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題名 柯林頓政府對1992～94年北韓核武危機政策之研究
A Study of Clinton Administration`s Policy toward North Korea`s Nuclear Crisis, 1992～94
作者 許柏逸
貢獻者 劉德海
許柏逸
日期 2002
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 02:04:16 (UTC+8)
摘要 無
參考文獻 參考書目
（一）專書
Back Kwang-II, Korea and the United States: A Study of the ROK- U.S. Security Relationship within the Conceptual Framework of Alliances between Great and Small Powers, Seoul: Research Center for Peace and Unification of Korea, 1988.
Byun Dae-Ho, North Korea’s Foreign Policy: The Juche Ideology and the Challenge of Gorbachev’s New Thinking, Seoul: Seoul Computer Press, 1991.
Buss Claude A., the United States and the Republic of Korea, Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1982.
Calder Kent E., Asia’s Deadly Triangle: How Arms, Energy and Growth Threaten to Destabilize Asia- Pacific, London: Nicholas Brealey, 1997
Crotty William, ed., Post-Cold War Policy: The International Context, Chicago: Nelson-Hall Publishers, 1995.
Clarke Jonathan and Clad James, After the Crusade: American Foreign Policy for the Post-superpower Age, London: Madison Books, 1995.
Doug Bandow and Ted Galen Carpenter ed., The U.S. - South Korean Alliance: Time for Change, New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers, 1992.
Hazel Smith、Chris Rhodes、Diana Pritchard and Magill Kevin, ed., North Korea in the New World Order, New York: St. Martins Press, 1996.
Inoguchi Takashi and Stillman Grant B., ed., North-East Asian Regional Security: the Role of International Institutions, Tokyo: the United Nations University Press, 1997.
http://www.nautilus.org/napsnet/index.html
美國國防部年鑑（Defense Almanac）
http://defenselink.mil/pubs/almanac
戰略與國際研究中心
http://www.csis.org/
斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所（Stockholm International Peace Research Institute）
http://www.sipri.se
尼克森中心（Nixon Center）
http://www.nixoncenter.org/index.html
美國外交政策委員會（Council of Foreign Relations）
Ikenberry G. John, American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays, United States: Longman, 1999.
http://www.cfr.org/p/
卡內基國際和平基金會（Carnegie Endowment for International Peace）
http://www.ceip.org/
美國傳統基金會（Heritage Foundation）
http://www.heritage.org/
美國中央情報局（Central Intelligence Agency）
http://www.cia.gov/
蘭德公司（Rand Corp.）
http://www.rand.org/
國際戰略研究中心
Kim Yu-Nam, ed., Soviet Russia, North Korea, and South Korea in the 1990s: Nuclear Issues and Arms Control in and around the Korea Peninsula, Seoul: Dankook University Press, 1992.
http://www.ceip.org/
美國白宮（White House）
http://www.whitehouse.gov/
武器管制協會（Arms Control Association）
http://www.armscontrol.org/
防止擴散研究中心（Center for Nonproliferation Studies）
http://cns.miis.edu/index.htm
南韓政府（Gateway to Korea）
http://www.korea.net/
國立亞洲研究署（National Bureau of Asian Studies）
Kihl Young Whan and Hayes Peter, ed., Peace and Security in Northeast Asia: the Nuclear Issue and the Korean Peninsula, New York: East Gate Book, 1997.
http://www.nbr.org/
聯合國安理會（Security Council, UN）
http://www.un.org/Docs/scinfo.htm
亞洲戰略（Strategic Asia）
http://strategicasia.nbr.org/
美國科學家聯盟（Federation of American Scientist）
http://www.fas.org/
戰略展望（Strategic Forecasting）
http://www.stratfor.com/
基督教科學觀察報（Christian Science Monitor）
Kwak Tae-Hwan and Olsen Edward A., ed., the Major Powers of Northeast Asia: Seeking Peace and Security, London: Lynne Rienner, 1996.
http://www.csmonitor.com/
南韓前鋒論壇報（Korea Herald）
http://www.koreaherald.co.kr/
華盛頓時報（Washington Times）
http://www.washtimes.com/
美國國防部（Department of Defense）
http://www.defenselink.mil/
美國統計局（U.S. Census Bureau）
http://www.census.gov/
聯合國（United Nations）
Lee.Suk Jung, Ending the last Cold War: Korea Arms Control and Security in Northeast Asia, Wiltshire: Antony Rowe Ltd., 1997.
http://www.un.org/
美國駐南韓大使館（United States Embassy, Seoul, Republic of Korea）
http://usembassy.state.gov/seoul/
國防與國際安全研究中心（Center of Defense and International Security Studies）
http://www.cdiss.org/hometemp.htm
Myung Hyun Cho, Korea and the Major Powers; An Analysis of Power Structures in East Asia, Seoul: Seoul Computer Press, 1989.
Ministry of Unification Republic of Korea, Policy towards North Korea for Peace, Reconciliation and Cooperation, Seoul: Ohsung Design & Printing, 1999.
McGrew Anthony and Brook Christopher, ed., Asia-Pacific in the New World Order, New York: Routledge, 1998.
Nordlinger Eric A., Isolationism Reconfigured: American Foreign policy for A New Century, New Jersey: Princeton University, 1995.
Nye, Jr. Joseph S., Understanding International Conflicts: an Introduction to Theory and History, 3ed, New York: Longman（2000）.
Sigal Leon V., Disarming Strangers: Nuclear Diplomacy with North Korea, New Jersey: Princeton University, 1998.
Shields John M. and Potter William C., ed., Disarming the Cold War: U.S. and NIS Perspectives on the Nunn- Lugar Cooperative Threat Reduction Program, Cambridge: Harvard University, 1997.
Taylor Jr., Willaim J.、Cha Young-Koo and Blodgett John Q., ed., The Korean Peninsula: Prospects for Arms Reduction Under Global Détente, Colorado: Westview, 1990.
Weber Maria, ed., After the Asian Crises: Perspectives on Global Politics and Economics, New York: St. Martin’s Press, 2000.
（二）期刊
Almeida Pedro and O````Hanlon Michael, “Impasse in Korea: A Conventional Arms-Accord Solution?” Survival, Vol. 41, No. 1, spring 1999, pp. 58-72.
Art Robert J., “Geoploltics Updated: The Strategy of Selective Engagement，” International Security, 23:3（Winter 1998/1999）: pp.79-113
Acharya Amitar, “A Concert of Asia,” Survival, Vol. 41, No. 3 , autumn, 1999 , pp. 84-101.
Bandow Doug, “America````s Obsolete Korean Commitment,” Orbis, Vol.42, No.4, fall 1998, pp. 605-617.
Bracken Paul, “How to Think about Korean Unification,” Orbis, summer 1998, pp. 409-422.
Berger Samuel R., “A Foreign Policy for the Global Age”, Foreign Affairs, November / December 2000, pp. 22-39.
Bracken Paul, “The Second Nuclear Age,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 79, No. 1, Jan/Feb 2000, pp.146-157.
Cohen Eliot A., “Defending America in the Twenty-first Century,” Foreign Affairs, November / December 2000, pp.40-56.
Carter Ashton B., “Adapting US Defense to Future Need’s,” Survival, Vol. 41, No. 4, winter 1999-2000, pp. 101-123.
Cambone Stephen A., “The United States and Theatre Missile Defense in Northeast Asia,” Survival, Vol. 39, No. 3, autumn 1997, pp. 66-84.
Clark Mark T., “Missile Defense Redivivus-Arms Control is not Enough,” Orbis, Vol. 40, No. 1, winter 1996, pp. 71-84.
Cooper Henry F., “Missile Defense Redivivus - To Build an Affordable Shield,” Orbis, Vol. 40, No. 1, winter 1996, pp. 85-99.
Chull, “A Study on the Approach of Korea Reunification through the Four-way Peace Talk,” The Korean Journal of Policy Studies, Vol. 1, Feb. 1998, pp. 123-140.
Cambone Stephen A. “The United States and Theater Missile Threat”, Survival, Vol. 39, No. 3 , autumn, 1997 , pp106-134
Cossa Ralph A., “The Agree Framework / KEDO and Four-Party Talks: Status/ Prospects and Relationship to the ROK’s Sunshine Policy,” Korea and World Affairs, Vol. 23, No. 1, spring 1999, pp.45-70.
Christensen Thomas J., “China, the United States-Japan Alliance, and Security Dilemma in East Asia”, International Security, Vol. 23, No. 4 , spring 1999 , pp. 49-80.
Chung Oknim, “The North Korea Factor and ROK-US Relationship,” Korea and World Affairs, spring 1999, pp. 26-44.
Diamond Larry, “Beyond the Unipolar Moment - Why the United States Must Remain Engaged,” Orbis, Vol. 40, No. 3, summer 1996, pp. 465-473.
Dibb Paul, Hale David D., and Prince Peter, “Asia’s Insecurity,” Survival, Vol. 41, No. 3 , autumn, 1999 , pp.5-20.
Freedman Lawerence, “The Changing Forms of Military Conflict,” Survival, Vol. 40, No. 4 , winter, 1998-99 , pp.39-56.
Glaser Charles L. and Kaufmann Chaim, “What is the Offense-Defense Balance and Can We Measrue it?” International Security, 22:4
Gormley Dermis M. and Mahnken Thomas G., “Facing Nuclear and Conventional Reality,” Orbis, Vol. 44, No. 1, winter 2000, pp.109-126.
Gormley Dennis M., ”Hedging Against the Cruise-Missile Threat.” Suvival, Vol. 40, No. 1 , spring, 1998 , pp.92-111.
Hildreth Steven A., and Ellis Jason D., “Missile Defense Redivivus-Allied Support for Theater Missile Defense,” Orbis, Vol. 40, No. 1, winter 1996, pp.101-121.
Hong Yong-Pyo, “North Korea````s First 50 Years and the Opening of the Kim Jong-il Era,” Korea and World Affairs, winter 1998, pp.550-568.
Hong Soon-young, “Thawing Korea’s Cold War,” Foreign Affairs, Vol. 78, No. 3, May/ June 1999, pp.8-12.
Jose Robert G. and Reichart John F., “The Case for Nuclear Deterrence Today,” Orbis, Vol. 42, No. 1, winter 1998, pp.7-19.
Kelly James A., “U.S. Security Policies in East Asia: Fight Erosion and Finding a New Balance”, The Washington Quarterly, summer 1995, pp.21-35.
Kishi Toshiro, “The Day When Kim Jong-il Becomes Nuclear-Armed: A Strategic Approach to the North Korea Problem,” Korea and World Affairs, Vol.23, No.3, fall 1999, pp.373-386.
Kim Sung-Han, "Exploring Confidence-Building Measures in Northeast Asia: A Korean Perspective", Korea and World Affairs, Vol.21, No.3, fall 1997, pp.424-441.
Kim Hyung-Kook, “North Korea Foreign Policy,” Korea and World Affairs, spring 1999, pp.71-94.
Kim Woosang, “Power Transition and Stability in East Asia”, Asian Perspective, vol.21, no.1 , spring-summer, 1997 , pp.153-170.
Kim Taewoo, “South Korea’s Missile Dilemmas,” Asian Survey, Vol. XXXIX, No.3, May/June 1999, pp.486-503.
Levin Norman D., “What if North Korea Survival?” Survival, Vol.39, No.4, winter 1997-98, pp.156-174.
Layne Christopher, “From Preponderance to Offshore Balancing: American’s Future grand Strategy.” International Security 22:1
Maknken Thomas G. and Watts Barry D., ”What the Gulf War can , cannot Tell Us About the Future of Warfare,” International Security, Vol.22, No. 2 , fall, 1997 , pp.147-150.
Mastanduno Michael, “Preserving the Unipolar Moment: Realist Theories and U.S. Grand Strategy after the Cold War,” International Security, 21:4
Michishita Narushige, “Alliances after Peace in Korea,” Survival, Vol.41, No.3, autumn 1999, pp.68-83.
Nye Jr. Joseph S., “Redefining the National Interest,” Foreign Affairs, Vol.78, No.4, July/ August 1999, pp.22-35.
Nye Jr. Joseph S., “the Case for Deep Engagement,” Foreign Affairs, July/August 1995, pp.90-102.
O’Hanlon Michael, “Star Wars Strikes Back,” Foreign Affairs, Nov / Dec 1999, pp-68-82.
Park Hong-Suk, “Trilateral Concert in Northeast Asia toward the Korea Peninsula,” Korea and World Affairs, Vol. 21, No. 1, spring 1997, pp.20-43.
Pike John, “The Ballistic Missile Defense Debate,” Current History, April 1997, pp.157-161.
Pollack Jonathan D., “China’s Changing Perceptions of East Asia Security and Development,” Orbis, Vol. 29 , winter 1986 , pp.771-794.
Perry William F., “Defense in an Age of Hope,” Foreign Affairs, vol. 75, no. 6, Nov/ Dec 1996, pp. 64-79.
Roy Denny, “North Korea as an Alienated State,” Survival, vol. 38, no. 4, winter 1996-97, pp. 22-44.
Rozeman Gilbert, “Flawed Regionalism: Reconceptualizing Northeast Asia in the 1990s,” The Pacific Review, vol. 11, no. 1, , 1998 , pp.1-27.
Rice Condoleezza, “Promoting the National Interest,” Foreign Affairs, January / February 2000, pp.45-62.
Siler Michael J., “US Nuclear Nonproliferation Policy in the Northeast Asian Region during the Cold War: The South Korea Case,” East Asia, vol. 16, no. 3/4 autumn/winter 1998, pp. 41-86.
Stephen J Hadley, ”A Call to Deploy,” The Washington Quarterly, Summer 2000, pp.56.
Saunders Phillip C., “Avirtual Alliance for Asian Security,” Orbis, spring 1999, pp. 237-256.
Shinn James, “Testing the U.S.-Japan Security Alliance,” Current History, Dec.1997, pp.425-430.
Simon Duke, “Northeast Asia and Regional Security,” Journal of East Asia Affairs, vol. IX, no. 2, , summer/fall 1995 , pp. 323-384.
Valencia Mark J., “Energy and Insecurity in Asia,” Survival, vol. 39, no. 3 , autumn, 1997 , pp. 85-105.
Willett Susan, “East Asia’s Changing Defense Industry,” Survival, vol. 39, no. 3 , autumn, 1997 , pp.106-134.
Wohlforth William C., “The Stability of a Uni-polar World,” International Security 24:1
Waltz Kenneth N., “Structural Realism after the Cold war,” International Security 25:1
Weldon Curt, “Missile Defense Redivivus - Why We Must Act at once,” Orbis, vol.40, no.1, winter 1996, pp.63-69.
Yong-Sup Han, “China’s Leverages over North Korea,” Korea and World Affairs, Vol. 18, No. 2, summer 1994, pp. 234-235.
Zoellick Robert B., “A Republican Foreign Policy,” Foreign Affairs, January / February 2000, pp.63-78.
（三）網站資料
紐約時報（New York Times）
http://www.nytimes.com
華盛頓郵報（Washington Post）
http://www.washingtonpost.com
美國在臺協會（American Institute in Taiwan）
http://www.ait.org.tw
美國國務院（Department of State）
http://www.state.gov
美國國務院資訊部門（International Information Program, Department of State）
http://usinfo.state.gov
美國國家安全會議（National Security Council）
http://www.whitehouse.gov/WH/EOP/NSC/htm/nschome.html
東北亞和平與安全網站（Northeast Asia Peace and security Network）
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
外交研究所
91
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000090
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 劉德海zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 許柏逸zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 許柏逸zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2002en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 02:04:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 02:04:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 02:04:16 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) A2010000090en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49290-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 外交研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 91zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 無zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 目錄-----I
     表目錄-----I
     附錄-----IV
     第一章 研究動機與論文架構-----1
     　　第一節 研究動機-----1
     　　第二節 研究目的與限制-----2
     　　第三節 論文架構-----4
     第二章 冷戰後的東亞情勢與柯林頓的東亞政策-----6
     　　第一節 冷戰後東亞地區的主要趨勢-----7
     　　第二節 柯林頓第一任期的東亞政策-----26
     　　第三節 小結-----37
     第三章 柯林頓東亞政策的挑戰與防止核武擴散問題-----39
     　　第一節 後冷戰初期的中美關係-----40
     　　第二節 後冷戰初期的美日關係-----53
     　　第三節 柯林頓的防止核武擴散政策-----69
     　　第四節 小結-----82
     第四章 北韓核武危機的經過與處理-----84
     　　第一節 朝鮮半島對美國的重要性-----85
     　　第二節 北韓核武的研發與危機經過99
     　　第三節 北韓核武危機中的美朝外交斡旋-----121
     　　第四節 東亞各國與美國的外交策略-----134
     　　第五節 小結-----147
     第五章 結論-----149
     附錄
     參考書目
     表目錄
     表2-1：東亞與南亞各國國內生產毛額(GDP)增長率圖-----20
     表2-2：東亞、南亞與其他區域資金流入比較圖-----20
     表2-3：1990～99年東亞各國石油購買曲線圖-----21
     表2-4：1990～2020年主要地區預估能源需求比較圖-----22
     表2-5：1991～2000年東亞與其他地區軍費支出比較圖-----23
     表2-6：1990～1998年東亞地區軍費支出及GDP成長走勢圖-----24
     表2-7：1990～98年美國對台日韓武器銷售走勢圖-----25
     表2-8：美國老布希政府東亞地區軍事裁減進程表-----36
     表3-1：美國官方公佈之中美雙邊貿易表-----52
     表3-2：1975～94年美日貿易狀況表-----67
     表3-3：柯林頓任內日本佔美國貿易逆差的比例逐漸下降-----68
     表3-4：日本對駐日美軍費用負擔表-----68
     表3-5：美國國防部長亞斯平所提出的美國對核武擴散問題準備方案-----80
     表3-6：1990年統計核武國家儲存高濃縮鈾與鈽原料狀-----81
     表4-1：1991～99年美國對南韓進出口貿易比較表-----94
     表4-2：1990～98年美國對東北亞及南韓投資走勢圖-----94
     表4-3：1994年南北韓軍事力量比較圖-----95
     表4-4：北韓軍事設施平面圖-----96
     表4-5：北韓彈道飛彈類型及射程圖-----97
     表4-6：北韓彈道飛彈部署圖-----98
     表4-7：北韓核能設施表-----115
     表4-8：北韓核能設施平面圖-----116
     表4-9：南北韓歷次「核武控管委員會」對話內容-----117
     表4-10：南北韓彈道飛彈比較圖-----119
     表4-11：1990～94年北韓核武危機三次起伏簡表-----120
     表4-12：1990～91年北韓簽署「安全防衛」條款各國對北韓做的承諾-----133
     表4-13：1987～93年間中俄兩國向北韓出口石油數量表-----146
     附錄
     附錄一、北韓1993～94年核武危機大事記
     附錄二、禁止核武擴散條約(NPT)全文
     附錄三、聯合國安理會第825號決議案全文
     附錄四、93年11月1日國際原子能委員會呈聯合國大會報告全文
     附錄五、1994年3月31日聯合國安理會主席聲明全文
     附錄六、1994年10月21日日內瓦協議全文		zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#A2010000090en_US
dc.title (題名) 柯林頓政府對1992～94年北韓核武危機政策之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) A Study of Clinton Administration`s Policy toward North Korea`s Nuclear Crisis, 1992～94en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 參考書目zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) （一）專書zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Back Kwang-II, Korea and the United States: A Study of the ROK- U.S. Security Relationship within the Conceptual Framework of Alliances between Great and Small Powers, Seoul: Research Center for Peace and Unification of Korea, 1988.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Byun Dae-Ho, North Korea’s Foreign Policy: The Juche Ideology and the Challenge of Gorbachev’s New Thinking, Seoul: Seoul Computer Press, 1991.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Buss Claude A., the United States and the Republic of Korea, Stanford: Hoover Institution Press, 1982.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Calder Kent E., Asia’s Deadly Triangle: How Arms, Energy and Growth Threaten to Destabilize Asia- Pacific, London: Nicholas Brealey, 1997zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Crotty William, ed., Post-Cold War Policy: The International Context, Chicago: Nelson-Hall Publishers, 1995.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clarke Jonathan and Clad James, After the Crusade: American Foreign Policy for the Post-superpower Age, London: Madison Books, 1995.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Doug Bandow and Ted Galen Carpenter ed., The U.S. - South Korean Alliance: Time for Change, New Brunswick: Transaction Publishers, 1992.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hazel Smith、Chris Rhodes、Diana Pritchard and Magill Kevin, ed., North Korea in the New World Order, New York: St. Martins Press, 1996.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Inoguchi Takashi and Stillman Grant B., ed., North-East Asian Regional Security: the Role of International Institutions, Tokyo: the United Nations University Press, 1997.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.nautilus.org/napsnet/index.htmlzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國國防部年鑑（Defense Almanac）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://defenselink.mil/pubs/almanaczh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 戰略與國際研究中心zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.csis.org/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 斯德哥爾摩國際和平研究所（Stockholm International Peace Research Institute）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.sipri.sezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 尼克森中心（Nixon Center）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.nixoncenter.org/index.htmlzh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國外交政策委員會（Council of Foreign Relations）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ikenberry G. John, American Foreign Policy: Theoretical Essays, United States: Longman, 1999.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.cfr.org/p/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 卡內基國際和平基金會（Carnegie Endowment for International Peace）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.ceip.org/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國傳統基金會（Heritage Foundation）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.heritage.org/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 美國中央情報局（Central Intelligence Agency）zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) http://www.cia.gov/zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 蘭德公司（Rand Corp.）zh_TW
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