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題名 實質與貨幣內生成長模型的稅制改革政策
Tax reform policies in real and monetary models of endogenous growth
作者 李國豪
Lee, Kuo Hao
貢獻者 張文雅
Chang, Wen Ya
李國豪
Lee, Kuo Hao
關鍵詞 稅制改革
內生成長
生育率
預付現金
Tax Reform
Endogenous Growth
Fertility Rate
Cash-in-Advance
日期 2009
上傳時間 9-Dec-2010 14:52:49 (UTC+8)
摘要 本論文在實質與貨幣內生成長模型中探討政府租稅的效果，而其中又以稅制改革政策為主角。 在第二章中，我們將內生生育率的概念引入了Romer (1986)的實質經濟成長模型，並說明當政府在維持稅收中立的原則下將所得稅制轉換為消費稅制時，將可能對經濟成長與社會福利有所傷害。而後我們也提供了一些數值模擬以支持我們的論點。至於第三章，我們將勞動供給內生的概念引入一個有預付現金限制(Cash-in-Advance)的貨幣經濟成模型，在本章中我們得到了所謂「Mundell-Tobin Effect」與「消費稅中立性」的成立與否，將取決於政府稅收的用途；接著我們把焦點放在資本的生產外部性與消費稅所造成的扭曲上並導出最適貨幣政策；最後，在維持政府的支出水準下，我們得到將消費稅制轉換為通膨稅制時，將對經濟成長有正面的效果。
The dissertation provides a theoretical framework to investigate the effects of tax policies, especially the tax reform, in real and monetary models of endogenous growth. In Chapter 2, by shedding light on the endogenous fertility choice, we set up a simple Romer (1986)-type endogenous growth model and show that, in a departure from the existing literature, a switch from a decrease in income tax rate to an increase in consumption tax rate so as to ensure a revenue-neutrality could be harmful, rather than favorable, to both growth and welfare. In addition, we also conduct a simple numerical analysis to investigate the conditions in which the negative effect on growth and welfare occurs.
As to the monetary model, an endogenous growth model with endogenous labor-leisure choice and cash-in-advance (CIA) constraint which is only imposed on consumption is established in Chapter 3. Through the model, we found that the Mundell-Tobin effect and the validity of consumption tax neutrality depend on the usages of tax revenue. Next, focusing on the distortions due to the production externality of capital and consumption tax, the optimal monetary policy is also derived. Finally, we show that a switch from consumption taxation to inflation taxation to finance a given stream of government expenditure, namely tax switch, enhances economic growth through the increase in labor supply in a CIA economy and the qualitative equivalence between MIU and CIA approaches is still valid.
參考文獻 Abel, A. B. and Blanchard, O. J., 1983, “An Intertemporal Model of Saving and Investment,” Econometrica 51, 675-692.
Auerbach, A. J., Kotlikoff, L. J. and Skinner, J., 1983, “The Efficiency Gains from Dynamic Tax Reform,” International Economic Review 24, 81-100.
Auerbach, A. J. and Kotlikoff, L. J. 1987, Dynamic Fiscal Policy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Express.
Auerbach, A. J. and Obstfeld, M. 2004, “Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation,” American Economic Review 94: Papers and Proceedings, 71-75.
Auerbach, A. J. and Obstfeld, M. 2005, “The Case for Open-Market Purchase in a Liquidity Trap,” American Economic Review 95, 110-137.
Barro, R. J. and Becker, G. S., 1989, “Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth,” Econometrica 57, 481-501.
Barro, R. J., 1995, “Inflation and Economic Growth,” Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 166-176.
Barro, R. J. and Sala-i-Martin, X., 2004, Economic Growth, 2nd Ed., Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.
Batina, R. G., 1987, “The Consumption Tax in the Presence of Altruistic Cash and Human Capital Bequests with Endogenous Fertility Decisions,” Journal of Public Economics 34, 329-354.
Becker, G. S., 1988, “Family Economics and Macro Behavior,” American Economic Review 78, 1-13.
Braun, R. A. 1994, “Tax Disturbances and Real Economic Activity in the Postwar United States,” Journal of Monetary Economics 33, 441-462.
Buiter, W. H., 1984, “Saddlepoint Problems in Continuous Time Rational Expectations Models: A General Method and Some Macroeconomic Examples,” Econometrica 52, 665-680.
Bullard, J. and Keating, J. W., 1995, “The Long-Run Relationship between Inflation and Output in Postwar Economies,” Journal of Monetary Economics 36, 477-496.
Chamley, C., 1985, “Efficient Tax Reform in a Dynamic Model of General Equilibrium,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 100, 335-356.
Chang, W. Y., Hsieh, Y. N., and Lai, C. C., 2000, “Social Status, Inflation, and Endogenous Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy” European Journal of Political Economy 16, 535-545.
Chatterjee, S. and Turnovsky, S. J., 2007, “Foreign Aid and Economic Growth: The Role of Flexible Labor Supply,” Journal of Development Economics 84, 507-533.
Chen, S. H. and Guo, J. T., 2008, “Velocity of money, equilibrium (in)determinacy and endogenous growth,” Journal of Macroeconomics 30, 1085-1096.
Christiano, L. J. 1988, “Why Does Inventory Investment Fluctuate So Much?” Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 247-280.
Clower, R., 1967, “A Reconsideration of the Microfoundations of Monetary Theory,” Western Economic Journal 6, 1-9.
Cooley, T. F. and Hansen, G. D., 1992, “Tax Distortions in a Neoclassical Monetary Economy,” Journal of Economic Theory 58, 290-316.
Cunha, A. B., 2008, “The Optimality of the Friedman Rule When Some Distorting Taxes are Exogenous,” Economic Theory 35, 267-291.
De Gregorio, J., 1993, “Inflation, Taxation, and Long-Run Growth,” Journal of Monetary Economics 31, 271-298.
Devereux, M. B. and Love, D. R. F., 1995, “The Dynamic Effects of Government Spending Policies in a Two-Sector Endogenous Growth Model,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 27, 232-256.
Dotsey, M. and Sarte, P. D., 2000, “Inflation Uncertainty and Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy,” Journal of Monetary Economics 45, 631-655.
Eckstein, Z. and Wolpin, K. I., 1985, “Endogenous Fertility and Optimal Population Size,” Journal of Public Economics 27, 93-106.
Eckstein, Z., Stern, S. and Wolpin, K. I., 1988, “Fertility Choice, Land, and the Malthusian Hypothesis,” International Economic Review 29, 353-361.
Ermisch, J., 1986, “Impacts of Policy Actions on the Family and Household,” Journal of Pubic Policy 6, 297-318.
Friedman, M., 1969, “The Optimum Quantity of Money,” The Optimum Quantity of Money and Other Essays, London: Macmillan.
Galí, J. 1994, “Government Size and Macroeconomic Stability,” European Economic Review 38, 117-132.
Gavin, M. and Roberto P., 1997, “Fiscal Policy in Latin America,” NBER Macroeconomics Annual 12, MIT Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts, 11-61.
Gomme, P., 1993, “Money and Growth Revisited: Measuring the Costs of Inflation in an Endogenous Growth Model,” Journal of Monetary Economics 32, 51-77.
Grant, J. et al., 2004, “Low Fertility and Population Ageing: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Options,” Santa Monica: RAND.
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Gylfason, T. and Herbertsson, T. T., 2001, “Does Inflation matter for Growth,” Japan and the World Economy 13, 405-428.
Ho, W. H., Zeng, J. and Zhang, J., 2007, “Inflation Taxation and Welfare with Externalities and Leisure,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 39, 105-131.
Itaya, J. I., 1991, “Tax Incidence in a Two-Sector Growing Economy with Perfect Foresight: Long-Run Analysis,” Journal of Public Economics 44, 95-118.
Itaya, J. I., 1998, “Money, Neutrality of consumption Taxes, and Growth in intertemporal Optimizing Models,” Japanese Economic Review 49, 395-411.
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King, R., Plosser, C. I., and Rebelo, S. T., 1988, “Production, Growth, and Business Cycle II: New Direction,” Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 309-342.
Kobayashi, Y., 1996, “Endogenous Fertility and the Consumption Tax,” Japanese Economic Review 47, 313-321.
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Marquis, M. H. and Reffett, K. L., 1991, “Real Interest Rates and Endogenous Growth in a Monetary Economy,” Economics Letters 37, 105-109.
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描述 博士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
92258505
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922585051
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張文雅zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chang, Wen Yaen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 李國豪zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Lee, Kuo Haoen_US
dc.creator (作者) 李國豪zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Lee, Kuo Haoen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 9-Dec-2010 14:52:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-Dec-2010 14:52:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Dec-2010 14:52:49 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0922585051en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49966-
dc.description (描述) 博士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 92258505zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本論文在實質與貨幣內生成長模型中探討政府租稅的效果，而其中又以稅制改革政策為主角。 在第二章中，我們將內生生育率的概念引入了Romer (1986)的實質經濟成長模型，並說明當政府在維持稅收中立的原則下將所得稅制轉換為消費稅制時，將可能對經濟成長與社會福利有所傷害。而後我們也提供了一些數值模擬以支持我們的論點。至於第三章，我們將勞動供給內生的概念引入一個有預付現金限制(Cash-in-Advance)的貨幣經濟成模型，在本章中我們得到了所謂「Mundell-Tobin Effect」與「消費稅中立性」的成立與否，將取決於政府稅收的用途；接著我們把焦點放在資本的生產外部性與消費稅所造成的扭曲上並導出最適貨幣政策；最後，在維持政府的支出水準下，我們得到將消費稅制轉換為通膨稅制時，將對經濟成長有正面的效果。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The dissertation provides a theoretical framework to investigate the effects of tax policies, especially the tax reform, in real and monetary models of endogenous growth. In Chapter 2, by shedding light on the endogenous fertility choice, we set up a simple Romer (1986)-type endogenous growth model and show that, in a departure from the existing literature, a switch from a decrease in income tax rate to an increase in consumption tax rate so as to ensure a revenue-neutrality could be harmful, rather than favorable, to both growth and welfare. In addition, we also conduct a simple numerical analysis to investigate the conditions in which the negative effect on growth and welfare occurs.
As to the monetary model, an endogenous growth model with endogenous labor-leisure choice and cash-in-advance (CIA) constraint which is only imposed on consumption is established in Chapter 3. Through the model, we found that the Mundell-Tobin effect and the validity of consumption tax neutrality depend on the usages of tax revenue. Next, focusing on the distortions due to the production externality of capital and consumption tax, the optimal monetary policy is also derived. Finally, we show that a switch from consumption taxation to inflation taxation to finance a given stream of government expenditure, namely tax switch, enhances economic growth through the increase in labor supply in a CIA economy and the qualitative equivalence between MIU and CIA approaches is still valid.		en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Abstract i
Chapter 1 Introduction 1
Reference 9
Chapter 2 The Long-Run Growth and Welfare Effects of Tax Reform with
Endogenous Fertility 13
2.1 Introduction 13
2.2 The Model 16
2.3 Equilibrium Analysis 19
2.4 The Steady-State Effects of Tax Reform 22
2.5 Welfare Analysis 25
2.6 Numerical Analysis 27
2.7 Concluding Remarks 29
2.8 Future Extensions 30
Appendix 31
Figures and Tables 32
References 35
Chapter 3 Consumption Tax, Seigniorage Tax, and Tax Switch Policy in a
Cash-in-Advance Economy of Endogenous Growth 38
3.1 Introduction 38
3.2 The Analytical Framework 43
3.2.1 Government 43
3.2.2 Household-Producer 44
3.2.3 Competitive Dynamic Equilibrium 46
3.3 The Steady-State Effects of Tax Policies 49
3.4 The Optimal Monetary Policy 53
3.5 Tax Switch 56
3.6 Concluding Remarks and Future Extensions 59
Appendix A 61
Appendix B 64
Figures 66
References 68
Chapter 4 Conclusions 72
References 74		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 386559 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0922585051en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 稅制改革zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 內生成長zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 生育率zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 預付現金zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Tax Reformen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Endogenous Growthen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Fertility Rateen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Cash-in-Advanceen_US
dc.title (題名) 實質與貨幣內生成長模型的稅制改革政策zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Tax reform policies in real and monetary models of endogenous growthen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Abel, A. B. and Blanchard, O. J., 1983, “An Intertemporal Model of Saving and Investment,” Econometrica 51, 675-692.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Auerbach, A. J., Kotlikoff, L. J. and Skinner, J., 1983, “The Efficiency Gains from Dynamic Tax Reform,” International Economic Review 24, 81-100.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Auerbach, A. J. and Kotlikoff, L. J. 1987, Dynamic Fiscal Policy, Cambridge: Cambridge University Express.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Auerbach, A. J. and Obstfeld, M. 2004, “Monetary and Fiscal Remedies for Deflation,” American Economic Review 94: Papers and Proceedings, 71-75.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Auerbach, A. J. and Obstfeld, M. 2005, “The Case for Open-Market Purchase in a Liquidity Trap,” American Economic Review 95, 110-137.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barro, R. J. and Becker, G. S., 1989, “Fertility Choice in a Model of Economic Growth,” Econometrica 57, 481-501.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barro, R. J., 1995, “Inflation and Economic Growth,” Bank of England Quarterly Bulletin, 166-176.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Barro, R. J. and Sala-i-Martin, X., 2004, Economic Growth, 2nd Ed., Cambridge, MA: MIT Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Batina, R. G., 1987, “The Consumption Tax in the Presence of Altruistic Cash and Human Capital Bequests with Endogenous Fertility Decisions,” Journal of Public Economics 34, 329-354.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Becker, G. S., 1988, “Family Economics and Macro Behavior,” American Economic Review 78, 1-13.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Braun, R. A. 1994, “Tax Disturbances and Real Economic Activity in the Postwar United States,” Journal of Monetary Economics 33, 441-462.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Buiter, W. H., 1984, “Saddlepoint Problems in Continuous Time Rational Expectations Models: A General Method and Some Macroeconomic Examples,” Econometrica 52, 665-680.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bullard, J. and Keating, J. W., 1995, “The Long-Run Relationship between Inflation and Output in Postwar Economies,” Journal of Monetary Economics 36, 477-496.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chamley, C., 1985, “Efficient Tax Reform in a Dynamic Model of General Equilibrium,” Quarterly Journal of Economics 100, 335-356.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chang, W. Y., Hsieh, Y. N., and Lai, C. C., 2000, “Social Status, Inflation, and Endogenous Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy” European Journal of Political Economy 16, 535-545.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chatterjee, S. and Turnovsky, S. J., 2007, “Foreign Aid and Economic Growth: The Role of Flexible Labor Supply,” Journal of Development Economics 84, 507-533.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, S. H. and Guo, J. T., 2008, “Velocity of money, equilibrium (in)determinacy and endogenous growth,” Journal of Macroeconomics 30, 1085-1096.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Christiano, L. J. 1988, “Why Does Inventory Investment Fluctuate So Much?” Journal of Monetary Economics 21, 247-280.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Clower, R., 1967, “A Reconsideration of the Microfoundations of Monetary Theory,” Western Economic Journal 6, 1-9.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cooley, T. F. and Hansen, G. D., 1992, “Tax Distortions in a Neoclassical Monetary Economy,” Journal of Economic Theory 58, 290-316.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Cunha, A. B., 2008, “The Optimality of the Friedman Rule When Some Distorting Taxes are Exogenous,” Economic Theory 35, 267-291.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) De Gregorio, J., 1993, “Inflation, Taxation, and Long-Run Growth,” Journal of Monetary Economics 31, 271-298.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Devereux, M. B. and Love, D. R. F., 1995, “The Dynamic Effects of Government Spending Policies in a Two-Sector Endogenous Growth Model,” Journal of Money, Credit, and Banking 27, 232-256.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Dotsey, M. and Sarte, P. D., 2000, “Inflation Uncertainty and Growth in a Cash-in-Advance Economy,” Journal of Monetary Economics 45, 631-655.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Eckstein, Z. and Wolpin, K. I., 1985, “Endogenous Fertility and Optimal Population Size,” Journal of Public Economics 27, 93-106.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Eckstein, Z., Stern, S. and Wolpin, K. I., 1988, “Fertility Choice, Land, and the Malthusian Hypothesis,” International Economic Review 29, 353-361.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Ermisch, J., 1986, “Impacts of Policy Actions on the Family and Household,” Journal of Pubic Policy 6, 297-318.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Friedman, M., 1969, “The Optimum Quantity of Money,” The Optimum Quantity of Money and Other Essays, London: Macmillan.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Galí, J. 1994, “Government Size and Macroeconomic Stability,” European Economic Review 38, 117-132.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gavin, M. and Roberto P., 1997, “Fiscal Policy in Latin America,” NBER Macroeconomics Annual 12, MIT Press: Cambridge, Massachusetts, 11-61.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gomme, P., 1993, “Money and Growth Revisited: Measuring the Costs of Inflation in an Endogenous Growth Model,” Journal of Monetary Economics 32, 51-77.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Grant, J. et al., 2004, “Low Fertility and Population Ageing: Causes, Consequences, and Policy Options,” Santa Monica: RAND.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Greenwood, J. and Huffman, G. W. 1991, “Tax Analysis in a Real Business Cycle Model: on Measuring Harberger Triangles and Okun Gaps,” Journal of Monetary Economics 27, 167-190.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Guo, J. T. and Harrison, S. G., 2004, “Balanced-Budget Rules and Macroeconomic (in)stability,” Journal of Economic Theory 119, 357-363.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Gylfason, T. and Herbertsson, T. T., 2001, “Does Inflation matter for Growth,” Japan and the World Economy 13, 405-428.zh_TW
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