| dc.contributor.advisor | 林柏生 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Lin, Po-Sheng | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 李政德 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Lee, Cheng-Te | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 李政德 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Lee, Cheng-Te | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2005 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 18-Sep-2009 14:15:07 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 18-Sep-2009 14:15:07 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 18-Sep-2009 14:15:07 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0873515042 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35137 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 博士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國際經營與貿易研究所 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 87351504 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 94 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本論文包括三篇有關「國防經濟」相關議題之研究。此三篇研究建立隨機的內生性成長模型，進行國防經濟的成長與福利分析，整個論文的主軸及行文順序如下：第一篇文章為「國防支出、隨機成長與福利」，本文主要係延伸Barro (1990)、Turnovsky (1999) 與Gong and Zou (2003) 所提政府支出具生產力的概念，建構一個隨機的內生性成長模型，探討國防支出對於長期經濟成長率與福利水準的影響。我們發現國防支出與長期經濟成長率的關係是非線性的，並且得到使得長期經濟成長率最大時的最適國防支出比例。此外，我們也證明國防支出會透過兩種管道影響福利水準：第一種管道為國家安全效果，第二種管道為經濟成長效果。最後，本文首先提出國防支出波動程度對長期經濟成長率以及福利水準的衝擊會受到生產與國防支出干擾項的共變數以及代表性個人的風險偏好程度所影響。第二篇文章為「軍事威脅、隨機成長與福利」，本文係延伸第一篇文章的架構，加入軍事威脅的隨機過程，並建構一個隨機的內生性成長模型，除了得到第一篇文章的結論外，更得到外國軍事支出的成長與本國長期內生成長率成反比以及外國軍事支出的波動程度與本國長期內生成長率成正比的結果。此外，本文亦首先證明外國軍事支出的成長與波動程度對於福利水準與長期經濟成長率的影響是相同的。換言之，若外國軍事支出的成長與波動程度導致長期經濟成長率增加，則福利水準也會增加；反之亦然。第三篇文章為「軍事威脅、成長與福利：小型開放隨機成長模型」，本文建構一個小型開放的隨機內生性成長模型，探討外國軍事威脅對於本國長期經濟成長率與福利水準的影響。本文首先證明外國軍事威脅未預期的干擾對於本國長期經濟成長率的影響與本國是否為債權國或債務國有關。我們也首先證明外國軍事威脅的波動程度對於經濟成長率隨機過程變異數的衝擊會與本國是否為債權國或債務國以及消費的跨期替代彈性有關，即我們證明如果本國為淨債權國且消費的跨期替代彈性大於1或者如果本國為淨債務國且消費的跨期替代彈性小於1，此時若外國軍事威脅的波動程度愈大，則本國經濟成長率的隨機調整路徑愈平穩。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論 1第二章 國防支出、隨機成長與福利 41. 前言 42. 理論模型 83. 總體均衡 124. 經濟成長與國防支出 155. 福利分析 186. 結論 23附錄 25第三章 軍事威脅、隨機成長與福利 261. 前言 272. 理論模型 303. 國防支出與經濟成長 344. 外國軍事支出與經濟成長 375. 福利分析 386. 結論 42附錄 44第四章 軍事威脅、成長與福利：小型開放隨機成長模型 481. 前言 482. 理論模型 513. 軍事威脅與經濟成長 554. 經常帳與貿易餘額 575. 福利分析 586. 結論 60附錄1 63附錄2 67第五章 總結 68參考文獻 71 | zh_TW |
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| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0873515042 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 隨機內生性成長 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 國防支出 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 國家福利 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 軍事威脅 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 小型開放經濟體系 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | stochastic endogenous growth | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | military spending | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | national welfare | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | military threat | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | small open economy | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 國防經濟的成長與福利分析—隨機內生成長模型的應用 | zh_TW |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
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