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題名 N/A
United States Vital Interests: Does Taiwan Measure Up?
作者 司徒尚禮
Charles Andrew St.Sauver
貢獻者 冷則剛
Leng, Tse Kang
司徒尚禮
Charles Andrew St.Sauver
關鍵詞 國家利益
緊要利益
美國
台灣
National Interest
Vital Interest
United States
Taiwan
日期 2009
上傳時間 9-Dec-2010 16:59:10 (UTC+8)
摘要 It has been 60 years since the Republic of China’s government fled to the island of Taiwan during the Chinese Civil War. Taiwan’s rival on mainland, the People’s Republic of China, is of the view that there is only one China and Taiwan is part of China. In recent years the mainland has reiterated and then formalized its policy to use force if necessary against Taiwan in the name of reunification. Caught between these positions is the United States. Since the Republic of China’s arrival on Taiwan, the United States has provided an external assurance of security for Taiwan. As the People’s Republic of China’s economic, military, and political power grows it will increasingly have the ability to shape issues in East Asia and beyond, therefore challenging United States’ national vital interests. Vital interest is defined as an issue at stake which is so fundamental to the political, economic, and social well being of the United States that it cannot be compromised even if defending it requires military action. Is Taiwan truly a vital interest? Donald Nuechterlein’s 16 national vital interest factors are used to evaluate this question from two angles: a literature review and questionnaire. Much like the United States’ described position of ambiguity toward Taiwan, this study is also inconclusive to the core question, Taiwan’s position as a vital interest in terms of US policy. This conclusion was unexpectedly reached because both analyses scored a virtual 1 to 1 ratio between value and potential costs/risks, thereby providing no differentiation. However, the analysis did reveal issues that should be seriously considered by policy makers when making any final determination on the Taiwan question. Criteria such as the economic and military costs of war are important as well as the fact that Taiwan is fellow democracy and important cog in the regional balance of power. Finally, recommendations provided for more in depth study on Taiwan as a vital US interest may reveal more definitive answers.
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)
97924010
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0979240101
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 冷則剛zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Leng, Tse Kangen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 司徒尚禮zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Charles Andrew St.Sauveren_US
dc.creator (作者) 司徒尚禮zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Charles Andrew St.Sauveren_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 9-Dec-2010 16:59:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 9-Dec-2010 16:59:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 9-Dec-2010 16:59:10 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0979240101en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/50055-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 亞太研究英語碩士學位學程(IMAS)zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97924010zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) It has been 60 years since the Republic of China’s government fled to the island of Taiwan during the Chinese Civil War. Taiwan’s rival on mainland, the People’s Republic of China, is of the view that there is only one China and Taiwan is part of China. In recent years the mainland has reiterated and then formalized its policy to use force if necessary against Taiwan in the name of reunification. Caught between these positions is the United States. Since the Republic of China’s arrival on Taiwan, the United States has provided an external assurance of security for Taiwan. As the People’s Republic of China’s economic, military, and political power grows it will increasingly have the ability to shape issues in East Asia and beyond, therefore challenging United States’ national vital interests. Vital interest is defined as an issue at stake which is so fundamental to the political, economic, and social well being of the United States that it cannot be compromised even if defending it requires military action. Is Taiwan truly a vital interest? Donald Nuechterlein’s 16 national vital interest factors are used to evaluate this question from two angles: a literature review and questionnaire. Much like the United States’ described position of ambiguity toward Taiwan, this study is also inconclusive to the core question, Taiwan’s position as a vital interest in terms of US policy. This conclusion was unexpectedly reached because both analyses scored a virtual 1 to 1 ratio between value and potential costs/risks, thereby providing no differentiation. However, the analysis did reveal issues that should be seriously considered by policy makers when making any final determination on the Taiwan question. Criteria such as the economic and military costs of war are important as well as the fact that Taiwan is fellow democracy and important cog in the regional balance of power. Finally, recommendations provided for more in depth study on Taiwan as a vital US interest may reveal more definitive answers.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents ABSTRACT ii
ACKNOWLEDGMENTS iii
TABLE OF CONTENTS iv
ACRONYMS vi
TABLES & FIGURES vii
CHAPTER 1. VITAL INTERESTS & THE UNITED STATES/TAIWAN BILATERAL RELATIONSHIP 1
Overuse & Misuse of “Vital Interest” 1
Taiwan’s Status 1
US & Taiwan Historical Relationship 2
Current State of US Policy 5
Problem Statement 6
Professional Significance 8
CHAPTER 2. LITERATURE REVIEW 11
National Interest 11
National Interest Defined 11
History & Schools of Thought 13
Intensity of National Interests 17
CHAPTER 3. METHODOLOGY 26
Decision Making Models 26
Neuchterlein National Interest Framework 27
Analysis Process 33
National Interest Factors Analysis 33
Questionnaire 34
CHAPTER 4. ANALYSIS 36
Vital National Interest Factors Analysis 36
Proximity of the Danger 36
Nature of the Threat 38
Economic Stake 49
Type of Government Asking for Help 52
Sentimental Attachment of Interest Groups 54
Effect on the Regional Balance of Power 55
National Prestige at Stake 58
Support of Key Allies 59
Economic & Financial Costs 61
Estimated Casualties 65
Risk of Enlarged Conflict 66
Costs of Protracted Conflict 68
Costs of Defeat, or Stalemate 70
Probability of Public Opposition 70
Risk of International Opposition 72
Danger of Congressional Opposition 74
Summary of Vital National Interest Factors Analysis 77
Questionnaire 78
Participants 78
Summary of Questionnaire 78
CHAPTER 5. CONCLUSIONS AND RECOMMENDATIONS 90
Conclusion 90
Recommendations 92
APPENDIX QUESTIONNAIRE 94
BIBLIOGRAPHY 98		zh_TW
dc.format.extent 1849617 bytes-
dc.format.mimetype application/pdf-
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0979240101en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 國家利益zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 緊要利益zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 美國zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 台灣zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) National Interesten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Vital Interesten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) United Statesen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) Taiwanen_US
dc.title (題名) N/Azh_TW
dc.title (題名) United States Vital Interests: Does Taiwan Measure Up?en_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
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