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題名 初次上市(櫃)股票日內流動性與其首日報酬及長期績效之研究
Study of IPO stocks` intra-day liquidity, first day return and long term performance
作者 林逸修
貢獻者 姜堯民
Chiang,Yao Min
林逸修
關鍵詞 流動性
初次公開發行
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:54:16 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究之樣本期間自民國94年3月1號起取消首五日漲跌幅限制後至民國98年12月31日為止所有新股上市的樣本,總計164個樣本,對初次公開發行首日流動性對與長短期績效的相關性進行研究。實證結果顯示,台灣的新股公開發行,平均首日報酬為59.9%,且t檢定顯著異於0,表示初次公開發行有明顯的折價情形,而公開發行之後的三年之間的長期調整後報酬正負互現,長期報酬t檢定不顯著異於0,並沒有證據顯示公開發行的長期績效不佳的情形。
     流動性指標對與長短期績效皆有解釋能力,買賣價差和價差百分比越高表示流動性越差,則新股上市的首日報酬越高,顯示流動性溢酬確實存在。而交易週轉率越高,首日報酬越高,顯示交易週轉率並非為流動性的代理變數,其反應的是投資人間的意見分歧程度,週轉率越高表示意見分歧程度越高,則新股上市的折價幅度會越高。而越低的承銷價格及越大的市值會有顯著較高的首日報酬。
     另外就流動性指標和長期報酬的關係,本研究發現,首筆成交秒數越長、ILLIQ值越大表示流動性越差,流動性越差會有顯著的一年期超額報酬,表示有長期績效亦有流動性溢酬的存在,而有創投支持的公司同樣也有一年期的超額報酬。
     總體來說,流動性對於初次公開發行的長短期報酬皆有影響力,當流動性越差時,短期的確會造成新股上市的折價,長期則會有流動性溢酬。
參考文獻 【中文】
1. 吳貞和(1989),台灣證券市場流動性之行量及其影響因素之研究,中山企管所碩士論文
2. 胡星陽(1998),流動性對台灣股票報酬率的影響, 中國財務學刊 Vol.5 No.4,1-19
3. 郭秋榮(1990),台灣地區股票上市公司流動性與股票報酬關係之研究,政大企管所碩士論文
4. 陳隆勛(1998),台灣上市公司股票流動性與股票報酬關聯性之研究,交大管科所碩士論文
5. 陳柏助(2001),台灣股票市場股票報酬之時間序列研究,政大國貿所碩士論文
6. 陳國祥(2001),台灣上市公司股票交易活動與股票報酬率之相關性-以製造業類股為例,成大企管所碩士論文
7. 張炳川(2002),橫斷面解釋因子、價量與股票報酬之關係,清大經研所碩士論文
8. 詹場,胡星陽(2001),流動性衡量方法之綜合評論,國家科學委員會研究彙刊 Vol 11 No3,205-221
9. 劉玉珍(1988),最後進出喊價價差與股票報酬的關係,中山企管所碩士論文
10. 蕭清文(2002),股票報酬與流動性溢酬的關係-以台灣股市為例,文大會研所碩士論文

【英文】
1. Allen, F. and G.R. Faulhaber(1989), “Signaling and underpricing in the IPO market,” Journal of Financial Economics, 23, 303-323.
2. Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H. (1986), “Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread,” Journal of Financial Economics 17, 223-249
3. Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H. (1986), “Liquidity and Stock Return,” Financial Analysts Journal 42, 43-48
4. Amihud, Y. (2002), Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects, Journal of Financial Markets 5, 31-56
5. Baron, D. P.(1982), “A model of demand for investment banking advising and distribution,” Journal of Financial Economics, 37, 955-976.
6. Carter, R. B. and S. Manaster (1990), “Initial public offerings and underwriter reputation,” Journal of Finance, 45(4), pp. 1045-1067.
7. Carter, R., Dark, F. H. & Singh, A. K. 1998. Underwriter reputation, initial returns, and the long-run performance of IPO stocks. Journal of Finance, 53: 285-311.
8. Chan H.W., Faff Robert W., 2003, An investigation into the role of liquidity in asset pricing: Australian evidence, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11, 555-572
9. Eleswarapu Venkat R., Reinganum Marc R. (1993), The seasonal behavior of liquidity premium in asset pricing, Journal of Financial Economics 34, 373-386
10. Ellul, A. and M. Pagano (2006), IPO underpricing and after-market liquidity, The Review of Financial Studies 19, 381-421.
11. Fama, E.F. and J. MacBeth (1973), Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Test, Journal of Political Economy 81, 607-636
12. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French(1995), “Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns,” Journal of Finance 50, 131-155
13. Grinblatt, M. and C. Y. Hwang (1989), “Signaling and the pricing of new issues,” Journal of Finance, 44(2), 393-420.
14. Hasbrouck, J. and R.A. Schwartz (1988),”Liquidity and Execution Costs in Equity Markets,” Journal of Portfolio Management, 14, 10-16.
15. Houge, Todd, Tim Loughran, Gerry Suchanek, and Xuemin Yan(2001), Divergence of opinion, uncertainty, and the quality of initial public offerings, Financial Management 30, 5–23.
16. Ibbotson, R. G. (1975), “Price performance of common stock new issues,” Journal of Financial Economics, 2 (3), 235-272.
17. Ibbotson, R. G. and J.F. Jaffe(1975), “Hot issue market, ” Journal of Financial,30,235-275
18. Kyle, A.,(1985),” Continuous auctions and insider trading,” Econometrica 53, 1315–1335
19. Lippman, S. A., and McCall, J. J. (1986). An operational measure of liquidity. The American Economic Review, 76, 43-55.
20. Logue, D. E. (1973), “On the pricing of unseasoned equity issues: 1965-1969,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8(1), 91-103.
21. Loughran, T. and J.R. Ritter (1995), “The new issues puzzle,” Journal of Finance, 50 (1), 23-51.
22. Loughran, T. and J.R. Ritter (2002), “Why Don`t Issuers Get Upset About Leaving Money on the Table in IPOs?” Oxford Journals, 15, 413-444.
23. Loughran, T. and J. R. Ritter (2004), “Why has IPO underpricing changed over time? “ Financial Management, 33(3), 5-37.
24. O`Hara, M. (1995). Market microstructure theory. Cambridge: Blackwell Publisher Inc.
25. Ritter, J. R. (1984), “The "Hot issue" Market of 1980”. Journal of Business, 57(2), 215-240.
26. Ritter, J. R. (1991), “The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings”. Journal of Finance, 46(1), 3-27.
27. Rock, K. (1986), “Why new issues are underpriced”. Journal of Financial Economics, 15(1-2), 187-212.
28. Welch, I. (1989), “Seasoned offerings, imitation costs, and the underpricing of initial public offerings,” Journal of Finance, 44, 421-449.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
97357003
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357003
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 姜堯民zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chiang,Yao Minen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 林逸修zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 林逸修zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:54:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:54:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:54:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097357003en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48956-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97357003zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究之樣本期間自民國94年3月1號起取消首五日漲跌幅限制後至民國98年12月31日為止所有新股上市的樣本,總計164個樣本,對初次公開發行首日流動性對與長短期績效的相關性進行研究。實證結果顯示,台灣的新股公開發行,平均首日報酬為59.9%,且t檢定顯著異於0,表示初次公開發行有明顯的折價情形,而公開發行之後的三年之間的長期調整後報酬正負互現,長期報酬t檢定不顯著異於0,並沒有證據顯示公開發行的長期績效不佳的情形。
     流動性指標對與長短期績效皆有解釋能力,買賣價差和價差百分比越高表示流動性越差,則新股上市的首日報酬越高,顯示流動性溢酬確實存在。而交易週轉率越高,首日報酬越高,顯示交易週轉率並非為流動性的代理變數,其反應的是投資人間的意見分歧程度,週轉率越高表示意見分歧程度越高,則新股上市的折價幅度會越高。而越低的承銷價格及越大的市值會有顯著較高的首日報酬。
     另外就流動性指標和長期報酬的關係,本研究發現,首筆成交秒數越長、ILLIQ值越大表示流動性越差,流動性越差會有顯著的一年期超額報酬,表示有長期績效亦有流動性溢酬的存在,而有創投支持的公司同樣也有一年期的超額報酬。
     總體來說,流動性對於初次公開發行的長短期報酬皆有影響力,當流動性越差時,短期的確會造成新股上市的折價,長期則會有流動性溢酬。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 摘要 I
     表目錄 III
     圖目錄 IV
     第壹章 緒論 1
     第一節 研究背景與動機 1
     第二節 研究目的 4
     第三節 研究架構與流程 5
     第貳章 文獻探討 7
     第一節 流動性的定義及與報酬的關係 7
     第二節 初次上市櫃之折價發行與長期績效 12
     第三節 研究假說之建立 16
     第叁章 研究方法與研究設計 17
     第一節 研究資料來源 17
     第二節 變數解釋 20
     第三節 研究方法與設計 30
     第肆章 實證結果與分析 32
     第一節 敘述統計 32
     第二節 流動性和初次公開發行折價幅度的關係 40
     第三節 流動性和初次公開發行長期績效表現的關係 45
     第伍章 結論與建議 51
     第一節 研究結論 51
     第二節 研究限制及建議 53
     參考文獻 54
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357003en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 流動性zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 初次公開發行zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 初次上市(櫃)股票日內流動性與其首日報酬及長期績效之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Study of IPO stocks` intra-day liquidity, first day return and long term performanceen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 【中文】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 吳貞和(1989),台灣證券市場流動性之行量及其影響因素之研究,中山企管所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 胡星陽(1998),流動性對台灣股票報酬率的影響, 中國財務學刊 Vol.5 No.4,1-19zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. 郭秋榮(1990),台灣地區股票上市公司流動性與股票報酬關係之研究,政大企管所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. 陳隆勛(1998),台灣上市公司股票流動性與股票報酬關聯性之研究,交大管科所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. 陳柏助(2001),台灣股票市場股票報酬之時間序列研究,政大國貿所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. 陳國祥(2001),台灣上市公司股票交易活動與股票報酬率之相關性-以製造業類股為例,成大企管所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. 張炳川(2002),橫斷面解釋因子、價量與股票報酬之關係,清大經研所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. 詹場,胡星陽(2001),流動性衡量方法之綜合評論,國家科學委員會研究彙刊 Vol 11 No3,205-221zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. 劉玉珍(1988),最後進出喊價價差與股票報酬的關係,中山企管所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. 蕭清文(2002),股票報酬與流動性溢酬的關係-以台灣股市為例,文大會研所碩士論文zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 【英文】zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Allen, F. and G.R. Faulhaber(1989), “Signaling and underpricing in the IPO market,” Journal of Financial Economics, 23, 303-323.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H. (1986), “Asset pricing and the bid-ask spread,” Journal of Financial Economics 17, 223-249zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Amihud, Y., Mendelson, H. (1986), “Liquidity and Stock Return,” Financial Analysts Journal 42, 43-48zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Amihud, Y. (2002), Illiquidity and stock returns: cross-section and time-series effects, Journal of Financial Markets 5, 31-56zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Baron, D. P.(1982), “A model of demand for investment banking advising and distribution,” Journal of Financial Economics, 37, 955-976.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Carter, R. B. and S. Manaster (1990), “Initial public offerings and underwriter reputation,” Journal of Finance, 45(4), pp. 1045-1067.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Carter, R., Dark, F. H. & Singh, A. K. 1998. Underwriter reputation, initial returns, and the long-run performance of IPO stocks. Journal of Finance, 53: 285-311.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Chan H.W., Faff Robert W., 2003, An investigation into the role of liquidity in asset pricing: Australian evidence, Pacific-Basin Finance Journal 11, 555-572zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Eleswarapu Venkat R., Reinganum Marc R. (1993), The seasonal behavior of liquidity premium in asset pricing, Journal of Financial Economics 34, 373-386zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Ellul, A. and M. Pagano (2006), IPO underpricing and after-market liquidity, The Review of Financial Studies 19, 381-421.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Fama, E.F. and J. MacBeth (1973), Risk, Return and Equilibrium: Empirical Test, Journal of Political Economy 81, 607-636zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Fama, E. F. and K. R. French(1995), “Size and book-to-market factors in earnings and returns,” Journal of Finance 50, 131-155zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Grinblatt, M. and C. Y. Hwang (1989), “Signaling and the pricing of new issues,” Journal of Finance, 44(2), 393-420.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Hasbrouck, J. and R.A. Schwartz (1988),”Liquidity and Execution Costs in Equity Markets,” Journal of Portfolio Management, 14, 10-16.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Houge, Todd, Tim Loughran, Gerry Suchanek, and Xuemin Yan(2001), Divergence of opinion, uncertainty, and the quality of initial public offerings, Financial Management 30, 5–23.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Ibbotson, R. G. (1975), “Price performance of common stock new issues,” Journal of Financial Economics, 2 (3), 235-272.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Ibbotson, R. G. and J.F. Jaffe(1975), “Hot issue market, ” Journal of Financial,30,235-275zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Kyle, A.,(1985),” Continuous auctions and insider trading,” Econometrica 53, 1315–1335zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Lippman, S. A., and McCall, J. J. (1986). An operational measure of liquidity. The American Economic Review, 76, 43-55.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Logue, D. E. (1973), “On the pricing of unseasoned equity issues: 1965-1969,” Journal of Financial and Quantitative Analysis, 8(1), 91-103.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Loughran, T. and J.R. Ritter (1995), “The new issues puzzle,” Journal of Finance, 50 (1), 23-51.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Loughran, T. and J.R. Ritter (2002), “Why Don`t Issuers Get Upset About Leaving Money on the Table in IPOs?” Oxford Journals, 15, 413-444.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Loughran, T. and J. R. Ritter (2004), “Why has IPO underpricing changed over time? “ Financial Management, 33(3), 5-37.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. O`Hara, M. (1995). Market microstructure theory. Cambridge: Blackwell Publisher Inc.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Ritter, J. R. (1984), “The "Hot issue" Market of 1980”. Journal of Business, 57(2), 215-240.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Ritter, J. R. (1991), “The Long-Run Performance of Initial Public Offerings”. Journal of Finance, 46(1), 3-27.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. Rock, K. (1986), “Why new issues are underpriced”. Journal of Financial Economics, 15(1-2), 187-212.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 28. Welch, I. (1989), “Seasoned offerings, imitation costs, and the underpricing of initial public offerings,” Journal of Finance, 44, 421-449.zh_TW