學術產出-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

  • No doi shows Citation Infomation
題名 台灣壽險業從事房屋抵押貸款之風險研究
On the mortgage risk of the life insurance industry in Taiwan
作者 魏勝育
Way, Sung-Eat
貢獻者 鄭濟世
Cheng, Chi-Shih
魏勝育
Way, Sung-Eat
日期 2002
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 19:25:50 (UTC+8)
摘要 近三年來,在央行連續降息十三次之後,短期之利率水準已低於百分之三,使得台灣壽險業面臨「利差損」之風險日益擴大,因應不善恐有失卻清償能力之虞。在保險法第一百四十六條保險業資金運用之「投資組合」規範下,本研究選取壽險業從事安全性較高、收益性較穩定之房貸業務做風險之研究;而房貸市場自「指數型房貸」成為主流之後,不僅打破「傳統型房貸」之「基本放款利率」的窠臼,並演進成銀行業與壽險業爭相競逐房貸市場,其激烈程度已是國內金融市場四十年來之首見,而其間之風險正是本研究之重點;本研究綜合文獻探討、房貸市場之現況分析以及壽險業從事房貸業務之個案研究,作出以下二點結論。
(1)資產運用之風險,已成為壽險業經營成敗之關鍵
「利差損」唯有靠投資收益來彌補,資金運用能力佳,才能達到收益之穩定度、安全性之目標;因此審慎評估各項資產之優劣點、風險種類,就變得格外之重要。
(2)房貸行銷策略之修訂,採行「差異化市場區隔策略」
房貸之風險包括提前償還、違約以及回收等三種。造成這些風險主要之因素有二,即房屋淨值小於房貸餘額與支付能力縮減;當其一存在時,違約風險已然升高,當兩者並存違約必然發生;中南部之房價貶落約三成以上,家庭平均所得縮幅2.5%,失業率在5%之上;壽險業在此區域所承作之房貸戶大部份屬於中下階層,其潛藏之違約風險偏高;基於擴大房貸規模、業務與財務結合與保戶服務等考量之下,無法全面停止承作,則採行「差異化市場區隔策略」,以優於本區域一般房貸之條件,引進優質之目標顧客族群,例如軍公教族群、優良企業員工、律師、醫師以及會計師等等。如此才能降低違約風險,提昇房貸收益之穩定性。
關鍵字:利差損、投資組合、資產運用、指數型房貸、基本放款利率、差異化市場區隔策略。提前償還、違約、回收。
After the Central Bank adjusted interest rates thirteen times in the last three years , the short-term interest standard has dropped to 3-----/o. This drop in interest rate greatly increases the interest loss risk for the life insurance sectors. Without proper counter measures, insurance companies may be forced to run their business in a destructive manner. Under the Article 146 guidelines addressed in the Insurance Law, this thesis focuses on a risk analysis of low-risk but steady overturn mortgage business. The `exponential mortgage` has become the mainstream mortgage calculation. This method encourages market sharing between the banking and life insurance industries. This has not been observed in the past 40 years. This thesis draws two conclusions through literature review, mortgage market analysis and case studies.
1.The risk involved in capital investment has become the key component
determining success in the life insurance business. Interest lost can only be recovered through well-planned capital investment to eventually fulfill the low-risk, stability goal. Hence, assessing of the pros- and-cons of various capitals and risk controls the turnover rate.
2.Marketing strategies should use the differentiated marketing concept.
Mortgage risk consists of prepayment, default and recovery. The sources that initiate the risk include low the mortgage net value versus debt ratio and reduction in payments. The default risk increases as one of the above increases. Default risk definitely appears when both mechanisms exist.
The current real estate value has devalued over 30%. The average income per household has decreased 2.5% and the unemployment rate has reached 5% in Mid-south Taiwan. This has increased the risk for default for the life insurance industry. From the viewpoint of business management, a differentiated marketing strategy is an essential step to take with favorable mortgage packages designed for white-collar workers in the civil and military services, education, law, accounting, and medical professionals. Under the differentiation concept, reduction in the default risk and stable profits are possible.
Key words ioss of interest insurance Law life insurance industries aprepayment, default and recovery default risk exponential mortgage differentiated marketing strategy
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
風險管理與保險研究所
88358022
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G91NCCU2212012
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 鄭濟世zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Cheng, Chi-Shihen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 魏勝育zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Way, Sung-Eaten_US
dc.creator (作者) 魏勝育zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Way, Sung-Eaten_US
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 19:25:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 19:25:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 19:25:50 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G91NCCU2212012en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36746-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 風險管理與保險研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 88358022zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 近三年來,在央行連續降息十三次之後,短期之利率水準已低於百分之三,使得台灣壽險業面臨「利差損」之風險日益擴大,因應不善恐有失卻清償能力之虞。在保險法第一百四十六條保險業資金運用之「投資組合」規範下,本研究選取壽險業從事安全性較高、收益性較穩定之房貸業務做風險之研究;而房貸市場自「指數型房貸」成為主流之後,不僅打破「傳統型房貸」之「基本放款利率」的窠臼,並演進成銀行業與壽險業爭相競逐房貸市場,其激烈程度已是國內金融市場四十年來之首見,而其間之風險正是本研究之重點;本研究綜合文獻探討、房貸市場之現況分析以及壽險業從事房貸業務之個案研究,作出以下二點結論。
(1)資產運用之風險,已成為壽險業經營成敗之關鍵
「利差損」唯有靠投資收益來彌補,資金運用能力佳,才能達到收益之穩定度、安全性之目標;因此審慎評估各項資產之優劣點、風險種類,就變得格外之重要。
(2)房貸行銷策略之修訂,採行「差異化市場區隔策略」
房貸之風險包括提前償還、違約以及回收等三種。造成這些風險主要之因素有二,即房屋淨值小於房貸餘額與支付能力縮減;當其一存在時,違約風險已然升高,當兩者並存違約必然發生;中南部之房價貶落約三成以上,家庭平均所得縮幅2.5%,失業率在5%之上;壽險業在此區域所承作之房貸戶大部份屬於中下階層,其潛藏之違約風險偏高;基於擴大房貸規模、業務與財務結合與保戶服務等考量之下,無法全面停止承作,則採行「差異化市場區隔策略」,以優於本區域一般房貸之條件,引進優質之目標顧客族群,例如軍公教族群、優良企業員工、律師、醫師以及會計師等等。如此才能降低違約風險,提昇房貸收益之穩定性。
關鍵字:利差損、投資組合、資產運用、指數型房貸、基本放款利率、差異化市場區隔策略。提前償還、違約、回收。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) After the Central Bank adjusted interest rates thirteen times in the last three years , the short-term interest standard has dropped to 3-----/o. This drop in interest rate greatly increases the interest loss risk for the life insurance sectors. Without proper counter measures, insurance companies may be forced to run their business in a destructive manner. Under the Article 146 guidelines addressed in the Insurance Law, this thesis focuses on a risk analysis of low-risk but steady overturn mortgage business. The `exponential mortgage` has become the mainstream mortgage calculation. This method encourages market sharing between the banking and life insurance industries. This has not been observed in the past 40 years. This thesis draws two conclusions through literature review, mortgage market analysis and case studies.
1.The risk involved in capital investment has become the key component
determining success in the life insurance business. Interest lost can only be recovered through well-planned capital investment to eventually fulfill the low-risk, stability goal. Hence, assessing of the pros- and-cons of various capitals and risk controls the turnover rate.
2.Marketing strategies should use the differentiated marketing concept.
Mortgage risk consists of prepayment, default and recovery. The sources that initiate the risk include low the mortgage net value versus debt ratio and reduction in payments. The default risk increases as one of the above increases. Default risk definitely appears when both mechanisms exist.
The current real estate value has devalued over 30%. The average income per household has decreased 2.5% and the unemployment rate has reached 5% in Mid-south Taiwan. This has increased the risk for default for the life insurance industry. From the viewpoint of business management, a differentiated marketing strategy is an essential step to take with favorable mortgage packages designed for white-collar workers in the civil and military services, education, law, accounting, and medical professionals. Under the differentiation concept, reduction in the default risk and stable profits are possible.
Key words ioss of interest insurance Law life insurance industries aprepayment, default and recovery default risk exponential mortgage differentiated marketing strategy
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論-----1
1.1 研究動機與目的-----1
1.2 研究範圍與限制-----2
1.3 研究方法與流程-----2
1.3.1 研究方法-----2
1.3.2 研究流程-----3

第二章 房屋抵押貸款相關文獻討論-----6
2.1 住宅金融之定位與相關文獻探討-----6
2.2 房屋抵押貸款之信用風險與文獻探討-----9
2.3 國內金融機構舞弊手法-----17

第三章 壽險業資全運用與各主要投資工具之比較-----9
3.1 壽險業之資全運用-----19
3.2 壽險業主要投資工具之較-----30
3.3 實施RBC制度對台灣壽險業資金運用之影響-----39

第四章 台灣壽險業從事房屋抵押貸款之風險研究-----47
4.1 台灣房貸市場之概況-----47
4.2 壽險業從事房貸業務之概況-----57

第五章 個案研究-----63
5.1 個案研究(一)-----63
5.2 個案研究(二)-----77

第六章 結論與建議-----92
6.1 結論-----92
6.2 建議-----94
6.3 對後續研究者之建議-----96

參考文獻-----97


表2-1 國內銀行近期拍賣不良資產與洽談案件表-----16
表3-1 台灣壽險業資金運用概況表-----21
表3-2 美國壽險業資產運用表-----28
表3-3 美國壽險業貸款細目及不良貸款率表-----29
表3-4 法定保險業資金運用比例限制表-----32
表3-5 台灣房貸、股票、公債之平均報酬率及標準差-----33
表3-6 90年底主要壽險業投資不動產及國外投資比較表-----35
表3-7 90年底台灣前廿大壽險公司投資收益率-----37
表3-8 風險基礎資本比之監理行動表-----43
表4-1 90年底台灣金融機構房貸概況表-----48
表4-2 主要金融機構與壽險公司指數型房貸利率一覽表-----53
表4-3 壽險業與銀行業之SWOT分析-----60
表5-1 CA人壽91年度經營目標-----64
表5-2 CA人壽放款行銷體系-----67
表5-3 CA人壽保戶優惠利率-----69
表5-4 CA人壽主要商品彙總表-----70
表5-5 CA人壽各種房貸貸限表-----71
表5-6 CA人壽90年度利息收入與催收比例-----73
表5-7 CA人壽91年上半年放款總額-----74
表5-8 CA人壽91年上半年利息收入-----74
表5-9 放款件與法拍件比較分析表-----79
表5-10 七人人壽台南縣市不同職業類別之法拍比例-----84
表5-11 法拍件理論統計表-----85
表5-12 七八人壽台南縣市法拍件貸款經過期間分析表-----88
表5-13 房貸本息攤還表-----90

圖1-1 台灣壽險業從事房屋抵押貸款之風險研究流程圖-----5
圖4-1 各利率指標走勢圖-----51
圖5-1 CA人壽放款組織架構圖-----65
圖5-2 CA人壽台南縣市放款件職業分佈圖-----82
圖5-3 CA人壽台南縣市法拍件分佈圖-----89
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G91NCCU2212012en_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣壽險業從事房屋抵押貸款之風險研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) On the mortgage risk of the life insurance industry in Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen