學術產出-學位論文

題名 台灣產物保險業費率自由化、市場競爭與核保績效
Deregulation,Market Competition and Underwriting Performance in Taiwan Property-Liability Insurance
作者 吳欣樺
Wu, Hsin Hua
貢獻者 張士傑
吳欣樺
Wu, Hsin Hua
關鍵詞 核保利潤
赫芬多指數
自留綜合成本率
預期均衡核保利潤
Underwriting profit
Herfindahl indexes
Combined ratio
Expected underwriting profit
日期 2007
上傳時間 18-九月-2009 20:19:51 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究探討費率自由化政策與台灣產物保險市場經營效益,利用實證資料評估產物保險公司之整體經營績效及核保利潤。本研究自保險年鑑、台灣經濟新報資料庫及保險市場重要指標,選取1998年至2006年間財務及業務資訊來進行實證分析。
依Klein (1999)分類,台灣產物保險市場屬於類似獨占性競爭市場,產物保險公司高度競爭。依實證結果顯示,實施費率自由化政策,公司自留費用率持續緩慢增加,自留綜合成本率亦呈現上升趨勢。多數產物保險公司之實際核保利潤仍大於依Fairley (1979)計算之均衡核保利潤。
實證結果摘要如下:
(1) 類似獨占性競爭市場:赫芬多指數皆小於0.1,市場呈現競爭狀態。1996年後,火險及車險之簽單保費成長率似乎每四、五年會呈現負成長。另外,1998-2003年費用率與公司規模呈現顯著負相關(p=0.01)。2004-2006年,此負相關並不顯著(p=0.1),顯示大公司漸不具有成本優勢,即產險市場之進入障礙有減少之趨勢。
(2) 成本費用支出增加:除2001年外,1998至2006年之產物保險公司自留綜合成本率介於91.09% 和 93.49%。2006年之自留綜合成本率為93.49%。2006年之產物保險公司費用率上升至40.51% 且損失率下降至52.97%。
(3) 核保利潤呈現正值:依Fairley(1979)計算之2006年預期均衡核保利潤。20家產物保險公司,17家實際核保利潤大於預期均衡核保利潤。
This paper provides an empirical study of rate deregulation plan and profit performance in Taiwan property-liability insurance market. The data used in this study are from Insurance Year Book, Taiwan Economic Journal Data Bank, and Important Indexes of Insurance Industry (Taiwan) during the period from 1998 to 2006.
Based on the classification by Klein (1999), the market structure of Taiwan property-liability insurance industry is similar to monopolistic competitive market and the property-liability insurers are engaged in intense competition. The results of this study show that the expense ratios of insurers rise slightly from year to year and the combined ratios also follow a trend of increase. The actual underwriting profits of most property-liability insurers are larger than the expected numbers estimated by using the methodology in Fairley (1979). The empirical results are as follows:
(1) The market structure is similar to monopolistic competitive market for that the Herfindahl indexes are all below 0.1. The growth ratios of written premium on fire insurance and automobile insurance seem to become negative every four or five years after 1996. Besides, the negative correlation between expense ratio and the scale of economics in insurance market from 1998 to 2003 was significant at the p = 0.01 level. However, this correlation from 2004 to 2006 was not significant at the p = 0.1 level. It seems that larger insurers do not have significant cost advantages over smaller insurers in the recent years, namely the entry barriers decline.
(2) The expenses and costs keep increasing. Except 2001, the combined ratios ranged from 91.09% in 1998 to 93.49% in 2006. The expense ratio increased to 40.51% while the net loss ratio decreased to 52.97% in 2006.
(3) The underwriting profits of most insurers are positive. The expected underwriting profits by using the methodology in Fairley (1979) is less than the actual ones in 2006. Among the 20 property-liability insurers, the actual underwriting profits of 17 insurers were larger than their expected underwriting profits.
參考文獻 Bailey, D., and S. E. Boyle. 1971. The optimal measure of concentration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 66: 702-206.
Biger, N., and Y. Kahane. 1987. Risk considerations in insurance ratemaking. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 45: 121-132.
Casualty Actuarial Society. 1996. Foundation of Casualty Actuarial Science. Casualty Actuarial Society United Book Press Inc.
Chang, S. C., Y. W. Hwang, and S. C. Chan. 2008. Underwriting performance of property-liability insurers: Empirical study for Taiwan between 1999 to 2003. Insurance Issues and Practices 7: 1-19.
Chen, H.H. 2005. Taiwan non-life insurance 2004-market report. Insurance Issues and Practices 4: 231-260.
Chen, P. Y. 2005. The impact of rate deregulation on the auto insurance market in Taiwan. Graduate thesis of National Chengchi University Executive Master of Business Administration.
Chen, R., K. A. Wong, and H. C. Lee. 1999. Underwriting cycles in Asia. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 66: 29-47.
Cummins, J. D., and J. F. Outreville. 1987. An international analysis of underwriting cycles in property-liability insurance. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 54: 246-262.
Deltuvaitė, V., V. Vaškelaitis, A. Pranckevičiūtė. 2007. The Impact of Concentration on Competition and Efficiency in the Lithuanian Banking Sector. Engineering Economics 54:7-19.
Doherty, N. A., and J. R. Garven. 1986. Price regulation in property-liability insurance: A contingent-claims approach. The Journal of Finance 41: 1031-1050.
Fairley, W. B. 1979. Investment income and profit margins in property-liability insurance: Theory and empirical results. The Bell Journal of Economics 10: 192-210.
Hall, M., and N. Tideman. 1967. Measure of concentration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 62: 162-166.
Harrington, S. 1984. The impact of rate regulation on prices and underwriting results in the property-liability insurance industry: A survey. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 51: 577-623.
Higgins, J. J. 2004. Introduction to modern nonparametric statistics. Thomson Learning Academic Resource Center, the United States of America.
Hill, R. D. 1979. Profit regulation in property-liability insurance. The Bell Journal of Economics 10: 172-191.
Huebner, S. S., K. Black, and B. L. Webb. 1996. Property and liability insurance. Upper Saddle River, N.J. : Prentice Hall.
Insurance Institute of the Republic of China. 1998. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China .
_______________________________________. 1999. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2000. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2001. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2002. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2003. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2004. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2005. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
_______________________________________. 2006. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.
Insurance Institute of the Republic of China. 2007. The Important Indexes of Insurance Industry (Taiwan).
Joskow, P. L. 1973. Cartels, competition and regulation in the property-liability insurance industry. The Bell Journal of Ecocnomics and Management Science 4: 375-427.
Klein, R. W. 1999. A regulator’s introduction to the insurance industry. National Association of Insurance Commissioners Publications Department, the United States of America.
Kraus, A., and S. A. Ross. 1982. The determination of fair profits for the property-liability insurance firm. The Journal of Finance. 37: 1015-1028.
Sharpe, W. F. 1964. Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance 19: 425-442.
Yang, C. Y., and F. K. Ling. 2001. The study of loading expenses of a property-liability insurance company in Taiwan. Insurance monograph 65:108-130 .
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
風險管理與保險研究所
95358010
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095358010
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張士傑zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) 吳欣樺zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (作者) Wu, Hsin Huaen_US
dc.creator (作者) 吳欣樺zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wu, Hsin Huaen_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 18-九月-2009 20:19:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 18-九月-2009 20:19:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 18-九月-2009 20:19:51 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (其他 識別碼) G0095358010en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/36970-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 風險管理與保險研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95358010zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究探討費率自由化政策與台灣產物保險市場經營效益,利用實證資料評估產物保險公司之整體經營績效及核保利潤。本研究自保險年鑑、台灣經濟新報資料庫及保險市場重要指標,選取1998年至2006年間財務及業務資訊來進行實證分析。
依Klein (1999)分類,台灣產物保險市場屬於類似獨占性競爭市場,產物保險公司高度競爭。依實證結果顯示,實施費率自由化政策,公司自留費用率持續緩慢增加,自留綜合成本率亦呈現上升趨勢。多數產物保險公司之實際核保利潤仍大於依Fairley (1979)計算之均衡核保利潤。
實證結果摘要如下:
(1) 類似獨占性競爭市場:赫芬多指數皆小於0.1,市場呈現競爭狀態。1996年後,火險及車險之簽單保費成長率似乎每四、五年會呈現負成長。另外,1998-2003年費用率與公司規模呈現顯著負相關(p=0.01)。2004-2006年,此負相關並不顯著(p=0.1),顯示大公司漸不具有成本優勢,即產險市場之進入障礙有減少之趨勢。
(2) 成本費用支出增加:除2001年外,1998至2006年之產物保險公司自留綜合成本率介於91.09% 和 93.49%。2006年之自留綜合成本率為93.49%。2006年之產物保險公司費用率上升至40.51% 且損失率下降至52.97%。
(3) 核保利潤呈現正值:依Fairley(1979)計算之2006年預期均衡核保利潤。20家產物保險公司,17家實際核保利潤大於預期均衡核保利潤。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) This paper provides an empirical study of rate deregulation plan and profit performance in Taiwan property-liability insurance market. The data used in this study are from Insurance Year Book, Taiwan Economic Journal Data Bank, and Important Indexes of Insurance Industry (Taiwan) during the period from 1998 to 2006.
Based on the classification by Klein (1999), the market structure of Taiwan property-liability insurance industry is similar to monopolistic competitive market and the property-liability insurers are engaged in intense competition. The results of this study show that the expense ratios of insurers rise slightly from year to year and the combined ratios also follow a trend of increase. The actual underwriting profits of most property-liability insurers are larger than the expected numbers estimated by using the methodology in Fairley (1979). The empirical results are as follows:
(1) The market structure is similar to monopolistic competitive market for that the Herfindahl indexes are all below 0.1. The growth ratios of written premium on fire insurance and automobile insurance seem to become negative every four or five years after 1996. Besides, the negative correlation between expense ratio and the scale of economics in insurance market from 1998 to 2003 was significant at the p = 0.01 level. However, this correlation from 2004 to 2006 was not significant at the p = 0.1 level. It seems that larger insurers do not have significant cost advantages over smaller insurers in the recent years, namely the entry barriers decline.
(2) The expenses and costs keep increasing. Except 2001, the combined ratios ranged from 91.09% in 1998 to 93.49% in 2006. The expense ratio increased to 40.51% while the net loss ratio decreased to 52.97% in 2006.
(3) The underwriting profits of most insurers are positive. The expected underwriting profits by using the methodology in Fairley (1979) is less than the actual ones in 2006. Among the 20 property-liability insurers, the actual underwriting profits of 17 insurers were larger than their expected underwriting profits.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 摘要 I
Abstract II
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
Chapter 2 Background 4
2.1 Literature Reviews 4
2.2 Market Structure 6
2.3 Deregulation in Ratemaking 8
Chapter 3 Methodology 13
3.1 Nonparametric Statistics 13
3.2 Measures of Concentration 13
3.3 A Financial Model for Return 14
Chapter 4 Empirical Study 23
4.1 Data 23
4.2 Market Conditions 23
4.3 Underwriting Performance 48
Chapter 5 Conclusions and Suggestions 53
Appendix 56
References 61
zh_TW
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dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095358010en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 核保利潤zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 赫芬多指數zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自留綜合成本率zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 預期均衡核保利潤zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Underwriting profiten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Herfindahl indexesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Combined ratioen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Expected underwriting profiten_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣產物保險業費率自由化、市場競爭與核保績效zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Deregulation,Market Competition and Underwriting Performance in Taiwan Property-Liability Insuranceen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bailey, D., and S. E. Boyle. 1971. The optimal measure of concentration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 66: 702-206.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Biger, N., and Y. Kahane. 1987. Risk considerations in insurance ratemaking. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 45: 121-132.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Casualty Actuarial Society. 1996. Foundation of Casualty Actuarial Science. Casualty Actuarial Society United Book Press Inc.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chang, S. C., Y. W. Hwang, and S. C. Chan. 2008. Underwriting performance of property-liability insurers: Empirical study for Taiwan between 1999 to 2003. Insurance Issues and Practices 7: 1-19.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, H.H. 2005. Taiwan non-life insurance 2004-market report. Insurance Issues and Practices 4: 231-260.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, P. Y. 2005. The impact of rate deregulation on the auto insurance market in Taiwan. Graduate thesis of National Chengchi University Executive Master of Business Administration.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, R., K. A. Wong, and H. C. Lee. 1999. Underwriting cycles in Asia. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 66: 29-47.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cummins, J. D., and J. F. Outreville. 1987. An international analysis of underwriting cycles in property-liability insurance. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 54: 246-262.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Deltuvaitė, V., V. Vaškelaitis, A. Pranckevičiūtė. 2007. The Impact of Concentration on Competition and Efficiency in the Lithuanian Banking Sector. Engineering Economics 54:7-19.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Doherty, N. A., and J. R. Garven. 1986. Price regulation in property-liability insurance: A contingent-claims approach. The Journal of Finance 41: 1031-1050.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Fairley, W. B. 1979. Investment income and profit margins in property-liability insurance: Theory and empirical results. The Bell Journal of Economics 10: 192-210.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hall, M., and N. Tideman. 1967. Measure of concentration. Journal of the American Statistical Association 62: 162-166.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Harrington, S. 1984. The impact of rate regulation on prices and underwriting results in the property-liability insurance industry: A survey. The Journal of Risk and Insurance 51: 577-623.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Higgins, J. J. 2004. Introduction to modern nonparametric statistics. Thomson Learning Academic Resource Center, the United States of America.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hill, R. D. 1979. Profit regulation in property-liability insurance. The Bell Journal of Economics 10: 172-191.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Huebner, S. S., K. Black, and B. L. Webb. 1996. Property and liability insurance. Upper Saddle River, N.J. : Prentice Hall.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Insurance Institute of the Republic of China. 1998. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China .zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 1999. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2000. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2001. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2002. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2003. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2004. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2005. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) _______________________________________. 2006. Insurance Year Book, the Republic of China.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Insurance Institute of the Republic of China. 2007. The Important Indexes of Insurance Industry (Taiwan).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Joskow, P. L. 1973. Cartels, competition and regulation in the property-liability insurance industry. The Bell Journal of Ecocnomics and Management Science 4: 375-427.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Klein, R. W. 1999. A regulator’s introduction to the insurance industry. National Association of Insurance Commissioners Publications Department, the United States of America.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kraus, A., and S. A. Ross. 1982. The determination of fair profits for the property-liability insurance firm. The Journal of Finance. 37: 1015-1028.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sharpe, W. F. 1964. Capital asset prices: A theory of market equilibrium under conditions of risk. The Journal of Finance 19: 425-442.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Yang, C. Y., and F. K. Ling. 2001. The study of loading expenses of a property-liability insurance company in Taiwan. Insurance monograph 65:108-130 .zh_TW