學術產出-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

  • No doi shows Citation Infomation
題名 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價與風險分析:機率杓斗法則之延伸
On the valuation and risk characteristic of synthetic CDOs with compound protection layers: extending probability bucketing algrithm
作者 謝伊婷
Hsieh, Yi-Ting
貢獻者 江彌修
謝伊婷
Hsieh, Yi-Ting
關鍵詞 信用擔保債權憑證
高斯單因子繫聯結構模型
機率杓斗法則
避險比例
違約價值
日期 2007
上傳時間 8-Dec-2010 16:21:12 (UTC+8)
摘要   以往投資人認為透過『附加保護層』的保護機制,損失不易流通至主擔保債權憑證,潛在損失較低;又因包含龐大之標的債權,投資人也認為該投資風險分散程度較高,風險暴露程度較低。然而,2007年7月發生次級房貸風暴,導致複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證各分券投資人產生鉅額損失,方了解於保護層的面紗之下,隱含了不為人知的風險。
  因此,本研究目的發展合成型複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價模型,以雙層信用擔保債權為例,『由下而上』依序建構標的債權群組,至主擔保債權憑證之總損失機率分配;並透過直觀的考慮所有損失的可能組合,使估計之合理信用價差更為精確,不僅解決以往評價雙層擔保債權憑證的維度限制,計算子分券數目為二以上的情形,更能將此模型推廣至所有複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價,適合實務應用。
  除此之外,本研究亦希望透過實務界常用之風險衡量指標,揭開保護層之厚重面紗,探討複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證所隱含之風險,提供投資人參考。透過與一般信用擔保債權憑證之風險特性,探討『附加保護層』機制是否真能提升風險分散程度,抑或反而有損失累積的效果。最後,本研究也藉由風險衡量指標,分析資產重疊程度由低至高時,對對雙層信用擔保債權憑證風險的影響,了解風險是否會隨其資產重疊度增加而增加。
參考文獻 Baheti, P., Mashal, R., Naldi, M., and Schloegl., 2005, “Squaring factor copula models”, Risk, 18(6), 73-76.
Black, F. and Cox, J. C., 1976, “Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions”, Journal of Finance, 31, 351-367.
Geske, R., 1979, “The Valuation of Compound Options”, Journal of Financial Economics, 7, 63-81.
Gibson, M., 2004, “Understanding the risk of synthetic CDOs”, FEDS Discussion Papers, No. 2004-36, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.
Hull, J. and White, A., 2004, “Valuation of a CDO and an nth to Default CDS without Monte Carlo Simulation”, Journal of Derivatives, 2, 8-23.
Jarrow, R. and Turnbull, S., 1995, “Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk”, Journal of Finance, 50, 53-96.
Jarrow, R. and Yu, F., 2001, “Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities”, Journal of Finance, 56, 53-86.
Jarrow, R. A., Lando, D., and Turnbull, S. M., 1997, “A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads”, Review of Financial Studies, 10, 481-523.
Jones, P., Mason, S., and Rosenfeld, E., 1984, “Contingent Claim Analysis of Corporate Capital Structures: An Empirical Investigation”, Journal of Finance, 39, 611-625.
Laurent, J. P. and Gregory, J., 2003, “Basket Default Swaps, CDOs and Factor Copulas”, ISFA Actuarial School, University of Lyon, Working Paper.
Li, D., 2000, “On Default Correlations: a Copula Approach”, Journal of Fixed Income, 9, 43-54.
Merton, R., 1974, “On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: the Risk Structure of Interest Rates”, Journal of Finance, 29, 449-470.
Schönbucher, P. J. and Schubert, D., 2001, “Copula-Dependent Default Risk in Intensity Models”, Working Paper, Department of Statistics, Bonn University.
Sklar, A., 1959, “Fonctions de Repartition a n Dimensions et leurs Marges”, Publ. Inst. Stat. Univ, Paris, 8, 229-231.
Zhou, C., 2001, “The Term Structure of Credit Spreads with Jump Risk”, Journal of Banking & Finance, 25, 2015-2040.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
金融研究所
95352023
96
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0953520231
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 江彌修zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 謝伊婷zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Hsieh, Yi-Tingen_US
dc.creator (作者) 謝伊婷zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Hsieh, Yi-Tingen_US
dc.date (日期) 2007en_US
dc.date.accessioned 8-Dec-2010 16:21:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 8-Dec-2010 16:21:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 8-Dec-2010 16:21:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0953520231en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49670-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 金融研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 95352023zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 96zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要)   以往投資人認為透過『附加保護層』的保護機制,損失不易流通至主擔保債權憑證,潛在損失較低;又因包含龐大之標的債權,投資人也認為該投資風險分散程度較高,風險暴露程度較低。然而,2007年7月發生次級房貸風暴,導致複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證各分券投資人產生鉅額損失,方了解於保護層的面紗之下,隱含了不為人知的風險。
  因此,本研究目的發展合成型複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價模型,以雙層信用擔保債權為例,『由下而上』依序建構標的債權群組,至主擔保債權憑證之總損失機率分配;並透過直觀的考慮所有損失的可能組合,使估計之合理信用價差更為精確,不僅解決以往評價雙層擔保債權憑證的維度限制,計算子分券數目為二以上的情形,更能將此模型推廣至所有複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價,適合實務應用。
  除此之外,本研究亦希望透過實務界常用之風險衡量指標,揭開保護層之厚重面紗,探討複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證所隱含之風險,提供投資人參考。透過與一般信用擔保債權憑證之風險特性,探討『附加保護層』機制是否真能提升風險分散程度,抑或反而有損失累積的效果。最後,本研究也藉由風險衡量指標,分析資產重疊程度由低至高時,對對雙層信用擔保債權憑證風險的影響,了解風險是否會隨其資產重疊度增加而增加。
zh_TW
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論......................................1
 第一節 研究動機與目的...........................1
 第二節 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之商品架構......3
 第三節 研究架構................................6
第二章 文獻探討..................................7
 第一節 信用風險模型.............................7
 第二節 一般信用擔保債權憑證評價模型..............11
 第三節 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證評價模型.......12
第三章 評價模型設定與風險衡量指標..................13
 第一節 評價模型設定............................13
 第二節 風險衡量指標............................21
第四章 數值分析與結果............................25
 第一節 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證評價結果.......25
 第二節 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證風險分析.......33
第五章 結論與建議................................56
 第一節 結論...................................56
 第二節 未來研究建議............................58
參考文獻.......................................59
zh_TW
dc.format.extent 57056 bytes-
dc.format.extent 102759 bytes-
dc.format.extent 83437 bytes-
dc.format.extent 74239 bytes-
dc.format.extent 181514 bytes-
dc.format.extent 128681 bytes-
dc.format.extent 201485 bytes-
dc.format.extent 1093287 bytes-
dc.format.extent 97708 bytes-
dc.format.extent 45361 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0953520231en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 信用擔保債權憑證zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 高斯單因子繫聯結構模型zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 機率杓斗法則zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 避險比例zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 違約價值zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 複合型保護層信用擔保債權憑證之評價與風險分析:機率杓斗法則之延伸zh_TW
dc.title (題名) On the valuation and risk characteristic of synthetic CDOs with compound protection layers: extending probability bucketing algrithmen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Baheti, P., Mashal, R., Naldi, M., and Schloegl., 2005, “Squaring factor copula models”, Risk, 18(6), 73-76.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Black, F. and Cox, J. C., 1976, “Valuing Corporate Securities: Some Effects of Bond Indenture Provisions”, Journal of Finance, 31, 351-367.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Geske, R., 1979, “The Valuation of Compound Options”, Journal of Financial Economics, 7, 63-81.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gibson, M., 2004, “Understanding the risk of synthetic CDOs”, FEDS Discussion Papers, No. 2004-36, Board of Governors of the Federal Reserve System.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hull, J. and White, A., 2004, “Valuation of a CDO and an nth to Default CDS without Monte Carlo Simulation”, Journal of Derivatives, 2, 8-23.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jarrow, R. and Turnbull, S., 1995, “Pricing Derivatives on Financial Securities Subject to Credit Risk”, Journal of Finance, 50, 53-96.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jarrow, R. and Yu, F., 2001, “Counterparty Risk and the Pricing of Defaultable Securities”, Journal of Finance, 56, 53-86.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jarrow, R. A., Lando, D., and Turnbull, S. M., 1997, “A Markov Model for the Term Structure of Credit Risk Spreads”, Review of Financial Studies, 10, 481-523.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Jones, P., Mason, S., and Rosenfeld, E., 1984, “Contingent Claim Analysis of Corporate Capital Structures: An Empirical Investigation”, Journal of Finance, 39, 611-625.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Laurent, J. P. and Gregory, J., 2003, “Basket Default Swaps, CDOs and Factor Copulas”, ISFA Actuarial School, University of Lyon, Working Paper.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Li, D., 2000, “On Default Correlations: a Copula Approach”, Journal of Fixed Income, 9, 43-54.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Merton, R., 1974, “On the Pricing of Corporate Debt: the Risk Structure of Interest Rates”, Journal of Finance, 29, 449-470.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schönbucher, P. J. and Schubert, D., 2001, “Copula-Dependent Default Risk in Intensity Models”, Working Paper, Department of Statistics, Bonn University.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Sklar, A., 1959, “Fonctions de Repartition a n Dimensions et leurs Marges”, Publ. Inst. Stat. Univ, Paris, 8, 229-231.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Zhou, C., 2001, “The Term Structure of Credit Spreads with Jump Risk”, Journal of Banking & Finance, 25, 2015-2040.zh_TW