| dc.contributor.advisor | 沈中華 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Chen, Zhong-Hua | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 任俊行 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Jen, Chun-Hsing | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 任俊行 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Jen, Chun-Hsing | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2005 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 18-Sep-2009 14:59:40 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 18-Sep-2009 14:59:40 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 18-Sep-2009 14:59:40 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0093932201 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35426 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 經營管理碩士學程(EMBA) | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 93932201 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 94 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 台灣期貨交易所於92年1月20日推出到期採實物交割的股票選擇權契約，希望能提供市場更豐富、更多元的避險以及套利機能。然自股票選擇權推出以來，市場成交量並未如預期般蓬勃發展，便失去台灣期貨交易所推出股票選擇權之用意，不能使其充分發揮其多元之避險套利機能。多數人主觀認為，採用現金交割方式的衍生性金融商品容易受到人為操縱。一般而言，研究市場的人為操縱因子多以報酬波動率及到期日效應作為觀察指標，因此商品之交割方式與報酬波動率及到期日效應有一定之關聯。然而近來國外許多相關研究發現，採實物交割與現金交割，對股票選擇權的到期日效應並未產生差異，反而是透過結算制度的設計，可以有效降低人為操縱的機率。本研究旨在研究股票選擇權改採現金交割之可行性分析，研究到期日採現金交割是否就是增加人為操縱機率的主要因素，且到期日效應與到期交割方式是否又有絕對的關係？而根據文獻了解，到期日報酬波動率與受人為操縱之跡象是呈現正向關係。
因此本研究對指數期貨在到期日與非到期日時對指數現貨價格以及個股股價報酬波動率的影響程度進行實證分析，以報酬波動率之異常現象判斷是否有所謂到期日效應。本研究實證結果指出，在台指期貨到期日報酬波動率和摩根台指期貨到期日的報酬波動率實證結果發現所有樣本在台指期貨到期日的報酬波動率都顯著高於摩根台指期貨到期日的報酬波動率。顯示台指期貨結算制度雖為到期日下一交易日開盤前十五分鐘個股成交量加權平均價結算，但並未有效降低異常報酬波動率的發生。根據國外研究結果發現，個股期貨能降低到期日效應之影響。此外，採實物交割與現金交割，對股票選擇權的到期日效應並未產生差異。為了降低到期日效應且提升市場的效率性，建議股票選擇權改為現金交割之外，尚可考慮開放個股期貨的交易。 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | Taiwan Futures Exchange launched stock options on January 20, 2003, hoping to provide the market with more hedging and arbitraging opportunities. However, the trading volume does not grow as was expected. The low trading volume does not meet Taiwan Futures Exchange’s goal to provide the market with hedging and arbitraging mechanism. Most people think that derivatives applying cash settlement lead to manipulation. Researchers studying manipulations take the volatility of returns and expiration effects as the factors of their studies. However, some recent studies suggest applying cash settlement or physical settlement does not have much impact on expiration effects, while applying proper settlement system can reduce manipulation.
This research investigated the possibility of stock options applying cash settlement and examined the volatility of returns of stock indexes and stock prices during settlement and non-settlement days to determine if expiration effects exist.In this study, we found the volatilities of returns of all samples during TAIFEX settlement days are significantly higher than the volatilities of returns during SIMEX settlement days. All of our samples have significant higher volatilities of returns during TAIFEX settlement days and SIMEX settlement days except CMO, which does not have significant higher volatility of returns during SIMEX settlement days. Other researches point out the adopting of stock futures reduces the expiration effects. Furthermore, adopting cash settlement or physical settlement does have much impact on expiration effects. To decrease the expiration effect and to increase the effectiveness of the market, this study proposes the adoption of cash settlement and the launching of stock futures. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論………………………………………………………………………6第一節 研究背景與動機…………………………………………………………6第二節 研究問題與研究內容…………………………………………………....11第三節 研究流程與架構…………………………………………………………15第二章 相關文獻…………………………………………………………………17第一節 股票選擇權之特性與功能………………………………………………17第二節 股票選擇權標的證券選取標準…………………………………………19第三節 到期現金交割與實物交割………………………………………………24第四節 文獻探討………………………………………………………………25第三章 研究方法………………………………………………………………28第一節 報酬率與報酬波動率…………………………………………………28第二節 到期日與非到期日………………………………………………………29第三節 台股到期日效應與報酬波動率………………………………………31第四章 實證結果與分析………………………………………………………32第一節 樣本資料選取……………………………………………………………32第二節 原始序列及敘述統計量…………………………………………………32第三節 到期日十五分鐘平均報酬波動率之檢定……………………………34第四節 實證結果整理…………………………………………………………80第五章 結論與建議……………………………………………………………82第一節 結論……………………………………………………………………82第二節 研究建議…………………………………………………………………85參考文獻……………………………………………………………………………87 | zh_TW |
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| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093932201 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 股票選擇權 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 現金交割 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 到期日效應 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 報酬波動率 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | stock options | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | cash settlement | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | expiration effect | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | volatility of return | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 股票選擇權採現金交割之可行性分析 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | The Possibility Analysis of Adopting Cash Settlement for Stock Options in Taiwan Market | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中文部分 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1. 王淑惠、吳承康、邱文昌、許鈴佩、陳錫琪，「我國股票選擇權之制度規劃」，證券暨期貨管理，第二十一卷，第三期，民國91年。 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 3. 吳鎮宏，「大額委託單對台股指數期貨最後結算價之影響」，高雄第一科技大學金融營運研究所碩士論文，民國93年。 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 英文部分 | zh_TW |
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