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題名 以樹狀結構評價擔保債權憑證:考量隨機回復率
Multinomial trees in the pricing of CDOS with stochastic recovery rates
作者 王瑞傑
Wang,Ruey Jey
貢獻者 江彌修<br>黃俊仁
Chiang, Mi Hsiu<br>Huang, Jun Ren
王瑞傑
Wang,Ruey Jey
關鍵詞 擔保債權憑證
樹狀結構
Multinomial Trees
CDO
日期 2009
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 01:57:03 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究以Das and Sundaram (2004)提出之樹狀模型為基礎, 參考Bandreddi (2007)之延伸,將上述模型用來模擬多資產的聯合違約。此外進一步改善回復率為固定常數之設定,加入Das and Hanouna (2009)對回復率與違約機率間的函數關係,使得回復率為動態,而模型依舊保有可由市場報價進行參數校準之特性,進行擔保債權憑證CDO之敏感度分析與風險分析。
參考文獻 [1] Altman, E. I., Andrea. R and Andrea. S (2001), "Analyzing and Explaining Default Recovery Rates."
[2] Altman, E. I., Brooks. B, Andrea. R and Andrea. S (2004), "The link between default and recovery rate: theory, empirical evidence and implications." Journal of Business.
[3] Amaroui, S. and Sebastien. H (2008), "Optimal Stochastic Recovery for Base Correlation."
[4] Andersen, L. and Jacob. S (2004), "Extensions of the Gaussian Copula: Random Recovery and Random Factor Loadings." Journal of Credit Risk 1: 29-70.
[5] Black, F. and John C. C. (1976), "Valuing corporate securities:some effects of bond indenture provisions." Journal of Finance 31: 351-367.
[6] Das, S. and Rangarajan. S (2004), "A Simple Model for Pricing Securities with Equity, Interest-Rate, and Default Risk."
[7] Das, S., Santhosh. B and Rong. F (2007), "Correlated Default Modeling with a Forest of Binomial Trees."
[8] Das, S. and Paul. H (2009), "Implied Recovery."
[9] Gibson, M (2004), "Understanding the risk of synthetic CDOs." Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System no.2004-36.
[10] Gupton, M. G.,and Roger. M. S (2002), "LossCalcTM:Moody’s Model for Predicting Loss Given Dwfault." Moody’s Special Comment February: 3-34.
[11] Gupton, M. G., Daniel. G., and Lea V. C (2000), "Bank Loan Loss Given Default." Moody’s Special Comment November: 1-15.
[12] Hu,Y and William. P (2002), "The Dependence of Recovery Rates and Defaults."
[13] Jarrow, R., David. L, and Stuart. M. T (1997), "A Markov model for the term structure of credit spread." Review of Financial Studies 10: 481- 523.
[14] Jarrow, R. and Fan Y (2001), "Counterparty risk and the pricing of defaultable securities." Journal of Finance 56: 1765- 1799.
[15] Jarrow, R. and Stuart. M. T (1995), "Pricing derivatives on financial securities subject to credit risk." Journal of Finan 50: 53- 85.
[16] Kishore, Edward. I.A (1996), "Almost Everything You Wanted To Know About Recoveries On Default Bonds." Financial Analysts Journal Nov/Dec: 57-64.
[17] Li, D. (2000), "On default correlation: A copula function approach." Journal of Fixed Income 9(4): 43-54.
[18] Merton, R. (1974), "On the pricing of corporate debt:The risk structure of interest rates." Journal of Finance 29: 449-470.
[19] Millossovich, P. (2003), "An Extension Of The Jarrow-Lando-Turnbull Model To Random Recovery Rate."
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
金融研究所
97352024
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0973520241
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 江彌修<br>黃俊仁zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chiang, Mi Hsiu<br>Huang, Jun Renen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 王瑞傑zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Wang,Ruey Jeyen_US
dc.creator (作者) 王瑞傑zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Wang,Ruey Jeyen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 01:57:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 01:57:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 01:57:03 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0973520241en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49021-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 金融研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97352024zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究以Das and Sundaram (2004)提出之樹狀模型為基礎, 參考Bandreddi (2007)之延伸,將上述模型用來模擬多資產的聯合違約。此外進一步改善回復率為固定常數之設定,加入Das and Hanouna (2009)對回復率與違約機率間的函數關係,使得回復率為動態,而模型依舊保有可由市場報價進行參數校準之特性,進行擔保債權憑證CDO之敏感度分析與風險分析。zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目次 1
     表目錄 3
     圖目錄 4
     第一章 緒論 5
     第一節 研究動機 5
     第二節 研究目的 6
     第三節 研究架構 8
     第二章 文獻回顧 9
     第一節 回復率 9
     第二節 信用風險評價模型 9
     第三節 隨機回復率模型 12
     第三章 基本設定與模型假設 13
     第一節 具違約風險之樹狀結構 13
     第二節 參數校準 16
     第三節 模擬聯合違約 17
     第四節 ONE-FACTOR GAUSSIAN COPULA 20
     第五節 影響回復率的因素 21
     第六節 合成型擔保債權憑證評價模型 22
     第四章 數值結果 24
     第一節 參數校準 24
     第二節 累積損失分配 27
     第三節 合成型擔保債權憑證(CDO)評價 29
     1. 股價波動度之敏感度分析 30
     2. 違約強度模型參數之敏感度分析 33
     3. 隨機回復率模型參數之敏感度分析 35
     4. 違約強度相關性之敏感度分析 37
     5. 隨機回復率與固定回復率對信用價差之影響 37
     6. 合成型擔保債權憑證之風險分析 41
     第五章 結論與建議 50
     第一節 結論 50
     第二節 後續研究建議 52
     參考文獻 53
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0973520241en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 擔保債權憑證zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 樹狀結構zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Multinomial Treesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) CDOen_US
dc.title (題名) 以樹狀結構評價擔保債權憑證:考量隨機回復率zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Multinomial trees in the pricing of CDOS with stochastic recovery ratesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [1] Altman, E. I., Andrea. R and Andrea. S (2001), "Analyzing and Explaining Default Recovery Rates."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [2] Altman, E. I., Brooks. B, Andrea. R and Andrea. S (2004), "The link between default and recovery rate: theory, empirical evidence and implications." Journal of Business.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [3] Amaroui, S. and Sebastien. H (2008), "Optimal Stochastic Recovery for Base Correlation."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [4] Andersen, L. and Jacob. S (2004), "Extensions of the Gaussian Copula: Random Recovery and Random Factor Loadings." Journal of Credit Risk 1: 29-70.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [5] Black, F. and John C. C. (1976), "Valuing corporate securities:some effects of bond indenture provisions." Journal of Finance 31: 351-367.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [6] Das, S. and Rangarajan. S (2004), "A Simple Model for Pricing Securities with Equity, Interest-Rate, and Default Risk."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [7] Das, S., Santhosh. B and Rong. F (2007), "Correlated Default Modeling with a Forest of Binomial Trees."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [8] Das, S. and Paul. H (2009), "Implied Recovery."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [9] Gibson, M (2004), "Understanding the risk of synthetic CDOs." Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System no.2004-36.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [10] Gupton, M. G.,and Roger. M. S (2002), "LossCalcTM:Moody’s Model for Predicting Loss Given Dwfault." Moody’s Special Comment February: 3-34.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [11] Gupton, M. G., Daniel. G., and Lea V. C (2000), "Bank Loan Loss Given Default." Moody’s Special Comment November: 1-15.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [12] Hu,Y and William. P (2002), "The Dependence of Recovery Rates and Defaults."zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [13] Jarrow, R., David. L, and Stuart. M. T (1997), "A Markov model for the term structure of credit spread." Review of Financial Studies 10: 481- 523.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [14] Jarrow, R. and Fan Y (2001), "Counterparty risk and the pricing of defaultable securities." Journal of Finance 56: 1765- 1799.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [15] Jarrow, R. and Stuart. M. T (1995), "Pricing derivatives on financial securities subject to credit risk." Journal of Finan 50: 53- 85.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [16] Kishore, Edward. I.A (1996), "Almost Everything You Wanted To Know About Recoveries On Default Bonds." Financial Analysts Journal Nov/Dec: 57-64.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [17] Li, D. (2000), "On default correlation: A copula function approach." Journal of Fixed Income 9(4): 43-54.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [18] Merton, R. (1974), "On the pricing of corporate debt:The risk structure of interest rates." Journal of Finance 29: 449-470.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) [19] Millossovich, P. (2003), "An Extension Of The Jarrow-Lando-Turnbull Model To Random Recovery Rate."zh_TW