呈負相關,且效率要素之負相關程度顯著的大於成長要素。表示成長因素雖可部分解釋應計之較低盈餘持續性現象,但顯然暫時性會計扭曲才是主要原因。另外,本研究為驗證成長機會對盈餘持續性之影響,再進一步將樣本依成長機會之高低分為三群,測試後發現無論在何種成長機會本質下,效率要素的負相關程度還是大於成長要素。表示即使考量不同成長機會因素後,成長因素解釋應計有較低盈餘持續性的能力還是不足暫時性會計扭曲。
參考文獻 王佑民,1995,年度盈餘資訊內容之研究-以台灣股票上市公司為實證,國立中山大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
王毅偉,1997,營業而來的運用資金及現金流量增額資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
余尚武,1986,臺灣證券市場股票上市公司盈餘宣告所含資訊內容之研究,國立臺灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。
李英麟,2002,盈餘、現金流量與應計項目預測未來現金流量能力之研究,私立中原大學會計學研究所論文。
李釗芹,2000,台灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究,私立東海大學管理研究所碩士論文。
李銘家,2006,應計數可靠性與盈餘持續性及市場反應,私立輔仁大學會計學研究所論文。
林嬋娟、蔡彥卿及李文智,1993,簡介盈餘資訊內涵,會計研究月刊第88 期:129-132。
______、______、______及陳建中,1993,資訊內涵研究之探討—簡介增額盈餘資訊內涵,會計研究月刊第89 期:123-127。
林淑玲,1991,季盈餘資訊內容—隨機優勢模式與資本資產定價模式之比較,國立政治大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
周維亮,2000,上市公司資產重估價與未來經營績效關係之研究,私立東吳大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
洪慧娟,2002,應計項目與未來現金流量預測之研究國立政治大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
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潘麗芳,2000,會計盈餘因素增額資訊內涵及評價之研究,國立中正大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
賴育芝,現金流量增額資訊內涵之探討,國立交通大學經營管理研究所碩士論文。
廖福群,2006,台灣上市公司資產成長對次年度盈餘之影響,國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
羅筱靖,2002,應計項目、現金流量與公司價值,私立中原大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
94353041
95
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094353041
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 戚務君zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鍾博文zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 鍾博文zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2006en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 09:07:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 09:07:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 09:07:14 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094353041en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34246-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94353041zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 自從Sloan (1996)以後,後續研究關於應計有較低盈餘持續性現象之解釋可分為成長因素和會計扭曲。本研究運用Fairfield et al. (2003)與Richardson et al. (2006)之模型擬針對此兩種解釋提出直接的證據,以探討該現象可否完全由成長因素解釋,且在不同成長機會本質下其解釋能力是否仍相同。實證結果發現在Fairfield et al. (2003)之模型下,若控制當期獲利水準,淨營業資產成長和次期資產報酬率會呈負相關,若進一步將淨營業資產區分為應計和長期淨營業資產成長後,發現兩者皆與次期資產報酬率呈相同的負相關,表示成長因素確實是造成應計有較低盈餘持續性的原因。而在Richardson et al. (2006)之模型下,實證結果發現若控制當期獲利水準,並將總營業應計拆解為代表經濟成長特性的「成長要素」和代表暫時性會計扭曲的「要率要素」後,發現兩者皆和次期淨營業資產報酬率呈負相關,且效率要素之負相關程度顯著的大於成長要素。表示成長因素雖可部分解釋應計之較低盈餘持續性現象,但顯然暫時性會計扭曲才是主要原因。另外,本研究為驗證成長機會對盈餘持續性之影響,再進一步將樣本依成長機會之高低分為三群,測試後發現無論在何種成長機會本質下,效率要素的負相關程度還是大於成長要素。表示即使考量不同成長機會因素後,成長因素解釋應計有較低盈餘持續性的能力還是不足暫時性會計扭曲。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄
第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究問題 3
第三節 研究流程 4
第二章 文獻探討 6
第一節 盈餘資訊內涵 6
第二節 應計和現金流量之增額資訊內涵 12
第三節 應計之較低盈餘持續性特性探討 22
第四節 成長機會與未來盈餘 30
第三章 研究方法 31
第一節 研究假說 31
第二節 應計之定義與衡量 36
第三節 其他變數定義 40
第四節 會計扭曲之影響 44
第五節 實證模型 52
第六節 資料來源與處理 56
第四章 實證結果與分析 58
第一節 敘述性統計分析 58
第二節 實證結果分析 66
第五章 研究結論與建議 74
第一節 研究結論 74
第二節 研究限制 75
第三節 研究建議 76
附錄 77
參考文獻 83

表目錄
表2- 1 盈餘資訊內涵相關文獻 8
表2- 2 應計和現金流量之增額資訊內涵相關文獻 15
表2- 3 應計之較低盈餘持續性特性探討 26
表2- 4 成長機會與未來盈餘 31
表3- 1 會計扭曲對應計數和盈餘持續性之影響(正向成長) 50
表3- 2 觀察值篩選過程 58
表4- 1各變數之敘述性統計量—模型一、二 60
表4- 2各變數的敘述性統計量—模型三、四 62
表4- 3 模型一、二各變數之相關係數矩陣 64
表4- 4 模型三、四各變數之相關係數矩陣 66
表4- 5 模型一、二之迴歸檢定結果 69
表4- 6 模型三、四之迴歸檢定結果 72
附表1會計扭曲對應計和盈餘持續性之影響(負向成長) 79
附表2 模型一、二樣本之年度及產業分佈 82
附表3 模型三、四樣本之年度及產業分佈 83

圖目錄
圖1- 1研究流程圖 4
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094353041en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 盈餘持續性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 成長zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 會計扭曲zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earnings persistenceen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Growthen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Accounting distortionsen_US
dc.title (題名) 成長率與成長機會對盈餘持續性影響之研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王佑民,1995,年度盈餘資訊內容之研究-以台灣股票上市公司為實證,國立中山大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王毅偉,1997,營業而來的運用資金及現金流量增額資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 余尚武,1986,臺灣證券市場股票上市公司盈餘宣告所含資訊內容之研究,國立臺灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李英麟,2002,盈餘、現金流量與應計項目預測未來現金流量能力之研究,私立中原大學會計學研究所論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李釗芹,2000,台灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究,私立東海大學管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李銘家,2006,應計數可靠性與盈餘持續性及市場反應,私立輔仁大學會計學研究所論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林嬋娟、蔡彥卿及李文智,1993,簡介盈餘資訊內涵,會計研究月刊第88 期:129-132。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) ______、______、______及陳建中,1993,資訊內涵研究之探討—簡介增額盈餘資訊內涵,會計研究月刊第89 期:123-127。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林淑玲,1991,季盈餘資訊內容—隨機優勢模式與資本資產定價模式之比較,國立政治大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
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