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題名 專利資訊與分析師盈餘預測
Patents and analysts` forecasts
作者 鄭人維
Cheng, Ren Wei
貢獻者 詹凌菁
鄭人維
Cheng, Ren Wei
關鍵詞 專利
分析師盈餘預測
研究發展費用
企業未來盈餘
Patent
Analyst earnings forecast
R&D expense
Future earnings
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:53:05 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究以研究發展費用作為專利的投入變數,以專利數作為專利的產出數量變數,以平均專利範圍及平均專利發明人數作為專利的產出品質變數,使用長期間與大範圍的台灣樣本來探討專利資訊與企業財務績效之關連性,並透過專利資訊的使用者-分析師的觀點來判別哪些專利資訊是資訊使用者眼中的攸關資訊。研究結果發現大量的專利並不會對企業未來盈餘有明顯助益,擁有高品質的專利才是對企業未來盈餘有所助益的關鍵因素,研究結果亦發現分析師在進行盈餘預測時,並未適當的利用專利產出品質與專利產出數量資訊,且這些未經適當利用的專利資訊會增加盈餘預測誤差。故本研究建議資訊揭露相關準則及法規可針對專利資訊給予更完整、更透明的揭露。
Patent’s value is hard to accurately identify under current generally accepted accounting principles. This paper uses firms in the Taiwan Stock Exchange to investigate the association of firm’s patents, future financial performance and the information used in analysts’ earnings forecasts. The patents were measured by the proxies of R&D expenditures, granted patents, patent claims and the number of patent inventors. The evidences show that possessing a large number of patents does not help future financial performance, but granting high quality patents does. The evidences also show that analysts do not appropriately use the information provided by patents, and this truly causes analysts’ forecast errors. Therefore, I suggest giving patents clearer and more complete disclosure, so that investors can obtain more value-relevant information.
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石坤林 (2002),「財務報導與分析師預測」,中原大學會計研究所碩士論文。
李慧珍 (2006),「研發支出與分析師預測關聯性之研究:產業專精度之影響」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
吳惠芬 (2004),「研發支出及專利質量與公司市場價值關聯性之研究-產業間之比較觀點」,中原大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
金成隆、林修葳、紀信義 (2004),「專利權的價值攸關性:從企業生命週期論析」,管理學報,第21卷,第二期,175-197。
金成隆、陳俞如 (2006),「公司治理與專利權:台灣新興市場」,管理學報,第23卷,第一期,99-124。
林美華 (2007),「影響生技公司價值之因素研究」,中原大學會計研究所碩士論文。
胡家菱 (2004),「專利權及專利引用資訊對公司價值的影響--台灣上市公司實證(1990~1999年)」,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
陳金瑩 (2004),「無形資產與廠商市場價值」,國立台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
陳達仁、黃慕萱(民91)。專利資訊與專利檢索。台北市:文華。
陳建榮 (2005),「美國半導體產業專利品質與企業財務績效關連性之研究」,中原大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
黃瑞卿 (2007),「宣告取得專利權、專利授權與代理權之資訊內涵」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
葉玉慧 (2003),「專利權、創新投資與公司價值創造關係之研究─以研發投資宣告為例」,國立成功大學國際企業研究所碩士論文。
劉冠妤 (2005),「廠商的專利行為與市場價值關聯—以全球奈米二氧化鈦材料產業為例」,世新大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。
鄭雯馨 (2004),「研究發展與專利權對於股票報酬影響之探討」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。
蘇怡芳 (2005),「無形資產對分析師預測特性的影響」,國立中央大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。
英文部分
Abarbanell, J. S. and Bushee, B. J. (1997). Fundamental analysis, future earnings, and
stock price. Journal of Accounting Research 35(1), 1-24.
Abarbanell, J. S. and Bushee, B. J. (1998). Abnormal return to a Fundamental analysis
strategy stock price. The Accounting Review 73(1), 19-45.
Barron, O., D. Byard, C. Kile, and E. Riedl. (2002). High–Technology Intangibles and Analysts’ Forecasts. Journal of Accounting Research 40, 289–312.
Barth, M., R. Kasznik and M. McNichols. (2001). Analyst Coverage and Intangible
Assets. Journal of Accounting Research 39(1), 1-34.
Beaver, W. (2002). Perspectives on Recent Capital Market Research. The Accounting
Review, 77 (2), 453-474.
Bowen, R., Davis, A. and Matsumoto, D. (2002). Do conference calls affect analysts` forecasts? The Accounting Review, 77, 285−316.
Bradshaw, M., Richardson, S., and Sloan, R. (2001). Do analysts and auditors use information in accruals? Journal of Accounting Research, 39, 45−74.
Chan, A., L–C. (2010). R&D expenditure and asymmetric timeliness of earnings: The
case of intellectual capital intensive sectors. Working Paper. National Chengchi University.
Chin, C. L., Chi, H., Anandarajan, A., and Lee, P. (2006). Patent Citation, R&D Spillover, and Tobin’s Q: Evidence from the Taiwan Semiconductor Industry. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 26, 67-84.
Chin, C. L., Lee, P., Kleinman, G., and Chen, P. Y. (2006). IPO anomalies and innovation capital. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 27, 67-91.
Conrad, J., Cornell, B., Landsman, W., and Rountree, B. (2006). How do analyst
recommendations respond to major news? Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 41, 25−50.
Dontoh, A., Radhakrishnan, S. and Ronen, J. (2004). The declining value-relevance of accounting informationand non-information-based trading: An empirical analysis. Contemporary Accounting Research, 21(Winter), 795-812.
Ely, K., and Waymire, G. (1999). Accounting standard-setting organizations and
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Hall, B. H., Jaffe A. B., and Trajtenberg M. (2001). Market Value and Patent Citation:A First Look, University of California, Berkeley, Dept of Economics Working Paper.
Hall, B. H., Jaffe A. B., and Trajtenberg M. (2005). Market Value and Patent Citations, Rand Journal of Economics, 36, 16-38.
Harhoff, D., Francis Narin, F. M. Scherer, and Katrin Vopel (1999). Citation Frequencyand the Value of Patented Inventions, The Review of Economics and Statistics,August 1999, 81(3), 511-515.
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網站
世界智慧財產組織(WIPO) http://www.wipo.int
經濟部智慧財產局http://www.tipo.gov.tw/
經濟部智慧財產局中華民國專利檢索系http://patentog.tipo.gov.tw/tipo/twpat.htm
公報
中華民國財務會計準則公報第37號:「無形資產之會計處理準則」
國際會計準則公報IAS 38:「無形資產」
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
97353035
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097353035
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 詹凌菁zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 鄭人維zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Cheng, Ren Weien_US
dc.creator (作者) 鄭人維zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Cheng, Ren Weien_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:53:05 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:53:05 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:53:05 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097353035en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48913-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97353035zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究以研究發展費用作為專利的投入變數,以專利數作為專利的產出數量變數,以平均專利範圍及平均專利發明人數作為專利的產出品質變數,使用長期間與大範圍的台灣樣本來探討專利資訊與企業財務績效之關連性,並透過專利資訊的使用者-分析師的觀點來判別哪些專利資訊是資訊使用者眼中的攸關資訊。研究結果發現大量的專利並不會對企業未來盈餘有明顯助益,擁有高品質的專利才是對企業未來盈餘有所助益的關鍵因素,研究結果亦發現分析師在進行盈餘預測時,並未適當的利用專利產出品質與專利產出數量資訊,且這些未經適當利用的專利資訊會增加盈餘預測誤差。故本研究建議資訊揭露相關準則及法規可針對專利資訊給予更完整、更透明的揭露。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Patent’s value is hard to accurately identify under current generally accepted accounting principles. This paper uses firms in the Taiwan Stock Exchange to investigate the association of firm’s patents, future financial performance and the information used in analysts’ earnings forecasts. The patents were measured by the proxies of R&D expenditures, granted patents, patent claims and the number of patent inventors. The evidences show that possessing a large number of patents does not help future financial performance, but granting high quality patents does. The evidences also show that analysts do not appropriately use the information provided by patents, and this truly causes analysts’ forecast errors. Therefore, I suggest giving patents clearer and more complete disclosure, so that investors can obtain more value-relevant information.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 論文架構 3
第二章 文獻探討 4
第一節 專利、智慧資本及無形資產 4
第二節 專利品質資訊 6
第三節 專利數量資訊 10
第四節 分析師盈餘預測所使用之資訊 13
第五節 會計準則對專利資訊之規範 15
第三章 研究方法 18
第一節 研究假說 18
第二節 研究變數 20
第三節 樣本資料 28
第四節 分析方法 30
第五節 實證模型 31
第四章 實證結果分析 33
第一節 樣本描述 34
第二節 專利資訊與企業未來盈餘迴歸分析 42
第三節 專利資訊與分析師盈餘預測修正迴歸分析 45
第四節 專利資訊與分析師盈餘預測誤差迴歸分析 48
第五章 衍生性分析 52
第一節 專利類別之分析 52
第二節 自變數指數化之分析 53
第六章 結論與建議 57
第一節 研究結論 57
第二節 研究建議 59
參考文獻 60
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097353035en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 專利zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分析師盈餘預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 研究發展費用zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 企業未來盈餘zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Patenten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Analyst earnings forecasten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) R&D expenseen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Future earningsen_US
dc.title (題名) 專利資訊與分析師盈餘預測zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Patents and analysts` forecastsen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文部份zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 石坤林 (2002),「財務報導與分析師預測」,中原大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李慧珍 (2006),「研發支出與分析師預測關聯性之研究:產業專精度之影響」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳惠芬 (2004),「研發支出及專利質量與公司市場價值關聯性之研究-產業間之比較觀點」,中原大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 金成隆、林修葳、紀信義 (2004),「專利權的價值攸關性:從企業生命週期論析」,管理學報,第21卷,第二期,175-197。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 金成隆、陳俞如 (2006),「公司治理與專利權:台灣新興市場」,管理學報,第23卷,第一期,99-124。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林美華 (2007),「影響生技公司價值之因素研究」,中原大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 胡家菱 (2004),「專利權及專利引用資訊對公司價值的影響--台灣上市公司實證(1990~1999年)」,國立台灣大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳金瑩 (2004),「無形資產與廠商市場價值」,國立台灣大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳達仁、黃慕萱(民91)。專利資訊與專利檢索。台北市:文華。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳建榮 (2005),「美國半導體產業專利品質與企業財務績效關連性之研究」,中原大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃瑞卿 (2007),「宣告取得專利權、專利授權與代理權之資訊內涵」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉玉慧 (2003),「專利權、創新投資與公司價值創造關係之研究─以研發投資宣告為例」,國立成功大學國際企業研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 劉冠妤 (2005),「廠商的專利行為與市場價值關聯—以全球奈米二氧化鈦材料產業為例」,世新大學經濟學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭雯馨 (2004),「研究發展與專利權對於股票報酬影響之探討」,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蘇怡芳 (2005),「無形資產對分析師預測特性的影響」,國立中央大學企業管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文部分zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abarbanell, J. S. and Bushee, B. J. (1997). Fundamental analysis, future earnings, andzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) stock price. Journal of Accounting Research 35(1), 1-24.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abarbanell, J. S. and Bushee, B. J. (1998). Abnormal return to a Fundamental analysiszh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) strategy stock price. The Accounting Review 73(1), 19-45.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barron, O., D. Byard, C. Kile, and E. Riedl. (2002). High–Technology Intangibles and Analysts’ Forecasts. Journal of Accounting Research 40, 289–312.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barth, M., R. Kasznik and M. McNichols. (2001). Analyst Coverage and Intangiblezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Assets. Journal of Accounting Research 39(1), 1-34.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Beaver, W. (2002). Perspectives on Recent Capital Market Research. The Accountingzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Review, 77 (2), 453-474.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bowen, R., Davis, A. and Matsumoto, D. (2002). Do conference calls affect analysts` forecasts? The Accounting Review, 77, 285−316.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bradshaw, M., Richardson, S., and Sloan, R. (2001). Do analysts and auditors use information in accruals? Journal of Accounting Research, 39, 45−74.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chan, A., L–C. (2010). R&D expenditure and asymmetric timeliness of earnings: Thezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) case of intellectual capital intensive sectors. Working Paper. National Chengchi University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chin, C. L., Chi, H., Anandarajan, A., and Lee, P. (2006). Patent Citation, R&D Spillover, and Tobin’s Q: Evidence from the Taiwan Semiconductor Industry. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 26, 67-84.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chin, C. L., Lee, P., Kleinman, G., and Chen, P. Y. (2006). IPO anomalies and innovation capital. Review of Quantitative Finance and Accounting, 27, 67-91.zh_TW
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