學術產出-Theses

Article View/Open

Publication Export

Google ScholarTM

政大圖書館

Citation Infomation

  • No doi shows Citation Infomation
題名 台灣信用管道與最適貨幣政策之探討
The credit channel and optimal monetary policy: the case of Taiwan
作者 何佩螢
Ho, Pei Ying
貢獻者 黃俞寧博士
Hwang, Yu Ning
何佩螢
Ho, Pei Ying
關鍵詞 DSGE
貨幣政策
銀行
信用管道
DSGE
monetary policy
banking sector
credit channel
日期 2009
上傳時間 11-Oct-2011 17:02:43 (UTC+8)
摘要 本文研究目的是在動態隨機一般均衡模型當中,加入銀行體系,並以台灣的參數值加以模擬,進一步討論台灣的最適貨幣政策。首先以均衡解進行分析,討論銀行體系如何影響台灣的經濟體,另外,本文探討四種貨幣政策,包含貨幣總數法則,利率法則,其中利率法則包含三種目標:CPI膨脹率目標、國內商品物價膨脹目標及名目匯率目標,模擬結果發現央行使用貨幣總數法則對經濟體的福利大於其他法則,且有助於穩定產出、物價、匯率的波動,另外,提高資本的移動程度以及提高貿易開放程度並不會改變政策福利排序的結果。
The objective of this paper is to investigate the optimal monetary policy of Taiwan by using a micro-based dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with the banking sector. The results of steady state show that how the banking sector affects the Taiwanese economy. Furthermore, comparing the performance of alternative monetary policies, the monetary aggregate growth rate rule leads to the highest welfare and lowest volatility of output, inflation rates and exchange rate. It may be the optimal monetary policy of Taiwan. Also, with high degree of capital market friction and highly open market, the rank of these rules is the same.
參考文獻 Reference
Bergin, P. R., H. C. Shinc and I. Tchakarov (2007). Does exchange rate variability matter for welfare? A quantitative investigation of stabilization policies. European Economic Review, 51(4), 1041-1058.
Bernanke, B. and A. Blinder (1988). Credit, money, and aggregate demand. The American Economic Review, 78(2), 435-439.
Bernanke, B. and M. Gertler (1995). Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 27-48.
Calvo, G. (1983). Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12(3), 383-398.
Campbell, J. Y. (1998). Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle. NBER Working Papers (6485).
Chang, J. C. (2008). The credit channel of monetary transmission in a small open economy. International Economic Journal, 22(2), 215-230.
Chen, S. S. and T. M. Wu (2010). Assessing Monetary Policy in Taiwan. Academia Economic Papers, 38(1), 33-59.
Claus, I. (2007). The effects of bank lending in an open economy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(5), 1213-1243.
Devereux, M. B., P. R. Lane and J. Xu (2006). Exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies. The Economic Journal, 116(511), 478–506.
Edwrds, S and C. A. Végh (1997). Banks and Macroeconomic Disturbances Under Predetermined Exchange Rates. Journal of Monetary Economics, 40(2), 239-278.
Goodfriend, M. and B.T. McCallum (2007). Banking and interest rate in monetary policy analysis: a quantitative exploration. Journal of Monetary Economics,
31
54(5), 1480-1507.
Hou, D. C. (2005). The monetary policy of open economy: the empirical analysis of Taiwan. Central Bank Review, 27(2), 23-38. (in traditional Chinese)
Hsu, C. M. (1999). Interest rate rule? or monetary aggregate rule? Evaluation of Taiwanese monetary policy. (Report No. NSC 88-2415-H-002-029). Taipei: National Science Council. (in traditional Chinese)
Hwang, Y. N. and F. M. Yang (2009). The credit channel of monetary policy and exchange rate flexibility in a small open economy. Master’s thesis, University of Chengchi, Taipei, Taiwan.
Kollmann, R. (2002). Monetary policy rules in the open economy: effects on welfare and business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(5), 989-1015.
Lane, P. and G. Milesi-Ferretti (2001). Long term capital movements. NBER Working Papers (8366).
Mishkin, F. S. (1995). Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 3-10.
Mishkin, F. S. (2001). The Transmission Mechanism and the Role of Asset Prices in Monetary Policy. NBER Working Paper, 8617.
Schmitt-Grohé, S. and M. Uribe (2007). Optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal rules. Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(6), 1702-1725.
Taylor, L. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. 39(1), 195-214.
Teo, W. L. (2009). Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Taiwanese Economy. Pacific Economic Review, 14(2), 194-231.
Teo, W. L. (2010, March). Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy New Keynesian model with inventory investment: the Case of Taiwan. Paper presented at the meeting of The 2010 Taipei Conference on DSGE Modeling and Monetary Policy, Taipei, Taiwan.
32
The central bank of China (Taiwan). (2006). Purpose and Function of CBC. Taipei, Taiwan: The central bank of China (Taiwan).
Wang, J. N. and G. H. Li (2004). The empirical analysis of monetary policy and transmission mechanism. Central Bank Review, 26(3), 17-56. (in traditional Chinese)
Wu, C. S. and L. S. Chen (2004, June). The credit channel of Taiwanese macroeconomy. Paper presented at the meeting of Asian Pacific Conference, Taipei, Taiwan. (in traditional Chinese)
Wu, Y. J. (2004). The empirical analysis of monetary policy and transmission mechanism. Central Bank Review, 26(4), 33-60. (in traditional Chinese)
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
97258023
98
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097258023
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 黃俞寧博士zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Hwang, Yu Ningen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 何佩螢zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Ho, Pei Yingen_US
dc.creator (作者) 何佩螢zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Ho, Pei Yingen_US
dc.date (日期) 2009en_US
dc.date.accessioned 11-Oct-2011 17:02:43 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 11-Oct-2011 17:02:43 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 11-Oct-2011 17:02:43 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0097258023en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/51623-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 97258023zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 98zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) 本文研究目的是在動態隨機一般均衡模型當中,加入銀行體系,並以台灣的參數值加以模擬,進一步討論台灣的最適貨幣政策。首先以均衡解進行分析,討論銀行體系如何影響台灣的經濟體,另外,本文探討四種貨幣政策,包含貨幣總數法則,利率法則,其中利率法則包含三種目標:CPI膨脹率目標、國內商品物價膨脹目標及名目匯率目標,模擬結果發現央行使用貨幣總數法則對經濟體的福利大於其他法則,且有助於穩定產出、物價、匯率的波動,另外,提高資本的移動程度以及提高貿易開放程度並不會改變政策福利排序的結果。zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) The objective of this paper is to investigate the optimal monetary policy of Taiwan by using a micro-based dynamic stochastic general equilibrium (DSGE) model with the banking sector. The results of steady state show that how the banking sector affects the Taiwanese economy. Furthermore, comparing the performance of alternative monetary policies, the monetary aggregate growth rate rule leads to the highest welfare and lowest volatility of output, inflation rates and exchange rate. It may be the optimal monetary policy of Taiwan. Also, with high degree of capital market friction and highly open market, the rank of these rules is the same.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents Contents
1. Introduction ................................................................................................... 1
1.1. Motivation .................................................................................................. 1
1.2. Literature review ........................................................................................ 4
2. The model ..................................................................................................... 6
2.1. Goods market ............................................................................................. 6
2.2. Household problem .................................................................................... 8
2.3. Bank ......................................................................................................... 10
2.4. Government.............................................................................................. 11
2.5. The First-order condition ......................................................................... 12
2.6. Exogenous variables ................................................................................ 13
2.7. Policy ....................................................................................................... 14
3. Interest rates ................................................................................................ 15
3.1. Interest rates relationship ......................................................................... 15
3.2. External finance premium ........................................................................ 17
4. Steady-state ................................................................................................. 18
4.1. Steady-state solution ................................................................................ 18
4.2. Parameterization and Calibration ............................................................. 19
4.3. Steady-state analysis ................................................................................ 20
5. Linearization ............................................................................................... 22
5.1. Nominal rigidity ....................................................................................... 22
5.2. Linearization ............................................................................................ 22
6. Welfare analysis .......................................................................................... 25
6.1. Welfare criterion ...................................................................................... 26
6.2. Welfare analysis ....................................................................................... 26
6.3. Sensitivity analysis.................................................................................... 27
6.3.1. Degree of capital mobility ..................................................................... 27
6.3.2. Degree of trade openness ...................................................................... 28
7. Conclusion .................................................................................................. 29
Reference ........................................................................................................ 30
Appendix ........................................................................................................ 33
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0097258023en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) DSGEzh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 貨幣政策zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 銀行zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 信用管道zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) DSGEen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) monetary policyen_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) banking sectoren_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) credit channelen_US
dc.title (題名) 台灣信用管道與最適貨幣政策之探討zh_TW
dc.title (題名) The credit channel and optimal monetary policy: the case of Taiwanen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Referencezh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bergin, P. R., H. C. Shinc and I. Tchakarov (2007). Does exchange rate variability matter for welfare? A quantitative investigation of stabilization policies. European Economic Review, 51(4), 1041-1058.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. and A. Blinder (1988). Credit, money, and aggregate demand. The American Economic Review, 78(2), 435-439.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bernanke, B. and M. Gertler (1995). Inside the black box: the credit channel of monetary policy transmission. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 27-48.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Calvo, G. (1983). Staggered prices in a utility-maximizing framework. Journal of Monetary Economics, 12(3), 383-398.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Campbell, J. Y. (1998). Asset Prices, Consumption, and the Business Cycle. NBER Working Papers (6485).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chang, J. C. (2008). The credit channel of monetary transmission in a small open economy. International Economic Journal, 22(2), 215-230.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Chen, S. S. and T. M. Wu (2010). Assessing Monetary Policy in Taiwan. Academia Economic Papers, 38(1), 33-59.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Claus, I. (2007). The effects of bank lending in an open economy. Journal of Money, Credit and Banking, 39(5), 1213-1243.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Devereux, M. B., P. R. Lane and J. Xu (2006). Exchange rates and monetary policy in emerging market economies. The Economic Journal, 116(511), 478–506.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Edwrds, S and C. A. Végh (1997). Banks and Macroeconomic Disturbances Under Predetermined Exchange Rates. Journal of Monetary Economics, 40(2), 239-278.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Goodfriend, M. and B.T. McCallum (2007). Banking and interest rate in monetary policy analysis: a quantitative exploration. Journal of Monetary Economics,zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 31zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 54(5), 1480-1507.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hou, D. C. (2005). The monetary policy of open economy: the empirical analysis of Taiwan. Central Bank Review, 27(2), 23-38. (in traditional Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hsu, C. M. (1999). Interest rate rule? or monetary aggregate rule? Evaluation of Taiwanese monetary policy. (Report No. NSC 88-2415-H-002-029). Taipei: National Science Council. (in traditional Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Hwang, Y. N. and F. M. Yang (2009). The credit channel of monetary policy and exchange rate flexibility in a small open economy. Master’s thesis, University of Chengchi, Taipei, Taiwan.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Kollmann, R. (2002). Monetary policy rules in the open economy: effects on welfare and business cycles. Journal of Monetary Economics, 49(5), 989-1015.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Lane, P. and G. Milesi-Ferretti (2001). Long term capital movements. NBER Working Papers (8366).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mishkin, F. S. (1995). Symposium on the Monetary Transmission Mechanism. Journal of Economic Perspectives, 9(4), 3-10.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Mishkin, F. S. (2001). The Transmission Mechanism and the Role of Asset Prices in Monetary Policy. NBER Working Paper, 8617.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Schmitt-Grohé, S. and M. Uribe (2007). Optimal simple and implementable monetary and fiscal rules. Journal of Monetary Economics, 54(6), 1702-1725.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Taylor, L. B. (1993). Discretion versus policy rules in practice. Carnegie-Rochester Conference Series on Public Policy. 39(1), 195-214.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Teo, W. L. (2009). Estimated Dynamic Stochastic General Equilibrium Model of the Taiwanese Economy. Pacific Economic Review, 14(2), 194-231.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Teo, W. L. (2010, March). Optimal monetary policy in a small open economy New Keynesian model with inventory investment: the Case of Taiwan. Paper presented at the meeting of The 2010 Taipei Conference on DSGE Modeling and Monetary Policy, Taipei, Taiwan.zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) 32zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) The central bank of China (Taiwan). (2006). Purpose and Function of CBC. Taipei, Taiwan: The central bank of China (Taiwan).zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wang, J. N. and G. H. Li (2004). The empirical analysis of monetary policy and transmission mechanism. Central Bank Review, 26(3), 17-56. (in traditional Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wu, C. S. and L. S. Chen (2004, June). The credit channel of Taiwanese macroeconomy. Paper presented at the meeting of Asian Pacific Conference, Taipei, Taiwan. (in traditional Chinese)zh_TW
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Wu, Y. J. (2004). The empirical analysis of monetary policy and transmission mechanism. Central Bank Review, 26(4), 33-60. (in traditional Chinese)zh_TW