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題名 台灣地方政府最適公務人力規模之探討
The Optimal Size of Public Employment of the Local Government in Taiwan
作者 楊惠絨
貢獻者 黃智聰
楊惠絨
關鍵詞 地方政府
政府規模
公務人力
local government
government size
public employment
日期 2006
上傳時間 19-Sep-2009 14:55:57 (UTC+8)
摘要 公務員提供司法、教育與健康等公共服務,在一國經濟發展中扮演關鍵性的角色,然而回顧過去的相關文獻,對於公務人力與經濟成長間的關係,尚無法產生一致的結論,且目前並沒有相關實證文獻以台灣為研究對象,探討公務人力與經濟成長的關係。
本文以公務人力作為政府規模的衡量指標,採用1996年至2005年台灣地區23縣市的追蹤資料,由於使用固定效果模型時產生計量上問題,故改以處理混合資料為主的普通最小平方法進行實證估計。研究結果發現,地方政府規模對地區性經濟成長之影響,係隨規模的增加由正轉負,符合 Armey curve的非線性關係,亦即倒U型的曲線關係,也就是說,適當的政府規模對整體經濟有利,過小或過大的政府規模將會阻礙經濟發展。且因地方政府規模對地區性經濟成長之間存在倒U型的曲線關係,可發現能使地區性經濟成長率達最大化的地方政府最適公務人力規模為21.49,平均而言,台灣地方政府規模仍低於此一最適水準。
在本研究中亦發現,同時加入實證模型的其他解釋變數對於地區性經濟成長存在顯著的作用,包括了房屋稅收入、地價稅收入、土地增值稅收入結構比以及相對薪資率具有正向的刺激效果,而政府預算赤字以及人事費用的增加將不利於地區性經濟成長。
The role of public employment is significantly important to the economic development because public employees are the only vivid resource of government to offer public service, such as justice、education and health etc. However existing researches about the expansion of public employment also have inconstant effect on economic growth.
The Armey curve infers that the government size and economic growth have an inverse U shape, and that one can find the optimal government size that promotes the greatest economic growth rate. This study measures public employment as government size and employs the panel data and ordinary least squares regression model to test whether the Armey curve exists in the local government in Taiwan.
The result indicates that a non-linear relationship of the Armey curve indeed exists in the local government in Taiwan. And the average size of the local government in Taiwan is smaller than the optional size that promotes the greatest regional economic growth rate.
參考文獻 吳佳玲(2005),《外籍配偶對台灣地區各縣市離婚率之影響》。台北:政治大學行政管理碩士學程碩士論文。
林淑勤(2000),「我國政府人事費及員額統計分析」,《中國統計通訊》,11(3),頁13~29。
施能傑(1999),「各級政府人事費之分析」,《人事月刊》,29(1),頁58~62。
高安邦、黃智聰、潘俊男(2005),「中國大陸地方政府效率與吸引外資之研究」,《經濟情勢與評論》,11(2),頁131~156。
郭文娟(1993),《地方稅對經濟成長的影響-台灣地區之實證分析》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。
陳育如(2004),《影響地方經濟成長之實證分析》。台中:逢甲大學會計與財稅研究所碩士論文。
陳果廷(2004),《各級政府公務人力結構與人事支出之研究》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。
劉天業(1998),《衡量政府大小之概念與指標》。台中:中興大學財政研究所碩士論文。
劉鶯釧、黃智聰(2003),「台灣區域性失業率差異的決定因素-兼論女性勞動力」,《誰偷走了我們的工作》。台北:天下遠見,頁231~262。
蔡曜州(1995),《人口在經濟發展中扮演的角色》。台北:台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
鄭安志(2006),《財政地方分權在中國各地區經濟成長所扮演的角色》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。
鄭雅綺(1995),《經濟成長與各縣市之成長差異》。台北:台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
謝寬裕(1999),「政府規模對經濟成長的影響」,《台北銀行月刊》,29(6),頁47~60。
羅時萬(2000),《財政收支與所得分配對臺灣經濟成長影響的探討》。台北:政治大學經濟學系博士論文。
蘇靜娟(2002),《地方財政收支與經濟成長-台灣的實證分析》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。
Alesina, A., S. Ardagna, R. Perotti, and F. Schiantarelli (2002), “Fiscal Policy, Profits and Investment.” American Economic Review, 92(3), 571-589.
Ardagna, S. (2002), “Fiscal Policy in Unionized Labor Markets.” Wellesley College Working Paper, 2002-07.
Armey, R. (1995), The Freedom Revolution. Washington DC: Rognery Publishing Co.
Arrow, K. J. (1962), “The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing.” Review of Economic Studies, 29, 155-173.
Barro, R. J. and X. Sala-i-Martin (1992), “Public Finance in Models of Economic Growth.” Review of Economic Studies, 59(4), 645-661.
Burns, J P. and B. Bowonwatthana (2001), Civil Service Systems in Asia. U.K.: Edward Elgar.
Cameron, D. R. (1978), “The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis.” American Political Science Review, 72(4), 1243-1261.
Chen, S. T. and C. C. Lee (2005), “Government Size and Economic Growth in Taiwain: A Threshold Regression Approach.” Joural of Policy Modeling, 27, 1051-1066.
Finn, M. G. (1998), “Cyclical Effects of Government`s Employment and Goods Purchases.” International Economic Review, 39(3), 635-657.
Gupta, S., L. Leruth, L. de Mello, and S. Chakravarti (2003), “Transition Economies: How Appropriate Is the Size and Scope of Government?” Comparative Economic Studies, 45, 554–576
Heller, P. and A. Tait (1983), “Government Employment and Pay: Some International Comparisons.” Finance & Development (pre-1986), 20(3), 44-47.
Helms, L. J. (1985) “The Effect of State and Local Taxes on Economic Growth: A Time Series-Cross Section Approach.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 67(4), 574-582.
Keynes, J. M. (1936), The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. New York : Macmillan.
Khan, M. S. and M. S. Kumar (1997), “Public and Private Investment and the Growth Process in Developing Countries.” Oxford Bulletin of Statistics, 59(1), 69-88.
Kraay, A. and C. Van Rijckeghem (1995), “Employment and Wages in the Public Sector--A Cross-Country Study.” IMF Working Paper, 70.
Logsdon, M. G. (1998), “The Development of Indonesia`s Civil Service 1974-1994.” Journal of Political and Military Sociology, 26(2), 3-20.
Lucas, Robert E. Jr. (1988), On the Mechanics of Economic Development, Journal of Monetary Economics, 21(1), 3-42.
Martin, J. (1983), Public Sector Employment Trends in Western Industrialized Economics. in Haveman, R. (ed.), Public Finance and Public Employment. Detroit: Wayne State University Press.
Martin, R. and M. Fardmanesh (1990), “Fiscal Variables and Growth: A Cross-sectional Analysis.” Public Choice, 64(3), 239-251.
Miller, S. M. and F. S. Russek (1997), “Fiscal Structure and Economic Growth at the State and Local Level.” Public Finance Review, 25(2), 213-237.
Michael, T and S. C. Smith (2003), Economic Development, New York: Addison Wesley.
Mofidi, A. and J. A. Stone (1990), “Do State and Local Taxes Affect Economic Growth?” Review of Economics and Statistics, 72(4), 686-691.
Musgrave, R. A. (1959). The Theory of Public Finance, New York: McGraw-Hill.
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Rose, R. (1985), The Significance of Public Employment. in Rose, R. (ed.), Public Employment in Western Nations. Cambridge: Cambridge University Press.
Schiavo-Campo, S. (1998), “Government Employment and Pay: the Global and Regional Evidence.” Public Administration & Development (1986-1998), 18(5), 457-478.
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Van der Ploeg, F. (2003), “Rolling Back the Public Sector –Differential Effects on Employment, Investment and Growth.” CESifo Working Paper, 890.
Vedder, R. K. and L. E. Gallaway (1998), “Government Size and Economic Growth.” Paper Prepared for the Joint Economic Committee of the US Congress, 1-5.
Wagner, A. (1883), “Three Extracts on Public Finance.” Reprinted in Musgrave, R. A. and A. T. Peacock (eds.), Classics in the Theory of Public Finance. London: MacMillan, 1958, 1-15.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
94921032
95
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094921032
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃智聰zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 楊惠絨zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 楊惠絨zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2006en_US
dc.date.accessioned 19-Sep-2009 14:55:57 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 19-Sep-2009 14:55:57 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 19-Sep-2009 14:55:57 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0094921032en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34868-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 94921032zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 公務員提供司法、教育與健康等公共服務,在一國經濟發展中扮演關鍵性的角色,然而回顧過去的相關文獻,對於公務人力與經濟成長間的關係,尚無法產生一致的結論,且目前並沒有相關實證文獻以台灣為研究對象,探討公務人力與經濟成長的關係。
本文以公務人力作為政府規模的衡量指標,採用1996年至2005年台灣地區23縣市的追蹤資料,由於使用固定效果模型時產生計量上問題,故改以處理混合資料為主的普通最小平方法進行實證估計。研究結果發現,地方政府規模對地區性經濟成長之影響,係隨規模的增加由正轉負,符合 Armey curve的非線性關係,亦即倒U型的曲線關係,也就是說,適當的政府規模對整體經濟有利,過小或過大的政府規模將會阻礙經濟發展。且因地方政府規模對地區性經濟成長之間存在倒U型的曲線關係,可發現能使地區性經濟成長率達最大化的地方政府最適公務人力規模為21.49,平均而言,台灣地方政府規模仍低於此一最適水準。
在本研究中亦發現,同時加入實證模型的其他解釋變數對於地區性經濟成長存在顯著的作用,包括了房屋稅收入、地價稅收入、土地增值稅收入結構比以及相對薪資率具有正向的刺激效果,而政府預算赤字以及人事費用的增加將不利於地區性經濟成長。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The role of public employment is significantly important to the economic development because public employees are the only vivid resource of government to offer public service, such as justice、education and health etc. However existing researches about the expansion of public employment also have inconstant effect on economic growth.
The Armey curve infers that the government size and economic growth have an inverse U shape, and that one can find the optimal government size that promotes the greatest economic growth rate. This study measures public employment as government size and employs the panel data and ordinary least squares regression model to test whether the Armey curve exists in the local government in Taiwan.
The result indicates that a non-linear relationship of the Armey curve indeed exists in the local government in Taiwan. And the average size of the local government in Taiwan is smaller than the optional size that promotes the greatest regional economic growth rate.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論…………………………1
第一節 研究背景與目的……………1
第二節 研究架構與進行流程………6
第二章 相關文獻回顧………………9
第一節 政府與經濟發展……………9
第二節 財政收支與地方經濟成長…12
第三節 政府規模與經濟成長………16
第四節 本章小結……………………23
第三章 現況分析……………………26
第一節 台灣地方政府員額制度……26
第二節 台灣各縣市政府規模分析…30
第三節 台灣各縣市經濟成長分析…35
第四節 本章小結……………………37
第四章 研究設計……………………39
第一節 實證模型設定與資料來源…39
第二節 變數說明與假設……………43
第三節 本章小結……………………51
第五章 實證結果分析………………53
第一節 地方政府規模之效果………53
第二節 其他解釋變數之效果………57
第三節 本章小結……………………59
第六章 結論與政策建議……………61
第一節 結論…………………………61
第二節 政策建議……………………62
參考文獻…………… …………………64
zh_TW
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094921032en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 地方政府zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政府規模zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公務人力zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) local governmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) government sizeen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) public employmenten_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣地方政府最適公務人力規模之探討zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The Optimal Size of Public Employment of the Local Government in Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳佳玲(2005),《外籍配偶對台灣地區各縣市離婚率之影響》。台北:政治大學行政管理碩士學程碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林淑勤(2000),「我國政府人事費及員額統計分析」,《中國統計通訊》,11(3),頁13~29。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 施能傑(1999),「各級政府人事費之分析」,《人事月刊》,29(1),頁58~62。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 高安邦、黃智聰、潘俊男(2005),「中國大陸地方政府效率與吸引外資之研究」,《經濟情勢與評論》,11(2),頁131~156。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郭文娟(1993),《地方稅對經濟成長的影響-台灣地區之實證分析》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳育如(2004),《影響地方經濟成長之實證分析》。台中:逢甲大學會計與財稅研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳果廷(2004),《各級政府公務人力結構與人事支出之研究》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉天業(1998),《衡量政府大小之概念與指標》。台中:中興大學財政研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉鶯釧、黃智聰(2003),「台灣區域性失業率差異的決定因素-兼論女性勞動力」,《誰偷走了我們的工作》。台北:天下遠見,頁231~262。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡曜州(1995),《人口在經濟發展中扮演的角色》。台北:台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭安志(2006),《財政地方分權在中國各地區經濟成長所扮演的角色》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭雅綺(1995),《經濟成長與各縣市之成長差異》。台北:台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 謝寬裕(1999),「政府規模對經濟成長的影響」,《台北銀行月刊》,29(6),頁47~60。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 羅時萬(2000),《財政收支與所得分配對臺灣經濟成長影響的探討》。台北:政治大學經濟學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蘇靜娟(2002),《地方財政收支與經濟成長-台灣的實證分析》。台北:政治大學財政學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Alesina, A., S. Ardagna, R. Perotti, and F. Schiantarelli (2002), “Fiscal Policy, Profits and Investment.” American Economic Review, 92(3), 571-589.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ardagna, S. (2002), “Fiscal Policy in Unionized Labor Markets.” Wellesley College Working Paper, 2002-07.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Armey, R. (1995), The Freedom Revolution. Washington DC: Rognery Publishing Co.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Arrow, K. J. (1962), “The Economic Implications of Learning by Doing.” Review of Economic Studies, 29, 155-173.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barro, R. J. and X. Sala-i-Martin (1992), “Public Finance in Models of Economic Growth.” Review of Economic Studies, 59(4), 645-661.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Burns, J P. and B. Bowonwatthana (2001), Civil Service Systems in Asia. U.K.: Edward Elgar.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cameron, D. R. (1978), “The Expansion of the Public Economy: A Comparative Analysis.” American Political Science Review, 72(4), 1243-1261.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, S. T. and C. C. Lee (2005), “Government Size and Economic Growth in Taiwain: A Threshold Regression Approach.” Joural of Policy Modeling, 27, 1051-1066.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Finn, M. G. (1998), “Cyclical Effects of Government`s Employment and Goods Purchases.” International Economic Review, 39(3), 635-657.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gupta, S., L. Leruth, L. de Mello, and S. Chakravarti (2003), “Transition Economies: How Appropriate Is the Size and Scope of Government?” Comparative Economic Studies, 45, 554–576zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Heller, P. and A. Tait (1983), “Government Employment and Pay: Some International Comparisons.” Finance & Development (pre-1986), 20(3), 44-47.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Helms, L. J. (1985) “The Effect of State and Local Taxes on Economic Growth: A Time Series-Cross Section Approach.” Review of Economics and Statistics, 67(4), 574-582.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Keynes, J. M. (1936), The General Theory of Employment, Interest, and Money. New York : Macmillan.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Khan, M. S. and M. S. Kumar (1997), “Public and Private Investment and the Growth Process in Developing Countries.” Oxford Bulletin of Statistics, 59(1), 69-88.zh_TW
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