| dc.contributor.advisor | 冷則剛 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.advisor | Leng, Tse Kang | en_US |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 邱建凱 | zh_TW |
| dc.contributor.author (Authors) | Chiou, Chien Kai | en_US |
| dc.creator (作者) | 邱建凱 | zh_TW |
| dc.creator (作者) | Chiou, Chien Kai | en_US |
| dc.date (日期) | 2011 | en_US |
| dc.date.accessioned | 17-Apr-2012 09:13:17 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.available | 17-Apr-2012 09:13:17 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 17-Apr-2012 09:13:17 (UTC+8) | - |
| dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0094933021 | en_US |
| dc.identifier.uri (URI) | https://ah.lib.nccu.edu.tw/item?item_id=60165 | - |
| dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 國際經營管理英語碩士學位學程(IMBA) | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 94933021 | zh_TW |
| dc.description (描述) | 100 | zh_TW |
| dc.description.abstract (摘要) | WMD (weapons of mass destruction) proliferation and nuclear terrorism are the gravest dangers that the world faces. The international society established counter proliferation regimes and export control systems to prevent the proliferators from acquiring WMD and the related commodities that can be used in producing the weapons. However, there are limitations in export control systems. The trade security and facilitation should be both considered, while the proliferators attempt to establish procurement networks to circumvent export control systems and globalization has introduced challenges from the emergence of increasing number of global corpora¬tions and increasing volume of dual-use trade. By using the data mining tool of link analysis, the thesis attempts to develop a methodology to increase the coerciveness and accuracy of detecting problematic shipments from ordinary export activities in order to improve the export control management. From the research, it suggests that data mining is a feasible solution to improve the effectiveness and efficiency of export control. It can be used for discovering entities with not only explicit but also implicit proliferation concerns from a large quantity of datasets and increase the cost and difficulties of circumventing export control so that the proliferation activities are to be contained or hindered. Based on the findings, the thesis established an export control management model with data-mining solutions. | en_US |
| dc.description.tableofcontents | Acknowledgements ii\nAbstract iii\nTABLE OF CONTENTS iv\nTABLE OF FIGURES vi\n1. Introduction 1\n1.1. Why is Export Control Important? 1\n1.2. Taiwan’s Obligations on International Export Control 2\n1.3. The Need to Improve Export Control Management 3\n1.4. US Example to Reform Export Control Mechanism 4\n1.5. The Proposed Management Model for Taiwan Export Control 5\n1.6. Literature Review 6\n1.6.1. Export Controls in Public and Private Sectors 6\n1.6.2. Categories of Data Mining Technologies 8\n1.6.3. Gaps of Current Methods 9\n1.7. The Utility of the Research 10\n1.8. Purpose of Research 12\n1.9. Research Questions 13\n1.10. Overview 13\n2. The Proliferation Network 15\n2.1. The Nuclear Proliferation Network: Potential Sources of Nuclear Terrorism 15\n2.1.1. Russia 16\n2.1.2. Pakistan 17\n2.1.3. Libya 18\n2.1.4. Iran 19\n2.1.5. North Korea 20\n2.2. Nuclear Black Market 22\n2.3. Types of Networks 23\n3. Evaluation of Export Control System 26\n3.1. What Are Export Controls? 26\n3.2. Key Elements of Export Control System 27\n3.3. Taiwan Export Control Mechanism 30\n3.3.1. Bureaucratic Process 31\n3.3.2. Control list 31\n3.3.3. Licensing System 31\n3.3.4. Customs Authority 32\n3.3.5. Verification 32\n3.3.6. Penalties 32\n3.4. Information Sharing-US Example 33\n3.5. Export Control Challenges 34\n4. Data Mining Solution 36\n4.1. What is Data Mining? 36\n4.2. Evaluation of Current Data Mining Technologies 37\n4.2.1. Link Analysis 37\n4.2.2. Landscape Visualization Tools 38\n4.2.3. Quantitative Data Mining Tools 38\n4.3. Selection of a Proper Tool 38\n4.4. Sample Case--A. Q. Khan Proliferation Networks 39\n4.5. Implementing Data Mining Solution to Export Control 41\n4.5.1. Defining the Problem to Be Solved 41\n4.5.2. Accessing and Preparing the Data 41\n4.5.3. Defining Entities and Linkages 41\n4.5.4. Data Processing 44\n4.5.5. Link Analysis 46\n5. Findings and Discussions 56\n5.1. Estimate of Proliferation Situation 57\n5.2. Evaluation of Export Control System 57\n5.3. Selecting Link Analysis as the Research Method 58\n5.4. Results of Analyzing Simulated Datasets 58\n5.5. Export Control Management Model 61\n6. Recommendations 65\nBibliography 66\nAppendix 1 Related Articles under the Foreign Trade Act 70 | zh_TW |
| dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
| dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0094933021 | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 反武器擴散 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 資料採礦 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 戰略性高科技貨品 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 出口管制 | zh_TW |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Counter Proliferation | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Data Mining | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Strategic High-Tech Commodities | en_US |
| dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Control Management | en_US |
| dc.title (題名) | 反武器擴散:資料採礦技術於我國戰略性高科技貨品出口管制之應用 | zh_TW |
| dc.title (題名) | Counter proliferation: the application of data mining technologies in Taiwan strategic high-tech commodities export control management | en_US |
| dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Albright, David and Corey Hinderstein. \"Unraveling the A. Q. Khan and Future Proliferation Networks.\" THE WASHINGTON QUARTERLY 28:2, (SPRING 2005): 111-128. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Arquilla, John, David F. Ronfeldt, United States, Dept. of Defense, and Office of the Secretary of Defense. Networks and Netwars: The Future of Terror, Crime, and Militancy. MR / Rand Corporation; MR-1382-OSD; Variation: MR (Series); MR-1382-OSD. Santa Monica, CA: Rand, 2001. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Beck, Michael D., Richard T. Cupitt, Seema Dahlaut, and Scott A. Jones. To Supply Or to Deny: Comparing Nonproliferation Export Control in Five Key Countries. The Netherlands: Kluwer Law International, 2003. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bunn, Matthew, Andrew Newman, Belfer Center for Science and Intergovernmental Affairs, Nuclear Threat Initiative, and Project on Managing the Atom (Harvard University). Preventing Nuclear Terrorism: An Agenda for the Next President. Cambridge, Mass.; Washington, D.C.: Harvard Kennedy School, Belfer Center for Science and International Affairs: Nuclear Threat Initiative, 2008. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bureau of Foreign Trade, Ministry of Economic Affairs, ROC. Comprehensive Export Control on Strategic High-Tech Commodities 2011. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bush, George W. \"Presidential Determination on Major Drug Transit or Major Illicit Drug Producing Countries for Fiscal Year 2007.\" Presidential Determination 71, no. 189 (September 29, 2006). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Chipman, John. \"Nuclear Black Market: Pakistan, A.Q. Khan and the Rise of Proliferation Networks.\" The International Institute for Strategic Studies, London, Strategic Dossier (2 May, 2007). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cirincione, Joseph, Jon B. Wolfsthal, and Miriam Rajkumar. Deadly Arsenals: Nuclear, Biological, and Chemical Threats. 2nd ed. Washington, D.C: Carnegie Endowment for International Peace, 2005. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Coll, Steve. \"The Unthinkable: Can the United States be made Safe from Nuclear Terrorism?\" The New Yorker (March 12, 2007). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dietz, Lawrence. \"IBM, SAP, and NextLabs Collaborative Effort Yields Export Control Solution.\" Sageza Group, Inc., IT Analysis Communications Ltd. http://www.it-director.com/business/content.php?cid=9482 (accessed Nov 15, 2011). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Dunn, Lewis A., National Defense University, and Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction. Can Al Qaeda be Deterred from Using Nuclear Weapons? Occasional Paper / Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction; 3; Variation: Occasional Paper (National Defense University. Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction); 3. Washington, D.C: Center for the Study of Weapons of Mass Destruction, National Defense University, 2005. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | eCustoms. \"Visual Compliance – Export Control Compliance, Comprehensive Denied Party Screening, Controlled Goods Classification, Export License Determination and U.S. Munitions List Classification for Your Export Shipments.\" eCustoms – MSR Inc. http://www.ecustoms.com/vc/vc.cfm (accessed Nov, 15, 2011). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | ExportControl.org. \"Overview of the U.S. Export Control System.\" ExportControl.org. http://exportcontrol.org/links/2081c.aspx (accessed Nov, 12, 2011). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Fact Sheet on the President`s Export Control Reform Initiative. USA: The White House, Office of the Press Secretary, April 20, 2010. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Foreign Trade Act, Ministry of Economic Affairs, R.O.C. Public Law Article 13, (2010): (accessed Nov 18, 2011). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Graham, Bob, Chairman, Jim Talent, Vice-Chairman, and Graham Allison. World at Risk [Electronic Resource]: The Report of the Commission on the Prevention of WMD Proliferation and Terrorism. New York: Vintage Books, 2008. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Heinz, John. U.S. Strategic Trade: An Export Control System for the 1990s. USA: Westview Press, 1991. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kessler, Glenn. \"North Korea may have Sent Libya Nuclear Material, U.S. Tells Allies.\" Washington Post (February 2, 2005, 2005). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Lai, Kwo Shing. \"The Concept of Cooperative State and its Impact on the Regulations for Trade administration－a Focused Examination on Control Over High-Technology Commodities in Taiwan.\" Master thesis, National Chengchi University, Taiwan, 2008. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Langewiesche, William. \"How to Get a Nuclear Bomb.\" The Atlantic Online (December, 2006). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | ———. \"The Wrath of Khan.\" The Atlantic Online (November, 2005). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Obama, Barak. . Obama`s Speech at the Nuclear Security Summit. USA: Council on Foreign Relations, April 2010, http://www.cfr.org/proliferation/obamas-speech-nuclear-security-summit-april-2010/p21889. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Pietsch, Georg. \"End use End-User-Screening.\" Seventh Annual International Export Control Conference, Stockholm, Federal Office of Economics and Export Control (BAFA) Germany, 20-22 Sep, 2005, 2005. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Rice, Condoleezza. \"Opening Statement in Senate Foreign Relations Committee.\" (January 18, 2005). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Robespierre, Norman. \"Nuclear Bond for North Korea and Myanmar.\" Asia Times Online (Oct 4, 2008). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Roiger, Richard J. and Michael W. Geatz. Data Mining: A Tutorial-Based Primer. Translated by曾新穆 and李建億. 初版四刷 ed. 台北市: 台灣培生教育出版股份有限公司, 2006. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ross, Brianand and Dana Hughes. \"`Missiles `R` Us,` but would North Korea Sell their Nukes?\" ABC News (July 28, 2006). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Schneider, Barry R. and Jim A. Davis. Avoiding the Abyss: Progress, Shortfalls, and the Way Ahead in Combating the WMD Threat. Westport, Conn: Praeger Security International, 2006. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sokolski, Henry. \"From Pyongyang with Love.\" Far Eastern Economic Review (April, 2008). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Tertrais, Bruno. \"Pakistan`s Nuclear Exports: Was there a State Strategy?\" Paper Prepared for the Nonproliferation Policy Education Center (20 July, 2006). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Westphal, Christopher and Teresa Blaxton. Data Mining Solutions: Methods and Tools for Solving Real-World Problems. Vol. 1. USA: Wiley Computer Publishing, 1998. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Winner, Andrew C. \"The Proliferation Security Initiative: The New Face of Interdiction.\" Washington Quarterly 28, no. 2 (2005): 129-143. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Wyler, Liana Sun, Library of Congress, and Congressional Research Service. Burma and Transnational Crime. CRS Report for Congress; RL34225. Washington, D.C: Congressional Research Service, Library of Congress, 2007. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Yusufzai, Rahimullah. \"Conversation with Terror.\" Time (January 11, 1999). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Zissis, Carin and Jayshree Bajoria. \"The Six-Party Talks on North Korea’s Nuclear Program.\" (October 14, 2008). | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 謝邦昌, 蘇志雄, 鄭宇庭, and葉劭緯. 資料採礦與商業智慧SQL Server 2005: Data Mining & Business Intelligence with SQL Server 2005. Taiwan Taipei: 中華資料採礦協會, 2005. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 韋端, 鄭宇庭, 鄧家駒, 匡宏波, and謝邦昌. Data Mining概述: 以Clementine 7.0為例. 初版一刷 ed. 2003. | zh_TW |
| dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 虞孝成, 徐振榮, 張世其. \"出口管制制度之探討.\" 科技發展政策報導 no. SR9012 (Dec, 2001). | zh_TW |
