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題名 世界各國對中國投資之決定因素—北京、上海與廣東之比較
Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in China: The Comparative Study between Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong
作者 鄭惠珍
Cheng, Hui-Chen
貢獻者 黃智聰
Huang, Jr-Tsung
鄭惠珍
Cheng, Hui-Chen
關鍵詞 中國
外商直接投資
固定效果模型
隨機效果模型
China
Foreign Direct Investment
Fixed-Effect Model
Random-Effect Model
日期 2005
上傳時間 19-Sep-2009 13:51:16 (UTC+8)
摘要 自1978年中國開始經濟的改革開放政策以來，吸引外資便成為其推動經濟成長的重要手段之一。1992年鄧小平南巡，再一次宣示建立「社會主義的市場經濟體制」後，由於開放的經濟政策更為明朗，使越來越多的國家到中國直接投資。自此，中國成為全世界最受歡迎的外資投資國之一。甚至在2002年超越美國，成為全世界最大的外資接受國。如此多的國家對中國展開大規模的投資，其投資的規模與投資地區的選擇卻有相當大的差異。因此，本文的研究目的，將以1993至2003年世界各國對中國投資的追蹤資料（panel data），搭配固定效果模型（fixed-effect model）與隨機效果模型（random-effect model）的估計，並以目前中國沿海發展具代表性的北京、上海與廣東三個省（市）之比較，探究影響世界各國對中國直接投資的決定因素。

實證結果發現影響外商直接投資北京、上海與廣東的決定因素中，顯著影響的變數為相對工資率、對中國貿易依存度、相對匯率以及相對借貸成本。而其餘的變數，如相對國內生產毛額、相對每人國內生產毛額和相對國家風險等皆不顯著，反映了其皆非外商直接投資中國時所考量的決定因素。
Since 1978, China has adopted the so-called “open door policy”, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) has become one of the most important methods to facilitate its economic growth. However, foreign countries didn’t invest large amount toward China until Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate the determinants of FDI from different foreign countries to different regions in China after foreign countries started to invest tremendous amount toward China.

This study adopts fixed-effect model and random-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in China with panel data of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong during the period of 1993-2003. The result shows relative wage rate, trade dependence to China, relative exchange rate and relative borrowing cost are the most important factors in attracting FDI in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong during 1993-2003.

Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, then uses more methods to test the models and the result.
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林俊儒（2003），《中國大陸外商直接投資之決定性因素實證》。台北：國立
政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。
林智傑（2003），《製造業海外直接投資區位選擇決定因素之探討－以中國、
美國及東協五國為例》。台北：東吳大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
翁鳳吟（2005），《廠商特性和資源配置型態與大陸投資決策及投資績效之關
聯性研究》。台北：國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
高 長（1994），《大陸經改與兩岸經貿關係》。台北：五南圖書出版有限公
司。
陳哲正 （2003），《台商製造業投資中國大陸區位選擇之研究》。台北：國
立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。
黃智聰、歐陽宏（2005），「世界各國對中國大陸直接投資決定因素之研
究」，《遠景基金會季刊》（台北），7（2），頁139~178。
黃智聰、潘俊男（2002），「大陸地區製造業產業結構的決定因素」，《中國
大陸研究》（台北），45（2），頁97~123。
樊勇明（1992），《中國的工業化與外國直接投資》。上海：上海社會科學出
版社。
嚴德開（2001），《現今台商赴大陸地區投資比較優勢與遭遇問題之探討－以
資訊電子業、銀行業為例》。台北：國立政治大學金融研究所碩士論文。
二、英文文獻
Ajami, Raid A. and Ran BarNiv (1984), “Utilising Economic
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US.”Management International Review, 24(4), 16-26.
Aliber, Robert Z. (1970), A Theory of Direct Foreign
Investment. in Kindleberger, C. P. (ed.) The
International Corporation. Cambridge Mass: MIT Press.
Barrell, Ray and Nigel Pain (1996), “An Econometric
Analysis of US Foreign Direct Investment.” Review of
Economics and Statistics, 78(2), 200-207.
Chen, Chin-Hsin (1996), “Regional Determinants of Foreign
Direct Investment in Mainland China.” Journal of
Economic Studies, 23(2), 18-30.
Cheng, Leonard K. and Yum K. Kwan (2000), “What are the
Determinants of Location of Foreign Direct Investment?
The China Experience.” Journal of International
Economics, 51(2), 379-400.
Coughlin, Cletus C. and Eran Segev (2000), “Foreign Direct
Investment in China: A Spatial Econometric
Study.”World Economy, 23(1), 1-23.
Culem, Claudy G. (1988), “The Locational Determinant of
Direct Foreign Investment Among Industrialised
Countries.” European Economic Review, 32(2), 885-904.
Cushman, David (1985), “Real Exchange Rate Risk,
Expectations, and the Level of Direct
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Dees, Stephane (1998), “Foreign Direct Investment in
China: Determinants and Effects.” Economics of
Planning, 31(2-3), 175-194.
Dunning, John H. (1993), Multinational Enterprises and the
Global Economy. Workingham, England and Reading, Mass:
Addison Wesley.
Feng, Yi and Hui Zhang (2000), “Provincial Distribution of
Direct Foreign Investment in China: A Pooled Time-
Series Empirical Study.” In Chen, Baizhu, J. Kimball
Dietrich, and Yi Feng (eds.), Financial market reform
in China: Progress, Problems, and Prospects. Political
Economy of Global Interdependence Series. Boulder and
Oxford: Westview Press. 401-424.
Froot, Kenneth A. and Jeremy Stein (1991), “Exchange Rates
and Foreign Direct Investment: An Imperfect Capital
Markets Approach.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106
(4), 1191-1217.
Grosse, Robert and Len J. Trevino (1996), “Foreign Direct
Investment in the United States: An Analysis by Country
of Origin.” Journal of International Business Studies,
27(1), 139-155.
Hausman, Jerry A. (1978), “Specification Tests in
Econometrics.” Econometrica, 46(6), 1251-1271.
Head, Keith and John Rise (1996), “Inter-City Competition
for Foreign Investment: Static and Dynamic Effects of
China`s Incentive Areas.” Journal of Urban Economics,
40(2), 38-60.
Hill, Carter R., William E. Griffiths, and George E. Judge
(2001), Undergraduate Econometrics, New York: John
Wiley & Sons, c2001.
Hong, Mao and Luo-Shou Chen (2001), “Quantitative and
Dynamic Analysis of the OLI Variables Determining FDI
in China.” Review of Urban and Regional Development
Studies, 13(2), 163-172.
Hsiao, Cheng and Victor Gastanaga(2001), “Factors
Affecting Foreign Direct Investment--With Analysis of
the Disparity between the Costal and Western Regions of
China.” Review of Pacific Basin Financial Markets and
Policies, 4(4), 479-493.
Huang, Jr-Tsung (2004), “Spillover from Taiwan, Hong Kong,
and Macau Investment and from Other Foreign Investment
in Chinese Industries.” Contemporary Economic Policy,
22(1), 13-25.
Hymer, Stephen (1976), The International Operations of
National Firms, Cambridge, MIT press.
Jeon, Yoong-Deok (1992), “The Determinants of Korean
Foreign Direct Investment in Manufacturing
Industries.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 128, 527-541.
Kobrin, Stephen J. (1979), “Political Risk: A Review of
Reconsideration.” Journal of International Business
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Kumar, Nagesh (1994), “Determinants of Export Orientation
of Foreign Production by US Multinational: an Inter-
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Studies, 25(1), 141-156.
Kuo, Chun-Chien and Jr-Tsung Huang, (2003), “A Regional
Analysis on the Determinants of Foreign Direct
Investment toward Mainland China.” Paper Presented at
the Western Economic Association International Pacific
Rim Conference, January 9-12. 2003.
Liu, Xiaming, Haiyan Song, Yingqi Wei, and Peter Romilly
(1997), “Country Characteristics and Foreign Direct
Investment in China: A Panel Data
Analysis.”Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 133(2), 313-329.
Lucus, Robert E. B. (1993), “On the Determinants of
Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from East and
Southeast Asia.” World Development, 21(3), 391-406.
Moore, Michael O. (1993), “Determinants of German
Manufacturing Direct Investment: 1980-
1988.”Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 129(1), 120-138.
Pain, Nigel (1993), “An Econometric Analysis of Foreign
Direct Investment in the United Kingdom.” Scottish
Journal of Political Economy, 40(1), 1-23.
Pain, Nigel (1997), “Continental Drift: European
Integration and the Location of UK Foreign Direct
Investment.” Manchester School Supplement, 65, 94-117.
Pitelis, Christos (1996), “Effect Demand, Outward
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Sun, Qian, Wilson Tong, and Qiao Yu (2002), “Determinants
of Foreign Direct Investment across China.” Journal of
International Money and Finance, 21(1), 79-113.
Tallman, Stephen B. (1988), “Home Country Political Risk
and Foreign Direct Investment in the United
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(2), 219-234.
Vernon, Raymond (1966), “International Investment and
International Trade in the Product Trade.” Quarterly
journal of Economics, 80, 190-207.
Wang, Zhen-Quan and Nigel J. Swain (1995), “The
Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in
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and China.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 131(2), 359-
382.
Wei, Shang-Jin (1995), “Foreign direct investment in
China: Sources and consequences,” in Ito, T. and
Krueger, A.O.(eds), Financial Deregulation and
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Economics, Vol. 5 University of Chicago Press.
Wei, Yingqi and Xiaming Liu (2001), Foreign Direct
Investment in China: Determinants and Impact,
Cheltenham, Glos, U.K.; Northampton, Mass: Edward
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
93921020
94
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093921020
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃智聰zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Huang, Jr-Tsungen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鄭惠珍zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Cheng, Hui-Chenen_US
dc.creator (作者) 鄭惠珍zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Cheng, Hui-Chenen_US
dc.date (日期) 2005en_US
dc.date.accessioned 19-Sep-2009 13:51:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 19-Sep-2009 13:51:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 19-Sep-2009 13:51:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0093921020en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/37442-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 93921020zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 自1978年中國開始經濟的改革開放政策以來，吸引外資便成為其推動經濟成長的重要手段之一。1992年鄧小平南巡，再一次宣示建立「社會主義的市場經濟體制」後，由於開放的經濟政策更為明朗，使越來越多的國家到中國直接投資。自此，中國成為全世界最受歡迎的外資投資國之一。甚至在2002年超越美國，成為全世界最大的外資接受國。如此多的國家對中國展開大規模的投資，其投資的規模與投資地區的選擇卻有相當大的差異。因此，本文的研究目的，將以1993至2003年世界各國對中國投資的追蹤資料（panel data），搭配固定效果模型（fixed-effect model）與隨機效果模型（random-effect model）的估計，並以目前中國沿海發展具代表性的北京、上海與廣東三個省（市）之比較，探究影響世界各國對中國直接投資的決定因素。

實證結果發現影響外商直接投資北京、上海與廣東的決定因素中，顯著影響的變數為相對工資率、對中國貿易依存度、相對匯率以及相對借貸成本。而其餘的變數，如相對國內生產毛額、相對每人國內生產毛額和相對國家風險等皆不顯著，反映了其皆非外商直接投資中國時所考量的決定因素。		zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Since 1978, China has adopted the so-called “open door policy”, attracting foreign direct investment (FDI) has become one of the most important methods to facilitate its economic growth. However, foreign countries didn’t invest large amount toward China until Deng Xiaoping’s southern trip in 1992. The purpose of this study is thus to investigate the determinants of FDI from different foreign countries to different regions in China after foreign countries started to invest tremendous amount toward China.

This study adopts fixed-effect model and random-effect model to investigate the determinants of FDI in China with panel data of Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong during the period of 1993-2003. The result shows relative wage rate, trade dependence to China, relative exchange rate and relative borrowing cost are the most important factors in attracting FDI in Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdong during 1993-2003.

Finally, in order to reduce the mistakes occurred in positive models and enable the study more rigorous, then uses more methods to test the models and the result.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章緒論 …………………………………………………………1
第一節 研究背景與目的……………………………………………1
第二節 研究架構與流程……………………………………………7

第二章 文獻回顧 ……………………………………………………9
第一節 外商直接投資理論…………………………………………9
第二節 中國各地區吸引外資之相關文獻 ………………………14
第三節 世界各國投資中國之相關文獻 …………………………18
第四節 本章小結 …………………………………………………22

第三章外商直接投資中國的現況分析……………………………24
第一節 外商直接投資中國的來源分布 …………………………24
第二節 外商直接投資中國的地區分布 …………………………29
第三節 北京、上海及廣東投資環境與外商投資現況之比較 …33
第四節 本章小結 …………………………………………………43

第四章研究設計……………………………………………………45
第一節 資料來源 …………………………………………………45
第二節 實證模型介紹 ……………………………………………47
第三節 實證變數說明與假設 ……………………………………49
第四節 本章小結 …………………………………………………54

第五章實證結果與模型檢驗………………………………………56
第一節 實證結果分析 ……………………………………………56
第二節 實證模型正確性之檢定 …………………………………61
第三節 本章小結 …………………………………………………64

第六章結論與政策意涵……………………………………………66
第一節 結論 ………………………………………………………66
第二節 政策意涵 …………………………………………………68

參考文獻………………………………………………………………72		zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093921020en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 中國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 外商直接投資zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 固定效果模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 隨機效果模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Chinaen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Foreign Direct Investmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fixed-Effect Modelen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Random-Effect Modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 世界各國對中國投資之決定因素—北京、上海與廣東之比較zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in China: The Comparative Study between Beijing, Shanghai and Guangdongen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林俊儒（2003），《中國大陸外商直接投資之決定性因素實證》。台北：國立zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 政治大學財政研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林智傑（2003），《製造業海外直接投資區位選擇決定因素之探討－以中國、zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國及東協五國為例》。台北：東吳大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 翁鳳吟（2005），《廠商特性和資源配置型態與大陸投資決策及投資績效之關zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 聯性研究》。台北：國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 高 長（1994），《大陸經改與兩岸經貿關係》。台北：五南圖書出版有限公zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 司。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳哲正 （2003），《台商製造業投資中國大陸區位選擇之研究》。台北：國zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 立政治大學地政研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃智聰、歐陽宏（2005），「世界各國對中國大陸直接投資決定因素之研zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 究」，《遠景基金會季刊》（台北），7（2），頁139~178。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃智聰、潘俊男（2002），「大陸地區製造業產業結構的決定因素」，《中國zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 大陸研究》（台北），45（2），頁97~123。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 樊勇明（1992），《中國的工業化與外國直接投資》。上海：上海社會科學出zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 嚴德開（2001），《現今台商赴大陸地區投資比較優勢與遭遇問題之探討－以zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 資訊電子業、銀行業為例》。台北：國立政治大學金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 二、英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ajami, Raid A. and Ran BarNiv (1984), “Utilising Economiczh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Indicators in Explaining Foreign Investment in thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) US.”Management International Review, 24(4), 16-26.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Aliber, Robert Z. (1970), A Theory of Direct Foreignzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Investment. in Kindleberger, C. P. (ed.) Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) International Corporation. Cambridge Mass: MIT Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barrell, Ray and Nigel Pain (1996), “An Econometriczh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Analysis of US Foreign Direct Investment.” Review ofzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Economics and Statistics, 78(2), 200-207.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, Chin-Hsin (1996), “Regional Determinants of Foreignzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Direct Investment in Mainland China.” Journal ofzh_TW
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