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題名 個別估價與大量估價準確性之研究
The Study on Accuracy of Appraisers and Mass Appraisal
作者 楊依蓁
Young, I-Jan
貢獻者 陳奉瑤
Chen, Fung-Yiao
楊依蓁
Young, I-Jan
關鍵詞 估值準確性
個別估價
大量估價
accuracy of valuation
appraiser
mass appraisal
日期 2005
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 16:17:08 (UTC+8)
摘要 隨著電腦及統計模型的發展、原本用於稅賦評估工具的大量估價逐漸受到重視。美國更利用完善的國家層級資料,將大量估價改良為自動估價模型(Automated Valuation Model, AVM)。由於估值估算快速、成本低廉及龐大的資料庫等優點,受到美國私部門的歡迎。另一方面,不動產市場仍有存在著個別估價的客觀性的質疑,而估價行為學也證實了個別估價有偏離估價程序的可能。市場上存在著兩者的支持者,但由於兩者特性迥然不同,甚難比較。

本研究以一致的資料庫及衡量標準,將交易價格做為市場價值表徵,以估值的準確性作為衡量兩者的準則,找出兩者的特性及適用範圍。實證結果顯示當勘估標的數量達到一定程度,可忽略不動產的異質性時,個別估價與大量估價準確性並沒有顯著的差異。但個別估價準確性的分配較大量估價集中、且偏誤程度也較低。個別估價較不受不動產特性的影響,適用的範圍較廣;而大量估價較易受到不動產特性影響,適用範圍視資料庫的內容而定。另一方面,個別估價的估價認知具有時間性,表示不動產估價師需更新估價認知,以保持高度的估值準確性。此說明了國內不動產市場的變化快速及國內不動產估價師的專業能力。
With the development of computer and statistical model, the mass appraisal as assessment tool has been paid attention gradually. Americans utilize the national data to develop Automated Valuation Models (AVMs).For its advantages of faster valuation , less cost and huge database, mass appraisal is used as assessment but also appraisal tool . On the other hand, the real estate market stills have query with objectivity of individual appraisers. The study of appraisers’ behavior suggest that the possibility of deviate from standard procedure of appraising. In a matter of fact, the real state market is filled with supporters of appraisers and mass appraisals. Because of these different characteristic, it’s difficult to compare with.

This research will trade selling-prices to seek for the market value form with unanimous database and criterion, regard accuracy of valuation as and weigh the criterion of the two, and find out the characteristic of the two and scope of application .Although the result showed that the accuracy is no difference between appraiser and mass appraisal significantly when the amount of real estates is large enough to neglect heterogeneity. Compare with mass appraisal, the distribution of appraiser’s accuracy is more centralized and the standard deviation is smaller. The accuracy of appraiser is steady, and the scope of application is relatively wide. But the accuracy of mass appraisal is affected by the characteristic of real estate, and the scope of application depends on content of the database.On the other hand, the appraisal cognition has timeliness, it shows appraiser needs to upgrade the appraise cognition and the market condition , in order to keep the valuation accuracy of the height. This has stated the fast-change market and domestic the professional ability of appraisers.
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of Reading.
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Measurement: Reply, Journal of Valuation, vol.4
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Valuaton Uncertainty and the Millison Report,
Journal of Property Research,vol.15, pp1-13.
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Valuations: Perception and Reality, CATA.
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Property Valuation Variation and the “Margin of
Error” in UK, Journal of Property Research, vol.15
Iss.4, pp1-13.
9. Clapp, J. M.,1990, A Methodology for Constructing
Vacant Land Price Indices, AREUEA Journal, vol.18
Iss.3, pp274-293.
10. Dell, G., 2004, AVMs: The Myth and the Reality;the
Problem and the Solution, Valuation Insights and
Perspectives, vol. 9 Iss. 3, pp12-17.
11. Diaz, J. , 1990a, How Appraisers do Their Work: a
Test of the Appraisal Process and the Development of
a Descriptive Model, The Journal of Real Estate
Research, vol.5 Iss.1, pp1-15.Diaz, J., 1990b, The
Process of selecting Comparable Sales , The Appraisal
Journal, vol.4, pp533-540.
12. Diaz, J., Gallimore, P. and Levy, D., 2004,
Multicultural Examination of Valuation Behaviour,
Journal of Property Investment and Finance, vol.22
no4, pp339-346.
13. Evans, A. W.,1995, The Property Market: Ninety Per
Cent Efficient?, Urban Studies, vol.32 Iss.1, pp5-
29.
14. Fisher, J. D. ,2002, Real Time Valuation, Journal of
Property Investment and Finanace, vol.20 Iss.3, pp
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Academic Publishers,Norwell, Massachusetts.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政研究所
93257013
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093257013
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 陳奉瑤zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chen, Fung-Yiaoen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 楊依蓁zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Young, I-Janen_US
dc.creator (作者) 楊依蓁zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Young, I-Janen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 16:17:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 16:17:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 16:17:08 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0093257013en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/35878-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 地政研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93257013zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 隨著電腦及統計模型的發展、原本用於稅賦評估工具的大量估價逐漸受到重視。美國更利用完善的國家層級資料,將大量估價改良為自動估價模型(Automated Valuation Model, AVM)。由於估值估算快速、成本低廉及龐大的資料庫等優點,受到美國私部門的歡迎。另一方面,不動產市場仍有存在著個別估價的客觀性的質疑,而估價行為學也證實了個別估價有偏離估價程序的可能。市場上存在著兩者的支持者,但由於兩者特性迥然不同,甚難比較。

本研究以一致的資料庫及衡量標準,將交易價格做為市場價值表徵,以估值的準確性作為衡量兩者的準則,找出兩者的特性及適用範圍。實證結果顯示當勘估標的數量達到一定程度,可忽略不動產的異質性時,個別估價與大量估價準確性並沒有顯著的差異。但個別估價準確性的分配較大量估價集中、且偏誤程度也較低。個別估價較不受不動產特性的影響,適用的範圍較廣;而大量估價較易受到不動產特性影響,適用範圍視資料庫的內容而定。另一方面,個別估價的估價認知具有時間性,表示不動產估價師需更新估價認知,以保持高度的估值準確性。此說明了國內不動產市場的變化快速及國內不動產估價師的專業能力。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) With the development of computer and statistical model, the mass appraisal as assessment tool has been paid attention gradually. Americans utilize the national data to develop Automated Valuation Models (AVMs).For its advantages of faster valuation , less cost and huge database, mass appraisal is used as assessment but also appraisal tool . On the other hand, the real estate market stills have query with objectivity of individual appraisers. The study of appraisers’ behavior suggest that the possibility of deviate from standard procedure of appraising. In a matter of fact, the real state market is filled with supporters of appraisers and mass appraisals. Because of these different characteristic, it’s difficult to compare with.

This research will trade selling-prices to seek for the market value form with unanimous database and criterion, regard accuracy of valuation as and weigh the criterion of the two, and find out the characteristic of the two and scope of application .Although the result showed that the accuracy is no difference between appraiser and mass appraisal significantly when the amount of real estates is large enough to neglect heterogeneity. Compare with mass appraisal, the distribution of appraiser’s accuracy is more centralized and the standard deviation is smaller. The accuracy of appraiser is steady, and the scope of application is relatively wide. But the accuracy of mass appraisal is affected by the characteristic of real estate, and the scope of application depends on content of the database.On the other hand, the appraisal cognition has timeliness, it shows appraiser needs to upgrade the appraise cognition and the market condition , in order to keep the valuation accuracy of the height. This has stated the fast-change market and domestic the professional ability of appraisers.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論…………………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究動機與目的………………………………………………1
第二節 研究方法與流程………………………………………………3
第三節 研究限制與範圍………………………………………………5
第二章 文獻回顧……………………………………………………………7
第一節 個別估價專業能力與實際估價行為…………………………7
第二節 大量估價之內涵與相關研究……………………………….16
第三節 個別估價與大量估價比較之文獻………………………….20
第三章 研究設計……………………………………………………………23
第一節 研究設計…………………………………………………….23
第二節 委託個別估價之設計……………………………………….31
第三節 建立大量估價模型之設計………………………………….34
第四章 實證分析……………………………………………………………49
第一節 大量估價與個別估價結果之比較………………………….49
第二節 個別估價之準確性分析…………………………………….53
第三節 大量估價之準確性分析…………………………………….64
第五章 結論與建議…………………………………………………………75
第一節 結論………………………………………………………….75
第二節 建議………………………………………………………….79
參考文獻………………………………………………………………………81
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093257013en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 估值準確性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 個別估價zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 大量估價zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) accuracy of valuationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) appraiseren_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) mass appraisalen_US
dc.title (題名) 個別估價與大量估價準確性之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Study on Accuracy of Appraisers and Mass Appraisalen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Black, R. and Diaz, J., 1996,The Use of Informationzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Versus Asking Price in the Real Property Negotiationzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Process, Journal of Property Research, vol.13 no.2,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) pp287-297.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Bloom, G.F. and Harrison, H.S., 1978, Appraising thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Single Family Residence, American Institution of Realzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Estate, Chicago.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Blundell, G.F. and Ward, C.W.R , 1999, The Accuracyzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) of Valuation-Expectation and Reality Unpublishedzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Paper, Department of Land Management, The Universityzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) of Reading.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Brown, G.,1985, Property Investment and Performancezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Measurement: Reply, Journal of Valuation, vol.4zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Iss.1, pp33-44.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Brown, G., Matysiak, G.A. and Shepherd, M., 1998,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Valuaton Uncertainty and the Millison Report,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Property Research,vol.15, pp1-13.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Cole, R.,1988, A New Look at Commercial Real Estatezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Returns, Ph.D.Dissertation, University of Northzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Carolina at Chapel Hill. Ann Arbor, MI, Universityzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Microfilms International.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Collateral Assessment and Technologies Committee,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2005, System Risks in Residential Propertyzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Valuations: Perception and Reality, CATA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Crosby, N., Lavers, A. and Murdoch, J., 1998,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Property Valuation Variation and the “Margin ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Error” in UK, Journal of Property Research, vol.15zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Iss.4, pp1-13.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Clapp, J. M.,1990, A Methodology for Constructingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Vacant Land Price Indices, AREUEA Journal, vol.18zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Iss.3, pp274-293.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Dell, G., 2004, AVMs: The Myth and the Reality;thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Problem and the Solution, Valuation Insights andzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Perspectives, vol. 9 Iss. 3, pp12-17.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Diaz, J. , 1990a, How Appraisers do Their Work: azh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Test of the Appraisal Process and the Development ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) a Descriptive Model, The Journal of Real Estatezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Research, vol.5 Iss.1, pp1-15.Diaz, J., 1990b, Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Process of selecting Comparable Sales , The Appraisalzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal, vol.4, pp533-540.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Diaz, J., Gallimore, P. and Levy, D., 2004,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Multicultural Examination of Valuation Behaviour,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Property Investment and Finance, vol.22zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) no4, pp339-346.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Evans, A. W.,1995, The Property Market: Ninety Perzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cent Efficient?, Urban Studies, vol.32 Iss.1, pp5-zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 29.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Fisher, J. D. ,2002, Real Time Valuation, Journal ofzh_TW
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