dc.contributor.advisor | 魏艾 | zh_TW |
dc.contributor.advisor | Wei, Ai | en_US |
dc.contributor.author (Authors) | 許馨亞 | zh_TW |
dc.creator (作者) | 許馨亞 | zh_TW |
dc.date (日期) | 2010 | en_US |
dc.date.accessioned | 17-Apr-2012 09:29:26 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.available | 17-Apr-2012 09:29:26 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) | 17-Apr-2012 09:29:26 (UTC+8) | - |
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) | G0982630082 | en_US |
dc.identifier.uri (URI) | http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/52833 | - |
dc.description (描述) | 碩士 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 國立政治大學 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 俄羅斯研究所 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 98263008 | zh_TW |
dc.description (描述) | 99 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | 近年來,伴隨著俄羅斯經濟實力的提升,俄羅斯金融體系持續茁壯,並推動俄羅斯國內對金融安全需求的迅速增長。俄羅斯金融體系受政治影響極深,中央銀行缺乏獨立性。2007 年次貸風暴對俄羅斯經濟傷害甚鉅,2008年7雷曼兄弟宣布倒閉後,總計10個月內盧布貶值幅度高達52.5%,從MSCI股價指數波動率(equity VIX index)觀察美國、俄羅斯、日本及歐洲,顯示俄羅斯股市波動率最高,以2007 年的136.7 及2008 年的432.7 居冠。在金磚四國中,俄羅斯短期資金的流動性較高,股市波動率也較高。俄羅斯金融體系不良貸款比率高,易發生金融傳染危機,不良貸款比率高出其他國家4 到8 倍。在金磚四國中,俄羅斯短期資金的流動性較高,股市波動率也較高。總體而言俄羅斯金融體系近年愈為穩健,俄羅斯的金融存款機構信任度在2008年~2010年有明顯提高趨勢,但存款機構內不良貸款比率仍偏高,同時俄羅斯金融體系易受國際金融傳染危機影響俄羅斯金融體系不良貸款比率高,易發生金融傳染危機,若能降低目前俄羅斯金融存款機構的壞帳比例及呆帳率,則俄羅斯的金融安全會更加穩固。 | zh_TW |
dc.description.abstract (摘要) | In recent years, along with the upgrading of Russia`s economic strength, Russia`s financial system continued to thrive, the needs of financial security growth rapidly. Russia`s financial system is deeply influenced by political power, and their central bank is lack of independence.Subprime crisis hurt the Russian economy hugely, in July 2008, after Lehman Brothers declared bankruptcy; ruble devalued 52.5% in 10 months. MSCI stock index volatility equity VIX index) for U.S., Russia, Japan and Europe, shows Russian stock market volatility rate was 432.7 and also the highest of all. In the BRIC, Russia presented higher short-term liquidity, and the stock market volatility. Overall, Russia`s financial system is more robust and stable in recent years, from 2008 to 2010, the depository trust in Russian financial institutions increasedsignificantly, while Russia`s financial system is stillvulnerable to the contagion of international financial crisis. | en_US |
dc.description.tableofcontents | 第一章 緒論……………………………6第一節 研究背景與動機………………6壹、研究背景……………………………6貳、研究動機與目的……………………8第二節 文獻回顧及理論探討…………12壹、金融危機理論………………………12貳、金融危機成因討論…………………21參、當代金融安全之文獻………………24第三節 研究方法與章節安排……………28第二章 俄羅斯金融制度與市場…………30第一節 金融制度研究……………………30壹、俄羅斯金融制度……………………30貳、俄羅斯銀行制度與變遷……………34第二節 金融市場研究……………………39壹、俄羅斯金融市場………………………39貳、俄羅斯主權財富基金…………………44第三節 小結………………………………55第三章 俄羅斯金融安全…………………57第一節 金融危機對俄羅斯影響之研究…57壹、1998 年俄羅斯金融危機……………57貳、2007 年美國次貸危機………………64第二節 俄羅斯政府金融安全政策………82壹、俄羅斯金融監管制度…………………82貳、俄羅斯存款保險制度…………………85參、俄羅斯證券市場監管…………………89第三節 小結…………………………………93第四章 金融健全指標與各項檢測…………94第一節 金融健全指標背景…………………94壹、金融健全指標在各國的使用…………94貳、核心組與進階組金融健全指標可用性…98第二節 金融健全指標框架與種類…………107壹、會計框架及巴賽爾資本充足率………107貳、金融指標種類及關係…………………110第三節 金融健全指標意義與檢測………113壹、金融健全指標意義……………………113貳、金融健全指標檢測……………………126第四節 小結…………………………………133第五章 結論…………………………………135參考文獻…………………………………….139 | zh_TW |
dc.language.iso | en_US | - |
dc.source.uri (資料來源) | http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0982630082 | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 俄羅斯 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 金融穩健指標 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 金融安全 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | 金融危機 | zh_TW |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | Russia | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | the financial soundness indicators | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | financial security | en_US |
dc.subject (關鍵詞) | financial crisis | en_US |
dc.title (題名) | 俄羅斯金融安全之研究 | zh_TW |
dc.title (題名) | A study of Russian financial security | en_US |
dc.type (資料類型) | thesis | en |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中文專書 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 王瑛,經濟安全-中國面臨的挑戰(太原:山西經濟出版社,2004 年),頁118~122。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 李榮謙,貨幣金融學概論(臺灣:東華出版社,2007 年),頁2。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 林錦慧譯,Dr. Chris Howard 著,搞懂金融世界的第一本書(臺北:大是文化有限公司,2011 年),頁28~205。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 高曉慧、陳柳欽,俄羅斯金融制度研究(北京:社會科學文獻出版社,2005 年),頁1~456。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 梁勇,開放的難題:發展中國家的金融安全(北京:高等教育出版社,1999 年),頁10。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 陳齊,「俄羅斯中央銀行獨立性之研究」,(臺北:國立政治大學俄羅斯研究所碩士論文,2001 年),頁34~37。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 劉雪松,「俄羅斯銀行體制改革分析與啟示」,(北京:對外經濟貿易大學在職碩士論文,2003 年),頁9~10。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 鄭漢通,經濟全球化中的國家經濟安全問題 (臺灣:國防大學出版社,1999 年),頁97。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 羅任媛,「新興市場國家金融危機成因之研究-以俄羅斯為案例」 (臺北:國立政治大學俄羅斯研究所碩士論文,2001 年),頁8~117。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中文期刊 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 王元龍,「關於金融安全的若干理論問題」,國際金融研究(北京),2004 年,第5期,頁17。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 王楚明,「影響我國金融安全的國內外因素分析」,金融理論與實踐(河南),2006年,第1 期,頁1~6。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 王凌燕、王建英、萬正曉,「經濟全球化背景下的中國金融安全問題研究」,河南師範大學學報,2005 年7 月,第32 卷第4 期,頁47。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳孟道、周國偉、曾翊恆,「金融市場壓力指標之建置與應用-東亞八國於此波金融海嘯之表現」,台灣經濟論衡, 2009 年9 月,第7 卷第9 期,頁 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 8。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 吳懿娟,「我國金融危機預警系統之研究」,中央銀行季刊,2003 年9 月,第25卷第3 期,頁7~9。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 李石凱,「全球經濟失衡與新興市場經濟體主權財富基金的崛起」,國際金融研究(北京),2008年,總第9期,頁31~32。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 李霞,「淺談俄羅斯主權財富基金的運作管理規則及其對中國的啟示」,時代金融(雲南),2009年4月,總第390期,頁7~9。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 周國偉,吳孟道,「金融海嘯與台灣金融市場壓力及因應政策」,法制論叢,2010年1月,第45期,頁5~7。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 徐向梅,「俄羅斯國有銀行:優勢地位、私有化及啟示」,廣東金融學院學報,2007年,第22卷第3期,頁1~35。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 陳一瑞,「IMF 金融安全指標之編制暨其於台灣之運用」,中央銀行季刊 (臺北:中央銀行經濟研究處),2005 年5 月,第27 卷第4 期,頁21。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 陳南光,張光亮,「亞洲金融風暴的緣起:基本面或傳染?」,行政院國家科學委員會補助專題研究計畫成果報告,2000 年,頁3。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 郭連成,「俄羅斯證券市場:發展特點與發展戰略」,太平洋學報(北京),2004 年,第12 期,頁4。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 黃仁德、林進煌,「亞洲金融危機與國際貨幣基金的角色」,問題與研究(臺北),2007年,第46卷第1期,頁4。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 婁芳,「談俄羅斯金融改革中的銀行體系」,東歐中亞研究(北京),1999年,總第2期,頁1。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 張曉田,劉清江,「金融安全區問題研究」,財經理論與實踐(上海),2001 年1 月,第22 卷第109 期,頁9~10。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 賀蘭芝、官佳璿、劉棟賢,「從次貸風暴看國際監理」,台北外匯市場發展基金會委託計畫,2009 年3 月,頁2~46。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 程亦軍,「論俄羅斯證券市場」,俄羅斯中亞東歐研究(北京),2006年,第4期,頁38~39。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 趙俊筌,「經濟全球化下的俄羅斯金融安全:以葉爾欽時期為例」,稻江學報(臺北),2008 年,第3 卷第2 期,頁265~266。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 賴景昌,「國際金融理論的發展」,經濟與管理論叢,2005 年,第1 卷第2 期,頁6~8。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 劉敬遠、蘇琳,「淺析俄羅斯經濟轉型的歷史沿革及啟示」,學理論(哈爾濱市),2010年,第27期,頁7~10。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 劉軍梅,「俄羅斯金融制度的變遷」,復旦學報(上海),2003 年,第2 期,頁1。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 潘廣云,「俄羅斯主權財富基金改組及其國際比較」,國際論壇(北京),2008年9月,第10卷第5期,頁56~59。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 關雪凌、劉西,「全球主權財富基金:現狀、原因與影響」,中國人民大學學報(北京),2008年,總第5期,頁73~76。 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 英文期刊 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Aerdt, Houben and Jan, Kakes and Schinasi, Garry, ‖Toward a Framework for Safeguarding Financial Stability‖, IMF Working Paper, (June 2004), pp.18~46. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Blundell-Wignall, Adrian and Atkinson, Paul, ―The Sub-prime Crisis: Causal Distortions and Regulatory Reform‖ OECD-GEM policy Brief (March 2010),p.3. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bhagwan, Chowdhry and Amit, Goyal, ―Understanding the Financial Crisis in Asia ―,Pacific-Basin Finance , Journal 8 (2000), p.4. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | BRICs: The Path to 2050‖,Glodman Sachs, October 2003,p.2Carson S. Carol and Ingves Stefan, ―Financial Soundness Indicators—Background Paper‖, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | International Monetary Fund, (May 2003), p.6. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Crockett, Andrew, ―Why is Financial Stability a Goal of Public Policy?‖, Symposium Proceedings, Federal Reserve Bank of Kansas City (1997), pp.2~9. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Chant, John, ―Financial Stability As a Policy Goal‖, Bank of Canada Technical Report , No. 95, (Sep., 2003), pp.3~4. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Crockett, Andrew, ―The Theory and Practice of Financial Stability,” GEI Newsletter Issue, No. 6 (July, 1997), pp.11~12. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Cantor, Richard and Emery, Kenneth and Duggar Elena and Cailleteau,‖Sovereign Default and Recovery Rates, 1993-2007‖,Moody’s Global Credit Research,(March 2008),p.30. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | DIW, Berlin, ―The Argentinean Currency Crisis: A Markov-Switching Model Estimation‖, German Institute for Economic Research, Discussion Papers, No.348(May 2003), p.4. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Douglas W. , Diamond and Philip H. , Dybvig,‖ Bank Runs, Deposit Insurance, and Liquidity‖, Federal Reserve Bank of Minneapolis Quarterly Review, Vol. 24,No. 1(2000), pp.2~3. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Flood, R. P. and Garber, P. M. , ―Collapsing Exchange-Rate Regimes: Some Linear Examples‖, Journal of International Economics, No.17(1984), pp.1~13. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Fisher, Irving, ―The Debt Deflation Theory of Great Depressions‖, Econometrica,Vol.1, Issue 4(Oct., 1933), p.2. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Foot Michael, ―What is ‗Financial Stability‘ and How Do We Get It?‖, The Roy Bridge Memorial Lecture (April , 2003), pp.1~13. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Financial Soundness Indicators-Background Paper, IMF(2003), pp.4~27. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Financial Soundness Indicators Compilation Guide, IMF(2006), pp.45~196. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Guillermo A. Calvo, Enrique G. Mendoza, ―Mexico‘s Balance-Of-Payments Crisis: AChronicle of A Death Foretold‖ journal of International Economics,No.41(1996), p.8. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | IMF:“Compilation Guide on Financial Soundness Indicators", Draft, Published by | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | IMF, (September 2003), p.1. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | International Monetary Fund, "Financial Crises: Characteristics and Indicators of Vulnerability," IMF World Economic Outlook , chapter 4(1998), pp.1~10. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kaminsky, L. Graciela and Carmen, M. Reinhart,‖ The Twin Crises: The Causes of Banking and Balance-Of-Payments Problems‖, The American Economic Review, Vol. 89, No. 3 (Jun., 1999), pp.6~7. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Kaminsky, L. Graciela and Carmen, M. Reinhart, ―Financial Crises in Asia and Latin America: Then and Now‖, American Economic Review: Papers and Proceedings, Vol.88(January 1998), p.1. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Krugman, Paul, ―Balance Sheets, the Transfer Problem, and Financial Crises‖, conference draft, (January1999), p.3. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Krugman, Paul, ―What Happened to Asia?‖, conference in Japan, (January 1998), p.3. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Laura, Solanko and ZuzanaFungacova, Helsinki, ―The Russian Banking Industry After the 2008-2009 Financial Crisis-What Next?‖, Russian analytical digest,No.74(2001), p.2 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | MIRRLEES, J.A., ‖The Theory of Moral Hazard and Unobservable Behavior: Part1‖,Review of Economic Studies, No.66 (1999), pp.2~5. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Miller, Marcus and Luangaram, Pongsak, ―Financial Crisis in East Asia: Bank Runs,Asset Bubbles and Antidotes‖, CSGR Working Paper, No. 11 (July 1998),pp.2~17. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Moskow, H. Michael, ―Disruptions in Global Financial Markets: The Role of PublicPolicy‖, Economic Perspectives, pp.2~3. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Mishkin, S. Frederic, ―The Causes and Propagation of Financial Instability: Lessons for Policy Makers‖ proceeding,(1997), pp.9~10. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | McKinnon, R.I. and Pill, H. , "Exchange-Rate Regimes for Emerging Markets: Moral Hazard and International Over Borrowing", Oxf Rev Econ Policy, Vol.15 (1999), pp.19~38. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | O‘Neill, Jim and Leme, Paulo and Lawson, Sandra, and Pearson, Warren, ―Dreaming with Svetlana Corda-Stanley and Damien Synnott, Banking in Russia, (Financial Times Management Reports, London, 1996), p.2 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Pauly, V. Mark ,‖ The Economics of Moral Hazard: Comment‖, The American Economic Review, Vol. 58, No. 3, (Jun., 1968), p.6. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Radelet, Steven and Sachs, Jeffrey, ―The Onset of The East Asian Financial Crisis‖, NBER WORKING PAPER SERIES, No.6680(August 1998) ,pp.4~6. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Radelet, Steven, Sachs, D. Jeffrey, Cooper N. Richard, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Bosworth P. Barry, ‖The East Asian financial crisis: Diagnosis, Remedies, Prospects‖, Brookings Papers on | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Economic Activity, Vol.1998, No.1(1998), pp22~23. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Radelet, Steven and Sachs, Jeffrey, ―What Have We Learned, so far, from the Asian Financial Crisis‖, CAER II Discussion Paper, No. 37 (March, 1999), pp.3~4. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Sovereign Wealth Funds:Generally Accepted Principles and Practices, International Working Group of Sovereign Wealth Funds, October 2008, pp.3~7. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | V.V Chari, Ravi Jagannathan, ―Banking Panics, Information and Rational Expectation Equilibrium‖, working paper, No.320(February 1988), p.2. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Willem, H.Buiter, ―Lessons from the 2007 Financial Crisis‖, UK Treasury Select Committee, CEPR Policy insight, No.18(Nov., 2007), p.1. | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 網頁資料 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | FASP | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.imf.org/external/np/fsap/fsap.asp | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | FSI | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.imf.org/external/np/sta/fsi/eng/fsi.htm | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | GFSR | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.imf.org/external/pubs/ft/gfsr/index.htm | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Financial Soundness Indicators (FSIs)—Concepts and Definitions | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://fsi.imf.org/misc/FSI%20Concepts%20and%20Definitions.pdf | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | BBC News, March 17, 2008 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://news.bbc.co.uk/chinese/trad/hi/newsid_7300000/newsid_7300000/730001 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 1.stm | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | BBC News, July 28, 2008 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://news.bbc.co.uk/chinese/trad/hi/newsid_7530000/newsid_7530000/753009 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 5.stm | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | United Nations Statistics Division, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://unstats.un.org/unsd/methods/statorg/FP-English.htm | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | The Central Bank of Russian Federation, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.cbr.ru/eng/today/history/central_bank.asp | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | IFSL | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.lesechos.fr/medias/2010/0304/300414062.pdf | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | IMF | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.imf.org | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | SWF Institute | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.swfstitute.org/swf.php | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | Ministry of Finance of the Russian Federation, | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www1.minfin.ru/en/stabfund/about/ | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | FSI | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://fsi.imf.org/ | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | 中央存款保險公司 | zh_TW |
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) | http://www.cdic.gov.tw/ct.asp?xItem=604&CtNode=447&mp=1 | zh_TW |