dc.contributor.advisor | 黃智聰 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | Huang,Jr-Tsung | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 張淑音 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Chang,Shu-ying | en_US |
dc.creator (作者) | 張淑音 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | Chang,Shu-ying | en_US |
dc.date (日期) | 2005 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 19-Sep-2009 15:21:04 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 19-Sep-2009 15:21:04 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 19-Sep-2009 15:21:04 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0093921027 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34843 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 行政管理碩士學程 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 93921027 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 94 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 台灣經濟屬於淺碟型經濟,且受限於缺乏自然資源,所以資本的形成相當的不容易。為求經濟的發展,資本的形成,尤其是固定投資的累積相當的重要。而資本形成的數種財源中,以僑外直接投資對國際收支與通貨膨脹的壓力影響較小,並能引進新生產技術及經營管理知識,從而促進產業的持續成長與企業管理現代化理想的實現。台灣之所以能成為經濟上的亞洲四小龍之一,這當中經濟成長的背後資金來源,僑外商的直接投資是不可或缺的。近年來,台灣的名目利率不斷下跌,甚至實質利率為負的情況下,投資動能卻仍顯不足。為瞭解構成廠商投資意願的決定因素,故以對投資具相當敏感度的僑外商為研究的主要對象,所以本文的主要目的即是探討僑外直接投資台灣的決定因素。本研究使用1995年至2004年間的時間數列月資料,以普通最小平方迴歸模型,估計僑外資、僑資、外資、製造業及服務業等五種模型的直接投資決定因素。結果顯示在僑外資及外資的模型中,其顯著變數有工資、利率、世界競爭力及政黨輪替。僑資模型的顯著因素有犯罪率及政黨輪替。製造業模型的顯著變數有工資、匯率及利率。而服務業模型則有工資、利率及研究發展經費為顯著變項。另各模型時間變數方面,僑外資、外資及服務業等模型的第6年虛擬變數具顯著效果。在月虛擬變數上,投資正相關的月份僑外資為6、7月及10至12月;僑資為7、8兩月;外資於5月後各月;製造業則為3月及5月後各月;服務業則為7、11及12月。又僑資及服務業兩模型中,4月均為負相關。至於經濟成長率、每人國內生產毛額及政黨比率等不顯著變項,表示均非僑外商投資所關注的因素。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | Taiwan’s saucer-shallow economic scale and scarce natural resources make capital formation very difficult. Nevertheless, capital formation, especially accumulation of fixed investment, is essential to economic development. Among various sources of capital formation, foreign direct investment imposes least pressure on the balance of payments and inflation, introduces innovative technology and management skills, and hence contributes most significantly to sustainable industrial development and the realization of business management ideals. Taiwan ranks among the four newly-industrialized Asian tigers. Among the funding sources that have promoted Taiwan’s economic growth over the years, direct investment from overseas Chinese and foreigners plays an indispensable part. In recent years, however, even though nominal interest rates have continuously fallen, at times even to the level of negative real interest rates, investment momentum still appeared weakened. Based on this observation, this study tries to understand what drives decisions to invest in Taiwan by focusing on overseas Chinese and foreign investors who are highly investment sensitive. The main purpose of the study is to discuss the determinants of overseas Chinese and foreign direct investment in Taiwan.This study applies the Ordinary Least Square (OLS) Regression model to analyze the monthly time-series data during the period of 1995-2004. Determinants of direct investment are examined in five groups, i.e. overseas Chinese & foreign investment, overseas Chinese investment, foreign investment, the manufacturing sector, and the services sector. The result shows that wages, interest rates, world competitiveness, and the rotation of ruling parties are the most important factors for overseas Chinese & foreign investment, and foreign investment. Overseas Chinese investment is significantly affected by the crime rate and the rotation of ruling parties. For the manufacturing sector, wages, exchange rates and interest rates are important variables. Wages, interest rates and R&D spending significantly affect investment in the services sector. In terms of the time variables in each group, the sixth year dummy variable has a significant effect on overseas Chinese & foreign investment, foreign investment, and the services sector. With regard to monthly dummy variables, positively correlated to investment are June, July, and October to December for overseas Chinese & foreign investment; July and August for overseas Chinese investment; May to December for foreign investment; March, and May to December for the manufacturing sector; and July, November, and December for the services sector. In addition, April shows a negative correlation for both overseas Chinese investment and the services sector. Variables with insignificant effects, including economic growth rates, per capita GDP, and the congressional seats of political parties, are not among the concerns of overseas Chinese and foreign investors. | en_US |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論. 1第一節 研究背景與目的. 1第二節 研究架構與研究限制. 7第二章 相關文獻回顧. 10第一節 對外直接投資定義. 10第二節 對外直接投資相關理論. 12第三節 僑外直接投資台灣相關文獻. 17第四節 本章小結. 21第三章 僑外直接投資台灣的概況. 23第一節 台灣引進僑外直接投資的歷程. 23第二節 僑外直接投資台灣的產業別概況. 27第三節 僑外直接投資台灣的來源分佈. 31第四節 本章小結. 35第四章 研究設計. 37第一節 研究方法說明與實證資料來源. 37第二節 實證變數說明. 42第三節 本章小結. 47第五章 實證結果分析與模型檢驗. 49第一節 實證結果分析. 49第二節 實證模型檢驗. 55第三節 本章小結. 59第六章 結論與政策建議. 60第一節 結論. 60第二節 政策建議. 62參考文獻. 63 | zh_TW |
dc.format.extent | 58171 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 80109 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 71262 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 18666 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 55009 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 49079 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 44692 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 220530 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 180568 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 295094 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 215763 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 216127 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 104119 bytes | - |
dc.format.extent | 100354 bytes | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.format.mimetype | application/pdf | - |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0093921027 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 台灣 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 外資直接投資 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 決定因素 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 普通最小平方法 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Determinant | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Foreign Direct Investment | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | FDI | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | OLS | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Taiwan | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | 僑外直接投資台灣的決定因素 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | Determinants of Overseas Chinese and Foreign Direct Investment in Taiwan | en_US |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 一、中文部分 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 王泰允(1981),《多國性企業—經營策略與實例》。台北:環球經濟社。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 杜震華(1995),「在台外商特性及其投資因素之比較分析」,《臺灣銀行季刊》,46(1),頁123-150。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 杜震華、薛琦(1989),「直接外來投資與台灣的固定投資」,《經濟論文》,頁63-92。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 林少龍(1998),「由供給面分析外人來台直接投資的決定因素」,《亞太管理評論》,3(1),頁59-72。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 黃智聰、潘俊男(2002),「大陸地區製造業產業結構的決定因素」,《中國大陸研究》,45(2),頁97-123。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 黃智聰、林昇誼、潘俊男(2003),「不同來源外資企業在中國大陸生產效率之比較-以工業部門為例」,《遠景季刊》,4(1),頁93-123。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 黃智聰、高安邦、余姿瑩(2004),「外來投資在中國大陸各地區分佈不均度之分析」,《中國大陸研究》,47(2),頁33-56。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 經濟部國際貿易局(1998),「現階段外資來華投資較亞洲其他競爭國相對趨緩的結構面分析、政策含意與建議」,中央銀行全球主要外人直接投資淨流入國家其原因分析暨聯合國之相關報告,國際金融參考資料第48輯。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 趙曙明(1999),《國際企業管理》。台北:五南圖書出版有限公司。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 劉任(2004),「在台外資企業150大」,《貿易雜誌》,155,頁8-13。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 劉孟俊、陳信宏、吳明澤、周欣儀、歐宜佩(2004),《僑外投資事業營運狀況調查及對我國經濟發展貢獻分析報告(民國九十二年)》,台北:經濟部投資審議委員會委託計畫。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 薛琦(1978),「我國外資廠商出口傾向的研究-兼論我國吸引外資的因素」,《台北市銀行月刊》,9(11),頁12-20。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 二、政府出版品 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 內政部警政署編(1995-2004),《警政統計月報》,台北:內政部警政署。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中央銀行編(1995-2004),《中華民國台灣地區金融統計月報》,台北:中央銀行。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中央銀行編(2004),《中華民國台灣地區資金流量統計》,台北:中央銀行經濟研究處。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 行政院主計處編(1995-2004),《統計手冊》,台北:行政院主計處。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 行政院主計處編(1995-2004),《人力資統計月報》,台北:行政院主計處。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 行政院國家科學委員會編(2004-2005),《科學技術統計要覽》,台北:行政院國家科學委員會。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 經濟部投資審議委員會編(1995-2004),《經濟部投資審議委員會統計月報》,台北:經濟部投資審議委員會。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 三、英文部分 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bernhardt, Rudolf (2003), The Encyclopedia of Public International Law, 8, 246. United Kingdom: The Auspices of The Max Planck Institute for Comparative Public Law and International Law. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Blais, Jeffrey Peter (1975), A Theory and Empirical Investigation of Canadian and British Direct Foreign Investment in Manufacturing in the United States. Ph.D. Dissertation. Pittsburgh: University of Pittsburgh. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Buckley, Peter J. and Mark Cassons (1976), The Future of Multinational Enterprises. London: Macmillan. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Buckley, Peter J. and Mark Cassons (1981), “The Optimal Timing of a Foreign Direct Investment.” Economic Journal, 91, 75-87. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Caves, Richard E. (1971), “International Corporation: The Industrial Economics of Foreign Investment.” Economics, 38, 1-27. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cheung, Kui-yin and Ping Lin (2004), “Spillover Effects of FDI on Innovation in China: Evidence from the Provincial Data.” China Economic Review, 15(1), 25-44. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Chou, Tein-Chen (1988), “American and Japan Direct Foreign Investment in Taiwan, A Comparative Study.” Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 29(2), 165-179. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dees, Stèphane (1998), “Foreign Direct Investment in China: Determinants and Effects.” Economics of Planning, 31(2/3), 175-194. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dunning, John H. (1973), “The Determinants of International Production.” Oxford Economic Papers, 35, 289-325. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dunning, John H. (1980), “Toward an Eclectic Theory of International Production: Some Empirical Test.” Journal of International Business Studies, 11(1), 9-31. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Foot, Kenneth (1991), “Japanese Foreign Direct Investment.” NBER Working Paper, W3737, National Bureau of Economic Research, Harvard Business School. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Froot, Kenneth A. and Jeremy Stein (1991), “Exchange Rates and Foreign Direct Investment: an Imperfect Capital Markets Approach.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 106, 1191-1217. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hill, Ceter R., William E. Griffiths, and George E. Judge (2001), Undergraduate Econometrics, New York: John Wiley & Sons, c2001. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hong, Mao, and Luo-Shou Chen (2001), “Quantitative and Dynamic Analysis of the OLI Variables Determining FDI in China.” Review of Urban and Regional Development Studies, 13(2), 163-172. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Huang, Fanzhang (1995), “China’s Utilization of Foreign Capital and the Related Policies.” Journal of Asian Economics, 6(2), 217-232. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Huang, Jr-Tsung, Chun-Chien Kuo, and An-Pang Kao (2003), “The Inequality of Regional Economic Development in China between 1991 and 2001. ” Journal of Chinese Economic and Business Studies, 1(3), 273-285. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Huang, Jr-Tsung (2004), “Spillover from Taiwan, Hong Kong, and Macau Investment and from Other Foreign Investment in Chinese Industries.” Contemporary Economic Policy, 22(1), 13-25. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Hymer, Stephen H. (1960), The International Operations of National Firms: A Study of Direct Foreign Investment by Ph.D. Thesis, MIT, MIT Press, Cambridge, MA, 1976. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Jeon, Yoong-Deok (1992), “The Determinants of Korean Foreign Direct Investment in Manufacturing Industries.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 128(3), 527-541. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kobrin, Stephen J. (1978), “When Does Political Instability Result in Increased Investment Risk?” Columbia Journal of World Busines, 13(3),113-122. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kojima, Kiyoshi (1973), “A Macroeconomic Approach to Foreign Direct Investment.” Hitotsubashi Journal of Economics, 14, 1-21. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kojima, Kiyoshi (1978), “Japanese and America Direct Investment in Asia: A Comparative Study.” Third International Conference on MNE, 39-107. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Krugman, Paul (1991), “Increasing Returns and Economic Geography.” The Journal of Political Economy, 99(3), 483-499. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Lucus, Robert E. B. (1993), “On the Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment: Evidence from East and Southeast Asia.” World Development, 21, 391-406. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | OECD (1996), OECD Benchmark Definition of Foreign Direct Investment. Paris: OECD. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Olibe, Kingsley O. and Larry C. Crumbley (1997), “Determinants of U.S. Private Foreign Direct Investment in OPEC Nations: From Public and Non-Public Policy Perspective.” Journal of Public Budgeting, Accounting & Financial Management, Summer, 9(2), 31-355. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Riedel, James (1975), “The Nature and Determinants of Export-Oriented Direct Foreign Investment in a Developing Country:A Case Study of Taiwan.” Weltwirtschaftliches Archiv, 111(3), 505-528. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Root, Franklin R. and Ahmed A. Ahmed (1978), “The Influence of Policy Instruments on Manufacturing Direct Foreign Investment in Developing Countries.” Journal of International Business Studies, Winter, 9(3), 81-93. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Root, Franklin R. and Ahmed A. Ahmed (1979), “Empirical Determinants of Manufacturing Direct Foreign Investment in Developing Countries.” Economic Development and Cultural Change, 27(4), 751-767. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Scaperlanda, Anthony E. and Lawrence J. Mauer (1969), “The Determinants of U.S. direct investment in the E.E.C.” American Economic Review, 59(4), 558-568. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sun, Qian, Wilson Tong, and Qiao Yu (2002), “Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment Across China.” Journal of International Money and Finance, 21, 79-113. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Tallman, Stephen. B. (1988), “Home Country Political Risk And Foreign Direct Investment In The United States.” Journal of International Business Studies, Summer, 19(2), 219-234. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Tsai, Pan-long (1991), “Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment In Taiwan: An Alternative Approach With Time-Series Date.” World Development, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 19(2/3), 275-285. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | UNCTAD (1997), “Transnational Corporations, Market Structure and Competition Policy.” World Investment Report 1997. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | UNCTAD (2003), “FDI Policies for Development:National and International Perspectives.” World Investment Report 2003. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | UNCTAD (2005), “Transnational Corporations and Internationalization of R&D.” World Investment Report 2005. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Van, Loo F. (1977), “The Effects of Foreign Direct Investment on Investment in Canada .” Review of Economics and Statistics, 59, 474-481. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Vernon, Raymond (1966), “International Investment and International Trade in the Product Trade.” Quarterly Journal of Economics, 80, 190-207. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Walia, Tirlochan Singh (1976), An Empirical Evaluation of Selected Theories of Foreign Direct Investment by U.S. Based Multinational Corporations, Ph.D. Dissertation. New York: New York University. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Woodward, Douglas P. and Robert J. Rolfe (1993), “The Location of Export-oriented Foreign Direct Investment in the Caribbean Basin,” Journal of International Business Studies, 24(1/4), 121-143. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Yang, Jeannie Yih Yun, Nicolaas Groenewold, and Moonjoong Tcha ( 2000 ), “The Determinants of Foreign Direct Investment in Australia.” Economic Record, East lvanhoe: Mar. 76(232), 45-54. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Young, Stephen and Ping Lan (1997), “Technology Transfer to China through Foreign Direct Investment.” Regional Studies, 31, 7, 669-679. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zhang, Kevin Honglin, and Shunfeng Song (2000),, “The Role of Inward FDI in China.” China Economic Review, 11(4), 385-396. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zhang, Wei and Robert Taylor (2001), “EU Technology Transfer to China: The Automotive Industry as a Case Study.” Journal of the Asia Pacific Economy, 6, 2, 261-274。 | zh_TW |