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題名 初次進入職場的時機:景氣波動對薪資的長期影響
Graduating in a bad economy: the long-term effect on wages
作者 劉香吟
Liu, Hsiang Yin
貢獻者 陳鎮洲
Chen, Jenn Jou
劉香吟
Liu, Hsiang Yin
關鍵詞 不景氣
薪資
日期 2011
上傳時間 30-Oct-2012 10:24:00 (UTC+8)
摘要 Entering labor market during a bad economy can be intuitively connected to worse working experience at the beginning of one’s career, and moreover, this kind of effect would persist for many years. This paper is a Taiwanese empirical study of estimating the long-term effect of graduating in a bad economy on wages using data from Manpower Utilization Survey, provided by Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan, R.O.C (Taiwan). The empirical method I use is ordinary least squares (OLS) regression. The estimation results in this paper are similar to previous researches, providing significant evidence of negative long-term effect on wages for one initially entering labor market during a bad economy. Besides, the effects vary across genders and education groups. However, due to inaccurate predicted time of initial entry to labor market and small sample size, the results may be biased and the comparison of varying effects across educations may not be so reliable.
參考文獻 Bowlus, A. J. (1995). Matching Workers and Jobs: Cyclical Fluctuations in Match Quality. Journal of Labor Economics, 13(2), 335-350.
     Genda, Y., Kondo, A., & Ohta, S. (2010). Long-Term Effects of a Recession at Labor Market Entry in Japan and the United States. Journal of Human Resources, 45(1), 157-196.
     Hershbein Brad, J. (2012). Graduating High School in a Recession: Work, Education, and Home Production. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (Vol. 12).
     Johnson, N. D., & Nye, J. V. C. (2011). Does fortune favor dragons? Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 78(1–2), 85-97.
     Kahn, L. B. (2010). The long-term labor market consequences of graduating from college in a bad economy. Labour Economics, 17(2), 303-316.
     Kondo, A. (2007). Differential Effects of Graduating during a Recession across Race and Gender. ISERP Working Paper 07-05, Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy, Columbia University.
     Mansour, H. (2009). The career effects of graduating from college in a bad economy: The role of workers’ ability. University of Colorado Denver unpublished manuscript.
     Mukhopadhaya, P. (2001). Changing labor-force gender composition and male-female income diversity in Singapore. Journal of Asian Economics, 12(4), 547-568.
     Oreopoulos, P., von Wachter, T., & Heisz, A. (2012). The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(1), 1-29.
     Park, S., & Shin, D. (2005). Explaining procyclical male–female wage gaps. Economics Letters, 88(2), 231-235.
     Wong, K.-F., & Yung, L. (2005). Do dragons have better fate? Economic Inquiry, 43(3), 689-697.
描述 碩士
國立政治大學
經濟學系
99258004
100
資料來源 http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099258004
資料類型 thesis
dc.contributor.advisor 陳鎮洲zh_TW
dc.contributor.advisor Chen, Jenn Jouen_US
dc.contributor.author (Authors) 劉香吟zh_TW
dc.contributor.author (Authors) Liu, Hsiang Yinen_US
dc.creator (作者) 劉香吟zh_TW
dc.creator (作者) Liu, Hsiang Yinen_US
dc.date (日期) 2011en_US
dc.date.accessioned 30-Oct-2012 10:24:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.available 30-Oct-2012 10:24:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.date.issued (上傳時間) 30-Oct-2012 10:24:00 (UTC+8)-
dc.identifier (Other Identifiers) G0099258004en_US
dc.identifier.uri (URI) http://nccur.lib.nccu.edu.tw/handle/140.119/54244-
dc.description (描述) 碩士zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 國立政治大學zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 經濟學系zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 99258004zh_TW
dc.description (描述) 100zh_TW
dc.description.abstract (摘要) Entering labor market during a bad economy can be intuitively connected to worse working experience at the beginning of one’s career, and moreover, this kind of effect would persist for many years. This paper is a Taiwanese empirical study of estimating the long-term effect of graduating in a bad economy on wages using data from Manpower Utilization Survey, provided by Directorate-General of Budget, Accounting and Statistics, Executive Yuan, R.O.C (Taiwan). The empirical method I use is ordinary least squares (OLS) regression. The estimation results in this paper are similar to previous researches, providing significant evidence of negative long-term effect on wages for one initially entering labor market during a bad economy. Besides, the effects vary across genders and education groups. However, due to inaccurate predicted time of initial entry to labor market and small sample size, the results may be biased and the comparison of varying effects across educations may not be so reliable.en_US
dc.description.tableofcontents I. Introduction......1
     II. Literature reviews......3
     III. Empirical models and data......9
     IV. Estimation results......21
     V. Conclusion......33
     VI. References......34
     VII. Appendixes......35
zh_TW
dc.language.iso en_US-
dc.source.uri (資料來源) http://thesis.lib.nccu.edu.tw/record/#G0099258004en_US
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 不景氣zh_TW
dc.subject (關鍵詞) 薪資zh_TW
dc.title (題名) 初次進入職場的時機:景氣波動對薪資的長期影響zh_TW
dc.title (題名) Graduating in a bad economy: the long-term effect on wagesen_US
dc.type (資料類型) thesisen
dc.relation.reference (參考文獻) Bowlus, A. J. (1995). Matching Workers and Jobs: Cyclical Fluctuations in Match Quality. Journal of Labor Economics, 13(2), 335-350.
     Genda, Y., Kondo, A., & Ohta, S. (2010). Long-Term Effects of a Recession at Labor Market Entry in Japan and the United States. Journal of Human Resources, 45(1), 157-196.
     Hershbein Brad, J. (2012). Graduating High School in a Recession: Work, Education, and Home Production. The B.E. Journal of Economic Analysis & Policy (Vol. 12).
     Johnson, N. D., & Nye, J. V. C. (2011). Does fortune favor dragons? Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization, 78(1–2), 85-97.
     Kahn, L. B. (2010). The long-term labor market consequences of graduating from college in a bad economy. Labour Economics, 17(2), 303-316.
     Kondo, A. (2007). Differential Effects of Graduating during a Recession across Race and Gender. ISERP Working Paper 07-05, Institute for Social and Economic Research and Policy, Columbia University.
     Mansour, H. (2009). The career effects of graduating from college in a bad economy: The role of workers’ ability. University of Colorado Denver unpublished manuscript.
     Mukhopadhaya, P. (2001). Changing labor-force gender composition and male-female income diversity in Singapore. Journal of Asian Economics, 12(4), 547-568.
     Oreopoulos, P., von Wachter, T., & Heisz, A. (2012). The Short- and Long-Term Career Effects of Graduating in a Recession. American Economic Journal: Applied Economics, 4(1), 1-29.
     Park, S., & Shin, D. (2005). Explaining procyclical male–female wage gaps. Economics Letters, 88(2), 231-235.
     Wong, K.-F., & Yung, L. (2005). Do dragons have better fate? Economic Inquiry, 43(3), 689-697.
zh_TW