dc.contributor.advisor | 傅承德<br>翁久幸 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | Fuh, Cheng-Der<br>Weng, Chiu-Hsing | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 林士貴 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Lin, Shih-Kuei | en_US |
dc.creator (作者) | 林士貴 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | Lin, Shih-Kuei | en_US |
dc.date (日期) | 2003 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 18-Sep-2009 19:08:37 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 18-Sep-2009 19:08:37 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 18-Sep-2009 19:08:37 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0088354503 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36657 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 博士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 統計研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 88354503 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 92 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 為了改進Black-Scholes模式的實證現象,許多其他的模型被建議有leptokurtic特性以及波動度聚集的現象。然而對於其他的模型分析的處理依然是一個問題。在本論文中,我們建議使用馬可夫跳躍擴散過程,不僅能整合leptokurtic與波動度微笑特性,而且能產生波動度聚集的與長記憶的現象。然後,我們應用Lucas的一般均衡架構計算選擇權價格,提供均衡下當跳躍的大小服從一些特別的分配時則選擇權價格的解析解。特別地,考慮當跳躍的大小服從兩個情況,破產與lognormal分配。當馬可夫跳躍擴散模型的馬可夫鏈有兩個狀態時,稱為轉換跳躍擴散模型,當跳躍的大小服從lognormal分配我們得到選擇權公式。使用轉換跳躍擴散模型選擇權公式,我們給定一些參數下研究公式的數值極限分析以及敏感度分析。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | To improve the empirical performance of the Black-Scholes model, many alternative models have been proposed to address the leptokurtic feature of the asset return distribution, and the effects of volatility clustering phenomenon. However, analytical tractability remains a problem for most of the alternative models. In this dissertation, we propose a Markov jump diffusion model, that can not only incorporate both the leptokurtic feature and volatility smile, but also present the economic features of volatility clustering and long memory. Next, we apply Lucas`s general equilibrium framework to evaluate option price, and to provide analytical solutions of the equilibrium price for European call options when the jump size follows some specific distributions. In particular, two cases are considered, the defaultable one and the lognormal distribution. When the underlying Markov chain of the Markov jump diffusion model has two states, the so-called switch jump diffusion model, we write an explicit analytic formula under the jump size has a lognormal distribution. Numerical approximations of the option prices as well as sensitivity analysis are also given. | en_US |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 1. INTRODUCTION ...... 1 1.1 The Black-Scholes model ...... 3 1.2 The jump diffusion model ...... 5 1.3 The Markov jump diffusion model ...... 6 1.4 Comparison with other models ...... 9 2. GENERAL FRAMEWORK OF THE MODEL ...... 14 2.1 Structure and assumptions ...... 15 2.2 Markov modulated Poisson processes ...... 21 3. EMPIRICAL PERFORMANCE ...... 27 3.1 Leptokurtic and clustering features...... 27 3.2 Long memory phenomenon ...... 34 4. OPTION PRICING: THEORY ...... 41 4.1 General equilibrium for Markov jump diffusion models .. 44 4.2 Option pricing ...... 49 5. OPTION PRICING: NUMERICAL ANALYSIS ...... 57 5.1 Volatility smile and surface ...... 57 5.2 Approximation of option prices ...... 60 5.3 Sensitivity analysis ...... 64 6. CONCLUSIONS AND FUTURE RESEARCHES ...... 67 REFERENCE ...... 69 | zh_TW |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0088354503 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 均衡分析 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 歐式選擇權 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 拉氏倒轉變換 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 長記憶 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 馬可夫跳躍擴散模型 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 馬可夫控制瓦松過程 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 數值倒轉方法 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 換跳躍擴散過程 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 變波動聚集 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 波動度微笑 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Equilibrium analysis | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | European call option | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Laplace inverse transform | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Leptokurtic | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Long memory | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Markov jump diffusion model | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Markov modulated Poisson process | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Numerical inversion method | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Switch jump diffusion model | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Volatility clustering | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Volatility smile | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | Empirical Performance and Asset Pricing in Markov Jump Diffusion Models | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | 馬可夫跳躍擴散模型的實證與資產定價 | zh_TW |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Abate, J. and Whitt, W. (1992). Numerical inversion of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | probability generating functions. Operations Research Letters. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vol. 12, 245-251. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Andersen, L. and Andreasen, J. (2000). Volatility skews and extensions of the libor market model. Applied Mathematical Finance. Vol. 7, 1-32. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Andersen, T. (1996). Return volatility and trading volume: an | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | information flow interpretation of stochastic volatility. it Journal of Finance. Vol. 51, 169-204. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Attari, M. (1999). Discontinuous interest rate processes: | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | An equilibrium model for bond option prices. The Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis. Vol. 34, 293-322. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bardorff-Nielsen, O. E. and Cox, D. R. (1989). Asymptotic Techniques for Use | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | in Statistics. Chapman and Hall, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bjork, T., Kabanov, Y. and Runggaldier, W. (1997). Bond market structure | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | in the presence of Marked point processes, Mathematical Finance. Vol. 7, 211-239. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Black, F. and Scholes, M. (1973). | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The pricing of options and corporate liabilities. Journal of Political Economy. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vol. 81, 637-654. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bollerslev, T. (1986). Generalized autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Journal of Econometrics. Vol. 31, 307-327. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bollerslev, T., Engle, R. F. and Nelson, D. B. (1994). ARCH models. Handbook of Econometrics. Vol. 4, 2959-3038. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Boyle, P., Broadie, M. and Glasserman, P. (1997). Simulation methods | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | for security pricing. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. Vol 21, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1267-1321. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Clark, P. K. (1973). Asubordinated stochastic process model with finite | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | variance for speculative prices. Econometrica. Vol. 41, 131-155. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cochrane, J. H. (2001). Asset Pricing. Princeton University Press, Princeton. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cox, J., Ingersoll, E. and Ross, S. A. (1985). A theory of the term structure | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | of interest rates. Econometrica. Vol. 53, 385-407. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cox, J. and Ross, S. (1976). The valuation of options for alternative stochastic processes. Journal of Financial Economics. Vol. 3, 145-166. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Das, S. R. and Foresi, S. (1996). Exact solutions for bond and option prices | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | with systematic jump risk. Review Derivatives Research. Vol. 1, 7-24. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Davydov, D. and Linetsky, V. (2001). The valuation and hedging of path-dependent | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | options under the CEV process. Management Science. Vol. 47, 949-965. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Diebold, F. X. and Inoue, A. (2001). Long memory and regime switching. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Journal of Econometrics. Vol. 105, 131-159. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Di Masi, G. B., Kabanov, Yu, M., and Runggaldier, W. J. (1994). | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Mean-variance hedging of options on stocks with Markov volatility. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Theory of Probability and Its Applications, vol 39, 173-181. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Duan, J. C. (1995). The $GARCH$ option pricing model. Mathematical Finance. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vol. 5, 13-32. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Duffie, D. (2001). Dynamic Asset Pricing Theory. Princeton University Press, Princeton. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Duffie, D., Pan, J. and Singleton, K. (2000). Transform analysis and option | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | pricing for affine jump-diffusions. Econometrica. Vol. 68, 1343-1376. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Duffie, D. and Singleton, K. (1999). Modeling term structures of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | defaultable bonds. Review of Financial Studies. Vol. 12, 687-720. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Elliot, R. J. and Kopp, P. E. (1999). Mathematics of Financial Markets. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Spinger, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Engle, R. (1982). Autoregressive conditional heteroscedasticity | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | with estimates of the variance of U.K. inflation. Econometrica. Vol. 50, 987-1008. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Fuh, C. D., Hu, I. and Lin, S. K. (2002). Empirical performance and asset pricing in hidden Markov models. Communications in Statistics : Theory and Methods. Vol. 32, 2479-2514. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Geweke, J., and Porter-Hudak, S. (1983). The estimation and application of long-memory time series models. {Journal of Time Series Analysis. Vol. 4, 221-238. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ghysels, E., Harvey, A. C. and Renault, E. (1996). Stochastic volatility. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Handbook of Statistics. Vol. 14, 119-191. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Glasserman, P. and Kou, S. G. (2003). The term structure of simple | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | forward rates with jump risk. Mathematical finance. Vol. 13, 383-410. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Grunewald, B. and Trautmann, S. (1996). | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Option Hedging in the Presence of Jump Risk. Johannes Gutenberg-Universit\\"{at Mainz, Germany. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hamilton, J. D. (1988). Rational-expectations econometric analysis of changes in regime: an investigation of term structure of interest rates. Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control. Vol 12, 385-423. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hamilton, J. D (1989). A new approach to the economic analysis of nonstationary | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | time series and the business cycle. Econometrica. Vol. 57, 357-384. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hamilton, J. D. (1994). Time Series Analysis. Princeton University Press, Princeton. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Harrison, J. M. and Kreps, D. M. (1979). Mattingales and arbitrage in securities markets. Journal of Economic Theory. Vol. 20, 381-408. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Heston, S. L. (1993). A closed-form solution for options with stochastic volatility with | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | applications to bond and currency options. Review of Financial Studies. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vol. 6, 327-343. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Heston, S. L., and Nandi, S. A (2000). A closed-form $GARCH$ option valuation | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Model. Review of Financial Studies. Vol. 13, 585-625. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Heyde, C. C. and Yang, Y. (1997). On defining long range dependence. Journal of | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Applied probability. Vol. 34, 939-944. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hull, J. C. (2002). Options, Futures, and Other Derivative Securities. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Prentice Hall, New Jersey. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hull, J. C. and White, A. (1987). The pricing of options on assets with stochastic volatilities. Journal of Finance. Vol 42, 281-300. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Karatzas, I. and Shreve, S. (1998). Methods of Mathematical Finance. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Springer-Verlag, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kou, S. G. (2002). A jump diffusion model for option pricing. Management Science. Vol. 48, 1086-1101. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Last, G. and Brandt, A. (1995). Marked Point Processes on the Real Line: | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Dynamic Approach. Springer-Verlag, New York. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Lucas, R. E. (1978). Asset prices in an exchange economy. Econometrica. Vol. 46, 1429-1445. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Mandelbrot, B. (1963). The variation of certain speculative prices. Journal of Business. Vol. 36, 394-419. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Merton, R. C. (1973). Theory of rational option pricing. Bell Journal of Economics and Management Science. Vol. 4, 141-183. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Merton, R. C. (1976). Option pricing when underlying stock returns are discontinuous. Journal of Financial Economics. Vol. 3, 125-144. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Naik, V. and Lee, M. (1990). General equilibrium pricing of options on the market portfolio with discontinuous return. Review of Financial Studies. Vol. 3, 493-521. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Robinson, P. M. (1994). Semiparametric analysis of long-memory time series. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Annals of Statistics. Vol. 22, 515-539. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Robinson, P. M. (1995), Gaussian semiparametric estimation of long range dependence. Annals of Statistics. Vol. 23, 1630-1661. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ross, S. M. (1999). An Introduction to Mathematical Finance: Option and Other Topics. Cambridge University Press, Cambridge. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Samuelson, P. A. (1973). Mathematics of speculative price. SIAM Review. Vol. 15, 1-42. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Shephard, N. (1996). Statistical aspects of $ARCH$ and stochastic volatility. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Time Series Models in Econometrics, Finance and Other Fields. Vol. 1, 1-67. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Shiryaev, A. N. (1999). Essentials of Stochastic Finance: Facts, Models, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Theory. World Scientific, Singapore. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Stokey, N. L. and Lucas, R. E. (1989). Recursive Methods in Economic Dynamics. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Harvard University Press, Cambridge. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Stein, E. M. and Stein, C. J. (1991). Stock prices distribution with stochastic volatility, an analytic approach. Review of Financial Studies. Vol. 4, 727-752. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Taylor, S. J. (1982). Financial returns modeled by the product of two stochastic processes-a study of the daily sugar prices 1961-1975. Time Series Analysis: Theory and Practice. Vol. 1, 203-226. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Taylor, S. J. (1986). Modeling Financial Time Series. John Wiley, Chichester. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Taylor, S. J. (1994). Modelling stochastic volatility. Mathematical Finance. Vol 4, 183-204. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wiggins, J. B. (1987). Option values under stochastic volatility: | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | theory and empirical estimates. Journal of Financial Economics. Vol. 19, 351-372. | zh_TW |