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題名 管理當局預測與權益資金成本關係之研究
On the association between management earning forecast and cost of equity capital
作者 江幸瑾
貢獻者 金成隆
江幸瑾
關鍵詞 自願性盈餘預測
權益資金成本
分析師預測
管理當局聲譽
management earning forecast
cost of equity capital
analyst forecast
management reputation
日期 2010
上傳時間 29-Sep-2011 16:39:12 (UTC+8)
摘要 本研究旨在探討管理當局自願性盈餘預測與權益資金成本之關聯性,檢視管理當局發布盈餘預測頻率之影響是否反應於權益資金成本上,並進一步檢視管理當局之聲譽是否為影響權益資金成本的因素之一。
在本研究的實證分析結果中,發現管理當局發布自願性盈餘預測之頻率與權益資金成本呈顯著負相關,表示管理當局發布盈餘預測的次數越多時,權益資金成本越低。
在管理當局聲譽對於權益資金成本的影響,本研究實證分析結果發現,管理當局之聲譽與權益資金成本亦呈顯著負相關,管理當局聲譽以管理當局預測誤差和分析師預測誤差來衡量,當管理當局的盈餘預測誤差小於分析師盈餘預測誤差時,投資人認為管理當局對盈餘的預測有效且值得信賴,此時管理當局聲譽提高,投資人認為取得有用的資訊,進而降低企業權益資金成本。
The primary objective of this thesis is to explore whether the frequency of management forecasts is related to the cost of equity capital. In addition, I further examine whether the association is stronger when management has better reputation. Basing on a sample of S&P 500 listed firms during 2000-2009, I find that, consistent with my prediction, cost of firm’s equity capital decreases with the frequency of management earning forecasts after controlling for other determinants well-documented to be related to cost of equity capital. Second, I find that cost of equity capital is negatively related to the reputation of management; however, I do not find that the association between cost of equity capital and the frequency of management systematically vary with the reputation of management.
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黃邵彥、吳東憲、鍾宇軒與廖上萱,2009,自願性財務預測、公司治理與權益資金成本,台灣金融財務季刊,第10輯第2期,頁41-66。
陳瑞斌、許崇源,2008,資訊揭露水準對於權益資金成本之影響,東吳經
濟商學學報,第61 期。
廖上萱,2008,自願性財務預測、公司治理與權益資金成本關係之研究,逢甲大 學會計學系碩士班論文。
張瑞當、方俊儒、朱正雄,2007,代理成本對自願性盈餘預測揭露之影響,交大管理學報,27(2),頁 29-53。
許崇源、陳瑞斌,2005,公司治理與權益資金成本之關聯性研究,第三屆管理思維與實務學術研討會論文集,頁20-55。
陳瑞斌,2004,公司治理結構與資訊透明度對於資本市場之影響,國立政治大學會計學系博士論文。
徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學,會計學系碩士論文。
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徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
王佩如,2003,年報環境揭露與合理性理論-以上市公司為例,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。
林欣怡,2003,公司資訊透明度與權益資金成本之關係探討,國立中山大學財務 管理研究所碩士論文。
莊尚志,2003,資訊揭露水準與資金成本關係之實證研究,東吳大學會計學系碩士論文。
徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學,會計學系碩士論文。
李建然與周俊德,2002,管理當局信譽與自願性盈餘預測資訊內涵關係之研究會計評論,第34期(1月):77-99。
邱碧珠,2000,資訊揭露程度與權益資金成本間之關係:我國資訊電子業之關係,國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。
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描述 碩士
國立政治大學
會計研究所
98353057
99
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353057
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 金成隆zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 江幸瑾zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) 江幸瑾zh_TW
dc.date (日期) 2010en_US
dc.date.accessioned 29-Sep-2011 16:39:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 29-Sep-2011 16:39:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 29-Sep-2011 16:39:12 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0098353057en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/50793-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 會計研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98353057zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 99zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本研究旨在探討管理當局自願性盈餘預測與權益資金成本之關聯性,檢視管理當局發布盈餘預測頻率之影響是否反應於權益資金成本上,並進一步檢視管理當局之聲譽是否為影響權益資金成本的因素之一。
在本研究的實證分析結果中,發現管理當局發布自願性盈餘預測之頻率與權益資金成本呈顯著負相關,表示管理當局發布盈餘預測的次數越多時,權益資金成本越低。
在管理當局聲譽對於權益資金成本的影響,本研究實證分析結果發現,管理當局之聲譽與權益資金成本亦呈顯著負相關,管理當局聲譽以管理當局預測誤差和分析師預測誤差來衡量,當管理當局的盈餘預測誤差小於分析師盈餘預測誤差時,投資人認為管理當局對盈餘的預測有效且值得信賴,此時管理當局聲譽提高,投資人認為取得有用的資訊,進而降低企業權益資金成本。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The primary objective of this thesis is to explore whether the frequency of management forecasts is related to the cost of equity capital. In addition, I further examine whether the association is stronger when management has better reputation. Basing on a sample of S&P 500 listed firms during 2000-2009, I find that, consistent with my prediction, cost of firm’s equity capital decreases with the frequency of management earning forecasts after controlling for other determinants well-documented to be related to cost of equity capital. Second, I find that cost of equity capital is negatively related to the reputation of management; however, I do not find that the association between cost of equity capital and the frequency of management systematically vary with the reputation of management.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 壹、緒論 1
第一節、研究動機 1
第二節、研究目的與問題 3
第三節、論文流程 4
第四節、論文架構 5
貳、文獻回顧 6
第一節、管理當局自願性盈餘預測動機 7
第二節、管理當局自願性盈餘預測資訊內涵之研究 10
第三節、管理當局自願性盈餘預測準確度之研究 12
第四節、權益資金成本 14
参、研究方法 16
第一節、研究假說 16
第二節、實證模型之發展 19
第三節、觀念性架構 30
第四節、樣本選取與資料蒐集 32
第五節、分析方法與實證設計 36
肆、實證結果分析 38
第一節、敘述性統計分析 38
第二節、迴歸分析結果 43
第三節、其他測試 47
第四節、研究結論 53
第五節、建議與研究限制 54
參考文獻 55
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098353057en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 自願性盈餘預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 權益資金成本zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 分析師預測zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 管理當局聲譽zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) management earning forecasten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) cost of equity capitalen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) analyst forecasten_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) management reputationen_US
dc.title (題名) 管理當局預測與權益資金成本關係之研究zh_TW
dc.title (題名) On the association between management earning forecast and cost of equity capitalen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 一、中文資料zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 黃邵彥、吳東憲、鍾宇軒與廖上萱,2009,自願性財務預測、公司治理與權益資金成本,台灣金融財務季刊,第10輯第2期,頁41-66。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳瑞斌、許崇源,2008,資訊揭露水準對於權益資金成本之影響,東吳經zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 濟商學學報,第61 期。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 廖上萱,2008,自願性財務預測、公司治理與權益資金成本關係之研究,逢甲大 學會計學系碩士班論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 張瑞當、方俊儒、朱正雄,2007,代理成本對自願性盈餘預測揭露之影響,交大管理學報,27(2),頁 29-53。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許崇源、陳瑞斌,2005,公司治理與權益資金成本之關聯性研究,第三屆管理思維與實務學術研討會論文集,頁20-55。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 陳瑞斌,2004,公司治理結構與資訊透明度對於資本市場之影響,國立政治大學會計學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學,會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 汪健全,2004,台灣地區影響財務分析師盈餘預估準確度因素之實證研究,國立台灣大學商學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 王佩如,2003,年報環境揭露與合理性理論-以上市公司為例,國立政治大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 林欣怡,2003,公司資訊透明度與權益資金成本之關係探討,國立中山大學財務 管理研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 莊尚志,2003,資訊揭露水準與資金成本關係之實證研究,東吳大學會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 徐裕欽,2004,我國上市公司董監事會特性與權益資成本關聯性之研究,國立政治大學,會計學系碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李建然與周俊德,2002,管理當局信譽與自願性盈餘預測資訊內涵關係之研究會計評論,第34期(1月):77-99。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 邱碧珠,2000,資訊揭露程度與權益資金成本間之關係:我國資訊電子業之關係,國立台灣大學會計學研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 金志遠,1999,董事會特性與年報自願性揭露關係之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 許盟,1999,我國董事會結構與自願性盈餘預測行為之研究,國立政治大學會計研究所碩士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 李建然,1997,影響台灣上市公司自願性盈餘預測行為之研究,國立政治 大學會計學系博士論文。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 宋義德,1995,管理當局自願性財務預測準確性與資訊內涵之研究,國立政治大學會計研究碩士論文zh_TW
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