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題名 Default Risk Management of Credit Derivatives with HJM Model
作者 胡伯聖
Hu, Bo-shen
貢獻者 胡聯國
胡伯聖
Hu, Bo-shen
關鍵詞 Default Risk
Credit Derivatives
日期 2002
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 18:55:01 (UTC+8)
摘要 債券信用風險的規避,一直以來是學者有興趣研究的課題,本篇研究以HJM模型去衡量信用風險, 透過市場資料的輸入,去衡量違約程度,並對信用風險相關之衍生性金融商品作出適當的評價,以求規避信用風險.
Abstract
     In this study, we combine credit valuation approaches developed by Jarrow&Turnbull (1995)、Duffie&Singleton (1999)、Schonbucher (2000) to execute a default pricing methodology under H.J.M default intensity structure. We can use market data such as defaultable yield rate and its volatility to measure credit risk, however, because of the close form in our model, the comparative static analysis for parameters can be done. At last, after introducing the survivor probability measure, we can extend to price default related derivatives.
參考文獻 Reference
1. Bjorn Flesaker (Dec., 1993), Testing the Heath-Jarrow-Morton/Ho-Lee Model of Interest Rate Contingent Claims Pricing,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 28, No. 4. pp. 483-495.
2. Darrell Duffie; Mark Schroder; Costis Skidas (1996), Recursive Valuation of Defaultable Securities and The Timing of Resolution of Uncertainty,The Annals of Applied Probability, Vol. 6, No. 4pp. 1075-1090
3. Darrell Duffie; Ming Huang (1996) :” Swap Rates and Credit Quality” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 51, No. 3, pp. 921-949.
4. Darrell Duffie; Kenneth J. Singleton (1997)”An Econometric Model of the Term Structure of Interest-Rate Swap Yields”The Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, No. 4. pp. 1287-1321.
5. Darrell Duffie; Kenneth J. Singleton (1999) Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds ,The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 12, No. 4. pp. 687-720.
6. Didder Cossin and Hugues Pirotte,” Advanced Credit Risk Analysis”Ch8 Credit Risk of Derivatives,P113~144;Ch21 Financial structuring with credit derivatives,P301~320
7. Eric Briys; Francois de Varenne (1997), Valuing Risky Fixed Rate Debt: An Extension,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 2.pp. 239-248.
8. Eric S. Rosengren (Mar., 1993),Defaults of Original Issue High-Yield Convertible Bonds,The Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, No. 1 , pp. 345-362.
9. Franklin R. Edwards( 1999)Hedge Funds and the Collapse of Long-Term Capital Management ,The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 189-210.
10. Francis A. Longstaff; Eduardo S. Schwartz (Jul., 1995), A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 789-819.
11. Gregory R. Duffee (1999)” Estimating the Price of Default Risk” The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 12, No. 1. pp. 197-226.
12. Health D, Jarrow R, and Merton A(1992), Bond pricing and the term structure of Interest rates, Econometrica,60,pp77~105
13. Ian A. Cooper; Antonio S. Mello (1991), The Default Risk of Swaps,The Journal of Finance, Vol. 46, No. 2. pp. 597-620.
14. John S. Strong(Aug., 1989), The Market Valuation of Credit Market Debt Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 21, No. 3. , pp. 307-320.
15. Jarrow R. and Turnbull S (1995), Modeling Term Structure of Defaultable Bonds, The Jiurnal of Finance 50,53~86
16. Jose Guedes; Tim Opler (1996),The Determinants of the Maturity of Corporate Debt IssuesThe Journal of Finance, Vol. 51, No. 5 pp. 1809-1833.
17. Kenneth A. Froot; David S. Scharfstein; Jeremy C. Stein(1993)”Risk Management: Coordinating Corporate Investment and Financing Policies” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, No. 5., pp. 1629-1658.
18. Koji Inui; Masaaki Kijima. (Sep., 1998), A Markovian Framework in Multi-Factor Heath-Jarrow-Morton Models,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 33, No. 3. pp. 423-440.
19. Madan D. and Unal H (1999), A Two Factor Hazard Rate Model for pricing Risky Debt and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads, The Journal of Financial and Quantative Analysis34,PP48~65
20. Michael J. Barclay; Clifford W. Smith, Jr. (1995)”The Maturity Structure of Corporate Debt” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 2 pp. 609-631.
21. Myron S. Scholes (1998), Derivatives in a Dynamic Environment,The American Economic Review, Vol. 88, No. 3. pp. 350-370.
22. Robert A. Jarrow; Stuart M. Turnbull (1995) :” Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk”The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 1. pp. 53-85.
23. Rebecca S. Demsetz; Philip E. Strahan(Aug., 1997),Diversification, Size, and Risk at Bank Holding Companies,Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 29, No. 3. pp. 300-313.
24. Schonbucher P.J (1996),Valuation of Securities subject to credit Risk; (2000), The pricing of Credit Risk and Credit Risk Derivatives, working paper
25. Stijn Claessens; George Pennacchi (1996), Estimating the Likelihood of Mexican Default from the Market Prices of Brady Bonds,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 31, No. 1,pp. 109-126.
26. Tomasz R. Bielecki and Marek Rutkowski, “Credit Risk: Modeling,Valuation and Hedging”,Chap 13 Heath-Jarrow-Morton Type Models,pp385~422
27. Zhou C (1997), A Jump-Diffusion Approach to Modeling Credit Risk and Valuing Defaultable Securities, Financial and Economics Discussion PaperSeries,Board of Governors of the Fedaral Reserva System
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
90351030
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351030
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 胡聯國zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 胡伯聖zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Hu, Bo-shenen_US
dc.creator (作者) 胡伯聖zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Hu, Bo-shenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 18:55:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 18:55:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 18:55:01 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0090351030en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36587-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 90351030zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 債券信用風險的規避,一直以來是學者有興趣研究的課題,本篇研究以HJM模型去衡量信用風險, 透過市場資料的輸入,去衡量違約程度,並對信用風險相關之衍生性金融商品作出適當的評價,以求規避信用風險.zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Abstract
     In this study, we combine credit valuation approaches developed by Jarrow&Turnbull (1995)、Duffie&Singleton (1999)、Schonbucher (2000) to execute a default pricing methodology under H.J.M default intensity structure. We can use market data such as defaultable yield rate and its volatility to measure credit risk, however, because of the close form in our model, the comparative static analysis for parameters can be done. At last, after introducing the survivor probability measure, we can extend to price default related derivatives.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Contents
     
     1 Introduction ~………………………………………………1
     
     1.1 Research Purpose and structure ……………………………………..1
     1.2 Bond Market ……………………………………………………………3
     
     
     2 Credit Risk Related Model ~…………………………….. 4
     
     2.1 Firm Value Model……………………………………………………… 4
     2.2 No arbitrage pricing model……………………………………………. 8
     2.3 Default Intensity Model…………………………………………………9
     2.4 Reduced Form Model…………………………………………………. 11
     
     
     3 H.J.M. Model For Default Intensity ~……………………13
     
     3.1 Traditional H.J.M (no default risk interest rate)……………………. 13
     3.2 H.J.M With Credit Spread……………………………………………. 15
     3.3 The Stochastic Process of Bond Price Fluctuation and the Yield Rate with Default Risk ……………………………………………………………16
     
     
     
     4 The Introduction and Valuation of Credit Derivatives
     with HJM model …………………………………………..22
     
     4.1 The Default Protect Put (DPP) ………………………………………..25
     4.2 The Credit Default Swap (CDS)……………………………………… 26
     4.3 The valuation of Credit Default Swap Contracts under Different Risk Structure ………………………………………………………………28
     
     
     5 Conclusion 34
     
     Reference 36
     
     Appendix 39
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0090351030en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Default Risken_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Credit Derivativesen_US
dc.title (題名) Default Risk Management of Credit Derivatives with HJM Modelzh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Referencezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Bjorn Flesaker (Dec., 1993), Testing the Heath-Jarrow-Morton/Ho-Lee Model of Interest Rate Contingent Claims Pricing,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 28, No. 4. pp. 483-495.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Darrell Duffie; Mark Schroder; Costis Skidas (1996), Recursive Valuation of Defaultable Securities and The Timing of Resolution of Uncertainty,The Annals of Applied Probability, Vol. 6, No. 4pp. 1075-1090zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Darrell Duffie; Ming Huang (1996) :” Swap Rates and Credit Quality” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 51, No. 3, pp. 921-949.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Darrell Duffie; Kenneth J. Singleton (1997)”An Econometric Model of the Term Structure of Interest-Rate Swap Yields”The Journal of Finance, Vol. 52, No. 4. pp. 1287-1321.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Darrell Duffie; Kenneth J. Singleton (1999) Modeling Term Structures of Defaultable Bonds ,The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 12, No. 4. pp. 687-720.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Didder Cossin and Hugues Pirotte,” Advanced Credit Risk Analysis”Ch8 Credit Risk of Derivatives,P113~144;Ch21 Financial structuring with credit derivatives,P301~320zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Eric Briys; Francois de Varenne (1997), Valuing Risky Fixed Rate Debt: An Extension,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 32, No. 2.pp. 239-248.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Eric S. Rosengren (Mar., 1993),Defaults of Original Issue High-Yield Convertible Bonds,The Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, No. 1 , pp. 345-362.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Franklin R. Edwards( 1999)Hedge Funds and the Collapse of Long-Term Capital Management ,The Journal of Economic Perspectives, Vol. 13, No. 2, pp. 189-210.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Francis A. Longstaff; Eduardo S. Schwartz (Jul., 1995), A Simple Approach to Valuing Risky Fixed and Floating Rate Debt, The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 3, pp. 789-819.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Gregory R. Duffee (1999)” Estimating the Price of Default Risk” The Review of Financial Studies, Vol. 12, No. 1. pp. 197-226.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Health D, Jarrow R, and Merton A(1992), Bond pricing and the term structure of Interest rates, Econometrica,60,pp77~105zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Ian A. Cooper; Antonio S. Mello (1991), The Default Risk of Swaps,The Journal of Finance, Vol. 46, No. 2. pp. 597-620.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. John S. Strong(Aug., 1989), The Market Valuation of Credit Market Debt Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 21, No. 3. , pp. 307-320.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Jarrow R. and Turnbull S (1995), Modeling Term Structure of Defaultable Bonds, The Jiurnal of Finance 50,53~86zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Jose Guedes; Tim Opler (1996),The Determinants of the Maturity of Corporate Debt IssuesThe Journal of Finance, Vol. 51, No. 5 pp. 1809-1833.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Kenneth A. Froot; David S. Scharfstein; Jeremy C. Stein(1993)”Risk Management: Coordinating Corporate Investment and Financing Policies” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 48, No. 5., pp. 1629-1658.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Koji Inui; Masaaki Kijima. (Sep., 1998), A Markovian Framework in Multi-Factor Heath-Jarrow-Morton Models,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 33, No. 3. pp. 423-440.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Madan D. and Unal H (1999), A Two Factor Hazard Rate Model for pricing Risky Debt and the Term Structure of Credit Spreads, The Journal of Financial and Quantative Analysis34,PP48~65zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Michael J. Barclay; Clifford W. Smith, Jr. (1995)”The Maturity Structure of Corporate Debt” The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 2 pp. 609-631.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Myron S. Scholes (1998), Derivatives in a Dynamic Environment,The American Economic Review, Vol. 88, No. 3. pp. 350-370.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Robert A. Jarrow; Stuart M. Turnbull (1995) :” Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk”The Journal of Finance, Vol. 50, No. 1. pp. 53-85.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Rebecca S. Demsetz; Philip E. Strahan(Aug., 1997),Diversification, Size, and Risk at Bank Holding Companies,Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, Vol. 29, No. 3. pp. 300-313.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Schonbucher P.J (1996),Valuation of Securities subject to credit Risk; (2000), The pricing of Credit Risk and Credit Risk Derivatives, working paperzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Stijn Claessens; George Pennacchi (1996), Estimating the Likelihood of Mexican Default from the Market Prices of Brady Bonds,The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, Vol. 31, No. 1,pp. 109-126.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Tomasz R. Bielecki and Marek Rutkowski, “Credit Risk: Modeling,Valuation and Hedging”,Chap 13 Heath-Jarrow-Morton Type Models,pp385~422zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. Zhou C (1997), A Jump-Diffusion Approach to Modeling Credit Risk and Valuing Defaultable Securities, Financial and Economics Discussion PaperSeries,Board of Governors of the Fedaral Reserva Systemzh_TW