Publications-Theses

題名 政務官與決策制定~行政院部會首長決策行為之研究~
作者 許張傳
HSU, CHANG-CHUAN
貢獻者 鄭興弟
許張傳
HSU, CHANG-CHUAN
關鍵詞 政務官
政策環境
公共政策
決策程序
officials with portfolio
political environment
public policy
decision-making process
日期 2003
上傳時間 19-Sep-2009 15:16:52 (UTC+8)
摘要   政務官面對急速變遷的環境,必須洞察時代的脈動,妥為因應,才能永續發展組織的業務。因此,不論工作計畫的擬定、問題的解決、或危機處理,必須掌握先機,蒐集資訊,並運用決策模型,縝密分析後採取行動,才能達到預期的目標,而正確的決策,對於機關業務的推動,更具關鍵性的影響。
  本研究主要採取文獻探討、比較分析、深度訪談等研究方法。為能更深入了解我國政務官決策之方法、過程及面臨之困境,本研究參考決策相關理論,諸如,認知性決策過程、理性選擇、結構式溝通、利益團體、影響決策過程因素、政治系統過程等問題設計訪談題綱,並抽樣分別向行政院所屬相關部會,如法務部、經濟部、教育部、大陸委員會、勞工委員會、青年輔導委員會、蒙藏委員會等機關首長深度訪談,從其決策經驗及實案分析,以了解其決策之模型,並避免本研究流於理論之空談。
  本研究發現:一、政務官在決策前,對於政策都能充分理解。二、政務官的決策方式,都有採用有限理性模型。三、政務官的決策方法,都有採用群體決策。四、政務官對於利益團體的活動,都認為有其必要性。五、政務官認為影響其決策的因素,可歸納為時間的壓力、輿論的反應、預算的通過、高層意見、立法院、法律限制等。六、政務官對於國內的政治生態環境皆能適應。
  根據文獻探討及深度訪談發現,本研究提出以下建議,作為政務官決策之參考:一、理解政策問題。二、確定政策目標。三、建構備選方案。四、設定篩選準則。五、爭取政策支持。六、監督政策執行。
  Government officials especially for those who are responsible for ministerial portfolio have to make decisions in response to the constantly changing environment. Hence, it requires takes excellent foresight, good data mining skills, superior strategic models and deliberate analysis to draft plans, solve problems, and deal with the crisis. Making the right decision serves as the key factor in the process of successful governance.

  In this research, the author applies the methods of literature review, comparative analysis, and in-depth interview in order to understand the decision-making process, decision methods, as well as decision dilemma confronting ministerial officials with portfolio. Further more, this research uses relevant decision -making theories, such as cognitive decision process, rational choice, structured communication, and factors affecting decision-making process, such as interest groups & political system process. Based on the parameters of literature review, the author designs the outlines of interviews and selects ministerial officials with portfolio from the ministry of justice, ministry of economic affairs, ministry of education, mainland affairs council, national youth commission, and Mongolian and Tibetan affairs commission and conducts in-depth interviews.

  There are several important findings derived from our 〝empirical〞case studies. First, before a government official makes his decision, he has a full grasp with the policy issue. Second, the decision models of government officials are mostly based on limited-rational model. Third, government officials often make decisions based on group consensus. Fourth, government officials think it is necessary to take opinions of interest groups into account. Fifth, government officials spend a lot of time in response to public pressure, budget & legal constraints demands of Legislative Yuan and in fathoming the attitudes of higher authorities before they make their decisions. Sixth, most government officials are quite accustomed to the political environment.

  According to our literature review and in-depth interviews, this study makes the following suggestions before a government official makes his or her policy decision. First, fully comprehend the content and implications of a policy. Second, set an objective for the policy. Third, keep a substitute project on hand. Forth, set criteria or standards for policy implementation. Fifth, to garner for support from government and related actors. Sixth, monitor the execution of a policy.
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劉淑華,2003,資訊政策決策者在電子化政府中的責任-以縣市政府為例,私立東海大學公共事務碩士學程碩士論文。
潘淑滿,2002,質性研究-理論與應用,台北:心理出版社。
鄭興弟,1999,「政策規劃新方法之探析」,《法政學報》,第九期,頁1-41。
鄭興弟,2003,政策規劃:理論與方法,台北:商鼎文化出版社。
蕭武桐,2002,公務倫理,台北:智勝文化事業有限公司。
謝臥龍,1997,「優良國中教師特質之德懷分析」,《教育研究資訊》,5(3):14-28。
鍾漢清等譯(Herbert A. Simon著),1999,管理行為-管理型組織中決策過程的研究,台北:華人戴明學院。
韓應寧譯(Ray. M & Myers. R著),1990,創意革命,台北:天下文化出版社。
簡進國,2002,政務人員政治活動限制問題之研究-兼論我國政務人員法草案,國立台灣大學國家發展研究所碩士論文。
羅志淵,1976,美國政府及政治,台北:正中書局。
二、英文部分
Allison, Graham T. 1971. Essence of Decision:Explaining the Cuban Missile Crisis. Boston, Mass.: Little, Brown and Company.Barber, James David. 1985. The Presidential Character: Predicting Performance in the White House. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice-Hall.Barnard, Chester I. 1938. The Function of the Executive. Cambridge, Mass: Harvard University Press.
Berg, B. L. 1998. Qualitative Research Methods for the Social Science. Boston: Allyn & Bacon.
Braybrooke, D. and Lindblom. C. E. 1963, A Strategy of Decision Policy Evaluation as a Social Process. New York: Free Press.
Carey, M. A. 1994. “The Group Effect in Focus Group: Planning, Implementing, and Interpreting Focus Group Research”. In Morse, J.M (Ed.), Critical Issues in Qualitative Research Methods. London: Sage publications.
Cuhls, Kerstin & Knut Blind. 2001. “Foresight in Germany: The Example of Delphi ’98 or: How can the Future be Shaped”. International Journal of Technology Management, 21, pp.767-780.
Dror, Yehezkel. 1964. “Muddling through-“science” or inertia?”, Public Administration Review, 24, pp.7-153.
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Dye, Thomas R. 1976, Policy Analysis: What Government Do, why They Do It, and What Different It Makes. Alamaba: University of Alamaba Press.
Dyke, Vernon Van. 1968. “Process and Policy as Focal Concepts in Political Research” in Austin Ranney, ed. Political Science and Public Policy. 23-40. Chicago: Markham.
Easton, D. 1953. The Political System, New York: Knopf.
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Easton, D. 1965b A Framework for Political Analysis, Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall
Etzion, A. 1967. ‘Mixed-scanning: a “third” approach to decision-making’, Public Administration Review, 27, pp.385-92.
Friedrich, Carl, J. 1963. Man and His Government: An Empirical Theory of Politics. New York: Mc Graw-Hill.
Friend, John & Hickling, Allen. 1987. Planning Under Pressure: The Strategic Choice Approach. New York: Pergamon Press.
Hrebenar, Ronald J. & Ruth K. Scott. 1990. Interest Group Politics in America, 2nded. Englewood Cliffs, NJ: Prentice Hall,p238.Kahn, Herman & Anthony J. Weiner. 1967. A Framework for Speculation on the Next Thirty years, N. Y.: Macmillan Publishing.
Kahn, Herman. 1978. World Economic Development: Projections for 1978 to the year 2000. Boulder. COLO: Westview Press, Inc..
Lasswell, Harold, and Kaplan, A. 1950. Power and Society. New Haven: Yale University Press.
Lindblom, C. E. 1959. “The science of muddling through”, Public Administration Review, 19, pp.78-88.
Lindblom, C. E. 1965. The Intelligence of Democracy, New York: Free Press.
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Linstone, Harold & Murray Turoff. 1975. The Delphi Methods: The Critiques and Applications. N. Y.: Addison-Wesley.
Linstone, Harold. & Murray Turoff. 1979. The Delphi Method: Techniques and Applications. N.Y.: Addison-Wesley.
Lipsky, M. 1980. Street-Level Bureaucracy, New York: Russell Sage.
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Mitroff, James R. Emshoff, & Killmann, Ralph H. 1979. “Assumtional Analysis: A Methodology for Strategic Problem-solving.” Management Science. 25.pp.583-593.
Morgan. D. L. 1996. “Focus group”. In Hagan, J. & Cook, K. S. (Eds.), Annual Review of Sociology, 22:129-152.
Peter, Ayton. Ferrell William R. & Stewart Thomas R. 1999. Commentaries on “The Delphi Technique as a Forecasting Tool: Issues and Analysis”, International Journal of Forecasting, 15. Oct 1999. pp.377-381.
Ranney, Austin. 1968. “The Study of Policy Content: A Framework for Choice” in Austin Ranney. Ed., Political Science and Public Policy. Chicago: Markham. 3-22.Ripley, Randall B. & Grace A Franklin, 1987. Congress, the Bureaucracy, and Public Policy. Chicago, Ill. : Dorsey Press.
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報紙資料
聯合報,民國九十一年十二月二日,第二版。
中國時報,民國九十三年二月二十八日,第四版。
中國時報,民國九十三年五月二十七日,第二版。
聯合晚報,民國九十三年五月二十六日,第四版。
網際網站
世界衛生組織 http://www.who.int/en
行政院衛生署疾病管制局 http://www.cdc.gov.tw
法務部 http://www.moj.gov.tw
經濟部 http://www.mdea.gov.tw
教育部 http://www.edu.tw
行政院大陸委員會 http://www.mac.gov.tw
行政院勞工委員會 http://www.cla.gov.tw
行政院青年輔導委員會 http://www.nyc.gov.tw
蒙藏委員會 http://www.mtac.gov.tw
全國博碩士論文資訊網 http://datas.ncl.edu.tw
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
行政管理碩士學程
91921068
92
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091921068
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 鄭興弟zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 許張傳zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) HSU, CHANG-CHUANen_US
dc.creator (作者) 許張傳zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) HSU, CHANG-CHUANen_US
dc.date (日期) 2003en_US
dc.date.accessioned 19-Sep-2009 15:16:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 19-Sep-2009 15:16:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 19-Sep-2009 15:16:52 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0091921068en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34828-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 行政管理碩士學程zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91921068zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要)   政務官面對急速變遷的環境,必須洞察時代的脈動,妥為因應,才能永續發展組織的業務。因此,不論工作計畫的擬定、問題的解決、或危機處理,必須掌握先機,蒐集資訊,並運用決策模型,縝密分析後採取行動,才能達到預期的目標,而正確的決策,對於機關業務的推動,更具關鍵性的影響。
  本研究主要採取文獻探討、比較分析、深度訪談等研究方法。為能更深入了解我國政務官決策之方法、過程及面臨之困境,本研究參考決策相關理論,諸如,認知性決策過程、理性選擇、結構式溝通、利益團體、影響決策過程因素、政治系統過程等問題設計訪談題綱,並抽樣分別向行政院所屬相關部會,如法務部、經濟部、教育部、大陸委員會、勞工委員會、青年輔導委員會、蒙藏委員會等機關首長深度訪談,從其決策經驗及實案分析,以了解其決策之模型,並避免本研究流於理論之空談。
  本研究發現:一、政務官在決策前,對於政策都能充分理解。二、政務官的決策方式,都有採用有限理性模型。三、政務官的決策方法,都有採用群體決策。四、政務官對於利益團體的活動,都認為有其必要性。五、政務官認為影響其決策的因素,可歸納為時間的壓力、輿論的反應、預算的通過、高層意見、立法院、法律限制等。六、政務官對於國內的政治生態環境皆能適應。
  根據文獻探討及深度訪談發現,本研究提出以下建議,作為政務官決策之參考:一、理解政策問題。二、確定政策目標。三、建構備選方案。四、設定篩選準則。五、爭取政策支持。六、監督政策執行。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要)   Government officials especially for those who are responsible for ministerial portfolio have to make decisions in response to the constantly changing environment. Hence, it requires takes excellent foresight, good data mining skills, superior strategic models and deliberate analysis to draft plans, solve problems, and deal with the crisis. Making the right decision serves as the key factor in the process of successful governance.

  In this research, the author applies the methods of literature review, comparative analysis, and in-depth interview in order to understand the decision-making process, decision methods, as well as decision dilemma confronting ministerial officials with portfolio. Further more, this research uses relevant decision -making theories, such as cognitive decision process, rational choice, structured communication, and factors affecting decision-making process, such as interest groups & political system process. Based on the parameters of literature review, the author designs the outlines of interviews and selects ministerial officials with portfolio from the ministry of justice, ministry of economic affairs, ministry of education, mainland affairs council, national youth commission, and Mongolian and Tibetan affairs commission and conducts in-depth interviews.

  There are several important findings derived from our 〝empirical〞case studies. First, before a government official makes his decision, he has a full grasp with the policy issue. Second, the decision models of government officials are mostly based on limited-rational model. Third, government officials often make decisions based on group consensus. Fourth, government officials think it is necessary to take opinions of interest groups into account. Fifth, government officials spend a lot of time in response to public pressure, budget & legal constraints demands of Legislative Yuan and in fathoming the attitudes of higher authorities before they make their decisions. Sixth, most government officials are quite accustomed to the political environment.

  According to our literature review and in-depth interviews, this study makes the following suggestions before a government official makes his or her policy decision. First, fully comprehend the content and implications of a policy. Second, set an objective for the policy. Third, keep a substitute project on hand. Forth, set criteria or standards for policy implementation. Fifth, to garner for support from government and related actors. Sixth, monitor the execution of a policy.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 …………………………………………1
第一節 研究動機與目的………………………………1
第二節 研究範圍與限制………………………………5
第三節 研究方法及流程………………………………6
第四節 重要名詞解釋…………………………………8
第二章 理論基礎與文獻檢視…………… …………13
第一節 決策之觀點 …………………………………13
第二節 決策之種類 …………………………………20
第三節 決策之程序 …………………………………24
第四節 影響決策之因素 ……………………………30
第五節 文獻檢視…………………………………….35
第三章 決策主要機制與方法之探討 ……………44
第一節 劇本規劃法 …………………………………44
第二節 未來遠景建構法 ……………………………49
第三節 策略規劃法 …………………………………57
第四節 德菲法 ………………………………………66
第五節 焦點團體法 …………………………………71
第六節 小結 …………………………………………76
第四章 研究設計 ……………………………………78
第一節 訪談對象設計 ………………………………78
第二節 訪談題綱設計 ………………………………80

I

第五章 研究結果與分析 ……………………………87
第一節 認知性決策過程 ……………………………87
第二節 理性選擇 ……………………………………92
第三節 結構式溝通 …………………………………98
第四節 利益團體……………………………………103
第五節 影響決策過程因素…………………………110
第六節 政治系統過程………………………………118
第六章 結論與建議 ………………………………125
第一節 研究發現……………………………………125
第二節 政策建議……………………………………130
第三節 後續研究之建議……………………………136

參考書目
一、中文書籍及期刊論文 ……………………………138
二、外文書籍及期刊論文 ……………………………142
三、報紙資料 …………………………………………147
四、網際網路 …………………………………………147

附錄
附錄一:政務人員退職酬勞金給與條例 ……………148
附錄二:「我國政務官決策行為之研究」訪談綱要 153
附錄三:「我國政務官決策行為之研究」訪談紀錄
(A1~A7) ……………………………………154

圖表目次

一、圖目次

圖1-1:本文之研究流程…………………………………….7
圖2-1:管理階層與決策階層………………………………21
圖2-2:理性的決策過程……………………………………29
圖3-1:劇本式規劃法流程表………………………………47
圖3-2:未來遠景建構法過程圖……………………………50
圖3-3:決策者面臨三種不確定的狀況……………………58
圖3-4:經過時間推移,控制不確定決策狀況……………60
圖3-5:策略抉擇多層面途徑………………………………61
圖3-6:「假定分析」的過程 ……………………………64
圖3-7:德菲法運用之過程…………………………………68

二、表目次

表2-1:個案研究(增加地方財產稅1%之可行性分析)
………………………………………………………………27
表2-2:個案研究(裁員1, 500人之可行性分析) ……28
表4-1:訪談對象列表 ……………………………………78
表4-2:決策層面、各層面涉及之問題與訪談題目對照表
………………………………………………………………80
表5-1:「認知性決策過程」訪談意見彙整表……………91
表5-2:「決策模型」訪談意見彙整表……………………97
表5-3:「決策方法」訪談意見彙整表 …………………102
表5-4:「利益團體」觀感訪談意見彙整表 ……………109
表5-5:「影響決策過程因素」訪談意見彙整表 ………117
表5-6:「政治系統過程」訪談意見彙整表 ……………124
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0091921068en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政務官zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政策環境zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 公共政策zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 決策程序zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) officials with portfolioen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) political environmenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) public policyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) decision-making processen_US
dc.title (題名) 政務官與決策制定~行政院部會首長決策行為之研究~zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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