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題名 住宅品質變化對房價指數之影響-新推個案 vs. 中古屋
Housing quality change on price indexes: new housing projects vs. existing housing cases
作者 陳相甫
Chen, Hsiang Fu
貢獻者 張金鶚<br>江穎慧
Chang,Chin Oh<br>Chiang,Ying Hui
陳相甫
Chen, Hsiang Fu
關鍵詞 房價指數
住宅品質
特徵價格
housing price index
housing quality
hedonic price
日期 2010
上傳時間 5-Oct-2011 14:47:17 (UTC+8)
摘要 過往研究編製房價指數時多在品質固定或控制下,觀察房價的波動趨勢,對於住宅品質的改變如何影響房價則少有說明。而住宅品質為生活品質的一部分,亦為購屋者消費或投資時所關心,然住宅價格與品質間存在何種關係並不清楚,若認為高價格的住宅即代表高品質,則可能存在做出錯誤決策的風險。
本研究利用特徵價格法,探討台北市與台北縣於2000年至2009年間,新推個案與中古屋交易市場住宅品質的改變與房價關係。實證結果發現台北市的標準住宅的品質因改變程度較新北市小,故其對房價指數的波動不如在新北市中明顯。另外,台北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件無明顯衰退之情形,產品品質亦無明顯的提升;新北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件皆呈現衰退現象,但新推個案的產品品質則有提升趨勢,而中古屋住宅則是下降的趨勢。
最後,分析住宅價格與品質間的相關性,實證結果發現,新北市的新推個案住宅與台北市的中古屋住宅存在正相關,顯示在此兩種次市場中,支出更多價格購屋亦獲得更好的住宅品質。
Most of the existing housing price indexes empirical studies are under quality-constant or quality-control, because housing quality change is difficult to measure. In these cases, one does not concerned about that price index, if one interested in consumption or investment.
We use hedonic price model discusses the relationship of housing price and housing quality about new housing projects and transacted house during 2000 and 2009 in Taipei City and New-Taipei City. The empirical results show that due to degree of change in housing quality of representative house in Taipei City smaller than in New-Taipei City, so the volatility of the price index was significantly better in New-Taipei City.
In addition, the Taipei City housing “location condition” no recession , and no obvious improvement of “structural quality”; New housing projects and transacted house in New-Taipei City, respectively, increase and decline, but the location condition are present recession.
Furthermore, we find that there is positive correlation between housing price and quality in Taipei City’s transacted house market and New-Taipei City’s new housing projects market. In these two sub-markets, consumer spending more housing prices and get better housing quality.
參考文獻 1. 林秋瑾,1994,『穩健性特徵房屋價格模式之探討--異常點分析』,行政院國家科學委員會。
2. 林秋瑾,2004,『住宅價格指數編定之研究』,行政院經建會研究計畫。
3. 林祖嘉、林素菁,2010,「台灣地區月房價指數的建立」,『中華民國住宅學會第十九屆年會論文集』。
4. 林惠玲、陳正倉,2009,『應用統計學』,雙葉書廊。
5. 張金鶚,1995,『台灣地區住宅價格指數之研究』,行政院經建會研究計畫。
6. 張金鶚,2003,『房地產投資與市場分析--理論與實務』,台北市: 張金鶚。
7. 張金鶚、楊宗憲、洪御仁,2008,「中古屋及預售屋房價指數之建立、評估與整合--台北市之實證分析」,『住宅學報』,17(2):13-34。
8. 陳建仁、張金鶚,1992,「台北都會區住宅品質標準之研究」,『建築學報』,7:21-38。
9. 曾善霞、張金鶚,1991,「臺北市住宅品質指標之研究」,『都市與計劃』,18(1):83-106。
10. 劉秀玲、張金鶚,1993,「房地產品質、價格與消費者物價指數之探討」,『國立政治大學學報』,67(2):369-400。
11. 賴美蓉,2003,「台灣三大都市住宅品質之分析」,『台灣土地金融季刊』,40(1):23-45。
12. Adair, A., McGreal, S., Smyth, A., Cooper, J., & Ryley, T., 2000, “House Prices and Accessibility: The Testing of Relationships Within The Belfast Urban Area”, Housing Studies, 15(5): 699-716.
13. Bailey, M. J., Muth, R. F., & Nourse, H. O., 1963, “A Regression Method for Real-Estate Price-Index Construction”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58(304): 933-&.
14. Bourassa, S. C., Hoesli, M., & Sun, J., 2006, “A simple alternative house price index method”, Journal of Housing Economics, 15(1): 80-97.
15. Boyle, P. J., & Lathrop, E. S., 2009, “Are Consumers` Perceptions of Price-Quality Relationships Well Calibrated?”, International Journal of Consumer Studies, 33(1): 58-63.
16. Crone, T. M., Nakamura, L. I., & Voith, R., 2009, “Price and Productivity Measurement: Volume 1 -- Housing”, Trafford Press.
17. Epple, D., 1987, “Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets - Estimating Demand and Supply Functions for Differentiated Products”, Journal of Political Economy, 95(1): 59-80.
18. Evans, G. W., 2003, “The built environment and mental health”, Journal of Urban Health-Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, 80(4): 536-555.
19. Follain, J. R., & Malpezzi, S., 1980, “Dissecting housing value and rent: Estimates of hedonic indexes for thirty-nine large SMSAs”, Washington, D.C: Urban Institute.
20. Gavett, T. W., 1967, “Quality and A Pure Price Index”, Monthly Labor Review, 90(3): 16-20.
21. Griliches, Z., 1971, “In Price Indexes and Quality Change”, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.
22. Hansen, J., 2009, “Australian House Prices: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-Sales Measures”, Economic Record, 85(269): 132-145.
23. Hjorth-Andersen, C., 1984, “The Concept of Quality and The Efficiency of Markets for Consumer Products”, Journal of Consumer Research, 11(2): 708-718.
24. Hwang, M., & Quigley, J. M., 2004, “Selectivity, quality adjustment and mean reversion in the measurement of house values”, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 28(2-3): 161-178.
25. Lancaster, K. J., 1966, “A New Approach to Consumer Theory”, Journal of Political Economy, 74(2): 132-157.
26. Lichtenstein, D. R., & Burton, S., 1989, “The Relationship Between Perceived and Objective Price-Quality”, Journal of Marketing Research, 26(4): 429-443.
27. Mulder, C. H., 2007, “The family context and residential choice: A challenge for new research”, Population Space and Place, 13(4): 265-278.
28. Ortuzar-Gana, J. C., & Alfranca-Burriel, O., 2010, “Current and Regular Prices Hedonic Models for The Wine Industry”, Spanish Journal of Agricultural Research, 8(4): 873-886.
29. Rosen, S., 1974, “Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition”, Journal of Political Economy, 82: 35-55.
30. Sirmans, G. S., Macpherson, D. A., & Zietz, E. N., 2005, “The Composition of Hedonic Pricing Models”, Journal of Real Estate Literature, 13(1): 3-43.
31. Smits, A., & Michielin, F., 2010, “Housing Values of Adult Children and their Parents. Is the Quality of Housing Transmitted between Generations? ”, Housing Studies, 25(4): 463-481.
32. Stengos, T., & Zacharias, E., 2006, “Intertemporal Pricing and Price Discrimination: A semiparametric Hedonic Analysis of The Personal Computer Market”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21(3): 371-386.
33. Thibodeau, T. G., 1995, “House price indices from the 1984-1992 MSA American housing surveys”, Journal of Housing Research, 6(3): 439-481.
34. Triplett, J. E., 1969, “Automobiles and Hedonic Quality Measurement”, Journal of Political Economy, 77(3): 408-417.
35. Wallace, N. E., 1996, “Hedonic-Based Price Indexes For Housing: Theory, Estimation and Index Construction”, Economic Review, 34-48.
36. Zabel, J. E., 1999, “Controlling for quality in house price indices”, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 19(3): 223-241.
37. 清水千弘,2007,「住宅関連情報の整備と消費者保護」,『季刊住宅金融』,2:18-27。
38. 清水千弘、唐渡広志,2007,『不動産市場の計量経済分析』,朝倉書店。
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
地政研究所
98257017
99
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098257017
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 張金鶚<br>江穎慧zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chang,Chin Oh<br>Chiang,Ying Huien_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 陳相甫zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Chen, Hsiang Fuen_US
dc.creator (作者) 陳相甫zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Chen, Hsiang Fuen_US
dc.date (日期) 2010en_US
dc.date.accessioned 5-Oct-2011 14:47:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 5-Oct-2011 14:47:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 5-Oct-2011 14:47:17 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0098257017en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/51374-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 地政研究所zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98257017zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 99zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 過往研究編製房價指數時多在品質固定或控制下,觀察房價的波動趨勢,對於住宅品質的改變如何影響房價則少有說明。而住宅品質為生活品質的一部分,亦為購屋者消費或投資時所關心,然住宅價格與品質間存在何種關係並不清楚,若認為高價格的住宅即代表高品質,則可能存在做出錯誤決策的風險。
本研究利用特徵價格法,探討台北市與台北縣於2000年至2009年間,新推個案與中古屋交易市場住宅品質的改變與房價關係。實證結果發現台北市的標準住宅的品質因改變程度較新北市小,故其對房價指數的波動不如在新北市中明顯。另外,台北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件無明顯衰退之情形,產品品質亦無明顯的提升;新北市新推個案與中古屋住宅的區位條件皆呈現衰退現象,但新推個案的產品品質則有提升趨勢,而中古屋住宅則是下降的趨勢。
最後,分析住宅價格與品質間的相關性,實證結果發現,新北市的新推個案住宅與台北市的中古屋住宅存在正相關,顯示在此兩種次市場中,支出更多價格購屋亦獲得更好的住宅品質。
zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Most of the existing housing price indexes empirical studies are under quality-constant or quality-control, because housing quality change is difficult to measure. In these cases, one does not concerned about that price index, if one interested in consumption or investment.
We use hedonic price model discusses the relationship of housing price and housing quality about new housing projects and transacted house during 2000 and 2009 in Taipei City and New-Taipei City. The empirical results show that due to degree of change in housing quality of representative house in Taipei City smaller than in New-Taipei City, so the volatility of the price index was significantly better in New-Taipei City.
In addition, the Taipei City housing “location condition” no recession , and no obvious improvement of “structural quality”; New housing projects and transacted house in New-Taipei City, respectively, increase and decline, but the location condition are present recession.
Furthermore, we find that there is positive correlation between housing price and quality in Taipei City’s transacted house market and New-Taipei City’s new housing projects market. In these two sub-markets, consumer spending more housing prices and get better housing quality.
en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents 第一章 緒論 1
第一節 研究動機與目的 1
第二節 研究問題與方法 4
第三節 研究範圍 6
第四節 研究架構與流程 7
第二章 相關理論與文獻回顧 9
第一節 價格與品質關係相關文獻 9
第二節 住宅品質相關文獻 10
第三節 特徵價格理論 12
第四節 房價指數與住宅數量指數 14
第五節 小結 17
第三章 資料處理與分析 18
第一節 資料來源與篩選 18
第二節 敘述統計與分析 19
第四章 模型建立與實證結果分析 25
第一節 模型設定 25
第二節 變數選取 27
第三節 實證結果分析 34
第五章 結論與建議 53
第一節 結論 53
第二節 建議 55
參考文獻 56
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0098257017en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 房價指數zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 住宅品質zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 特徵價格zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) housing price indexen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) housing qualityen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) hedonic priceen_US
dc.title (題名) 住宅品質變化對房價指數之影響-新推個案 vs. 中古屋zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Housing quality change on price indexes: new housing projects vs. existing housing casesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 1. 林秋瑾,1994,『穩健性特徵房屋價格模式之探討--異常點分析』,行政院國家科學委員會。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 2. 林秋瑾,2004,『住宅價格指數編定之研究』,行政院經建會研究計畫。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 3. 林祖嘉、林素菁,2010,「台灣地區月房價指數的建立」,『中華民國住宅學會第十九屆年會論文集』。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 4. 林惠玲、陳正倉,2009,『應用統計學』,雙葉書廊。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 5. 張金鶚,1995,『台灣地區住宅價格指數之研究』,行政院經建會研究計畫。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 6. 張金鶚,2003,『房地產投資與市場分析--理論與實務』,台北市: 張金鶚。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 7. 張金鶚、楊宗憲、洪御仁,2008,「中古屋及預售屋房價指數之建立、評估與整合--台北市之實證分析」,『住宅學報』,17(2):13-34。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 8. 陳建仁、張金鶚,1992,「台北都會區住宅品質標準之研究」,『建築學報』,7:21-38。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 9. 曾善霞、張金鶚,1991,「臺北市住宅品質指標之研究」,『都市與計劃』,18(1):83-106。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 10. 劉秀玲、張金鶚,1993,「房地產品質、價格與消費者物價指數之探討」,『國立政治大學學報』,67(2):369-400。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 11. 賴美蓉,2003,「台灣三大都市住宅品質之分析」,『台灣土地金融季刊』,40(1):23-45。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 12. Adair, A., McGreal, S., Smyth, A., Cooper, J., & Ryley, T., 2000, “House Prices and Accessibility: The Testing of Relationships Within The Belfast Urban Area”, Housing Studies, 15(5): 699-716.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 13. Bailey, M. J., Muth, R. F., & Nourse, H. O., 1963, “A Regression Method for Real-Estate Price-Index Construction”, Journal of the American Statistical Association, 58(304): 933-&.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 14. Bourassa, S. C., Hoesli, M., & Sun, J., 2006, “A simple alternative house price index method”, Journal of Housing Economics, 15(1): 80-97.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 15. Boyle, P. J., & Lathrop, E. S., 2009, “Are Consumers` Perceptions of Price-Quality Relationships Well Calibrated?”, International Journal of Consumer Studies, 33(1): 58-63.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 16. Crone, T. M., Nakamura, L. I., & Voith, R., 2009, “Price and Productivity Measurement: Volume 1 -- Housing”, Trafford Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 17. Epple, D., 1987, “Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets - Estimating Demand and Supply Functions for Differentiated Products”, Journal of Political Economy, 95(1): 59-80.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 18. Evans, G. W., 2003, “The built environment and mental health”, Journal of Urban Health-Bulletin of the New York Academy of Medicine, 80(4): 536-555.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 19. Follain, J. R., & Malpezzi, S., 1980, “Dissecting housing value and rent: Estimates of hedonic indexes for thirty-nine large SMSAs”, Washington, D.C: Urban Institute.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 20. Gavett, T. W., 1967, “Quality and A Pure Price Index”, Monthly Labor Review, 90(3): 16-20.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 21. Griliches, Z., 1971, “In Price Indexes and Quality Change”, Cambridge: Harvard University Press.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 22. Hansen, J., 2009, “Australian House Prices: A Comparison of Hedonic and Repeat-Sales Measures”, Economic Record, 85(269): 132-145.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 23. Hjorth-Andersen, C., 1984, “The Concept of Quality and The Efficiency of Markets for Consumer Products”, Journal of Consumer Research, 11(2): 708-718.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 24. Hwang, M., & Quigley, J. M., 2004, “Selectivity, quality adjustment and mean reversion in the measurement of house values”, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 28(2-3): 161-178.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 25. Lancaster, K. J., 1966, “A New Approach to Consumer Theory”, Journal of Political Economy, 74(2): 132-157.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 26. Lichtenstein, D. R., & Burton, S., 1989, “The Relationship Between Perceived and Objective Price-Quality”, Journal of Marketing Research, 26(4): 429-443.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 27. Mulder, C. H., 2007, “The family context and residential choice: A challenge for new research”, Population Space and Place, 13(4): 265-278.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 28. Ortuzar-Gana, J. C., & Alfranca-Burriel, O., 2010, “Current and Regular Prices Hedonic Models for The Wine Industry”, Spanish Journal of Agricultural Research, 8(4): 873-886.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 29. Rosen, S., 1974, “Hedonic Prices and Implicit Markets: Product Differentiation in Pure Competition”, Journal of Political Economy, 82: 35-55.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 30. Sirmans, G. S., Macpherson, D. A., & Zietz, E. N., 2005, “The Composition of Hedonic Pricing Models”, Journal of Real Estate Literature, 13(1): 3-43.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 31. Smits, A., & Michielin, F., 2010, “Housing Values of Adult Children and their Parents. Is the Quality of Housing Transmitted between Generations? ”, Housing Studies, 25(4): 463-481.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 32. Stengos, T., & Zacharias, E., 2006, “Intertemporal Pricing and Price Discrimination: A semiparametric Hedonic Analysis of The Personal Computer Market”, Journal of Applied Econometrics, 21(3): 371-386.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 33. Thibodeau, T. G., 1995, “House price indices from the 1984-1992 MSA American housing surveys”, Journal of Housing Research, 6(3): 439-481.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 34. Triplett, J. E., 1969, “Automobiles and Hedonic Quality Measurement”, Journal of Political Economy, 77(3): 408-417.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 35. Wallace, N. E., 1996, “Hedonic-Based Price Indexes For Housing: Theory, Estimation and Index Construction”, Economic Review, 34-48.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 36. Zabel, J. E., 1999, “Controlling for quality in house price indices”, Journal of Real Estate Finance and Economics, 19(3): 223-241.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 37. 清水千弘,2007,「住宅関連情報の整備と消費者保護」,『季刊住宅金融』,2:18-27。zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 38. 清水千弘、唐渡広志,2007,『不動産市場の計量経済分析』,朝倉書店。zh_TW