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題名 Credit Spread Dynamics and Default Correlation
作者 聶怡婷
Nieh, Camille
貢獻者 胡聯國<br>林修葳
聶怡婷
Nieh, Camille
關鍵詞 信用價差
違約相關
credit spread
default correlation
SWARCH
日期 2003
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 18:55:31 (UTC+8)
摘要 本篇論文主為信用價差之時間序列研究,及其和違約相關性之間之互動關係研究。發現信用價差之水準值及波動性,都具有兩個明顯不同的狀態期間,另發現信用價差和違約相關系數之間存在正向關係,且信用價差之高低波動狀態和景氣呈現反向變動。
In this paper, I empirically investigate the dynamics of credit spread with regime switching analysis. The finding exhibits evidence of two distinctive volatility as well as mean regimes for credit spread changes. Moreover, I document (1) that the volatility of credit spread positively corresponds to default correlation and (2) that lower (higher) volatility regimes corresponds to boom (bust) state of economy.
參考文獻 Bierens, Herman, Huang, Jing-zhi and Kong, Weipgen, 2003, An Econometric Model of Credit Spreads with Rebalancing, ARCH and Jump Effects, Working Paper Series
Franklin, Allen and Gale, Douglas, 2000, Financial Contagion, Journal of Political Economy, Vol 108, 1-33
Hamilton JD, and Susmel, Raul 1994, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Changes in Regime, Journal of Econometrics, 64, 307-333
Hansen, B. E., 1992, The Likelihood Ratio Test Under Nonstandard Conditions-Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 7, S61-S82
Garcia, Rene, 1998, Asymptotic Null Distribution of The Likelihood Ratio Test In Markov Switching Model, International Economic Review, Vol. 39, No. 3, 763-788
Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro and John Moore, 1997, Credit Chains, Working Paper Series
Redrosa, Monica and Roll, Richard 1998, Systematic Risk in Corporate Bond Credit Spreads, Journal of Fixed Income, December, 7-26
Van Horne, James C., 1997, Financial Marketing Rates and Flows, Prentice Hall, Fifth Edition
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
國際經營與貿易研究所
g91351033
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091351033
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 胡聯國<br>林修葳zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 聶怡婷zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Nieh, Camilleen_US
dc.creator (作者) 聶怡婷zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Nieh, Camilleen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 18:55:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 18:55:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 18:55:31 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0091351033en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36591-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國際經營與貿易研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) g91351033zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本篇論文主為信用價差之時間序列研究,及其和違約相關性之間之互動關係研究。發現信用價差之水準值及波動性,都具有兩個明顯不同的狀態期間,另發現信用價差和違約相關系數之間存在正向關係,且信用價差之高低波動狀態和景氣呈現反向變動。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) In this paper, I empirically investigate the dynamics of credit spread with regime switching analysis. The finding exhibits evidence of two distinctive volatility as well as mean regimes for credit spread changes. Moreover, I document (1) that the volatility of credit spread positively corresponds to default correlation and (2) that lower (higher) volatility regimes corresponds to boom (bust) state of economy.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents ABSTRACT ………………………………………………………………3
      I.INTRODUCTION …………………………………………………… 4
      II.DATA ……………………………………………………………… 8
      III.EMPIRICAL RESULTS
      1.Volatility of Credit Spread Dynamics ……………………9
      2.Relationship Between Volatility of Credit Spread and
      Default Correlation …………………………………………12
      3.Implications ………………………………………………… 17
      IV.CONCLUSION ………………………………………………………19
     REFERENCE …………………………………………………………… 28
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091351033en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 信用價差zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 違約相關zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) credit spreaden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) default correlationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) SWARCHen_US
dc.title (題名) Credit Spread Dynamics and Default Correlationzh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bierens, Herman, Huang, Jing-zhi and Kong, Weipgen, 2003, An Econometric Model of Credit Spreads with Rebalancing, ARCH and Jump Effects, Working Paper Serieszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Franklin, Allen and Gale, Douglas, 2000, Financial Contagion, Journal of Political Economy, Vol 108, 1-33zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hamilton JD, and Susmel, Raul 1994, Autoregressive Conditional Heteroskedasticity and Changes in Regime, Journal of Econometrics, 64, 307-333zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hansen, B. E., 1992, The Likelihood Ratio Test Under Nonstandard Conditions-Testing the Markov Switching Model of GNP, Journal of Applied Econometrics, Vol. 7, S61-S82zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Garcia, Rene, 1998, Asymptotic Null Distribution of The Likelihood Ratio Test In Markov Switching Model, International Economic Review, Vol. 39, No. 3, 763-788zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kiyotaki, Nobuhiro and John Moore, 1997, Credit Chains, Working Paper Serieszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Redrosa, Monica and Roll, Richard 1998, Systematic Risk in Corporate Bond Credit Spreads, Journal of Fixed Income, December, 7-26zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Van Horne, James C., 1997, Financial Marketing Rates and Flows, Prentice Hall, Fifth Editionzh_TW