Publications-Theses

題名 會計盈餘在債券市場的角色
The role of accounting earnings in the bond market
作者 陳明良
貢獻者 戚務君
陳明良
關鍵詞 會計盈餘
債券報酬率
債券交易量
Earnings
bond return
trading volume
日期 2008
上傳時間 18-Sep-2009 20:05:35 (UTC+8)
摘要 過去文獻主要探討會計資訊於股票市場的影響, 少部分國外文獻研究盈餘於債券市場有用性之結果並不一致, 但國內並無相關研究。 本文研究2000年至2008年臺灣上市櫃公司的公司債公開發行市場, 以債券報酬率與債券交易量作為研究會計資訊有用性的度量(metrics), 實證結果證實盈餘發布後, 債券交易量確實增加, 但進一步的分析顯示, 控制不同公司特性與債券特性後, 當期盈餘水準與未預期盈餘皆無法有效地解釋債券報酬率與債券交易量, 對於會計盈餘在債券市場有用性的探討, 尚待未來進一步之研究。
Prior studies regarding the effects of earnings have been primarily focused within the context of stock markets. The effects on bond markets have been studied considerably less; moreover, what little research that does exist is solely in foreign markets. Two metrics, returns and trading volume, are used to gauge the influence of earnings announcements for Taiwan corporate bonds between 2000 and 2008. Findings suggest that bond trading volume changes positively shortly following earnings announcements. However, after controlling firm and bond characteristics,
unexpected earnings and current earnings level can not effectively explain the behavior in bond prices and volume. More research is needed to explain the informativeness of earnings in the corporate bond market.
參考文獻 王月玲, 1994, 會計資訊內涵之研究-報酬預測模式與盈餘組成分子之關聯性, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
王彧疆, 1999, 我國上市公司發行可轉換公司債之研究, 國立政治大學企業管理學系未出版碩士論文。
江明潔, 2000, 可轉換公司債績效與盈餘管理之關聯性研究, 國立中正大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文。
李釗芹, 1990, 臺灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究, 私立東海大學企管研究所未出版碩士論文。
李清松, 2004, 臺灣地區普通公司債發行條件之研究, 淡江大學管理科學研究所企業經營碩士在職專班未出版碩士論文。
吳明政、蔡幼群、林佳錡, 2006, 可轉換公司債贖回對股票報酬率影響與成因之探討, 企業管理學報, 第69期(6月): 135-168。
林問一、楊和利, 2003, 發行國內可轉換公司債與國外可轉換公司債對標的物公司股票的影響, 朝陽商管評論, 第二卷(1): 91-110。
黃子芬, 1994, 季盈餘宣告對交易量影響之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
程心瑤、蔡宜芬, 2006, 分析師預測與管理當局預測對於企業評價之相對有用性: 發佈時機與先後順序, 會計評論, 第42期(1月): 81-107。
彭火樹, 2005, 股價與盈餘關係之研究: 盈餘與權益帳面價值定式問題之再考量, 會計評論, 第40期(1月): 69-90。
黃柏松, 2001, 盈餘與股票報酬非線性關係之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
曾建勝, 1993, 上市公司股票價格的資訊內涵-季盈餘的實證, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
詹家昌、許哲源, 2004, 從盈餘修正宣告觀察交易量之資訊內涵, 台灣管理學刊, 第四卷(1): 85-106。
楊朝成、陳宏銓、劉任昌, 2006, 臺灣可轉換公司債市場異常報酬之研究, 朝陽商管評論, 第五卷(2): 1-20。
鄭雅文, 1993, 盈餘宣告時點與股價報酬關聯性之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
謝銘偉, 2000, 概估盈餘與公告盈餘不一致對股價影響之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。
證券櫃檯買賣中心債券部, 2006, 國內債券市場之發展現況與近年來制度之變革, 證券櫃檯月刊, 第117期(3月): 12-15。
Ahmed, A., B. K. Billings, R. M. Morton, and M. S. Harris. 2002. The role of accounting conservatism in mitigating bondholder-shareholder conflicts over dividend policy and in reducing cost of debt. The Accounting Review 77(4) : 867-890.
Ali, A., S. Klasa, and O. Z. Li. 2008. Institutional stakeholdings and better-informed traders at earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics 46(June) : 47-61.
Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6(2): 159-177.
Bamber, L. S. 1986. The information content of annual earnings releases: a trading volume approach. Journal of Accounting Research 24(1): 40-56.
Bamber L. S., and Y. S. Cheon. 1995. Differential price and volume reactions to accounting earnings announcements. The Accounting Review 70(3): 417-441.
Basu, S. 1997. The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics 24(June) : 3-37.
Beaver, W. H. 1968. The information content of annual earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting Research 6: 67-92.
Brown, S., K. Lo, and T. Lys. 1999. Use of $R^2$ in accounting research: measuring changes in value relevance over the last four decades. Journal of Accounting Research 28(October): 83-115.
Datta, S., and U. S. Dhillon. 1993. Bond and stock market response to unexpected earnings announcements.
Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 28(4): 565-577.
DeFond, M., and J. Zhang. 2008. The information content of earnings surprises in the corporate bond market. Working paper, University of Southern California.
Dhaliwal, D. S., and S. S. Reynolds. 1994. The effect of the default risk of debt on the earnings response coefficient. The Accounting Review 69(2): 412-419.
Dontoh, A., S. Radhakrishnan, and J. Ronen. 2004. The declining value-relevance of accounting information and non-information-based trading:
an empirical analysis. Contemporary Accounting Research 21(4) : 795-812.
Easton, P. D., and T. S. Harris. 1991. Earnings as an explanatory variable for returns.
Journal of Accounting Research 29(1) : 19-36.
Easton, P. D., F. P. Vasvari, and S. J. Monahan. 2007. Some initial evidence on the role of accounting earnings in the bond market. Working paper, University of Notre Dame, INSEAD, and London Business School.
Jiang, J. X. 2008. Beating earnings benchmarks and the cost of debt. The Accounting Review 83(2) : 377-416.
Landsman, W. R., and E. L. Maydew. 2002. Has the information content of quarterly earnings announcements declined in the past three decades. Journal of Accounting Reserach 40(3) : 797-808.
Plummer, C. E., and S. Tse. 1999. The effect of limited liability on the informativeness of earnings: evidence from stock and bond markets. Contemporary Accounting Research 16(3) : 541-574.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
96353032
97
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096353032
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 戚務君zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 陳明良zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 陳明良zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2008en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-Sep-2009 20:05:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-Sep-2009 20:05:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-Sep-2009 20:05:35 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0096353032en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36900-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96353032zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 過去文獻主要探討會計資訊於股票市場的影響, 少部分國外文獻研究盈餘於債券市場有用性之結果並不一致, 但國內並無相關研究。 本文研究2000年至2008年臺灣上市櫃公司的公司債公開發行市場, 以債券報酬率與債券交易量作為研究會計資訊有用性的度量(metrics), 實證結果證實盈餘發布後, 債券交易量確實增加, 但進一步的分析顯示, 控制不同公司特性與債券特性後, 當期盈餘水準與未預期盈餘皆無法有效地解釋債券報酬率與債券交易量, 對於會計盈餘在債券市場有用性的探討, 尚待未來進一步之研究。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Prior studies regarding the effects of earnings have been primarily focused within the context of stock markets. The effects on bond markets have been studied considerably less; moreover, what little research that does exist is solely in foreign markets. Two metrics, returns and trading volume, are used to gauge the influence of earnings announcements for Taiwan corporate bonds between 2000 and 2008. Findings suggest that bond trading volume changes positively shortly following earnings announcements. However, after controlling firm and bond characteristics,
unexpected earnings and current earnings level can not effectively explain the behavior in bond prices and volume. More research is needed to explain the informativeness of earnings in the corporate bond market.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 1 緒論 1
1.1 研究動機與目的. . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 1
1.2 論文架構 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 7

2 文獻探討 8
2.1 會計盈餘與證券報酬率 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 8
2.2 會計盈餘與證券交易量 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 12
2.3 國內其它債券市場文獻 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 14
2.4 公司債發行實務 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 15

3 研究設計與方法 18
3.1 研究假說 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 18
3.2 研究變數之設計 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 20
3.3 實證模型與研究方法 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 25
3.4 研究期間、樣本與資料來源 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 27

4 實證研究結果 31
4.1 樣本描述 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 31
4.2 債券報酬樣本 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 33
4.3 債券交易樣本 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 41
4.4 敏感性分析 . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . . 50

5 結論與建議 53

附錄 54

參考文獻 55
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0096353032en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 會計盈餘zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 債券報酬率zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 債券交易量zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Earningsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) bond returnen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) trading volumeen_US
dc.title (題名) 會計盈餘在債券市場的角色zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The role of accounting earnings in the bond marketen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王月玲, 1994, 會計資訊內涵之研究-報酬預測模式與盈餘組成分子之關聯性, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王彧疆, 1999, 我國上市公司發行可轉換公司債之研究, 國立政治大學企業管理學系未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 江明潔, 2000, 可轉換公司債績效與盈餘管理之關聯性研究, 國立中正大學會計研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李釗芹, 1990, 臺灣上市公司自行宣告盈餘資訊內涵之研究, 私立東海大學企管研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李清松, 2004, 臺灣地區普通公司債發行條件之研究, 淡江大學管理科學研究所企業經營碩士在職專班未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳明政、蔡幼群、林佳錡, 2006, 可轉換公司債贖回對股票報酬率影響與成因之探討, 企業管理學報, 第69期(6月): 135-168。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林問一、楊和利, 2003, 發行國內可轉換公司債與國外可轉換公司債對標的物公司股票的影響, 朝陽商管評論, 第二卷(1): 91-110。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃子芬, 1994, 季盈餘宣告對交易量影響之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 程心瑤、蔡宜芬, 2006, 分析師預測與管理當局預測對於企業評價之相對有用性: 發佈時機與先後順序, 會計評論, 第42期(1月): 81-107。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 彭火樹, 2005, 股價與盈餘關係之研究: 盈餘與權益帳面價值定式問題之再考量, 會計評論, 第40期(1月): 69-90。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃柏松, 2001, 盈餘與股票報酬非線性關係之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 曾建勝, 1993, 上市公司股票價格的資訊內涵-季盈餘的實證, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 詹家昌、許哲源, 2004, 從盈餘修正宣告觀察交易量之資訊內涵, 台灣管理學刊, 第四卷(1): 85-106。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊朝成、陳宏銓、劉任昌, 2006, 臺灣可轉換公司債市場異常報酬之研究, 朝陽商管評論, 第五卷(2): 1-20。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭雅文, 1993, 盈餘宣告時點與股價報酬關聯性之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 謝銘偉, 2000, 概估盈餘與公告盈餘不一致對股價影響之研究, 國立臺灣大學會計學研究所未出版碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 證券櫃檯買賣中心債券部, 2006, 國內債券市場之發展現況與近年來制度之變革, 證券櫃檯月刊, 第117期(3月): 12-15。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ahmed, A., B. K. Billings, R. M. Morton, and M. S. Harris. 2002. The role of accounting conservatism in mitigating bondholder-shareholder conflicts over dividend policy and in reducing cost of debt. The Accounting Review 77(4) : 867-890.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ali, A., S. Klasa, and O. Z. Li. 2008. Institutional stakeholdings and better-informed traders at earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting and Economics 46(June) : 47-61.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ball, R., and P. Brown. 1968. An empirical evaluation of accounting income numbers. Journal of Accounting Research 6(2): 159-177.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bamber, L. S. 1986. The information content of annual earnings releases: a trading volume approach. Journal of Accounting Research 24(1): 40-56.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bamber L. S., and Y. S. Cheon. 1995. Differential price and volume reactions to accounting earnings announcements. The Accounting Review 70(3): 417-441.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Basu, S. 1997. The conservatism principle and the asymmetric timeliness of earnings. Journal of Accounting and Economics 24(June) : 3-37.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. H. 1968. The information content of annual earnings announcements. Journal of Accounting Research 6: 67-92.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Brown, S., K. Lo, and T. Lys. 1999. Use of $R^2$ in accounting research: measuring changes in value relevance over the last four decades. Journal of Accounting Research 28(October): 83-115.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Datta, S., and U. S. Dhillon. 1993. Bond and stock market response to unexpected earnings announcements.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis 28(4): 565-577.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) DeFond, M., and J. Zhang. 2008. The information content of earnings surprises in the corporate bond market. Working paper, University of Southern California.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dhaliwal, D. S., and S. S. Reynolds. 1994. The effect of the default risk of debt on the earnings response coefficient. The Accounting Review 69(2): 412-419.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dontoh, A., S. Radhakrishnan, and J. Ronen. 2004. The declining value-relevance of accounting information and non-information-based trading:zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) an empirical analysis. Contemporary Accounting Research 21(4) : 795-812.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Easton, P. D., and T. S. Harris. 1991. Earnings as an explanatory variable for returns.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Journal of Accounting Research 29(1) : 19-36.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Easton, P. D., F. P. Vasvari, and S. J. Monahan. 2007. Some initial evidence on the role of accounting earnings in the bond market. Working paper, University of Notre Dame, INSEAD, and London Business School.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jiang, J. X. 2008. Beating earnings benchmarks and the cost of debt. The Accounting Review 83(2) : 377-416.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Landsman, W. R., and E. L. Maydew. 2002. Has the information content of quarterly earnings announcements declined in the past three decades. Journal of Accounting Reserach 40(3) : 797-808.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Plummer, C. E., and S. Tse. 1999. The effect of limited liability on the informativeness of earnings: evidence from stock and bond markets. Contemporary Accounting Research 16(3) : 541-574.zh_TW