Publications-Theses

題名 我國中央層級分立政府成因之初探研究
作者 王宏忠
Hongu -chung, Wang
貢獻者 吳重禮
王宏忠
Hongu -chung, Wang
關鍵詞 分立政府
分裂投票
投票穩定度
分權制衡
政黨認同
日期 2002
上傳時間 19-Sep-2009 15:42:38 (UTC+8)
摘要 我國中央層級分立政府成因之初探研究
摘 要
邇來,行政部門與立法部門分屬不同政黨所掌控的「分立政府」(divided government)似乎逐漸成為台灣地區縣市政府的常態。我國自2000年總統大選過後,中央層級政府亦首度呈現分立政府型態。鑑於分立政府之意涵及其對我國實際政治運作具有相當的重要性,本論文嘗試探討造成我國中央層級分立政府的成因。分立政府的形成主要源自選民的「分裂投票行為」(split-ticket voting),儘管諸多研究者試圖運用各種學說,加以解釋選民為何採取分裂投票行為,但迄今仍莫衷一是,無法對其成因提供周延的解釋。本論文嘗試回顧相關文獻著作,綜合各家觀點,為其整理出研究脈絡,以作為探討我國中央層級分立政府之基礎。本論文嘗試藉由「2001年台灣選舉與民主化調查研究:民國九十年立法委員選舉全國大型民意調查研究」所釋出的資料,針對選民「分立政府」心理認知與投票行為進行分析。在影響因素方面,本文認為選民的制衡觀念、多重政黨認同、投票習性,以及憲政制度的規範等因素,可能是形成我國中央層級分立政府的重要變數。

關鍵詞:分立政府、分裂投票、投票穩定度、分權制衡、政黨認同
參考文獻 參考文獻
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許增如,1999,〈一九九六年美國大選中的分裂投票行為:兩個議題模式的探討〉,《歐美研究》,第二十九卷,第一期,頁83-126。
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黃紀,2001,〈一致與分裂投票:方法論之探討〉,《人文及社會科學集刊》,第十三卷,第五期,頁541-74。
黃紀、吳重禮,2000,〈台灣地區縣市層級「分立政府」影響之初探〉,《台灣政治學刊》,第四期,頁106-147。
黃德福,1991,〈臺灣地區七十八年底選舉分裂投票之初探研究-以臺北縣、雲林縣與高雄縣為個案〉,《政治學報》,第十九卷,頁55-80。
彭睿仁,2001,〈中央與地方層級選舉間投票穩定程度之研究--1999年雲林縣長補選與2000年總統選舉雲林縣選舉結果的比較分析〉,國立中正大學政治學研究所碩士論文。
張益超,1999,〈選民投票穩定度之研究-嘉義市第四屆與第五屆市長選舉之分析〉,國立中正大學政治學研究所碩士論文。
楊樹源,2001,〈台灣地區縣市層級「分立政府」與「一致政府」之比較:以新竹縣市與嘉義縣市為例〉,國立中正大學政治學研究所碩士論文。
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
政治研究所
89252014
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0892520144
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 吳重禮zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王宏忠zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Hongu -chung, Wangen_US
dc.creator (作者) 王宏忠zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Hongu -chung, Wangen_US
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 19-Sep-2009 15:42:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 19-Sep-2009 15:42:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 19-Sep-2009 15:42:38 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0892520144en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) https://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/34511-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 政治研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 89252014zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 我國中央層級分立政府成因之初探研究
摘 要
邇來,行政部門與立法部門分屬不同政黨所掌控的「分立政府」(divided government)似乎逐漸成為台灣地區縣市政府的常態。我國自2000年總統大選過後,中央層級政府亦首度呈現分立政府型態。鑑於分立政府之意涵及其對我國實際政治運作具有相當的重要性,本論文嘗試探討造成我國中央層級分立政府的成因。分立政府的形成主要源自選民的「分裂投票行為」(split-ticket voting),儘管諸多研究者試圖運用各種學說,加以解釋選民為何採取分裂投票行為,但迄今仍莫衷一是,無法對其成因提供周延的解釋。本論文嘗試回顧相關文獻著作,綜合各家觀點,為其整理出研究脈絡,以作為探討我國中央層級分立政府之基礎。本論文嘗試藉由「2001年台灣選舉與民主化調查研究:民國九十年立法委員選舉全國大型民意調查研究」所釋出的資料,針對選民「分立政府」心理認知與投票行為進行分析。在影響因素方面,本文認為選民的制衡觀念、多重政黨認同、投票習性,以及憲政制度的規範等因素,可能是形成我國中央層級分立政府的重要變數。

關鍵詞:分立政府、分裂投票、投票穩定度、分權制衡、政黨認同
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 論文目錄
第一章、緒論…………………………………………………………1
第一節、研究動機與目的……………………………………………..1
壹、研究動機………………………………………………………..1
貳、研究目的……………………………………………………….. 3
第二節、研究範圍…………………………………………………….4
第三節、章節安排…………………………………………………….4
第二章、文獻回顧……………………………………………………6
第一節、分立政府研究文獻與探討………………………………….6
壹、分立政府之成因……………………………………………….7
貳、分立政府之影響……………………………………………….8
參、分立政府之改革……………………………………………….9
第二節、分裂投票與投票穩定度之探討……………………………10
壹、刻意說…………………………………………………………11
貳、非刻意說………………………………………………………13
參、分裂投票與投票穩定度之比較………………………………22
第三章、研究設計…………………………………………………..24
第一節、研究架構…………………………………………………24
壹、依變數:投票穩定度…………………………………………25
貳、自變數:人口變數、政治態度變數……………………………26
參、自變數:制衡觀念…………………………………………..…36
第二節、研究假設……………………………………………………38
壹、關於人口變數之假設…………………………………………38
貳、關於政治態度變數之假設……………………………………39
參、關於制衡觀念變數之假設……………………………………39
第四章、2000年總統大選與2001年立委選舉選民投票穩定度之探討…………………………………………………41
第一節、人口變數與選民投票穩定度之交叉分析…………………41
壹、性別與投票穩定度之分析……………………………………41
貳、年齡與投票穩定度之分析……………………………………42
參、省籍與投票穩定度之分析……………………………………43
肆、教育程度與投票穩定度之分析………………………………43
第二節、政治態度變數與選民投票穩定度之交叉分析……………44
壹、統獨立場與投票穩定度之分析………………………………44
貳、政黨認同與投票穩定度之分析………………………………45
參、族群認同與投票穩定度之分析………………………………46
肆、政治知識與投票穩定度之分析………………………………47
伍、外在政治功效意識與投票穩定度之分析……………………48
陸、內在政治功效意識與投票穩定度之分析……………………49
第三節、中介變數與選民投票穩定度之交叉分析…………………50
壹、分立政府心理認知與投票穩定度之分析……………………50
貳、權力制衡心理認知與投票穩定度之分析……………………51
第五章、分立政府成因之討論分析………………………………53
第一節、模型設定與說明……………………………………………53
第二節、實證結果與分析討論………………………………………54
第六章、結論與建議………………………………………………..61
第一節、研究結果摘要………………………………………………61
第二節、研究限制與建議……………………………………………62
壹、限制……………………………………………………………62
貳、建議……………………………………………………………63
附錄:問卷題目與重新編碼………………………………………64
參考文獻………………………………………………………………67

圖表目錄
圖2-1、Fiorina的政策中和模型………………………………………12
圖3-1、研究架構圖…………………………………………………….24
表3-1、2000年總統選舉與2001年立法委員選舉之選民投票模式….26
表4-1、性別與選民投票模式之交叉分析……………………………..42
表4-2、年齡與選民投票模式之交叉分析……………………………..42
表4-3、省籍與選民投票模式之交叉分析…………………………….43
表4-4、教育程度與選民投票模式之交叉分析………………………..44
表4-5、統獨立場與選民投票模式之交叉分析………………………..45
表4-6、政黨認同與選民投票模式之交叉分析………………………..46
表4-7、族群認同與選民投票模式之交叉分析………………………..47
表4-8、政治知識與選民投票模式之交叉分析………………………..48
表4-9、外在政治功效意識與選民投票模式之交叉分析…………….49
表4-10、內在政治功效意識與選民投票模式之交叉分析……………49
表4-11、分立政府心理認知與選民投票模式之交叉分析……………50
表4-12、權力制衡心理認知與選民投票模式之交叉分析……………51
表5-1、選民投票之多項勝算對數模型分析結果……………………..55
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dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0892520144en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分立政府zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分裂投票zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 投票穩定度zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分權制衡zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 政黨認同zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 我國中央層級分立政府成因之初探研究zh_TW
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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