Publications-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

NCCU Library

Citation Infomation

Related Publications in TAIR

題名 台灣銀髮族資產持有行為之探討
The assets-holding of Taiwanese elders
作者 張日青
貢獻者 盧秋玲<br>張元晨
張日青
關鍵詞 老人 
資產  
不動產 
存款 
股票 
資產持有
資產配置 
似無關迴歸
elder
assets
real estate
savings
stocks
asset-holding
asset-allocation
seemingly-unrelated regression
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:54:26 (UTC+8)
摘要 我們利用「台灣地區中老年身心社會生活狀況長期追蹤調查研究」這份資料,以似無關迴歸(Seemingly Unrelated Regression)模型,探討老人的資產持有行為,發現:一般老年人口並不偏好持有股票,持有行為相當少見,但高教育、高所得、都市化地區(尤其是直轄市)的老人,可能分別因為高教育程度、所得效果影響、都市地區資訊流通快速等因素,使得這類型老人明顯較願意持有股票。
      另一方面,在台灣,不動產扮演的角色特殊,傳統認為其與家族宗系連結,在持有行為上並非只從風險報酬觀點去看待,通常還與其他考量有關,因此在持有行為上有其特殊模式。
      同時,我們也發現,老人婚姻關係的消解(dissolution),例如離婚/分居,將對資產持有產生負面的財富效果影響,使得這類型老人各項資產的持有都顯著低於已婚/同居的老人;而健康情形越差的老人持有的不動產與存款也越少,應與此類老人有較高的醫療與保健支出,造成負面的財富效果有關。
      除此之外,台灣老人平均而言,持有的不動產會隨年紀降低,但持有的存款會隨年紀而上升,主要與台灣老人隨著年紀上升,所得逐漸不足以維生,產生了反儲蓄(dissave)不動產的現象,有所關聯。我們認為台灣確實存在老人「以房養老」的現象。
      最後,我們認為很重要的一點是,台灣老人資產的持有行為,並不是使用傳統的風險報酬概念就能解釋,我們必須考量其他可能因素,才能有效分析台灣老人所表現出來的資產持有行為。
The general elders don’t prefer to hold stocks, but the elders of high-level education, the elders of high-level income and the elders in metropolis are more willing to hold stocks.
      Besides, the real estate plays a special role. People regard that it is linked up with the family or kindred.
      We also find out that the dissolution of relationship in elder’s marriage causes negative wealth effect on holding assets. The similar effect exists in much unhealthy elders.
     The elders hold less real estate as they getting older, but hold more stocks. It might due to that elders dissave their real estate.
      Finally, besides perspective of risk-reward, it might appropriate that think the behavior of holding assets in other view-points.
參考文獻 中文文獻
1.行政院內政部主計處(2010),「臺閩地區各縣市現住人口數按性別及年齡分」。
2.林珊如(2007)。「老人學科技整合研究資訊需求與研究資源之調查」,《行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告》,NSC95-2413-H-002-014。
英文文獻
1. Artle, R., and P. Varaiya, 1978. “Life cycle consumption and homeownership.” Journal of Economic Theory 18(1): 38-58.
2. Brinson, G. P, L. R. Hood, and G. L. Beebower, 1986. “Determinants of Portfolio Performance,” Financial Analyst Journal 42(4): 39-48.
3. Brown, D., 1990. “Age clienteles induced by liquidity constraints,” International Economic Review 31(4): 891-912.
4. Coile, C., and K. Milligan, 2009. “How household portfolios evolve after retirement: the effect of aging and health shocks,” Review of Income and Wealth, Blackwell Publishing 55(2), pages 226-248.
5. Dahlbäck, O., 1991. “Saving and risk taking,” Journal of Economic Psychology 12(3): 479-500.
6. Duarte, A. M., and S. D. R. Alcantara, 1999. “Mean-Value-at-Risk Optimal Portfolios with Derivatives,” Derivatives Quarterly 6: 56-64.
7. Grable, J. E., 2000. “Financial Risk Tolerance and Additional Factors That Affect Risk Taking in Everyday Money Matters,” Journal of Business and Psychology 14(4): 625-630.
8. Grubel, H. G., 1968. “Internationally diversified portfolios: welfare gains and capital flows,” American Economic Review 58: 1299-1314.
9. Haliassos, M., and C. C. Bertaut, 1995. “Why do so few hold stocks?” Economic Journal 105(432): 1110-1129.
10. Hawley, C. B., and E. T. Fujii, 1993-1994. “An empirical analysis of preferences for financial risk: Further evidence on the Friedman-Savage Model,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 16(2): 197-204.
11. Hensel, C. R., D. D. Ezra, and J. B. Ilkiw, 1991. “The Importance of the Asset Allocation Decision,” Financial Analysts Journal 47(4): 65-72.
12. Hurd, M.D., 1987. “The Effect of Social Security on Retirement in the Early 1970`s,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 99 (4): 767-790.
13. Hurd, M.D., 2002. “Portfolio holdings of the elderly,” in L. Guiso, M. Haliassos, & T. Jappelli (Eds.), Household Portfolios (431–472). MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.
14. Jorion, P., 1989. “On jumps in the foreign exchange and stock market,” Review of Financial Studies 4: 427-445.
15. Lee, H., and S. Hanna, 1995. “Investment portfolios and human wealth,” Financial Counseling and Planning 6: 147-152.
16. Leigh, J. P., 1986. “Accounting for tastes: correlates of risk and time preferences,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 9(1): 17-31.
17. Levy, H., and M. Sarnat, 1970. “International diversification of investment portfolios,” American Economic Review 60(4): 668-675.
18. Lintner, J., 1965. “Security prices and risk: The theory and comparative analysis of A.T.&T. and leading industrials,” Presented at the conference on The Economics of Regulated Public Utilities at the University of Chicago Business School.
19. Loriana, P., & W. Guglielmo, 2009. “Efficient portfolios when housing needs change over the life cycle,” Journal of Banking & Finance 33(11): 2110-2121.
20. Markowitz, H., 1952. “Portfolio selection,” Journal of Finance 7(1): 77-91.
21. Merton, Robert C., 1972. “On The Pricing of Corporate Debt : The Risk structure of Interest Rates,”Journal of Finance 29(2): 449-470.
22. Pålsson, A. M., 1996. “Does the degree of relative risk aversion vary with household characteristics?” Journal of Economic Psychology 17(6): 771-787.
23. Pelizzon, L., and W. Guglielmo, 2009. "Efficient portfolios when housing needs change over the life cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance: 33(11): 2110-2121.
24. Schooley, D., and D. Worden, 1996. “Risk aversion measures: Comparing attitudes and asset allocation,” Financial Services Review 5(2): 87-99.
25. Sharpe, W. F., 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk,” Journal of Finance 19(3):425-442.
26. Shaw, K. L., 1996. “An Empirical Analysis of Risk Aversion and Income Growth,” Journal of Labor Economics 14(4), 626-653.
27. Sung, J., and S. Hanna, 1996. “Factors Related To Risk Tolerance,” Financial Counseling and Planning 7:11-20.
28. Tobin, J., 1958. “Estimation of Relationship for Limited Dependent Variables,” Economertica 26: 24-36.
29. Ulker, A., 2008. “Wealth holdings and portfolio allocation of the elderly: the role of marital history,” Journal of Family and Economic Issues 30(1): 90-108.
30. Venti, Steven F., and David A. Wise, 2001. “Aging and Housing Equity: Another Look,” NBER Working Papers 8608, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.
31. Wang, H., and S. Hanna, 1997. “Does Risk Tolerance Decrease With Age?” Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2): 27-31.
32. Zhong, L., and J. Xiao, 1995. “Determinants of Family Bond And Stock Holdings,” Financial Counseling and Planning 6:107-114.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
財務管理研究所
97357024
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357024
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 盧秋玲<br>張元晨zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 張日青zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 張日青zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:54:26 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:54:26 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:54:26 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097357024en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/48968-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 財務管理研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97357024zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 我們利用「台灣地區中老年身心社會生活狀況長期追蹤調查研究」這份資料,以似無關迴歸(Seemingly Unrelated Regression)模型,探討老人的資產持有行為,發現:一般老年人口並不偏好持有股票,持有行為相當少見,但高教育、高所得、都市化地區(尤其是直轄市)的老人,可能分別因為高教育程度、所得效果影響、都市地區資訊流通快速等因素,使得這類型老人明顯較願意持有股票。
      另一方面,在台灣,不動產扮演的角色特殊,傳統認為其與家族宗系連結,在持有行為上並非只從風險報酬觀點去看待,通常還與其他考量有關,因此在持有行為上有其特殊模式。
      同時,我們也發現,老人婚姻關係的消解(dissolution),例如離婚/分居,將對資產持有產生負面的財富效果影響,使得這類型老人各項資產的持有都顯著低於已婚/同居的老人;而健康情形越差的老人持有的不動產與存款也越少,應與此類老人有較高的醫療與保健支出,造成負面的財富效果有關。
      除此之外,台灣老人平均而言,持有的不動產會隨年紀降低,但持有的存款會隨年紀而上升,主要與台灣老人隨著年紀上升,所得逐漸不足以維生,產生了反儲蓄(dissave)不動產的現象,有所關聯。我們認為台灣確實存在老人「以房養老」的現象。
      最後,我們認為很重要的一點是,台灣老人資產的持有行為,並不是使用傳統的風險報酬概念就能解釋,我們必須考量其他可能因素,才能有效分析台灣老人所表現出來的資產持有行為。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The general elders don’t prefer to hold stocks, but the elders of high-level education, the elders of high-level income and the elders in metropolis are more willing to hold stocks.
      Besides, the real estate plays a special role. People regard that it is linked up with the family or kindred.
      We also find out that the dissolution of relationship in elder’s marriage causes negative wealth effect on holding assets. The similar effect exists in much unhealthy elders.
     The elders hold less real estate as they getting older, but hold more stocks. It might due to that elders dissave their real estate.
      Finally, besides perspective of risk-reward, it might appropriate that think the behavior of holding assets in other view-points.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 謝詞 i
     中文摘要 ii
     Abstract iii
     目次 iv
     表次 vi
     圖次 vii
     第一章 緒論 1
     第一節 研究背景與動機 1
     第二節 研究目的與架構 3
     第二章 文獻回顧 4
     第一節 Mean-Variance架構下的投資組合理論 4
     第二節 資產配置實證成果 5
     第三節 老人的資產配置研究 6
     第三章 樣本說明與研究方法 8
     第一節 資料來源 8
     第二節 樣本選擇 8
     第三節 模型設定 9
     第四節 解釋變數的選擇 11
     第四章 實證結果分析 19
     第一節 敘述統計 19
     第二節 老人資產持有行為 26
     第五章 結論與建議 35
     第一節 研究結論 35
     第二節 研究限制與建議 36
     附錄 37
     參考文獻 44
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097357024en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 老人 zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資產  zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 不動產 zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 存款 zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 股票 zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資產持有zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 資產配置 zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 似無關迴歸zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) elderen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) assetsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) real estateen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) savingsen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) stocksen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) asset-holdingen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) asset-allocationen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) seemingly-unrelated regressionen_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣銀髮族資產持有行為之探討zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The assets-holding of Taiwanese eldersen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 中文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1.行政院內政部主計處(2010),「臺閩地區各縣市現住人口數按性別及年齡分」。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2.林珊如(2007)。「老人學科技整合研究資訊需求與研究資源之調查」,《行政院國家科學委員會專題研究計畫成果報告》,NSC95-2413-H-002-014。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 英文文獻zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. Artle, R., and P. Varaiya, 1978. “Life cycle consumption and homeownership.” Journal of Economic Theory 18(1): 38-58.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. Brinson, G. P, L. R. Hood, and G. L. Beebower, 1986. “Determinants of Portfolio Performance,” Financial Analyst Journal 42(4): 39-48.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. Brown, D., 1990. “Age clienteles induced by liquidity constraints,” International Economic Review 31(4): 891-912.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. Coile, C., and K. Milligan, 2009. “How household portfolios evolve after retirement: the effect of aging and health shocks,” Review of Income and Wealth, Blackwell Publishing 55(2), pages 226-248.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. Dahlbäck, O., 1991. “Saving and risk taking,” Journal of Economic Psychology 12(3): 479-500.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. Duarte, A. M., and S. D. R. Alcantara, 1999. “Mean-Value-at-Risk Optimal Portfolios with Derivatives,” Derivatives Quarterly 6: 56-64.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. Grable, J. E., 2000. “Financial Risk Tolerance and Additional Factors That Affect Risk Taking in Everyday Money Matters,” Journal of Business and Psychology 14(4): 625-630.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. Grubel, H. G., 1968. “Internationally diversified portfolios: welfare gains and capital flows,” American Economic Review 58: 1299-1314.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. Haliassos, M., and C. C. Bertaut, 1995. “Why do so few hold stocks?” Economic Journal 105(432): 1110-1129.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. Hawley, C. B., and E. T. Fujii, 1993-1994. “An empirical analysis of preferences for financial risk: Further evidence on the Friedman-Savage Model,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 16(2): 197-204.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. Hensel, C. R., D. D. Ezra, and J. B. Ilkiw, 1991. “The Importance of the Asset Allocation Decision,” Financial Analysts Journal 47(4): 65-72.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Hurd, M.D., 1987. “The Effect of Social Security on Retirement in the Early 1970`s,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 99 (4): 767-790.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Hurd, M.D., 2002. “Portfolio holdings of the elderly,” in L. Guiso, M. Haliassos, & T. Jappelli (Eds.), Household Portfolios (431–472). MIT Press, Cambridge, MA.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Jorion, P., 1989. “On jumps in the foreign exchange and stock market,” Review of Financial Studies 4: 427-445.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Lee, H., and S. Hanna, 1995. “Investment portfolios and human wealth,” Financial Counseling and Planning 6: 147-152.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Leigh, J. P., 1986. “Accounting for tastes: correlates of risk and time preferences,” Journal of Post Keynesian Economics 9(1): 17-31.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Levy, H., and M. Sarnat, 1970. “International diversification of investment portfolios,” American Economic Review 60(4): 668-675.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Lintner, J., 1965. “Security prices and risk: The theory and comparative analysis of A.T.&T. and leading industrials,” Presented at the conference on The Economics of Regulated Public Utilities at the University of Chicago Business School.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Loriana, P., & W. Guglielmo, 2009. “Efficient portfolios when housing needs change over the life cycle,” Journal of Banking & Finance 33(11): 2110-2121.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Markowitz, H., 1952. “Portfolio selection,” Journal of Finance 7(1): 77-91.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Merton, Robert C., 1972. “On The Pricing of Corporate Debt : The Risk structure of Interest Rates,”Journal of Finance 29(2): 449-470.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Pålsson, A. M., 1996. “Does the degree of relative risk aversion vary with household characteristics?” Journal of Economic Psychology 17(6): 771-787.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Pelizzon, L., and W. Guglielmo, 2009. "Efficient portfolios when housing needs change over the life cycle," Journal of Banking & Finance: 33(11): 2110-2121.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Schooley, D., and D. Worden, 1996. “Risk aversion measures: Comparing attitudes and asset allocation,” Financial Services Review 5(2): 87-99.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Sharpe, W. F., 1964. “Capital Asset Prices: A Theory of Market Equilibrium Under Conditions of Risk,” Journal of Finance 19(3):425-442.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Shaw, K. L., 1996. “An Empirical Analysis of Risk Aversion and Income Growth,” Journal of Labor Economics 14(4), 626-653.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. Sung, J., and S. Hanna, 1996. “Factors Related To Risk Tolerance,” Financial Counseling and Planning 7:11-20.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 28. Tobin, J., 1958. “Estimation of Relationship for Limited Dependent Variables,” Economertica 26: 24-36.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 29. Ulker, A., 2008. “Wealth holdings and portfolio allocation of the elderly: the role of marital history,” Journal of Family and Economic Issues 30(1): 90-108.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 30. Venti, Steven F., and David A. Wise, 2001. “Aging and Housing Equity: Another Look,” NBER Working Papers 8608, National Bureau of Economic Research, Inc.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 31. Wang, H., and S. Hanna, 1997. “Does Risk Tolerance Decrease With Age?” Financial Counseling and Planning 8(2): 27-31.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 32. Zhong, L., and J. Xiao, 1995. “Determinants of Family Bond And Stock Holdings,” Financial Counseling and Planning 6:107-114.zh_TW