| dc.contributor.advisor | 邱稔壤 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 高晨峰 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | 高晨峰 | zh_TW |
| dc.date (日期) | 2009 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 9-Apr-2010 09:54:48 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 9-Apr-2010 09:54:48 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 9-Apr-2010 09:54:48 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0095253013 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/38514 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 外交研究所 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 95253013 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 98 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 委內瑞拉為世界第五大的石油輸出國,且同為石油輸出國家組織的創始會員國之一。石油是委內瑞拉最為重要的產業與經濟活動,而委內瑞拉因石油而富,亦因石油而貧,委內瑞拉所依賴的石油一直以來猶如兩面刃般深刻的影響委內瑞拉的政治、經濟與社會。 1992年政變失敗的陸軍中校查維茲打著激烈改革的口號,於1998年贏得委內瑞拉總統大選,終結支配委內瑞拉政治長達50年的「協定民主」,為委內瑞拉的歷史打開了新的一頁。對於查維茲而言,委內瑞拉的石油不但是國家主權獨立的象徵,同時亦應用於國際政治中重要的地緣政治武器。因此,查維茲上台後,便積極展開石油改革計畫,強化對國內石油產業的控制權,重整委內瑞拉國營石油公司,並利用石油收入進行社會發展計畫。此外,配合近年來國際油價的高漲,查維茲在區域與國際政治舞台上,運用委內瑞拉豐富的石油蘊藏與龐大的石油收入,進行合縱連橫,攏絡盟友並且試圖削弱美國的影響力。 本研究採用K. J. Holsti所提出的個人、國家、體系與全球四個分析層次作為主要分析架構,以求對於查維茲政權能源政策做出全面性的探討。此論文假設查維茲政權能源政策的發展,決策者為核心因素,藉由在個人層次上,透過決策者個人研究,以求對查維茲個人政治理念有通盤的了解,並探討如何影響委內瑞拉能源政策之發展。再者,選取在國內、體系中對委內瑞拉能源政策影響較深的因素,解釋查維茲政權在這些因素影響下,產生何種政策輸出?最後,探討近年來全球能源環境的變遷與重要的發展趨勢,作為影響查維茲政權能源政策的重要中介因素,解釋全球能源環境的變化與發展對查維茲能源政策有何影響? | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | Venezuela is the fifth-largest oil exporter in the world, also, one of the funding members of the Organization of Petroleum Exporting Countries. In Venezuela, most industries and economic activities are dominated by Petroleum sector, a “double edged sword” which brings both positive and negative effects, and deeply influences the political, economic and social conditions in Venezuela.In 1998, the former lieutenant colonel, Hugo Chávez, who had organized an unsuccessful coup in 1992, seized the power as president in the election with the claim of “radical reformation”. The result in 1998 presidential election terminated the nearly fifty-year long “pacted democracy” and create a unprecendented prospect on Venezuela’s history. To Chávez, the oil is not only the symbol of independence of national sovereignty, but also a useful geopolitical weapon in the field of international politics. Therefore, Chávez began his oil reformation: strengthen the state control to the oil industry, reorganize the national oil company, Petroleos de Venezuela, SA, PDVSA, and use the income to facilitate the social policy. Moreover, due to the reason of oil price surging in recent years, the abundant oil reserve and its’ enormous output value enable Chavez to expand his power base and also to put his intention of striking the influence of United State in both regional and international stage to practice. This study adopts K. J. Holsti’s four levels of analysis – individual, state, system and global, as the analytic framework to this research. In this study, the individual level is assumed as the core factor of the energy policy development under the Chávez regime. Chavez’s political ideas and how it influences Venezuela’s energy policy would be examined through the study of his leadership. Furthermore, taking important factors influencing energy policy in both domestic and international level into account, what policies output related to the above factors had Chavez made? Last but not the least, a discussion of global energy environment change in recent years would be made for explaining how it acts as the intermediary factors which influence the energy policy of Chávez regime. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論第一節 研究動機與目的………………………………1一、 研究動機二、 研究目的第二節 研究方法與限制………………………………5一、研究方法二、研究限制第三節 研究範圍與分析架構…………………………7一、 研究範圍二、 分析架構第四節 文獻回顧與章節安排…………………………13一、 文獻回顧二、 章節安排第二章 決策者因素與查維茲政權能源政策評估第一節 查維茲成長背景與崛起歷程…………………27一、 幼年時期(1954~1971)二、 軍旅生涯(1971~1992)三、 1992年失敗政變四、 政治崛起(1992~1998)第二節 查維茲個人政治理念…………………………40一、 西蒙.玻利瓦二、 西蒙,羅德里格茲三、 埃賽吉艾爾.薩摩拉第三節 查維茲個人特質分析…………………………45第四節 小結……………………………………………50第三章 國內因素與查維茲政權能源政策評估第一節 「國中之國」委內瑞拉國營石油公司………53一、 早期發展二、 石油產業國有化三、 委內瑞拉國營石油公司國際化與自主化發展第二節 「政變、罷工」反查維茲之政治勢力………62一、 反查維茲政治勢力概況二、授權法爭議三、2002年4月政變四、2002年底石油罷工五、2004年公投罷免第三節 玻利瓦革命下的社會政策……………………73一、 玻利瓦計畫2000二、 玻利瓦任務第四節 查維茲政權國內石油政策的產出……………88一、 委內瑞拉石油產業的「再國有化」二、 石油稅制改革三、 國家利益與石油產業主從關係的確立第五節 小結……………………………………………94第四章 國際因素與查維茲政權能源政策評估第一節 拉丁美洲左傾風潮……………………………96一、 新自由主義改革的實驗失敗二、 傳統政黨失去人心三、 左派勢力的結構與路線調整四、 拉丁美洲新興左派勢力的區別第二節 小布希政府任內美國與拉丁美洲關係發展…106一、美國影響力的衰退二、小布希政府與拉丁美洲國家的政治摩擦第三節 拉丁美洲區域整合概況………………………130一、 美洲自由貿易區的失敗二、 南美洲區域整合核心-南方共同市場三、 反美陣線-玻利瓦美洲替代方案第四節 查維茲政權對外能源政策的產出……………144一、 擺脫對美國的依賴-分散化的石油政策二、 與大國間的石油合作-推廣多極世界三、 區域能源整合計畫第五節 小結……………………………………………174第五章 全球能源環境與查維茲政權能源政策評估第一節 全球石油需求發展趨勢………………………177一、 新興國家推動總體石油需求增加二、 先進國家逐漸降低對石油的需求三、 2007年至2030年石油需求發展趨勢第二節 石油價格波動……………………………………184一、 石油進口國觀點二、 石油輸出國觀點三、 高油價下國際石油上游產業主導權重整第三節 再生能源的發展…………………………………197一、 氣候變遷與全球暖化二、 近年來再生能源的發展第四節 查維茲政權能源政策回應………………………206一、 油價與查維茲政權二、 查維茲政府再生能源的發展第五節 小結………………………………………………218第六章 結論………………………………………………221參考文獻 …………………………………………………229 | zh_TW |
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| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0095253013 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 分析層次 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 委內瑞拉 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 查維茲 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 玻利瓦主義 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 玻利瓦任務 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 委內瑞拉國營石油公司 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 奧里諾科石油計畫 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 拉丁美洲區域整合 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 拉丁美洲左派 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | level of analysis | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Venezuela | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Hugo Chávez | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Bolivarianism | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Bolívar mission | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | PDVSA | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Orinoco project | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Latin American regional integration | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Latin American left | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 委內瑞拉查維茲政權能源政策之研究- 由分析層次探討 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | The study of the energy policy of Venezuela’s Chávez Regime- Examined from level of analysis | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 一、 中文參考書目 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | (一) 專書 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 焦震衡,《委內瑞拉(Venezuela)》。北京:社會科學文獻出版社,2005年。 | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | (二) 期刊與會議論文 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 邱稔壤,「委內瑞拉在全球化浪潮下之『玻利瓦替代方案』-拉美左派非傳統區域選項」,《台灣民主季刊》,第六卷,第一期,2009年3月,頁107-133。 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 游振隆,《委內瑞拉經濟發展與外交決策關係之研究》,淡江大學拉丁美洲研究所碩士論文,1992年6月。 | zh_TW |
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| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 二、 外文參考書目 | zh_TW |
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