dc.contributor.advisor | 郭炳伸<br>林信助 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 張惠玲 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | 張惠玲 | zh_TW |
dc.date (日期) | 2004 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 18-Sep-2009 18:56:35 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 18-Sep-2009 18:56:35 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 18-Sep-2009 18:56:35 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0913510131 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36599 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國際經營與貿易研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 91351013 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 93 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | In most of the empirical research about the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), estimation of the condition at short horizons rejects this theoretical proposition and presents just opposite outcome, while estimation at long horizons reports more consistent results with the proposition. Based on the belief that permanent components may convey more information in the UIP condition, we adopt in this thesis the permanent-transitory decomposition approach introduced by Gonzalo and Granger (1995) to estimate the common long memory components of interest rates and that of exchange rate. We then re-evaluate the UIP condition using the decomposed permanent and transitory parts, respectively. Our results reinforce the stylized facts existing in the literature, while it remains to be answered why empirical evidence does not favor the UIP condition. | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | In most of the empirical research about the uncovered interest rate parity (UIP), estimation of the condition at short horizons rejects this theoretical proposition and presents just opposite outcome, while estimation at long horizons reports more consistent results with the proposition. Based on the belief that permanent components may convey more information in the UIP condition, we adopt in this thesis the permanent-transitory decomposition approach introduced by Gonzalo and Granger (1995) to estimate the common long memory components of interest rates and that of exchange rate. We then re-evaluate the UIP condition using the decomposed permanent and transitory parts, respectively. Our results reinforce the stylized facts existing in the literature, while it remains to be answered why empirical evidence does not favor the UIP condition. | en_US |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1 Introduction 3 2 Methodology 6 3 Data and Empirical Results 9 4 Re-examination of the performance of the UIP condition 12 5 Conclusion 17 List of Tables 1 The results of the UIP estimation . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20 2 Estimation of Cointegration Structure . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 22 3 Re-examination of the UIP condition after decomposition . . . 32 4 Summary of the Unit Root Test . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33 List of Figures 1 The time series plot of the decomposed interest rates . . . . . 25 2 The time series plot of the decomposed exchange rates . . . . 30 | zh_TW |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0913510131 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | UIP | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | decomposition | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | Accounting for Uncovered Interest Rate Parity - The Permanent and Transitory Decomposition Approach | zh_TW |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [1] Alexius, A. (2001), \\Uncovered Interest Parity Revisited," Review of In- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | ternational Economics, 9(3), pp.505-517. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [2] Bekaert, G., M. Wei and Y. Xing (2002), \\Uncovered Interest Rate Parity | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | and the Term Structure," NBER Working Paper No.8795, February. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [3] Beveridge, S. and C. R. Nelson (1981), \\A New Approach to Decomposi- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | tion of Economic Time Series into Permanent and Transitory Components | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | with Particular Attention to Measurement of the "Business Cycle`," Jour- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | nal of Monetary Economics, 7, pp.151-174. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [4] Chinn, M. D. and G. Meredith (2003), \\Monetary Policy and Long- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Horizon Uncovered Interest Parity," forthcoming, IMF Sta® Papers. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [5] Chinn, M. D. and G. Meredith (2002), \\Testing Uncovered Interest Parity | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | at Short and Long Horizons during the Post-Bretton Woods Era," UCSC | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Center for International Economics Working Paper, June. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [6] Froot, K. A. and R. H. Thaler (1990), \\Anomalies: Foreign Exchange," | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Journal of Economic Perspectives, 4(3), Summer, pp.179-192. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [7] Gonzalo, J. and C. Granger (1995), \\Estimation of Common Long- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Memory Components in Cointegrated Systems," Journal of business & | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | economic statistics, Jan., 13(1), pp.27-35. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [8] Johansen, S. (1988), \\Statistical Analysis of Cointegration Vectors," Jour- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | nal of Economic Dynamics and Control, 12, pp.231-254. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [9] Johansen, S. and K. Juselius (1990), \\Maximum Likelihood Estimation | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | and Inference on Cointegration- with Applications to the Demand for | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Money," Oxford Bulletin of Economics and Statistics, 52(2), pp.169-210. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [10] MacDonald, R. and M. P. Taylor (1992), \\Exchange Rate Economics: A | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | survey," IMF Sta® Papers, 39(1), pp.1-57. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [11] Marey, P. S. (2004), \\Uncovered Interest Parity Tests and Exchange Rate | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Expectations," Working Papers, ROA, Maastricht University. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [12] McCallum, B. T. (1994), \\A Reconsideration of the Uncovered Interest | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Parity Relationship," Journal of Monetary Economics, 33, pp.105-132. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [13] Meredith, G. and Y. Ma (2002), \\The Forward Premium Puzzle Revis- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | ited," IMF Working Papers 02/28, November. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [14] Quah, D. (1992), \\The Relative Importance of Permanent and Transitory | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Components: Identi‾cation and some Theoretical Bounds," Economet- | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | rica, 60, pp.107-118. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [15] Popper, H. (1993), \\Long-Term Covered Interest Parity: Evidence from | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Currency Swaps," Journal of International Money and Finance, 12, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pp.439-448. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | [16] Stock, J. H. and M. W. Watson (1988), \\Testing for common trends," | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Journal of the American Statistical Association, 83, pp.1097-1107. | zh_TW |