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題名 財務危機公司舞弊的決定因素
The determinants of financial crisis of corporations with fraud
作者 余耀祖
貢獻者 張清福
余耀祖
關鍵詞 財務危機
財務報表舞弊
逐步羅吉斯迴歸分析
離散時間涉險
Financial distressed
Financial statement fraud
Logit regression
Discrete-time hazard modelDiscrete-time hazard model
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:53:11 (UTC+8)
摘要 財務危機模型的研究一般納入財務正常公司與財務危機公司兩者當樣本,探討區分危機與正常公司的因素,本研究則進一步以財務危機公司為樣本,探討在財務危機公司中區分舞弊公司與正常經營公司的基本因素。
本研究從財務危機公司中,分出財務舞弊公司與正常經營公司,因此研究樣本包含發生舞弊的財務危機公司與正常經營而發生財務危機的公司。研究變數則從文獻篩選23個財務解釋變數,以及13個公司治理解釋變數,運用羅吉斯迴歸法進行實證,結果顯示3個財務變數和1個公司治理變數在區分財務危機公司中的財務舞弊公司與正常經營公司有顯著的區別能力,公司治理變數的董監事持股比率尤其顯著。
Financial distress prediction is usually based on both financial distressed firms and non-distressed firms. Based on financial distressed firms, this study further investigates the factors distinguishing financial fraud firms from non-fraud firms. The sample includes fraud and no-fraud firms while both are financial distressed. Twenty-three financial and thirteen corporate governance variables are surveyed from literature. The empirical result of logit regression shows that three financial variables and one corporate governance variable are significant factors in distinguishing fraud from no-fraud firms in distressed companies. Especially, the percentage of holding stocks of board of directors is the most significant variable.
參考文獻 一、 中文文獻
余義賢,2008,財務危機預測之研究–以力霸集團為例,真理大學財經研究所碩士論文。
吳清在與謝宛庭,2004,財務困難公司下市櫃之離散時間涉險預測模式,會計評論,第39期 (7月):55-88。
周培如,2003,銀行危機預警指標-KMV 信用風險模型與財務指標之應用,國立政治大學經濟研究所碩士論文。
林基煌,1999,我國銀行發展投資銀行業務之探討,財務金融,第二期。
邱郁茹,2002,台灣商業銀行股權結構與經營績效風險關聯性之研究,國立臺灣大學財務金融學系碩士論文
紀英成,2006,財務報表舞弊之現象及其識別,朝陽科技大學會計系碩士論文。
徐佩鈺,2001,財務比率與股票型基金持股關聯性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
郝旭烈,1994,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區塑膠業為例,國立政治大學企業管理技術研究所碩士論文。
康嫻莉,2006,公司治理與財務危機:以舞弊事件之上市櫃公司為例,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
許伯彥,2003,財務報表舞弊風險評量模式研究,國立臺灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
郭勁甫,2004。公司治理對投資與公司價值間關聯性和高階主管薪酬之影響,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
陳信銘,2006,財務報表舞弊之研究—公司治理的觀點,朝陽科技大學會計系碩士論文。
陳渭淳,2001,上市公司失敗預測之實證研究,國立台北大學企業管理學系博士論文。
陳碧滋,2001,我國上市公司股價行為與董監因素關連性之探討。國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
陳肇榮,1983,運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文。
黃宏志,1993,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區電工器材業為對象,私立淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。
楊浚泓,2001,考慮財務操作與合併報表後之財務危機預警模式,國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。
葉銀華,2004,透視上市公司 聰明選股,遠離地雷,臺北市 : 先覺出版社。
葉銀華,2005,蒸發的股王 領先發現地雷危機 ,臺北市 : 商智文化出版。
葉銀華、李存修、柯承恩,2002,公司治理與評等系統,臺北市 : 商智文化。
蔡世強,2005,公司財務舞弊模型之研究-以博達股份有限公司為例,國立政治大學國際財務金融碩士在職專班碩士論文。
鄧志豪,1999,以分類樣本偵測地雷股-新財務危機預警模型,國立政治大學金融學系碩士論文。
鄭國瑞,2002,多項財務危機預警模式之探討,國立高雄第一科技大學金融營運系碩士論文。
魏曉琴,2003,財務危機預警模型之研究-以台灣地區上市公司為例,國立交通大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。
二、 英文文獻
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
97353046
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097353046
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張清福zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 余耀祖zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 余耀祖zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:53:11 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:53:11 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:53:11 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097353046en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48920-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97353046zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 財務危機模型的研究一般納入財務正常公司與財務危機公司兩者當樣本,探討區分危機與正常公司的因素,本研究則進一步以財務危機公司為樣本,探討在財務危機公司中區分舞弊公司與正常經營公司的基本因素。
本研究從財務危機公司中,分出財務舞弊公司與正常經營公司,因此研究樣本包含發生舞弊的財務危機公司與正常經營而發生財務危機的公司。研究變數則從文獻篩選23個財務解釋變數,以及13個公司治理解釋變數,運用羅吉斯迴歸法進行實證,結果顯示3個財務變數和1個公司治理變數在區分財務危機公司中的財務舞弊公司與正常經營公司有顯著的區別能力,公司治理變數的董監事持股比率尤其顯著。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Financial distress prediction is usually based on both financial distressed firms and non-distressed firms. Based on financial distressed firms, this study further investigates the factors distinguishing financial fraud firms from non-fraud firms. The sample includes fraud and no-fraud firms while both are financial distressed. Twenty-three financial and thirteen corporate governance variables are surveyed from literature. The empirical result of logit regression shows that three financial variables and one corporate governance variable are significant factors in distinguishing fraud from no-fraud firms in distressed companies. Especially, the percentage of holding stocks of board of directors is the most significant variable.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第壹章、 緒論 1
第一節、 研究動機 1
第二節、 研究目的 4
第三節、 研究架構 5
第貳章、 文獻探討 7
第一節、 財務危機之定義 7
第二節、 財務報表舞弊之定義 9
第三節、 財務危機與財務報表舞弊 10
第四節、 財務危機預測之相關文獻探討 13
第五節、 離散時間涉險分析(Discrete-time hazard analysis) 18
第參章、 研究方法 20
第一節、 研究設計 20
第二節、 研究樣本與資料來源 26
第三節、 研究模型與解釋變數 30
第肆章、實證結果 47
第一節、 Mann-Whitney-Wilcoxon檢定 47
第二節、 Logit迴歸分析 53
第伍章、研究結論與建議 59
第一節、 研究結論 59
第二節、 建議 62
第陸章、參考文獻 64
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097353046en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財務危機zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 財務報表舞弊zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 逐步羅吉斯迴歸分析zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 離散時間涉險zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Financial distresseden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Financial statement frauden_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Logit regressionen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Discrete-time hazard modelDiscrete-time hazard modelen_US
dc.title (題名) 財務危機公司舞弊的決定因素zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The determinants of financial crisis of corporations with frauden_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、 中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 余義賢,2008,財務危機預測之研究–以力霸集團為例,真理大學財經研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 吳清在與謝宛庭,2004,財務困難公司下市櫃之離散時間涉險預測模式,會計評論,第39期 (7月):55-88。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 周培如,2003,銀行危機預警指標-KMV 信用風險模型與財務指標之應用,國立政治大學經濟研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林基煌,1999,我國銀行發展投資銀行業務之探討,財務金融,第二期。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 邱郁茹,2002,台灣商業銀行股權結構與經營績效風險關聯性之研究,國立臺灣大學財務金融學系碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 紀英成,2006,財務報表舞弊之現象及其識別,朝陽科技大學會計系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐佩鈺,2001,財務比率與股票型基金持股關聯性之實證研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郝旭烈,1994,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區塑膠業為例,國立政治大學企業管理技術研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 康嫻莉,2006,公司治理與財務危機:以舞弊事件之上市櫃公司為例,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許伯彥,2003,財務報表舞弊風險評量模式研究,國立臺灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 郭勁甫,2004。公司治理對投資與公司價值間關聯性和高階主管薪酬之影響,國立中正大學財務金融研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳信銘,2006,財務報表舞弊之研究—公司治理的觀點,朝陽科技大學會計系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳渭淳,2001,上市公司失敗預測之實證研究,國立台北大學企業管理學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳碧滋,2001,我國上市公司股價行為與董監因素關連性之探討。國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳肇榮,1983,運用財務比率預測企業財務危機之實證研究,國立政治大學企業管理研究所博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃宏志,1993,銀行放款信用評估模型之研究-以臺灣地區電工器材業為對象,私立淡江大學管理科學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 楊浚泓,2001,考慮財務操作與合併報表後之財務危機預警模式,國立中央大學財務管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉銀華,2004,透視上市公司 聰明選股,遠離地雷,臺北市 : 先覺出版社。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉銀華,2005,蒸發的股王 領先發現地雷危機 ,臺北市 : 商智文化出版。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 葉銀華、李存修、柯承恩,2002,公司治理與評等系統,臺北市 : 商智文化。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蔡世強,2005,公司財務舞弊模型之研究-以博達股份有限公司為例,國立政治大學國際財務金融碩士在職專班碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄧志豪,1999,以分類樣本偵測地雷股-新財務危機預警模型,國立政治大學金融學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 鄭國瑞,2002,多項財務危機預警模式之探討,國立高雄第一科技大學金融營運系碩士論文。zh_TW
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