dc.contributor.advisor | 羅光達 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | Lo, Kuang-Ta | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 吳閔鈺 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Wu, Min-Yu | en_US |
dc.creator (作者) | 吳閔鈺 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | Wu, Min-Yu | en_US |
dc.date (日期) | 2006 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 9-Dec-2010 15:50:01 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 9-Dec-2010 15:50:01 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 9-Dec-2010 15:50:01 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0094255015 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/49994 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 財政研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 94255015 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 95 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 本研究主要探討台灣地區自有住宅與生育決策之間的關連性,利用1994年至2005年台灣地區23個縣市之自有住宅率與一般生育率作為實證研究的資料,欲說明一個家庭在面對預算限制式之下,自有住宅對於生育行為的影響,究竟兩者之間存在互補關係抑或競爭關係。本文參考簡單生育理論模型建立迴歸模型,再利用Panel Data實證模型,分析自有住宅與生育決策之間的關係。 根據台灣地區之官方資料所得出的實證結果,得出以下結論:當生育率遞延一期之時,住宅的持有對於生育行為存在負向關係,顯示出自有住宅於購買初期會延後生育決策的形成,兩者之間存在資源排擠效果;而當生育率遞延兩期時,兩者之間的資源排擠效果更為強大。此外,女性受教程度越高,隱含在工作中所獲得的報酬越高,養育子女的機會成本也就越高,與生育率為負向關係。家戶所得亦等同理論預期,與生育率為正向關係。其他變數,如:代表景氣循環的失業率與反應國情文化的龍虎年效應均與原先預期一致,生育行為有著順景氣循環的特性;台灣生育決策與龍虎年息息相關。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | The thesis presents the relationship between home-ownership and the birth of children in Taiwan. Housing factor might affects childbirth in complement or replacement way with limited budget in a family. In this study, general fertility rate represents decision of childbirth and homeownership rate means housing factor. This research uses 1994-2005 panel data from the statistic institutions in Taiwan to examine the factors which influence decision of having children, especially housing factor. The results of the empirical study are summarized as follows: If the decisions of childbirth are lagged a year and two years, they both suffer negative effects from home-ownership. The negative effect of the latter is larger that that of the former. This finding shows that the cost of home-ownership might compete with that of having children. This study also finds that there is a negative relationship between female education and the birth of children. Household income is significant to improve decision of childbirth. Both are consistent with the expectation of theory. Concerning the procyclical behavior of fertility, the study demonstrates that an increase in the unemployment rate generates a decrease in fertility. In addition, having children is correlated with the cultural factors. | en_US |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章、 緒論 1第一節、 研究背景 1第二節、 研究動機 8第三節、 研究限制 9第四節、 研究架構 11第二章、 文獻回顧 13第一節、 生育行為之相關文獻 13第二節、 住宅租擁對家庭決策之文獻 19第三節、 自有住宅與生育行為的關係之文獻 21第三章、 台灣生育率與自有住宅率之回顧與分析 23第一節、 與世界各國的比較 23第二節、 台灣生育率的趨勢概況 28第三節、 台灣自有住宅率的趨勢概況 30第四節、 各縣市生育率與自有住宅率之探討 32第四章、 研究方法與實證結果 35第一節、 實證模型 35第二節、 實證模型的設定 41第三節、 各變數說明與預期效果 44第四節、 實證結果與分析 49第五章、 結論與建議 54第一節、 結論 54第二節、 建議 56參考文獻 57附錄 61表次表 1、世界各國自有住宅率與生育率之比較 24表 2、台灣地區總生育率與自有住宅率(1990─2005) 31表 3、各縣市ㄧ般生育率時間趨勢 (1994-2005) 33表 4、各縣市自有住宅率時間趨勢(1994-2005) 34表 5、實證模型設定 42表 6、各變數之說明與基本統計量 45表 7、生育率遞延一期模型之實證結果 52表 8、生育率遞延兩期模型之實證結果 53表 9、生育率遞延三期模型之實證結果 61圖次圖 1、台灣老化指數與扶老比之趨勢圖(1990-2006) 3圖 2、主要國家自有住宅率的比較 5圖 3、一般生育率與自有住宅率時間趨勢圖(1994-2005) 6圖 4、自有住宅率與遞延一期、兩期一般生育率時間趨勢圖(1994-2005) 7圖 5、世界主要國家自有住宅率之比較 25圖 6、世界主要國家之生育率比較 25圖 7、台灣育齡婦女總生育率趨勢圖(1981─2005) 29圖 8、台灣自有住宅率時間趨勢圖(1990-2005) 31 | zh_TW |
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dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094255015 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 自有住宅 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 生育 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 台灣地區 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | homeownership | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | fertility | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Taiwan | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | 自有住宅與生育決策─台灣地區之實證分析 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | The Influence of Home-Ownership on Fertility in Taiwan | en_US |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
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